Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
open
Total volume
$110,674
$84 in 24h
Trades
15,043
Unique wallets
2,801
Liquidity
$37,461
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-11 19:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+37.7¢
(top1%: 49% YES on $1.7K
vs crowd: 11% YES on $43.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 32 | $1.4K | $4.8K | $3.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 60 | $913 | $13.0K | $12.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 90 | $2.1K | $12.5K | $10.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2,619 | $521 | $7.7K | $7.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $841 | $870 | $29 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 28 | $748 | $394 | +$353 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 22 | $1.5K | $343 | +$1.2K |
| Median | 96 | $16 | $4.8K | $4.8K |
| Below median | 68 | $91 | $3.4K | $3.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 19 | $104 | $249 | $145 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $212 | $1.9K | $1.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 22 | $1.1K | $1.3K | $274 |
| unranked | 2,518 | $373 | $24.8K | $24.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | +10,128 | $343 | $2,384 | 3,621 | 07-11 19:38 |
| Potable-Gator 0x2c69…1019 | No | +5,721 | $5,437 | $5,437 | 5 | 07-01 09:20 |
| Gracious-Gammaray 0x48f9…e61d | Yes | +4,031 | $250 | $250 | 9 | 06-08 19:33 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +3,603 | $-139 | $179 | 7 | 06-09 01:53 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +3,407 | $156 | $680 | 377 | 06-30 04:44 |
| Another-Parenting 0xbb2e…5bbf | No | +2,812 | $2,600 | $2,600 | 1 | 06-05 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xebaa…abac | Yes | +2,500 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-06 08:55 |
| Few-Refusal 0x9419…a40f | No | +2,076 | $1,934 | $1,934 | 38 | 06-07 14:30 |
| Snarling-Cascade 0x2e1f…98b2 | Yes | +1,934 | $106 | $106 | 2 | 06-23 05:15 |
| Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | +1,622 | $-0 | $120 | 12 | 07-08 21:56 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | +1,410 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 07-07 19:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xc65a…6d44 | Yes | +1,053 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-07 16:26 |
| Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | +938 | $887 | $887 | 2 | 06-25 00:31 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +900 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-06 08:56 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +869 | $91 | $215 | 14 | 07-08 21:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +855 | $-38 | $1,124 | 382 | 07-11 19:38 |
| Immaculate-Hassock 0x84f8…0ff2 | No | +823 | $776 | $1,259 | 15 | 07-10 18:16 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +703 | $-88 | $1,187 | 598 | 07-03 00:07 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +665 | $638 | $638 | 26 | 07-07 09:32 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +663 | $-71 | $215 | 39 | 07-08 22:06 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +646 | $595 | $595 | 3 | 06-05 21:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x57dd…7b52 | Yes | +603 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-07 12:15 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +599 | $570 | $570 | 3 | 06-10 09:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xd36d…0ae6 | Yes | +415 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-07 09:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7dd…18f4 | Yes | +400 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-06 08:55 |
| Bite-Sized-Embarrassment 0x3d28…cd21 | No | +387 | $368 | $368 | 1 | 06-30 04:44 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +386 | $-7 | $15 | 6 | 06-06 17:47 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +313 | $15 | $15 | 9 | 07-08 12:25 |
| Powerful-Burning 0xaf46…8c1d | No | +300 | $284 | $284 | 1 | 06-15 06:57 |
| Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | +299 | $20 | $99 | 34 | 07-08 21:56 |
| Far-Flung-Transom 0xf6c6…7d80 | No | +250 | $231 | $231 | 1 | 06-06 01:25 |
| Previous-Infancy 0xb464…835e | Yes | +244 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-07 19:17 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +205 | $15 | $63 | 27 | 06-28 10:43 |
| Dear-Participation 0x00ee…9a7d | Yes | +204 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 06-25 17:27 |
| Classic-Molar 0x3d88…39d8 | Yes | +204 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-02 06:20 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +192 | $185 | $185 | 4 | 06-30 17:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e19…669d | Yes | +181 | $6 | $6 | 24 | 06-07 14:23 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | +175 | $166 | $166 | 28 | 06-30 12:28 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +171 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 07-06 04:31 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +170 | $13 | $194 | 100 | 07-01 09:18 |
| Gleaming-Senate 0xf1c4…f745 | Yes | +155 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x973e…37dc | Yes | +132 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-08 09:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd92d…e838 | Yes | +128 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-08 15:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 19:38:35 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x16ac7d… |
| 07-11 19:38:35 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x16ac7d… |
| 07-11 19:38:26 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2f7e5e… |
| 07-11 19:38:26 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x2f7e5e… |
| 07-11 17:39:17 | (anonymous) 0xbc48…1a27 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2e9f08… |
| 07-11 17:39:17 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2e9f08… |
| 07-11 15:35:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x352dc3… |
| 07-11 15:35:25 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x352dc3… |
| 07-11 15:35:16 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x2ae09d… |
| 07-11 15:35:16 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2ae09d… |
| 07-11 15:01:47 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x04088f… |
| 07-11 15:01:47 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x04088f… |
| 07-11 15:01:38 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe86739… |
| 07-11 15:01:38 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xe86739… |
| 07-11 08:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 57 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x6ddb62… |
| 07-11 08:58:26 | Conscious-Setting 0x401c…a6d2 | No | SELL | 57 | 97¢ | $55 | 0x6ddb62… |
| 07-11 07:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x017fcc… |
