Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$166
Trades
31
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$4,639
Latest YES mid
29¢
Latest NO mid
71¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-12 20:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $44 | $44 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | — | $8 | $8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 2 | — | $12 | $12 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $6 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $43 | $43 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +62 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 06-06 12:11 |
| Prime-Browsing 0x7d33…c15f | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-04 12:15 |
| Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-12 20:19 |
| Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-11 22:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 07:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 20:19:27 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x76e0da… |
| 06-12 20:19:27 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 15 | 56¢ | $8 | 0x76e0da… |
| 06-12 20:19:27 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | No | BUY | 10 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x76e0da… |
| 06-11 22:31:54 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | No | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x5e8c43… |
| 06-11 22:31:54 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x5e8c43… |
| 06-11 22:16:13 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xfcbaf6… |
| 06-11 22:16:13 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0xfcbaf6… |
| 06-07 19:08:54 | Mixed-Pinto 0x1877…78d7 | No | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x1ada99… |
| 06-07 19:08:54 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0xc96707… |
| 06-07 19:08:54 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x1ada99… |
| 06-07 19:08:54 | Evil-Term 0x7e45…4815 | No | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xc96707… |
| 06-07 19:08:52 | Idolized-Fresco 0x3b44…264e | No | SELL | 27 | 70¢ | $19 | 0x666d45… |
| 06-07 19:08:52 | Pink-Activation 0x88bb…8d2c | Yes | SELL | 27 | 30¢ | $8 | 0x666d45… |
| 06-06 12:11:07 | Evil-Term 0x7e45…4815 | No | SELL | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0x5d9908… |
| 06-06 12:11:07 | Mixed-Pinto 0x1877…78d7 | No | SELL | 2 | 67¢ | $2 | 0xf8a6cf… |
| 06-06 12:11:07 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 33¢ | $1 | 0xf8a6cf… |
| 06-06 12:11:07 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x5d9908… |
| 06-06 12:11:06 | Idolized-Fresco 0x3b44…264e | No | SELL | 62 | 70¢ | $43 | 0x1a58cd… |
| 06-06 12:11:06 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 62 | 70¢ | $43 | 0x1a58cd… |
| 06-04 12:15:54 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | No | BUY | 0 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x6b78d5… |
| 06-04 12:15:54 | Evil-Term 0x7e45…4815 | No | SELL | 0 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x6b78d5… |
| 06-04 12:15:37 | Idolized-Fresco 0x3b44…264e | No | SELL | 11 | 70¢ | $8 | 0xff08cf… |
| 06-04 12:15:37 | Prime-Browsing 0x7d33…c15f | No | BUY | 11 | 70¢ | $8 | 0xff08cf… |
| 06-03 13:10:43 | Squiggly-Doctrine 0xe05b…6d6e | No | SELL | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x7d9ff1… |
| 06-03 13:10:43 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x7d9ff1… |
| 06-03 00:52:27 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x9e6278… |
| 06-03 00:52:27 | (anonymous) 0xddd4…cf8d | No | SELL | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x9e6278… |
| 05-29 07:06:38 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | No | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x772622… |
| 05-29 07:06:38 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 34¢ | $0 | 0x7439bf… |
| 05-29 07:06:38 | Evil-Term 0x7e45…4815 | No | SELL | 0 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x7439bf… |
| 05-29 07:06:38 | Idolized-Fresco 0x3b44…264e | No | SELL | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x772622… |