Lone-Glutamate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$66

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

6,537

lifetime

Volume

$2.79M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$427

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 01:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$39

Other

41% 100% +$27

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 209 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	340	$181.7K	95,895	89,045	+6,849	open	—	02-27 04:33
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	227	$181.0K	96,800	88,370	+8,431	open	—	02-25 21:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	548	$164.6K	88,500	78,446	+10,054	open	—	05-22 16:17
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	93	$140.2K	37,991	107,605	-69,614	open	—	07-28 18:30
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	81	$101.5K	51,351	51,414	-62	open	—	02-25 02:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	55	$98.7K	81,274	43,149	+38,125	open	—	08-08 22:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	45	$84.6K	43,154	51,134	-7,980	open	—	02-21 07:22
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	560	$65.8K	47,158	36,318	+10,840	open	—	03-20 03:24
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	51	$65.5K	50,090	25,375	+24,714	open	—	02-01 04:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	72	$57.7K	50,612	50,612	+0	open	—	07-11 13:13
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	128	$48.3K	31,348	18,989	+12,359	open	—	02-27 04:25
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	5	$47.3K	24,000	24,000	+0	open	—	02-23 05:34
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	35	$46.1K	18,035	28,531	-10,496	open	—	03-19 17:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	57	$43.5K	23,843	23,843	+0	open	—	07-14 10:24
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	25	$41.1K	21,605	21,605	+0	open	—	02-16 22:44
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$38.9K	38,997	0	+38,997	open	—	02-02 15:29
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	90	$38.8K	26,047	25,013	+1,034	open	—	01-30 07:23
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	33	$38.7K	27,762	19,796	+7,966	open	—	02-26 13:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	30	$37.1K	14,743	23,767	-9,024	open	—	06-08 00:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	31	$37.0K	20,515	18,515	+2,000	open	—	07-02 01:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	11	$33.6K	23,290	25,390	-2,100	open	—	06-15 00:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	52	$31.0K	15,610	15,610	+0	open	—	07-07 09:31
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	287	$30.0K	21,183	10,039	+11,144	open	—	03-16 20:04
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	11	$28.2K	23,186	5,772	+17,414	open	—	01-28 15:05
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	76	$27.4K	26,234	14,316	+11,918	open	—	03-09 20:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	79	$27.4K	13,284	15,134	-1,850	open	—	05-08 07:58
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	28	$26.2K	28,359	1,487	+26,872	open	—	07-23 18:32
trump out as president by march 31	189	$25.2K	25,699	0	+25,699	open	—	03-06 04:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$24.9K	26,000	0	+26,000	open	—	06-03 15:23
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	17	$23.5K	12,113	12,113	+0	open	—	07-26 10:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 01:05:28	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0xdda26d…
08-10 23:38:04	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	14	91¢	$13	0x90f052…
08-10 22:50:57	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	44	91¢	$40	0x19a116…
08-10 17:46:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	8,888	91¢	$8,088	0x4d55d8…
08-10 14:27:04	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	1,000	75¢	$750	0x50c44b…
08-08 22:54:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	9,287	83¢	$7,709	0x0268cb…
08-08 20:48:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	552	83¢	$458	0x5bc137…
08-08 20:35:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	161	83¢	$133	0x80207d…
08-08 17:37:12	kash patel out by september 30 20260728185947723	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa1d168…
08-08 16:47:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	188	37¢	$69	0x55bd86…
08-08 10:34:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	74	80¢	$59	0xb049f8…
08-08 10:34:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	1,814	80¢	$1,452	0x13faba…
08-08 10:34:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	SELL	2,277	91¢	$2,072	0x9f6155…
08-08 08:40:55	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x03efa8…
08-08 06:27:36	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x9b5aae…
08-08 06:14:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	1,888	79¢	$1,492	0x4aa0a2…
08-08 06:13:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	2,277	90¢	$2,049	0x618273…
08-08 04:45:27	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x250120…
08-08 03:30:42	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0x4a8c57…
08-07 21:55:04	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	67	91¢	$61	0xe7e238…
08-07 21:55:00	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	67	91¢	$61	0xeac4bb…
08-07 21:54:55	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	67	91¢	$61	0x6125f9…
08-07 21:41:27	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0xba88a1…
08-07 18:09:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	563	51¢	$287	0x960695…
08-07 15:51:33	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x1d6971…
08-07 13:33:07	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	227	91¢	$207	0x9f0dfa…
08-07 11:55:55	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xd0a984…
08-07 11:46:33	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0x759518…
08-07 09:43:21	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	1,000	72¢	$720	0xc4f9df…