| 07-11 07:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x017fcc… |
| 07-11 07:33:17 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x136b9c… |
| 07-11 07:33:17 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x136b9c… |
| 07-11 07:29:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x683a4e… |
| 07-11 07:29:49 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x683a4e… |
| 07-11 07:29:40 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc32ac8… |
| 07-11 07:29:40 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xc32ac8… |
| 07-11 05:01:34 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x486fc0… |
| 07-11 05:01:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x486fc0… |
| 07-11 05:01:25 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x1726ef… |
| 07-11 05:01:25 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1726ef… |
| 07-11 04:05:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xff10c9… |
| 07-11 04:05:43 | Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xff10c9… |
| 07-11 04:05:43 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xff10c9… |
| 07-11 04:05:34 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb3c5a7… |
| 07-11 04:05:34 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xb3c5a7… |
| 07-11 02:09:53 | Bare-Stag 0x2fa8…4359 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf2e465… |
| 07-11 02:09:53 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf2e465… |
| 07-11 02:09:46 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf82fb2… |
| 07-11 02:09:46 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf82fb2… |
| 07-10 22:26:08 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3f58aa… |
| 07-10 22:26:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3f58aa… |
| 07-10 22:26:01 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf71e83… |
| 07-10 22:26:01 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf71e83… |
| 07-10 21:38:29 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x27adc4… |
| 07-10 21:38:29 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x27adc4… |
| 07-10 21:38:20 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x147684… |
| 07-10 21:38:20 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x147684… |
| 07-10 21:11:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa6eb68… |
| 07-10 21:11:07 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xa6eb68… |
| 07-10 21:10:55 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x74caca… |
| 07-10 21:10:55 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x74caca… |
| 07-10 21:04:01 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa072b4… |
| 07-10 21:04:01 | Ragged-Proctor 0xba8f…ad42 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa072b4… |
| 07-10 20:52:53 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xe10ffb… |
| 07-10 20:52:53 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe10ffb… |
| 07-10 20:52:40 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x653f98… |
| 07-10 20:52:40 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x653f98… |
| 07-10 20:28:37 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x04a3a6… |
| 07-10 20:28:37 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x04a3a6… |
| 07-10 20:28:29 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xacd385… |
| 07-10 20:28:29 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xacd385… |
| 07-10 20:11:40 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x705d02… |
| 07-10 20:11:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x705d02… |
| 07-10 20:11:29 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x65abb6… |
| 07-10 20:11:29 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x65abb6… |
| 07-10 19:39:50 | (anonymous) 0xe291…d36d | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xe9a438… |
| 07-10 19:39:50 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe9a438… |
| 07-10 19:04:35 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x02eab2… |
| 07-10 19:04:35 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x02eab2… |
| 07-10 19:04:26 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x35ea67… |
| 07-10 19:04:26 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x35ea67… |
| 07-10 19:03:22 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbda606… |
| 07-10 19:03:22 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xbda606… |
| 07-10 19:03:11 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7be4e3… |
| 07-10 19:03:11 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7be4e3… |
| 07-10 18:16:58 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xd29e6d… |
| 07-10 18:16:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 110 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xd29e6d… |
| 07-10 18:16:58 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 130 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xd29e6d… |
| 07-10 18:16:58 | Immaculate-Hassock 0x84f8…0ff2 | No | SELL | 250 | 97¢ | $242 | 0xd29e6d… |
| 07-10 16:28:26 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8a9e43… |
| 07-10 16:28:26 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x8a9e43… |
| 07-10 16:28:19 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfb9bab… |
| 07-10 16:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xfb9bab… |
| 07-10 15:42:35 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9b1e2e… |
| 07-10 15:42:35 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x9b1e2e… |
| 07-10 15:42:23 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xc43ab4… |
| 07-10 15:42:23 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc43ab4… |
| 07-10 15:20:58 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xee461c… |
| 07-10 15:20:58 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xee461c… |
| 07-10 14:46:46 | (anonymous) 0x2ea0…0bd5 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x296ad9… |
| 07-10 14:46:46 | (anonymous) 0xba5d…9fea | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x296ad9… |
| 07-10 14:27:20 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x10c41b… |
| 07-10 14:27:20 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x10c41b… |
| 07-10 14:21:34 | (anonymous) 0x8b74…59a0 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xa3e161… |
| 07-10 14:21:34 | (anonymous) 0x7a05…7bc2 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xa3e161… |
| 07-10 14:02:16 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7b2e61… |
| 07-10 14:02:16 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7b2e61… |
| 07-10 14:02:07 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xb6843b… |
| 07-10 14:02:07 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb6843b… |
| 07-10 13:43:59 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x149eea… |
| 07-10 13:43:59 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x149eea… |
| 07-10 13:30:49 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6ef6e3… |