Realized P&L
+$66
Unrealized P&L
+$3.43K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
6,017
lifetime
Volume
$2.54M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$423
Open exposure
$139.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 14:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
57% 100% +$39
Other
41% 100% +$27
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 209 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -58,614 $-58,437 96¢ $-56533 +$1,904 07-20 05:08
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +15,231 $14,331 95¢ $14.5K +$131 07-03 18:53
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +15,002 $11,133 88¢ $13.1K +$1,994 07-14 23:12
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +11,267 $9,519 92¢ $10.3K +$791 07-06 16:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +10,500 $10,087 98¢ $10.3K +$166 07-15 08:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10,440 $9,318 74¢ $7.7K $-1,645 07-11 16:29
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +6,810 $6,565 96¢ $6.5K $-51 07-15 11:53
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +6,854 $6,363 94¢ $6.5K +$110 07-07 18:29
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -3,641 $-3,071 86¢ $-3113 $-42 07-19 10:36
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +3,006 $2,785 94¢ $2.8K +$25 07-20 10:21
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +4,000 $2,211 62¢ $2.5K +$289 07-12 03:53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1,894 $1,705 90¢ $1.7K $-9 07-04 01:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -1,408 $-993 80¢ $-1126 $-134 06-18 10:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +825 $900 99¢ $814 $-86 07-11 13:13
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +3,058 $489 15¢ $443 $-46 06-12 23:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +739 $163 46¢ $336 +$173 06-21 07:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +185 $404 90¢ $166 $-238 07-14 10:24
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -210 $-160 66¢ $-140 +$20 05-30 08:10
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +100 $98 99¢ $99 +$0 07-16 12:32
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +100 $99 98¢ $98 $-0 07-16 12:32
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +100 $99 98¢ $98 $-1 07-16 12:33
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +98 $97 99¢ $97 $-0 07-16 12:32
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -100 $-96 96¢ $-96 +$0 07-19 22:52
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -188 $-122 30¢ $-57 +$65 05-27 21:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +376 $225 14¢ $51 $-174 06-15 00:57
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No -52 $-47 93¢ $-48 $-0 07-10 10:13
Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 $-0 07-16 12:33
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -0 $287 18¢ $-0 $-287 06-15 14:07
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-138 92¢ $0 +$138 07-05 00:40
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +0 $-338 68¢ $0 +$338 07-16 21:57