Realized P&L
+$66
Unrealized P&L
+$2.80K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
4,597
lifetime
Volume
$2.10M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$457
Open exposure
$85.5K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-28 20:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
65% 100% +$39
Other
34% 100% +$27
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +29,366 $27,457 96¢ $28.2K +$706 06-07 13:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +17,620 $15,398 86¢ $15.2K $-157 06-15 18:14
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +10,231 $9,586 94¢ $9.6K $-4 06-28 03:27
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +6,723 $5,429 92¢ $6.2K +$722 06-25 14:00
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -6,641 $-5,711 86¢ $-5678 +$33 06-02 09:39
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +5,114 $4,715 94¢ $4.8K +$92 06-28 00:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +4,500 $4,144 100¢ $4.5K +$336 06-28 02:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +4,000 $3,720 94¢ $3.7K +$20 06-23 17:37
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No +3,000 $2,985 100¢ $3.0K +$12 06-22 09:49
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -1,408 $-993 72¢ $-1014 $-21 06-18 10:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +790 $730 100¢ $789 +$59 06-30 17:12
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +781 $775 100¢ $780 +$5 06-15 05:38
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -550 $-501 100¢ $-549 $-48 06-12 12:36
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +3,058 $489 15¢ $443 $-46 06-12 23:38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -190 $-184 100¢ $-190 $-6 06-13 04:45
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? No +181 $178 99¢ $178 +$1 06-02 21:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +204 $159 80¢ $164 +$5 06-19 11:00
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -210 $-160 77¢ $-162 $-2 05-30 08:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +739 $163 18¢ $129 $-34 06-21 07:18
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -188 $-122 45¢ $-84 +$38 05-27 21:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +376 $225 20¢ $73 $-151 06-15 00:57
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? Yes +4,148 $78 $54 $-24 06-11 05:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +52 $46 100¢ $52 +$6 06-09 16:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -7,711 $-1,652 $-23 +$1,629 05-31 17:18
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +594 $38 $12 $-25 06-26 20:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$0 05-29 03:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,000 $70 $4 $-65 06-22 15:51
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -295 $-10 $-1 +$9 06-15 06:31
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -0 $287 26¢ $-0 $-287 06-15 14:07