Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
open
Total volume
$123,619
$84 in 24h
Trades
16,066
Unique wallets
2,863
Liquidity
$37,461
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-04 21:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+48.0¢
(top1%: 59% YES on $1.4K
vs crowd: 11% YES on $47.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 37 | $1.5K | $7.4K | $5.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 64 | $915 | $14.0K | $13.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 96 | $2.1K | $13.3K | $11.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2,666 | $560 | $8.1K | $7.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $841 | $595 | +$247 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 29 | $772 | $670 | +$102 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 23 | $1.6K | $334 | +$1.2K |
| Median | 104 | $16 | $6.5K | $6.5K |
| Below median | 73 | $88 | $4.5K | $4.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 21 | $97 | $549 | $452 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 17 | $218 | $1.9K | $1.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 24 | $1.1K | $1.5K | $452 |
| unranked | 2,560 | $411 | $26.2K | $25.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | +9,888 | $332 | $2,521 | 3,839 | 08-04 21:00 |
| Potable-Gator 0x2c69…1019 | No | +5,721 | $5,437 | $5,437 | 5 | 07-01 09:20 |
| Gracious-Gammaray 0x48f9…e61d | Yes | +4,031 | $250 | $250 | 9 | 06-08 19:33 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +3,603 | $-139 | $179 | 7 | 06-09 01:53 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +3,407 | $156 | $680 | 377 | 06-30 04:44 |
| Few-Refusal 0x9419…a40f | No | +3,164 | $2,989 | $2,989 | 39 | 07-17 18:06 |
| Another-Parenting 0xbb2e…5bbf | No | +2,812 | $2,600 | $2,600 | 1 | 06-05 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xebaa…abac | Yes | +2,500 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-06 08:55 |
| Snarling-Cascade 0x2e1f…98b2 | Yes | +1,934 | $106 | $106 | 2 | 06-23 05:15 |
| Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | +1,622 | $-0 | $120 | 12 | 07-08 21:56 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | +1,410 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 07-07 19:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +1,301 | $1,260 | $1,260 | 32 | 08-04 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xc65a…6d44 | Yes | +1,053 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-07 16:26 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +900 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-06 08:56 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +892 | $857 | $857 | 38 | 07-31 19:13 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +869 | $91 | $215 | 14 | 07-08 21:56 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +703 | $-88 | $1,187 | 598 | 07-03 00:07 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +663 | $-71 | $215 | 39 | 07-08 22:06 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +646 | $595 | $595 | 3 | 06-05 21:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x57dd…7b52 | Yes | +603 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-07 12:15 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +599 | $570 | $570 | 3 | 06-10 09:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7dd…18f4 | Yes | +400 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-06 08:55 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +386 | $-7 | $15 | 6 | 06-06 17:47 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +313 | $15 | $15 | 9 | 07-08 12:25 |
| Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | +299 | $20 | $99 | 34 | 07-08 21:56 |
| Far-Flung-Transom 0xf6c6…7d80 | No | +250 | $231 | $231 | 1 | 06-06 01:25 |
| Previous-Infancy 0xb464…835e | Yes | +244 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-07 19:17 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +205 | $15 | $63 | 27 | 06-28 10:43 |
| Dear-Participation 0x00ee…9a7d | Yes | +204 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 06-25 17:27 |
| Classic-Molar 0x3d88…39d8 | Yes | +204 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-02 06:20 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +192 | $185 | $185 | 4 | 06-30 17:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e19…669d | Yes | +181 | $6 | $6 | 24 | 06-07 14:23 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +171 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 07-06 04:31 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +170 | $13 | $194 | 100 | 07-01 09:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x388b…5712 | Yes | +167 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-20 08:22 |
| Gleaming-Senate 0xf1c4…f745 | Yes | +155 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 19:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:00:38 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x445c4d… |
| 08-04 21:00:38 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x445c4d… |
| 08-04 21:00:24 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd1dc2a… |
| 08-04 21:00:24 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd1dc2a… |
| 08-04 14:45:12 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7a58fa… |
| 08-04 14:45:12 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7a58fa… |
| 08-04 02:56:18 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x1328ca… |
| 08-04 02:56:18 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x1328ca… |
| 08-04 02:56:08 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa8d666… |
| 08-04 02:56:08 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa8d666… |
| 08-04 01:37:38 | (anonymous) 0x6018…2966 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3a7665… |
| 08-04 01:37:38 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x3a7665… |
| 08-04 00:06:30 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x072c3a… |
| 08-04 00:06:30 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x072c3a… |
| 08-04 00:06:18 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x647a25… |
| 08-04 00:06:18 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x647a25… |
| 08-03 23:47:27 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x2a0253… |
| 08-03 23:47:27 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x2a0253… |
| 08-03 23:47:18 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3a1a6a… |
| 08-03 23:47:18 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3a1a6a… |
| 08-03 22:13:48 | Kind-Nanoparticle 0xad60…97f4 | No | SELL | 848 | 97¢ | $820 | 0xe7bb0b… |
| 08-03 22:13:48 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 144 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xe7bb0b… |
