Flat-Badger 0x2a019d…4b6397
whale hot 9W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$34.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.32K
Hit rate
92.9%
Resolved
1,644
Trades
27,477
lifetime
Volume
$15.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$574
Open exposure
$145.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 06:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 238 days
Categories
Other
51% 94% +$97,517
Politics
39% 91% -$77,580
Sports
7% 95% +$11,012
Tech
3% 94% +$2,825
Crypto
0% 100% +$452
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$137
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 283 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +36,000 $33,754 94¢ $33.8K +$86 10-27 06:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +18,546 $17,453 94¢ $17.5K +$73 10-27 05:54
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +17,962 $15,031 92¢ $16.6K +$1,539 10-27 05:26
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +14,156 $13,742 97¢ $13.8K +$11 10-27 09:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +13,000 $11,550 82¢ $10.6K -$955 10-23 18:58
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +7,187 $6,618 99¢ $7.1K +$469 10-27 03:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6,725 -$6,833 96¢ $-6460 +$374 10-24 04:28
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +5,000 $4,520 92¢ $4.6K +$105 10-08 05:45
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +4,500 $3,149 90¢ $4.0K +$878 10-10 21:19
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -3,449 -$3,208 99¢ $-3402 -$195 06-06 08:55
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +3,000 $2,949 99¢ $3.0K +$28 10-14 02:09
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +3,000 $2,791 93¢ $2.8K +$9 10-23 23:44
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -2,000 -$1,939 98¢ $-1959 -$20 05-21 14:31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -2,000 -$2,030 97¢ $-1937 +$93 08-03 09:21
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -2,000 -$1,760 96¢ $-1913 -$153 04-29 06:20
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +2,025 $1,378 88¢ $1.8K +$414 10-06 15:17
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +1,507 $1,386 95¢ $1.4K +$40 09-20 21:05
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -1,245 -$1,291 98¢ $-1223 +$69 09-04 03:22
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +1,068 $1,000 95¢ $1.0K +$19 10-25 21:12
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +1,032 $973 98¢ $1.0K +$39 10-18 05:40
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? No +1,100 $1,033 91¢ $1.0K -$30 10-24 19:25
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +1,067 $1,000 92¢ $987 -$13 10-15 12:21
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,000 -$956 98¢ $-975 -$19 07-19 02:23
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +1,062 $991 92¢ $972 -$19 10-14 16:34
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +1,000 $860 94¢ $945 +$85 06-28 03:41
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +1,000 $920 93¢ $930 +$10 09-14 01:17
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +980 $838 94¢ $920 +$83 10-25 23:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +1,000 $720 91¢ $908 +$188 10-01 16:12
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $670 79¢ $790 +$120 07-27 15:27
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? No +788 $725 91¢ $716 -$9 10-24 23:15