Flat-Badger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.35K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

Trades

19,228

lifetime

Volume

$12.0M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$625

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 21:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$367

Politics

42% 88% $-1,779

Sports

6% 83% $-934

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	236	$269.5K	155,778	133,778	+22,000	open	—	03-03 23:19
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	117	$253.3K	144,313	110,000	+34,313	open	—	01-04 08:46
netanyahu out by march 31 854	160	$200.8K	106,599	105,321	+1,278	open	—	03-30 09:20
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	137	$199.9K	86,415	116,906	-30,492	open	—	01-31 21:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	282	$175.1K	88,612	97,795	-9,183	open	—	03-31 01:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	90	$151.8K	77,200	80,250	-3,050	open	—	04-26 15:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	236	$147.3K	131,176	28,000	+103,176	open	—	03-31 22:57
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	61	$138.1K	110,300	28,200	+82,100	open	—	01-05 00:26
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	95	$138.0K	78,007	64,688	+13,320	open	—	04-16 02:46
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	132	$132.0K	123,991	22,250	+101,741	open	—	02-28 07:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	141	$128.7K	105,494	28,969	+76,525	open	—	04-30 10:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	150	$123.2K	68,015	66,627	+1,388	open	—	05-31 08:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	193	$111.1K	110,182	76,980	+33,202	open	—	04-08 20:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	91	$109.5K	60,854	52,207	+8,647	open	—	02-01 05:30
maduro in us custody by january 31	27	$105.7K	60,690	45,690	+15,000	open	—	01-06 12:54
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	73	$104.7K	100,713	5,700	+95,013	open	—	01-08 03:07
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	61	$100.6K	48,712	52,724	-4,012	open	—	05-29 03:52
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	32	$97.6K	98,250	0	+98,250	open	—	02-06 04:49
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	24	$97.6K	90,908	8,309	+82,599	open	—	01-03 12:13
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	105	$96.8K	93,875	6,000	+87,875	open	—	02-28 07:03
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	167	$90.8K	47,131	46,807	+324	open	—	03-01 01:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	41	$88.5K	59,971	30,378	+29,593	open	—	06-18 00:14
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	57	$85.7K	69,648	18,877	+50,771	open	—	02-21 03:24
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	66	$85.6K	69,314	20,017	+49,297	open	—	02-01 05:31
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	67	$84.6K	42,122	43,828	-1,706	open	—	04-05 03:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	59	$83.8K	36,378	49,602	-13,224	open	—	06-28 12:05
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	46	$82.1K	44,010	44,447	-437	open	—	04-06 22:02
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	101	$81.8K	52,437	34,086	+18,351	open	—	04-01 01:26
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	30	$77.6K	78,000	0	+78,000	open	—	02-04 00:22
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	36	$74.4K	74,962	0	+74,962	open	—	02-05 01:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 08:21:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	1,412	99¢	$1,395	0x0e2b0e…
08-10 08:21:18	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	169	99¢	$167	0xf235cf…
08-10 08:20:40	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	3,437	99¢	$3,396	0x850817…
08-09 21:09:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	985	89¢	$877	0x3689d0…
08-09 19:58:45	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	No	SELL	186	96¢	$178	0x3c077d…
08-09 19:28:48	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x68c191…
08-09 18:02:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xd8d260…
08-09 18:01:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	680	90¢	$612	0x9bdd74…
08-09 14:14:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	500	78¢	$388	0x87e772…
08-09 13:54:54	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	110	74¢	$81	0xa20d86…
08-09 13:54:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xe9c3f9…
08-09 13:49:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	94	83¢	$77	0x805989…
08-09 13:46:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	172	83¢	$142	0xc19c74…
08-09 13:43:30	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x222410…
08-09 11:04:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	897	86¢	$771	0xfecfba…
08-09 11:04:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	103	86¢	$89	0xd21400…
08-09 09:50:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa02801…
08-09 04:23:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0x417c2f…
08-09 02:10:30	ufc die bil1 2026 08 08	Diego Ferreira	BUY	1,000	99¢	$991	0x09e993…
08-09 02:06:12	ufc die bil1 2026 08 08	Diego Ferreira	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0x96aa68…
08-09 01:41:55	ufc dar3 yad 2026 08 08 del valle win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$41	0xf0ff93…
08-09 01:09:06	ufc ama3 ale57 2026 08 08	Alexia Thainara	BUY	475	100¢	$474	0x60be02…
08-09 01:09:01	ufc ama3 ale57 2026 08 08	Alexia Thainara	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x28619a…
08-09 01:08:57	ufc ama3 ale57 2026 08 08	Alexia Thainara	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x0d6b55…
08-09 01:06:52	ufc ama3 ale57 2026 08 08	Alexia Thainara	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x9776ee…
08-09 01:06:52	ufc ama3 ale57 2026 08 08	Alexia Thainara	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x656493…
08-09 00:30:18	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	477	100¢	$477	0xb892a6…
