Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

40.9%

Resolved

156

Trades

893

lifetime

Volume

$3.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-12

last 09-30 23:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

59% 10% -$23

Politics

24% 33% -$3

Crypto

15% 72% +$6

Sports

2% 0% -$8

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	+0	$0	12¢	$0	$0	07-17 15:03
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	2¢	$0	+$0	07-22 15:31
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?	Yes	+0	$4	3¢	$0	-$4	07-12 20:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Korea Republic vs. Uruguay: O/U 0.5	1	$500	544	0	+544	Over	+$44	09-28 08:43
fif arg bol 2026 09 30 total 0pt5	2	$148	150	0	+150	Over	+$1	09-30 23:59
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	3	$41	90	90	+0	open	—	07-25 16:04
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?	5	$27	133	133	+0	open	—	08-04 14:38
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	2	$26	57	57	+0	open	—	08-01 05:20
Will the Republican Party win the CA-33 House seat?	4	$22	182	182	+0	No	+$0	08-02 02:24
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$21	90	90	+0	open	—	08-04 14:37
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?	5	$20	87	87	+0	No	$0	08-04 14:35
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	7	$20	133	133	+0	open	—	08-04 14:38
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	11	$20	153	153	+0	open	—	08-04 14:44
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat?	4	$20	158	158	+0	No	-$1	08-01 20:24
Will the Republican Party win the CA-36 House seat?	3	$20	182	182	+0	No	-$2	08-04 14:46
Will the Republican Party win the CA-52 House seat?	3	$20	182	182	+0	No	-$2	08-04 14:46
Will the Republican Party win the CA-10 House seat?	3	$20	182	182	+0	No	-$2	08-04 14:46
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	4	$20	182	182	+0	open	—	07-30 01:09
Will the Republican Party win the CA-46 House seat?	3	$20	182	182	+0	No	-$2	08-04 14:46
Will the Republican Party win the CA-31 House seat?	3	$20	182	182	+0	No	-$2	08-04 14:46
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-07 House seat?	3	$20	182	182	+0	No	-$2	08-04 14:46
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$20	174	174	+0	open	—	08-02 04:47
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?	3	$20	258	258	+0	open	—	08-04 14:46
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?	4	$20	202	202	+0	open	—	08-04 14:34
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$20	69	69	+0	No	-$1	08-04 14:35
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?	3	$19	267	267	+0	open	—	08-04 14:46
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	6	$19	96	96	+0	open	—	08-04 14:46
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?	4	$19	87	87	+0	open	—	08-04 14:37
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	6	$19	110	110	+0	open	—	08-02 23:46
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	6	$19	110	110	+0	open	—	08-04 01:19
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	3	$19	90	90	+0	open	—	08-04 14:46
Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?	4	$18	105	105	+0	open	—	08-04 14:37
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?	3	$18	110	110	+0	open	—	08-04 14:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 23:59:23	fif arg bol 2026 09 30 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x57db2d…
09-30 23:59:00	fif arg bol 2026 09 30 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x179a70…
09-29 14:36:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 29?	Yes	SELL	6	78¢	$4	0x4cc812…
09-29 11:36:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x58068a…
09-28 08:43:39	Korea Republic vs. Uruguay: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	544	92¢	$500	0x5fe60e…
09-27 04:56:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 27?	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0x67cf52…
09-27 01:56:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 27?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3617b9…
09-24 22:40:59	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x0a29f3…
09-24 22:06:35	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xff167e…
09-22 03:20:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23?	Yes	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0xb2eb16…
09-21 19:36:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x42b100…
09-21 16:28:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xfd965d…
09-21 15:11:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 21?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc0a65a…
09-21 14:27:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x898d5f…
09-21 09:36:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xefd8b9…
09-21 08:40:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x1f9289…
09-21 00:06:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6000da…
09-19 06:55:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x49f52d…
09-18 18:01:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x6b95c4…
09-18 08:11:18	will bitcoin reach 78k september 14 20 2026	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x367c3a…
09-15 05:11:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16?	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0xe5d5e2…
09-14 21:06:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0xa78a5a…
09-14 20:22:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x068072…
09-14 16:21:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xf6ec9d…
09-14 14:12:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa1d1b2…
09-14 03:12:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3d3cc3…
09-13 13:32:31	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xfe3ee5…
09-13 13:22:42	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2f724f…
09-13 08:36:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?	Yes	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x23aeb9…
09-12 14:52:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x01f02d…
