Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
open
Total volume
$71,344
$84 in 24h
Trades
3,091
Unique wallets
318
Liquidity
$37,461
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-21 17:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+38.9¢
(top1%: 55% YES on $1.3K
vs crowd: 16% YES on $22.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 26 | $1.2K | $3.5K | $2.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 49 | $676 | $8.5K | $7.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 76 | $1.5K | $4.7K | $3.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 167 | $179 | $2.1K | $1.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 11 | $718 | $595 | +$123 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 24 | $596 | $690 | $94 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 18 | $966 | $323 | +$642 |
| Median | 62 | $10 | $2.9K | $2.8K |
| Below median | 43 | $144 | $2.3K | $2.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 14 | $23 | $249 | $226 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $75 | $18 | +$57 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 19 | $927 | $1.2K | $242 |
| unranked | 116 | $74 | $10.6K | $10.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | +6,273 | $194 | $1,544 | 484 | 06-21 01:26 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +4,935 | $124 | $976 | 77 | 06-21 01:26 |
| Gracious-Gammaray 0x48f9…e61d | Yes | +4,031 | $250 | $250 | 9 | 06-08 19:33 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +3,603 | $-139 | $179 | 7 | 06-09 01:53 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +3,122 | $143 | $592 | 259 | 06-21 01:26 |
| Another-Parenting 0xbb2e…5bbf | No | +2,812 | $2,600 | $2,600 | 1 | 06-05 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xebaa…abac | Yes | +2,500 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-06 08:55 |
| Few-Refusal 0x9419…a40f | No | +2,076 | $1,934 | $1,934 | 38 | 06-07 14:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | +1,406 | $1,329 | $6,286 | 321 | 06-21 17:42 |
| Potable-Gator 0x2c69…1019 | No | +1,063 | $979 | $979 | 3 | 06-02 12:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xc65a…6d44 | Yes | +1,053 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-07 16:26 |
| Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | +922 | $-15 | $105 | 9 | 06-06 08:58 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +900 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-06 08:56 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +646 | $595 | $595 | 3 | 06-05 21:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x57dd…7b52 | Yes | +603 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-07 12:15 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +599 | $570 | $570 | 3 | 06-10 09:48 |
| Gleaming-Enemy 0x7171…7af9 | Yes | +517 | $26 | $94 | 4 | 06-11 16:04 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +509 | $30 | $151 | 55 | 06-20 12:33 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +404 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-11 18:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7dd…18f4 | Yes | +400 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-06 08:55 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +386 | $-7 | $15 | 6 | 06-06 17:47 |
| Powerful-Burning 0xaf46…8c1d | No | +300 | $284 | $284 | 1 | 06-15 06:57 |
| Far-Flung-Transom 0xf6c6…7d80 | No | +250 | $231 | $231 | 1 | 06-06 01:25 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +201 | $14 | $42 | 14 | 06-13 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e19…669d | Yes | +181 | $6 | $6 | 24 | 06-07 14:23 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +160 | $154 | $154 | 2 | 06-07 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cd9…fcfe | Yes | +159 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 18:29 |
| Gleaming-Senate 0xf1c4…f745 | Yes | +155 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 19:03 |
| Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | +135 | $124 | $426 | 13 | 06-15 04:25 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +122 | $9 | $19 | 5 | 06-11 18:30 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +113 | $6 | $6 | 6 | 06-13 07:59 |
| Magnificent-Farrow 0x2f76…7bcc | No | +109 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 06-19 07:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f2c…c417 | No | +104 | $100 | $100 | 13 | 06-08 19:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x367e…b15e | Yes | +100 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-02 12:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x4670…eba6 | Yes | +94 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-19 09:22 |
| Classic-Molar 0x3d88…39d8 | Yes | +93 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-20 20:40 |
| Fluid-Cappuccino 0xf2fa…4a62 | Yes | +92 | $2 | $4 | 5 | 06-07 11:17 |
| High-Belfry 0x3b00…43ec | Yes | +62 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 03:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 17:42:38 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x44e71c… |
| 06-21 17:42:38 | (anonymous) 0xe3ef…960b | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x44e71c… |
| 06-21 17:42:19 | (anonymous) 0xe3ef…960b | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xca27a0… |
| 06-21 17:42:19 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xca27a0… |
| 06-21 17:28:55 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4e3929… |
| 06-21 17:28:55 | (anonymous) 0x408c…5eff | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4e3929… |
| 06-21 17:28:46 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x875812… |
| 06-21 17:28:46 | (anonymous) 0x408c…5eff | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x875812… |
| 06-21 17:19:19 | (anonymous) 0xee2f…f4da | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4a27ae… |
| 06-21 17:19:19 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4a27ae… |
| 06-21 17:19:02 | (anonymous) 0xee2f…f4da | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xd5bd5a… |
| 06-21 17:19:02 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xd5bd5a… |
| 06-21 16:53:52 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xdfc3b2… |
| 06-21 16:53:52 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xdfc3b2… |
| 06-21 16:53:44 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x950c14… |
| 06-21 16:53:44 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x950c14… |
| 06-21 15:51:02 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0xbbe3b7… |
| 06-21 15:51:02 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | SELL | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xbbe3b7… |
| 06-21 15:38:58 | (anonymous) 0xa920…07a4 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xfcec83… |
| 06-21 15:38:58 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xfcec83… |
| 06-21 15:38:38 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xe1b407… |
| 06-21 15:38:38 | (anonymous) 0xa920…07a4 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xe1b407… |
| 06-21 14:44:26 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0641aa… |
