Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
open
Total volume
$2,135
$400,325 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$818,781
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 35 | $435 | $137 | +$298 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 34 | $435 | $137 | +$298 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shoddy-Ban 0xfb4f…07c4 | Yes | +4,000 | $240 | $240 | 1 | 05-05 03:09 |
| Brief-Midcourse 0xd654…dd72 | Yes | +1,667 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-04 20:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x131a…e4d0 | Yes | +1,333 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-04 23:04 |
| Appropriate-Result 0x65b4…88ad | Yes | +83 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 12:20 |
| Pessimistic-Ski-Texture 0xcfdc…5a2e | No | +80 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 05-05 17:09 |
| Basic-Veldt 0x8593…26ef | Yes | +67 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 20:59 |
| Entire-Frame 0x417b…18d3 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-05 09:25 |
| Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | +24 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 11:30 |
| Impish-Midden 0x29ea…701e | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 05:09 |
| Vast-Breakthrough 0x5bbe…3416 | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:09 |
| Possible-Helicopter 0x12d3…5ffa | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 08:30 |
| Equal-Loss 0x585a…4306 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 21:50 |
| Defensive-Beverage 0x3ac8…fbd4 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 00:44 |
| Fatal-Mug 0xe35e…46f2 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 01:30 |
| Fixed-Perspective 0x61e4…4659 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 06:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 21:50:02 | Equal-Loss 0x585a…4306 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x95eaf2… |
| 05-05 19:08:10 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x1c40e7… |
| 05-05 19:08:08 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xe97c64… |
| 05-05 19:08:04 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x73f34e… |
| 05-05 18:58:08 | Trusting-Pavement 0x67c8…ec9e | Yes | SELL | 290 | 5¢ | $14 | 0x19610c… |
| 05-05 18:26:50 | United-Gasoline 0xa671…c9d9 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xc4c61e… |
| 05-05 18:09:36 | Annual-Donkey 0xdf4d…78f5 | Yes | SELL | 176 | 5¢ | $9 | 0x958d33… |
| 05-05 17:34:28 | (anonymous) 0x47d3…d289 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x82c812… |
| 05-05 17:34:24 | (anonymous) 0x47d3…d289 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0277be… |
| 05-05 17:27:42 | Annual-Donkey 0xdf4d…78f5 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xfb9ca4… |
| 05-05 17:17:42 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x8abf9e… |
| 05-05 17:14:38 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xf8d7ad… |
| 05-05 17:09:38 | Pessimistic-Ski-Texture 0xcfdc…5a2e | No | BUY | 80 | 95¢ | $76 | 0x0684ca… |
| 05-05 14:47:22 | Gummy-Dearest 0x5738…5ca3 | Yes | SELL | 111 | 5¢ | $6 | 0xd91db7… |
| 05-05 14:37:38 | Rubbery-Airmail 0x4dc2…0933 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 94¢ | $940 | 0x92b27c… |
| 05-05 13:52:06 | (anonymous) 0x3afc…4ae6 | No | SELL | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0xd07176… |
| 05-05 12:20:16 | Appropriate-Result 0x65b4…88ad | Yes | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x5ff657… |
| 05-05 11:30:14 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 24 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa562f5… |
| 05-05 11:25:08 | Unfortunate-Underneath 0x4369…fd24 | No | SELL | 489 | 94¢ | $459 | 0x6600b1… |
| 05-05 09:30:10 | Austere-Logistics 0x31a4…7947 | No | SELL | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0x41a87f… |
| 05-05 09:25:18 | Entire-Frame 0x417b…18d3 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xeab1b2… |
| 05-05 08:30:44 | Possible-Helicopter 0x12d3…5ffa | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x927312… |
| 05-05 06:40:02 | Advanced-Gesture 0x963f…4487 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x844d86… |
| 05-05 06:20:44 | Motherly-Normalisation 0xaac7…27a7 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x4dda96… |
| 05-05 06:20:42 | Flimsy-Confectionery 0x9615…e8cf | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xaa9987… |
| 05-05 06:19:56 | Pure-Icing 0xfc70…b4f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb00b28… |
| 05-05 06:04:54 | Fixed-Perspective 0x61e4…4659 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x4d1ad6… |
| 05-05 05:09:54 | Impish-Midden 0x29ea…701e | Yes | BUY | 22 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x08effc… |
| 05-05 04:45:02 | Smug-Jockey 0xf2de…3835 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x4fd6eb… |
| 05-05 03:55:34 | Suburban-Spokeswoman 0x7099…4daf | No | SELL | 39 | 94¢ | $37 | 0xee8b3d… |
| 05-05 03:09:58 | Shoddy-Ban 0xfb4f…07c4 | Yes | BUY | 4,000 | 6¢ | $240 | 0x94fb51… |
| 05-05 01:30:16 | Fatal-Mug 0xe35e…46f2 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x615969… |
| 05-05 00:44:42 | Defensive-Beverage 0x3ac8…fbd4 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x70f382… |
| 05-04 23:04:16 | (anonymous) 0x131a…e4d0 | Yes | BUY | 1,333 | 6¢ | $80 | 0x5000c2… |
| 05-04 20:59:44 | Basic-Veldt 0x8593…26ef | Yes | BUY | 67 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x05327c… |
| 05-04 20:14:26 | Plain-Mezzanine 0xafaa…f0e4 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x20e589… |
| 05-04 20:09:48 | Vast-Breakthrough 0x5bbe…3416 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa338f7… |
| 05-04 20:05:56 | Pessimistic-Registration 0x5f35…f6e9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6af4fd… |
| 05-04 20:05:56 | Magnificent-Discipline 0x1e6a…d38a | Yes | SELL | 133 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x0b27b2… |
| 05-04 20:05:56 | Graceful-Stretch 0x3969…6518 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xba4759… |
| 05-04 20:05:56 | (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x45ed4d… |
| 05-04 20:05:56 | Brief-Midcourse 0xd654…dd72 | Yes | BUY | 1,667 | 6¢ | $100 | 0xc16cc9… |
| 05-04 20:02:26 | Plain-Mezzanine 0xafaa…f0e4 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xcfa942… |