09-03 22:30:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4?	Yes	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x0e0681…
09-03 21:36:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x72a83b…
09-03 21:34:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x72bd7e…
09-03 19:45:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x52dae0…
09-03 14:37:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xf755cd…
09-01 18:20:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdc1c58…
09-01 06:20:31	ethereum above 2400 on september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x0e1bfa…
08-31 14:50:27	ethereum above 2400 on september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf2b242…
08-27 14:06:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 27?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x7e3384…
08-27 07:56:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xaf21d4…
08-25 05:35:51	bitcoin above 78k on august 25 2026	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x3c01b9…
08-25 00:55:49	bitcoin above 78k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf4f1f3…
08-23 16:10:46	Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0xf32ef5…
08-23 15:46:28	Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1140c2…
08-21 08:41:16	will bitcoin reach 78k august 17 23 2026	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x765adc…
08-21 05:59:28	bitcoin above 72k on august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x4ce898…
08-21 00:26:21	bitcoin above 72k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xcd3571…
08-20 23:26:22	ethereum above 2200 on august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xae87cb…
08-20 11:05:30	ethereum above 2200 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xccfb0d…
08-19 15:25:09	bitcoin above 64k on august 20 2026	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1ccbc4…
08-19 12:46:07	bitcoin above 64k on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xfc6d31…
08-12 22:06:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x287187…
08-12 21:27:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xaaa402…
08-07 08:46:54	bitcoin above 64k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5369d2…
08-05 19:19:35	bitcoin above 64k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1110fa…
08-05 14:13:44	bitcoin above 64k on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x83da63…
08-04 14:46:59	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	91	9¢	$8	0x67c05b…
08-04 14:46:56	Will the Republican Party win the CA-36 House seat?	Yes	SELL	182	5¢	$9	0x48d8a2…
08-04 14:46:53	Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?	Yes	SELL	258	4¢	$10	0x363426…
08-04 14:46:48	Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x0338bf…
08-04 14:46:45	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	76	9¢	$7	0xcaf797…
08-04 14:46:41	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	110	7¢	$8	0x2ad644…
08-04 14:46:36	Will the Republican Party win the CA-10 House seat?	Yes	SELL	182	5¢	$9	0x79d217…
08-04 14:46:35	Will the Republican Party win the CA-52 House seat?	Yes	SELL	182	5¢	$9	0xe78e55…
08-04 14:46:30	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	182	5¢	$9	0x97a7fe…
08-04 14:46:27	Will the Republican Party win the CA-31 House seat?	Yes	SELL	182	5¢	$9	0xbb5602…
08-04 14:46:23	Will the Republican Party win the CA-46 House seat?	Yes	SELL	182	5¢	$9	0x51d6d9…
08-04 14:46:21	Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	267	3¢	$9	0x563682…
08-04 14:46:18	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	90	9¢	$8	0x27afef…
08-04 14:46:14	Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x107b41…
08-04 14:46:12	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x7f4194…
08-04 14:46:09	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x6e546b…
08-04 14:46:06	Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xf84064…
08-04 14:46:03	Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat?	Yes	SELL	74	9¢	$7	0x78a754…
08-04 14:46:02	Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	190	3¢	$5	0x74a569…
08-04 14:45:59	Will the Republican Party win the HI-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	91	5¢	$5	0xb7d741…
08-04 14:45:56	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xbe633a…
08-04 14:45:53	Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x3681ca…
08-04 14:45:48	Will Trump deport 200-300k people?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x2d8fc4…
08-04 14:45:41	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x27e648…
08-04 14:45:38	Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xa062f3…
08-04 14:45:33	Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x31382d…
08-04 14:45:30	Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x50ba96…
08-04 14:45:27	Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x4107e1…
08-04 14:45:24	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xd57bab…
08-04 14:45:23	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x792bfe…
08-04 14:45:17	EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xd75f61…
08-04 14:45:12	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x7a58fa…
08-04 14:45:09	Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x59ac3b…
08-04 14:45:06	Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	123	1¢	$1	0x772d57…
08-04 14:45:00	Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x199721…
08-04 14:44:59	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xa4c833…
08-04 14:44:54	Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x5c0a16…
08-04 14:44:50	Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x20abe7…
08-04 14:44:47	Will the Republican Party win the IL-17 House seat?	Yes	SELL	52	8¢	$4	0x9f9d15…
08-04 14:44:44	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	4¢	$3	0x4c5ea9…
08-04 14:44:42	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	101	3¢	$3	0x881a5a…
08-04 14:44:39	Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xc72143…
08-04 14:44:36	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x84ab45…
08-04 14:44:32	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x8d9b76…