08-07 09:08:49	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	51	91¢	$46	0x3d7440…
08-07 08:34:30	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	643	91¢	$585	0x120bf0…
08-07 07:28:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	79	88¢	$69	0x27bb76…
08-07 07:15:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	2,162	88¢	$1,898	0x0761ce…
08-06 23:57:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	272	85¢	$230	0xc81477…
08-06 18:43:21	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	556	73¢	$406	0x607ac6…
08-06 18:43:17	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0xbd928c…
08-06 18:43:09	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	1,500	73¢	$1,095	0x06f373…
08-06 18:42:09	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	198	73¢	$145	0x874868…
08-06 18:41:38	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	200	73¢	$146	0x49159b…
08-06 18:41:27	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	108	73¢	$79	0x1255d8…
08-06 14:43:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	39	66¢	$26	0xa0007f…
08-06 14:39:35	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	650	66¢	$430	0x6304af…
08-06 14:36:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0x8155e7…
08-06 14:34:35	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0xfa29c5…
08-06 12:41:00	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	70	70¢	$49	0x2959a3…
08-06 12:40:59	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	211	70¢	$148	0xa1bd26…
08-06 12:40:59	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x2a39ec…
08-06 00:30:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	927	65¢	$600	0x777104…
08-05 12:03:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7,500	84¢	$6,300	0x328476…
08-05 05:06:14	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	1,200	91¢	$1,092	0x43852e…
08-05 04:16:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	987	49¢	$482	0xc7137e…
08-05 04:16:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x8f1523…
08-04 18:29:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	1,000	59¢	$589	0x34dbaf…
08-04 16:49:02	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	383	72¢	$276	0x7489be…
08-04 16:39:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	10,882	80¢	$8,706	0x7f3650…
08-04 16:27:29	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0x267d20…
08-04 15:47:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2,000	80¢	$1,600	0x6d9d65…
08-04 15:46:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2,118	80¢	$1,694	0x02baf9…
08-04 15:34:48	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	2,139	72¢	$1,540	0x6f5290…
08-04 15:20:59	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xd5bcc6…
08-04 15:18:44	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	93	76¢	$71	0x5e9544…
08-04 15:17:51	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	114	76¢	$87	0xb6c488…
08-04 15:11:11	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	135	76¢	$102	0xb9e7e7…
08-04 15:11:11	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x33e1cc…
08-04 15:11:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	SELL	126	79¢	$99	0xc08ba6…
08-04 15:10:54	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	15	76¢	$12	0xba99ff…
08-04 14:51:57	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	500	74¢	$370	0xb6c7e8…
08-04 14:41:30	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	500	75¢	$375	0xa7e9f9…
08-04 14:12:50	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xe63a5d…
08-04 14:04:41	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	73	71¢	$52	0x971896…
08-04 13:57:51	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	1,000	71¢	$710	0xaa4eca…
08-04 13:51:51	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x558b90…
08-04 13:49:30	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	1,000	74¢	$740	0x960364…
08-04 13:41:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	4,222	83¢	$3,504	0x990bdd…
08-04 13:39:45	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x443b10…
08-04 13:37:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	108	83¢	$90	0xc64123…
08-04 13:34:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0x347801…
08-04 13:32:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x1286ad…
08-04 13:32:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	406	83¢	$337	0xe7e50f…
08-04 11:48:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	499	78¢	$389	0x94ed67…
08-04 11:23:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x119de0…
08-04 11:04:35	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	1,531	71¢	$1,087	0xf0d357…
08-04 10:53:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x1da11f…
08-04 10:53:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	625	86¢	$538	0x337e77…
08-04 10:48:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	618	86¢	$531	0xfbae92…
08-04 10:42:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x78dad5…
08-04 10:42:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,239	86¢	$1,066	0xc72e61…
08-04 10:42:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,206	86¢	$1,037	0x7eb854…
08-04 10:41:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0x42918e…
08-04 10:41:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xa30e25…
08-04 10:28:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x8a7bb5…
08-04 09:14:27	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	69	71¢	$49	0xede4f6…
08-04 08:19:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xbae71e…
08-04 08:19:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x7f354e…
08-04 08:19:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x21d306…
08-04 08:19:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x8a1670…
08-04 08:19:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0x0e80a9…
08-04 08:19:15	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x36716d…
08-04 07:53:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	4,568	97¢	$4,412	0x3069c6…
08-04 06:58:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	102	91¢	$92	0x38536f…