Realized P&L
+$66
Unrealized P&L
+$1.10K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
4,185
lifetime
Volume
$1.90M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$455
Open exposure
$54.5K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
67% 100% +$39
Other
31% 100% +$27
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +29,366 $27,457 95¢ $27.8K +$309 06-07 13:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +5,790 $5,725 99¢ $5.7K $-8 06-07 13:59
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -6,641 $-5,711 84¢ $-5611 +$100 06-02 09:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +4,040 $3,949 98¢ $3.9K $-8 06-02 20:17
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +2,657 $2,434 90¢ $2.4K $-45 06-08 01:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,500 $2,100 82¢ $2.1K $-38 06-04 12:27
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +2,389 $1,801 77¢ $1.8K +$39 06-03 04:57
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +1,500 $1,326 90¢ $1.3K +$16 06-09 15:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,000 $810 82¢ $815 +$5 06-02 20:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -7,711 $-1,652 11¢ $-810 +$843 05-31 17:18
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +1,058 $859 75¢ $794 $-65 06-09 01:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,200 $480 38¢ $450 $-30 06-05 09:32
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +398 $291 73¢ $291 $-0 06-09 08:57
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -210 $-160 90¢ $-189 $-29 05-30 08:10
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? No +181 $178 98¢ $178 +$0 06-02 21:00
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +100 $100 100¢ $100 $-1 06-08 00:30
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -188 $-122 53¢ $-99 +$22 05-27 21:06
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? Yes +2,748 $57 $49 $-8 06-09 18:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +52 $46 88¢ $46 $-0 06-09 16:17
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +44 $40 92¢ $40 +$1 06-07 16:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 05-29 03:12