| 08-03 22:13:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 57 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xe7bb0b… |
| 08-03 22:13:48 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 216 | 97¢ | $209 | 0xe7bb0b… |
| 08-03 15:38:32 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xbc5e39… |
| 08-03 15:38:32 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xbc5e39… |
| 08-03 15:38:23 | (anonymous) 0x7854…90a5 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x143318… |
| 08-03 15:38:23 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x143318… |
| 08-03 11:56:20 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x676ddc… |
| 08-03 11:56:20 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x676ddc… |
| 08-03 11:56:11 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf5537b… |
| 08-03 11:56:11 | (anonymous) 0x7854…90a5 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf5537b… |
| 08-02 13:20:23 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x18c899… |
| 08-02 13:20:23 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x18c899… |
| 08-02 13:20:15 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xdfd046… |
| 08-02 13:20:15 | (anonymous) 0xf49c…c583 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xdfd046… |
| 08-02 07:16:03 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x055576… |
| 08-02 07:16:03 | Concrete-Horn 0x49e5…f527 | No | SELL | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x055576… |
| 08-02 00:03:08 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd88668… |
| 08-02 00:03:08 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd88668… |
| 08-02 00:02:59 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xdd53e2… |
| 08-02 00:02:59 | (anonymous) 0xf49c…c583 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xdd53e2… |
| 08-01 21:46:02 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x775803… |
| 08-01 21:46:02 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x775803… |
| 08-01 21:45:54 | (anonymous) 0xf49c…c583 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xd2ed77… |
| 08-01 21:45:54 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd2ed77… |
| 08-01 21:45:54 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd2ed77… |
| 08-01 20:14:11 | Valuable-Environment 0x720b…37f6 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x39308f… |
| 08-01 20:14:11 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x39308f… |
| 08-01 13:57:42 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x42d912… |
| 08-01 13:57:42 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x42d912… |
| 08-01 13:57:32 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x67e44f… |
| 08-01 13:57:32 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x67e44f… |
| 08-01 11:53:45 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3fade5… |
| 08-01 11:53:45 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3fade5… |
| 08-01 11:53:36 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x60235c… |
| 08-01 11:53:36 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x60235c… |
| 08-01 06:14:18 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x52a55d… |
| 08-01 06:14:18 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x52a55d… |
| 07-31 19:13:09 | Bite-Sized-Embarrassment 0x3d28…cd21 | No | SELL | 442 | 97¢ | $428 | 0xa00629… |
| 07-31 19:13:09 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xa00629… |
| 07-31 19:13:09 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 403 | 97¢ | $390 | 0xa00629… |
| 07-31 19:13:09 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa00629… |
| 07-31 15:20:44 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x54afa4… |
| 07-31 15:20:44 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x54afa4… |
| 07-31 15:20:35 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xee95b9… |
| 07-31 15:20:35 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xee95b9… |
| 07-31 13:57:03 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7ae581… |
| 07-31 13:57:03 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7ae581… |
| 07-31 13:56:54 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xcc18b7… |
| 07-31 13:56:54 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcc18b7… |
| 07-31 11:34:12 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x8c432c… |
| 07-31 11:34:12 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x8c432c… |
| 07-31 11:34:02 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb871d7… |
| 07-31 11:34:02 | (anonymous) 0xe29f…e326 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xb871d7… |
| 07-31 10:34:47 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x8e40ad… |
| 07-31 10:34:47 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x8e40ad… |
| 07-31 10:34:39 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf3e2b2… |
| 07-31 10:34:39 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf3e2b2… |
| 07-31 07:48:02 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x957441… |
| 07-31 07:48:02 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x957441… |
| 07-31 07:47:50 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1d865b… |
| 07-31 07:47:50 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x1d865b… |
| 07-31 04:45:20 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x487d54… |
| 07-31 04:45:20 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x487d54… |
| 07-31 04:45:12 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xbc3ca0… |
| 07-31 04:45:12 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbc3ca0… |
| 07-31 03:14:12 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x6911d7… |
| 07-31 03:14:12 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x6911d7… |
| 07-31 03:14:03 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1b350d… |
| 07-31 03:14:03 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x1b350d… |
| 07-31 01:31:35 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x07b943… |
| 07-31 01:31:35 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x07b943… |
| 07-31 01:31:27 | (anonymous) 0x1316…b090 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x79ffa3… |
| 07-31 01:31:27 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x79ffa3… |
| 07-30 23:17:48 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xb7ea23… |
| 07-30 23:17:48 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xb7ea23… |
| 07-30 23:17:32 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2cea11… |
| 07-30 23:17:32 | (anonymous) 0xd390…89ae | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x2cea11… |
| 07-30 22:52:06 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0x05a91e… |