Flat-Badger 0x2a019d…4b6397
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.35K
Unrealized P&L
+$795
Hit rate
86.2%
Resolved
17
Trades
17,463
lifetime
Volume
$11.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$629
Open exposure
$93.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 10:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
50% 100% +$367
Politics
44% 88% $-1,779
Sports
3% 83% $-934
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -19,365 $-19,296 100¢ $-19345 $-50 06-08 02:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -14,140 $-13,508 96¢ $-13560 $-52 06-14 16:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -9,685 $-10,535 100¢ $-9676 +$859 06-28 12:05
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -6,494 $-6,433 100¢ $-6488 $-55 06-12 15:57
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +5,186 $4,952 99¢ $5.1K +$166 06-30 01:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -5,000 $-5,203 100¢ $-4995 +$208 06-16 01:42
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +4,240 $4,024 100¢ $4.2K +$210 06-20 20:07
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +4,141 $3,095 87¢ $3.6K +$491 06-26 04:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +3,453 $3,122 96¢ $3.3K +$201 06-29 03:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +3,000 $2,791 100¢ $3.0K +$196 06-28 03:04
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -2,486 $-2,413 97¢ $-2418 $-5 06-17 21:33
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +2,089 $1,923 96¢ $2.0K +$72 06-14 20:04
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,516 $1,486 100¢ $1.5K +$28 06-29 23:25
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,936 $3,544 38¢ $1.5K $-2,049 06-30 15:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +1,000 $982 100¢ $997 +$15 06-23 14:39
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +1,000 $977 98¢ $984 +$7 06-29 16:19
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1,000 $-946 95¢ $-953 $-7 06-06 08:55
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No +1,000 $941 94¢ $942 +$0 06-01 06:18
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1,000 $823 94¢ $937 +$113 06-19 09:02
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +1,000 $860 93¢ $933 +$73 06-28 03:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,000 $840 92¢ $915 +$75 06-02 17:11
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +916 $873 100¢ $914 +$41 06-25 17:27
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +800 $715 99¢ $788 +$73 06-13 05:24
Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +765 $750 100¢ $764 +$14 06-06 06:33
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No -659 $-694 95¢ $-628 +$66 06-26 01:11
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +633 $600 96¢ $606 +$7 06-12 11:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +643 $523 90¢ $582 +$59 06-11 17:53
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026? No -498 $-495 99¢ $-494 +$0 06-04 20:11
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +486 $457 99¢ $480 +$23 06-20 00:55
Tucker Carlson federally charged? No +477 $463 100¢ $475 +$11 06-10 08:00