Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
open
Total volume
$71,048
$84 in 24h
Trades
3,035
Unique wallets
317
Liquidity
$37,461
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-21 08:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+38.8¢
(top1%: 55% YES on $1.3K
vs crowd: 16% YES on $22.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 26 | $1.2K | $3.5K | $2.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 49 | $676 | $8.4K | $7.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 75 | $1.5K | $4.6K | $3.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 167 | $178 | $2.1K | $1.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 11 | $718 | $595 | +$123 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 22 | $566 | $670 | $104 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 19 | $996 | $343 | +$652 |
| Median | 62 | $9 | $2.8K | $2.8K |
| Below median | 40 | $77 | $2.3K | $2.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 17 | $90 | $249 | $159 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $75 | $18 | +$57 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 19 | $927 | $1.2K | $242 |
| unranked | 116 | $74 | $10.5K | $10.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | +6,273 | $194 | $1,544 | 484 | 06-21 01:26 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +4,935 | $124 | $976 | 77 | 06-21 01:26 |
| Gracious-Gammaray 0x48f9…e61d | Yes | +4,031 | $250 | $250 | 9 | 06-08 19:33 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +3,603 | $-139 | $179 | 7 | 06-09 01:53 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +3,122 | $143 | $592 | 259 | 06-21 01:26 |
| Another-Parenting 0xbb2e…5bbf | No | +2,812 | $2,600 | $2,600 | 1 | 06-05 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xebaa…abac | Yes | +2,500 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-06 08:55 |
| Few-Refusal 0x9419…a40f | No | +2,076 | $1,934 | $1,934 | 38 | 06-07 14:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +1,319 | $1,247 | $6,204 | 307 | 06-21 08:06 |
| Potable-Gator 0x2c69…1019 | No | +1,063 | $979 | $979 | 3 | 06-02 12:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xc65a…6d44 | Yes | +1,053 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-07 16:26 |
| Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | +922 | $-15 | $105 | 9 | 06-06 08:58 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +900 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-06 08:56 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +646 | $595 | $595 | 3 | 06-05 21:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x57dd…7b52 | Yes | +603 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-07 12:15 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +599 | $570 | $570 | 3 | 06-10 09:48 |
| Gleaming-Enemy 0x7171…7af9 | Yes | +517 | $26 | $94 | 4 | 06-11 16:04 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +509 | $30 | $151 | 55 | 06-20 12:33 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +404 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-11 18:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7dd…18f4 | Yes | +400 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-06 08:55 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +386 | $-7 | $15 | 6 | 06-06 17:47 |
| Powerful-Burning 0xaf46…8c1d | No | +300 | $284 | $284 | 1 | 06-15 06:57 |
| Far-Flung-Transom 0xf6c6…7d80 | No | +250 | $231 | $231 | 1 | 06-06 01:25 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +201 | $14 | $42 | 14 | 06-13 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e19…669d | Yes | +181 | $6 | $6 | 24 | 06-07 14:23 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +160 | $154 | $154 | 2 | 06-07 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cd9…fcfe | Yes | +159 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 18:29 |
| Gleaming-Senate 0xf1c4…f745 | Yes | +155 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 19:03 |
| Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | +135 | $124 | $426 | 13 | 06-15 04:25 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +122 | $9 | $19 | 5 | 06-11 18:30 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +113 | $6 | $6 | 6 | 06-13 07:59 |
| Magnificent-Farrow 0x2f76…7bcc | No | +109 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 06-19 07:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f2c…c417 | No | +104 | $100 | $100 | 13 | 06-08 19:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x367e…b15e | Yes | +100 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-02 12:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x4670…eba6 | Yes | +94 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-19 09:22 |
| Classic-Molar 0x3d88…39d8 | Yes | +93 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-20 20:40 |
| Fluid-Cappuccino 0xf2fa…4a62 | Yes | +92 | $2 | $4 | 5 | 06-07 11:17 |
| High-Belfry 0x3b00…43ec | Yes | +62 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 03:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 08:06:26 | (anonymous) 0xc03d…ca87 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x22c877… |
| 06-21 08:06:26 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x22c877… |
| 06-21 08:06:17 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xee49ce… |
| 06-21 08:06:17 | (anonymous) 0xc03d…ca87 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xee49ce… |
| 06-21 07:34:40 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x800932… |
| 06-21 07:34:40 | Nutty-Maiden 0x9173…4030 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x800932… |
| 06-21 06:05:35 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x98e3b7… |
| 06-21 06:05:35 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x98e3b7… |
| 06-21 06:05:26 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf7e758… |
| 06-21 06:05:26 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf7e758… |
| 06-21 05:53:16 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5feb05… |
| 06-21 05:53:16 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…8935 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5feb05… |
| 06-21 05:53:05 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…8935 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7cd08a… |
| 06-21 05:53:05 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7cd08a… |
| 06-21 05:35:47 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xde73b3… |
| 06-21 05:35:47 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xde73b3… |
| 06-21 05:35:25 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4e5c1b… |
| 06-21 05:35:25 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4e5c1b… |
| 06-21 04:55:34 | (anonymous) 0x8b3c…5513 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8de553… |
| 06-21 04:55:34 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8de553… |
| 06-21 04:55:20 | (anonymous) 0x8b3c…5513 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x6e9823… |
| 06-21 04:55:20 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x6e9823… |
| 06-21 03:52:31 | (anonymous) 0x408c…5eff | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4f1f64… |