| 06-21 14:44:26 | (anonymous) 0x8b3c…5513 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0641aa… |
| 06-21 14:44:07 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xdb7cd1… |
| 06-21 14:44:07 | (anonymous) 0x8b3c…5513 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xdb7cd1… |
| 06-21 14:28:38 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x3cb9ef… |
| 06-21 14:28:38 | (anonymous) 0xe3ef…960b | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x3cb9ef… |
| 06-21 14:28:13 | (anonymous) 0xe3ef…960b | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x430dd5… |
| 06-21 14:28:13 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x430dd5… |
| 06-21 13:52:55 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xabb0ca… |
| 06-21 13:52:55 | (anonymous) 0xee2f…f4da | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xabb0ca… |
| 06-21 13:52:46 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xe31352… |
| 06-21 13:52:46 | (anonymous) 0xee2f…f4da | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xe31352… |
| 06-21 13:06:25 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x89f3fa… |
| 06-21 13:06:25 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x89f3fa… |
| 06-21 13:06:01 | (anonymous) 0x7b52…06a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xa58bf9… |
| 06-21 13:06:01 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xa58bf9… |
| 06-21 12:11:32 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0x9fa2b7… |
| 06-21 12:11:32 | Ragged-Proctor 0xba8f…ad42 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9fa2b7… |
| 06-21 10:08:40 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x68afad… |
| 06-21 10:08:40 | (anonymous) 0xa920…07a4 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x68afad… |
| 06-21 10:08:31 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5cc09e… |
| 06-21 10:08:31 | (anonymous) 0xa920…07a4 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5cc09e… |
| 06-21 10:06:13 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xff5e1a… |
| 06-21 10:06:13 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xff5e1a… |
| 06-21 10:05:49 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5d3adf… |
| 06-21 10:05:49 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5d3adf… |
| 06-21 09:39:43 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf64c6a… |
| 06-21 09:39:43 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf64c6a… |
| 06-21 09:39:31 | (anonymous) 0x5f42…e101 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xc86ba1… |
| 06-21 09:39:31 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xc86ba1… |
| 06-21 08:31:01 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…8935 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb84c8a… |
| 06-21 08:31:01 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb84c8a… |
| 06-21 08:30:50 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xaf3ef7… |
| 06-21 08:30:50 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…8935 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xaf3ef7… |
| 06-21 08:06:26 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x22c877… |
| 06-21 08:06:26 | (anonymous) 0xc03d…ca87 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x22c877… |
| 06-21 08:06:17 | (anonymous) 0xc03d…ca87 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xee49ce… |
| 06-21 08:06:17 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xee49ce… |
| 06-21 07:34:40 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x800932… |
| 06-21 07:34:40 | Nutty-Maiden 0x9173…4030 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x800932… |
| 06-21 06:05:35 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x98e3b7… |
| 06-21 06:05:35 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x98e3b7… |
| 06-21 06:05:26 | (anonymous) 0xca84…27f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf7e758… |
| 06-21 06:05:26 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf7e758… |
| 06-21 05:53:16 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…8935 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5feb05… |
| 06-21 05:53:16 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5feb05… |
| 06-21 05:53:05 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7cd08a… |
| 06-21 05:53:05 | (anonymous) 0xcb82…8935 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7cd08a… |
| 06-21 05:35:47 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xde73b3… |
| 06-21 05:35:47 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xde73b3… |
| 06-21 05:35:25 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4e5c1b… |
| 06-21 05:35:25 | (anonymous) 0x1bbb…8177 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4e5c1b… |
| 06-21 04:55:34 | (anonymous) 0x8b3c…5513 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8de553… |
| 06-21 04:55:34 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8de553… |
| 06-21 04:55:20 | (anonymous) 0x8b3c…5513 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x6e9823… |
| 06-21 04:55:20 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x6e9823… |
| 06-21 03:52:31 | (anonymous) 0x408c…5eff | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4f1f64… |
| 06-21 03:52:31 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4f1f64… |
| 06-21 03:52:22 | (anonymous) 0x408c…5eff | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb69350… |
| 06-21 03:52:22 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb69350… |
| 06-21 03:25:50 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x391c7e… |
| 06-21 03:25:50 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x391c7e… |
| 06-21 03:25:23 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x095e24… |
| 06-21 03:25:23 | (anonymous) 0x3304…906a | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x095e24… |
| 06-21 03:24:41 | (anonymous) 0x408c…5eff | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8820c8… |
| 06-21 03:24:41 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8820c8… |
| 06-21 03:24:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8820c8… |
| 06-21 03:24:32 | (anonymous) 0x408c…5eff | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8fe012… |
| 06-21 03:24:32 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8fe012… |
| 06-21 03:00:04 | (anonymous) 0xe3ef…960b | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x652af8… |
| 06-21 03:00:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x652af8… |
| 06-21 02:59:53 | (anonymous) 0xe3ef…960b | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xbfe5b2… |
| 06-21 02:59:53 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xbfe5b2… |
| 06-21 02:34:56 | (anonymous) 0xee2f…f4da | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xded7db… |
| 06-21 02:34:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xded7db… |
| 06-21 02:34:49 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x84fff1… |
| 06-21 02:34:49 | (anonymous) 0xee2f…f4da | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x84fff1… |
| 06-21 01:26:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 86 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x89bab9… |