08-09 00:30:00	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	1,741	100¢	$1,739	0x58392a…
08-09 00:29:52	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x96352c…
08-09 00:29:51	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe56b53…
08-09 00:29:51	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x76d84a…
08-09 00:29:51	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a8eaa…
08-09 00:29:45	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	3,231	100¢	$3,228	0xf86beb…
08-09 00:29:39	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xa132d4…
08-09 00:29:36	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9ae634…
08-09 00:29:21	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	4,425	100¢	$4,421	0xabdf3e…
08-09 00:24:31	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	845	99¢	$836	0xd2f3f1…
08-09 00:24:30	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	1,155	99¢	$1,144	0x486336…
08-09 00:04:12	ufc ste36 gui2 2026 08 08	Steven Asplund	BUY	30,000	100¢	$29,970	0xbf7b31…
08-08 23:54:37	ufc ste36 gui2 2026 08 08	Steven Asplund	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x1d36fe…
08-08 23:54:34	ufc ste36 gui2 2026 08 08	Steven Asplund	BUY	245	95¢	$233	0x6b3ebf…
08-08 23:07:21	graham platner charged by august 31 20260706214559481	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x725e76…
08-08 23:07:18	graham platner charged by august 31 20260706214559481	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xe03304…
08-08 23:07:15	graham platner charged by august 31 20260706214559481	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xfaa170…
08-08 23:07:12	graham platner charged by august 31 20260706214559481	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x02d193…
08-08 23:07:09	graham platner charged by august 31 20260706214559481	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x287cd4…
08-08 23:04:10	will super troopers 3 score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260804175312532	No	BUY	426	99¢	$423	0xfa102f…
08-08 21:43:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0xd550ec…
08-08 21:39:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	975	95¢	$926	0xcd29f0…
08-08 20:01:55	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x906a40…
08-08 06:51:52	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0xbf5eaa…
08-08 06:51:13	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0x659136…
08-08 06:51:01	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0x0312f9…
08-08 00:37:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x28080d…
08-08 00:17:00	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8f3294…
08-08 00:16:06	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5afac9…
08-08 00:15:36	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x07016c…
08-08 00:15:31	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x931e01…
08-08 00:15:28	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1d877c…
08-08 00:14:48	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd65f1f…
08-08 00:14:43	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xbcb94a…
08-08 00:14:43	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x221cb5…
08-08 00:14:43	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x126cd3…
08-08 00:14:22	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd56399…
08-08 00:14:22	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x958531…
08-08 00:14:21	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x996a21…
08-08 00:14:13	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4e24e1…
08-07 20:21:49	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4d48e3…
08-07 20:21:37	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x67f470…
08-07 20:21:33	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8ed4a0…
08-07 20:21:30	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf6b895…
08-07 20:21:19	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3f0915…
08-07 20:20:33	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7a301f…
08-07 20:20:30	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe303d4…
08-07 20:20:12	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0db8f4…
08-07 20:20:01	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x88e6d3…
08-07 20:19:37	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2d12a4…
08-07 20:19:04	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2cf4db…
08-07 20:19:03	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xafce24…
08-07 20:18:39	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x156e11…
08-07 20:18:37	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xed6692…
08-07 20:18:37	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa5e498…
08-07 20:17:52	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc222ce…
08-07 20:17:52	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x858fe3…
08-07 20:17:49	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x06a4e2…
08-07 20:17:48	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xce38e9…
08-07 20:16:52	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa9aeb4…
08-07 20:16:51	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x76b796…
08-07 20:15:57	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x51005c…
08-07 20:15:01	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc2816e…
08-07 20:15:00	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6d39cf…
08-07 20:15:00	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x0ed6ce…
08-07 20:13:34	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcf386f…
08-07 20:13:34	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x2659cd…
08-07 20:12:34	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x96f3a8…
08-07 20:12:33	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8fe3aa…
08-07 20:12:06	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4d6365…
08-07 20:12:04	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xba985c…
08-07 20:11:33	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf2efad…
08-07 20:11:33	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd250a0…