| 06-21 03:52:31 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4f1f64… |
| 06-21 03:52:22 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb69350… |
| 06-21 03:52:22 | (anonymous) 0x408c…5eff | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb69350… |
| 06-21 03:25:50 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x391c7e… |
| 06-21 03:25:50 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x391c7e… |
| 06-21 03:25:23 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x095e24… |
| 06-21 03:25:23 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x095e24… |
| 06-21 03:24:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8820c8… |
| 06-21 03:24:41 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8820c8… |
| 06-21 03:24:41 | (anonymous) 0x408c…5eff | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8820c8… |
| 06-21 03:24:32 | (anonymous) 0x408c…5eff | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8fe012… |
| 06-21 03:24:32 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8fe012… |
| 06-21 03:00:04 | (anonymous) 0xe3ef…960b | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x652af8… |
| 06-21 03:00:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x652af8… |
| 06-21 02:59:53 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xbfe5b2… |
| 06-21 02:59:53 | (anonymous) 0xe3ef…960b | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xbfe5b2… |
| 06-21 02:34:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xded7db… |
| 06-21 02:34:56 | (anonymous) 0xee2f…f4da | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xded7db… |
| 06-21 02:34:49 | (anonymous) 0xee2f…f4da | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x84fff1… |
| 06-21 02:34:49 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x84fff1… |
| 06-21 01:26:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 86 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x89bab9… |
| 06-21 01:26:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x89bab9… |
| 06-21 01:26:10 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x89bab9… |
| 06-21 01:26:10 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 78 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x89bab9… |
| 06-21 01:26:10 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 200 | 95¢ | $189 | 0x89bab9… |
| 06-21 01:26:10 | Kooky-Certification 0x3eae…5e6d | No | SELL | 500 | 95¢ | $473 | 0x89bab9… |
| 06-21 00:53:20 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xef7db2… |
| 06-21 00:53:20 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xef7db2… |
| 06-21 00:52:56 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x15ee38… |
| 06-21 00:52:56 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x15ee38… |
| 06-20 22:20:52 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x667e43… |
| 06-20 22:20:52 | (anonymous) 0x2104…aeda | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x667e43… |
| 06-20 22:20:41 | (anonymous) 0x2104…aeda | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0f701a… |
| 06-20 22:20:41 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0f701a… |
| 06-20 21:40:43 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0d9919… |
| 06-20 21:40:43 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0d9919… |
| 06-20 21:40:17 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x29614d… |
| 06-20 21:40:17 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x29614d… |
| 06-20 21:17:41 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xdd6dc9… |
| 06-20 21:17:41 | (anonymous) 0x8b3c…5513 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xdd6dc9… |
| 06-20 21:17:31 | (anonymous) 0x8b3c…5513 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf75665… |
| 06-20 21:17:31 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf75665… |
| 06-20 20:44:43 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x381094… |
| 06-20 20:44:43 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x381094… |
| 06-20 20:40:25 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 82 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xd486f4… |
| 06-20 20:40:25 | Classic-Molar 0x3d88…39d8 | Yes | BUY | 93 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xd486f4… |
| 06-20 20:40:25 | (anonymous) 0xdc51…3620 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xd486f4… |
| 06-20 20:32:35 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xe85d7e… |
| 06-20 20:32:35 | gmolate 0xc0fa…4f92 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe85d7e… |
| 06-20 18:06:14 | (anonymous) 0xdc51…3620 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x22b2aa… |
| 06-20 18:06:14 | (anonymous) 0x2104…aeda | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x22b2aa… |
| 06-20 18:06:04 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7d5fad… |
| 06-20 18:06:04 | (anonymous) 0x2104…aeda | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7d5fad… |
| 06-20 17:46:56 | (anonymous) 0xdc51…3620 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x9cd700… |
| 06-20 17:46:56 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x9cd700… |
| 06-20 17:46:34 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xae0841… |
| 06-20 17:46:34 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xae0841… |
| 06-20 15:59:40 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x40365a… |
| 06-20 15:59:40 | (anonymous) 0xdc51…3620 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x40365a… |
| 06-20 15:59:25 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x99793d… |
| 06-20 15:59:25 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x99793d… |
| 06-20 15:37:41 | (anonymous) 0xdc51…3620 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x09d0ed… |
| 06-20 15:37:41 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x09d0ed… |
| 06-20 15:37:34 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf0094e… |
| 06-20 15:37:34 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf0094e… |
| 06-20 15:08:25 | (anonymous) 0xdc51…3620 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x92efcb… |
| 06-20 15:08:25 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x92efcb… |
| 06-20 15:08:14 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xe5f602… |
| 06-20 15:08:14 | (anonymous) 0x1b73…cbb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xe5f602… |
| 06-20 12:58:31 | (anonymous) 0xdc51…3620 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xeee3e6… |
| 06-20 12:58:31 | (anonymous) 0x408c…5eff | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xeee3e6… |
| 06-20 12:58:10 | (anonymous) 0x408c…5eff | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xeb5534… |
| 06-20 12:58:10 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xeb5534… |
| 06-20 12:33:49 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 47 | 95¢ | $45 | 0x4b44d3… |
| 06-20 12:33:49 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 14 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4b44d3… |
| 06-20 12:33:49 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 482 | 95¢ | $457 | 0x4b44d3… |
| 06-20 12:33:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 86 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x4b44d3… |