Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$73
Trades
25
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$9,921
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-11 03:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $6 | $1 | +$4 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $22 | $22 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $1 | $6 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | $6 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| unranked | 3 | $1 | $22 | $21 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +12 | $1 | $4 | 6 | 07-10 21:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf812…09b4 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 09:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-21 18:26 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 06:07 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +2 | $0 | $1 | 2 | 07-11 03:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 03:01:34 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf6c809… |
| 07-11 03:01:34 | Impassioned-Godfather 0xbca4…16d2 | No | SELL | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0xf6c809… |
| 07-10 21:56:34 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x4f0c1d… |
| 07-10 21:56:34 | Impassioned-Godfather 0xbca4…16d2 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x4f0c1d… |
| 06-25 14:53:28 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe5e48b… |
| 06-25 14:53:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe5e48b… |
| 06-21 20:53:47 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x8e6d9a… |
| 06-21 20:53:47 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x8e6d9a… |
| 06-21 20:53:04 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x7947e3… |
| 06-21 20:53:04 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x7947e3… |
| 06-21 18:26:44 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x744bdc… |
| 06-21 18:26:44 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x744bdc… |
| 06-11 07:16:15 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x6729d5… |
| 06-11 07:16:15 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x6729d5… |
| 06-11 07:14:15 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xa7643f… |
| 06-11 07:14:15 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xa7643f… |
| 06-05 06:07:33 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xdc78e0… |
| 06-05 06:07:33 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 4 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xdc78e0… |
| 06-05 06:07:33 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xdc78e0… |
| 06-05 06:06:46 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x01b7d9… |
| 06-05 06:06:46 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x01b7d9… |
| 06-05 06:06:37 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x8a7af3… |
| 06-05 06:06:37 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x8a7af3… |
| 05-31 09:28:50 | (anonymous) 0xf812…09b4 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5c889a… |
| 05-31 09:28:50 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5c889a… |