Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$674
Trades
86
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$9,921
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-27 23:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $13 | $114 | $100 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $9 | $58 | $49 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $33 | $33 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $7 | $55 | $48 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Median | 3 | $3 | $9 | $6 |
| Below median | 9 | $1 | $96 | $96 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $2 | $4 | $1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $7 | $109 | $101 |
| unranked | 11 | $7 | $40 | $33 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +105 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 07-15 14:17 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-15 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-14 23:39 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +6 | $5 | $213 | 4 | 07-15 14:17 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-12 14:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-21 18:26 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 06:07 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +4 | $0 | $4 | 7 | 07-20 14:54 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +2 | $0 | $1 | 2 | 07-11 03:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 23:09:58 | (anonymous) 0x5105…ec05 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xbd9751… |
| 07-27 23:09:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xbd9751… |
| 07-27 16:03:52 | (anonymous) 0x5105…ec05 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xa085f8… |
| 07-27 16:03:52 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xa085f8… |
| 07-26 23:35:24 | (anonymous) 0x7d57…6b64 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x292e44… |
| 07-26 23:35:24 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x292e44… |
| 07-26 19:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x72a6bb… |
| 07-26 19:17:27 | (anonymous) 0x76c6…fc73 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x72a6bb… |
| 07-26 18:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x7d57…6b64 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x2c6220… |
| 07-26 18:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x2c6220… |
| 07-26 18:00:24 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xec7410… |
| 07-26 18:00:24 | (anonymous) 0x726f…2e55 | No | SELL | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0xec7410… |
| 07-26 17:31:57 | Improbable-Hook 0x3962…170a | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x626f46… |
| 07-26 17:31:57 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x626f46… |
| 07-26 15:46:22 | (anonymous) 0x61fc…c31d | No | SELL | 8 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x460996… |
| 07-26 15:46:22 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x460996… |
| 07-26 15:08:25 | (anonymous) 0x76c6…fc73 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xd0256c… |
| 07-26 15:08:25 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xd0256c… |
| 07-26 13:06:28 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x2e6c78… |
| 07-26 13:06:28 | (anonymous) 0xd77b…1839 | No | SELL | 8 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x2e6c78… |
| 07-26 12:45:43 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xc1bf84… |
| 07-26 12:45:43 | (anonymous) 0x726f…2e55 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xc1bf84… |
| 07-26 11:31:12 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x2082f1… |
| 07-26 11:31:12 | Improbable-Hook 0x3962…170a | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x2082f1… |
| 07-26 09:44:00 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x071f7c… |
| 07-26 09:44:00 | (anonymous) 0x61fc…c31d | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x071f7c… |
| 07-26 09:35:13 | (anonymous) 0xdc72…92a7 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x88f24b… |
| 07-26 09:35:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x88f24b… |
| 07-26 07:57:27 | (anonymous) 0xd77b…1839 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xa2dcea… |
| 07-26 07:57:27 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xa2dcea… |
| 07-26 03:23:48 | (anonymous) 0xdc72…92a7 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xf46ce8… |
| 07-26 03:23:48 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xf46ce8… |
| 07-20 14:54:19 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x90ee26… |
| 07-20 14:54:19 | (anonymous) 0x9039…6d00 | No | SELL | 8 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x90ee26… |
| 07-20 06:53:48 | (anonymous) 0x9039…6d00 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xe84817… |
| 07-20 06:53:48 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0xe84817… |
| 07-18 12:52:06 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 67 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x520914… |
| 07-18 12:52:06 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | SELL | 67 | 94¢ | $63 | 0x520914… |
| 07-17 15:03:06 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x33d2c6… |
| 07-17 15:03:06 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x33d2c6… |
| 07-15 14:17:37 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 49 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x1d804a… |
| 07-15 14:17:37 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 49 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x1d804a… |
| 07-15 14:17:23 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 229 | 7¢ | $16 | 0x60e3e4… |
| 07-15 14:17:23 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x60e3e4… |
| 07-15 14:17:23 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 51 | 93¢ | $47 | 0x60e3e4… |
| 07-15 14:17:23 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 49 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x60e3e4… |
| 07-15 14:17:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x60e3e4… |
| 07-14 23:39:01 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 51 | 93¢ | $47 | 0xc4eeb0… |
| 07-14 23:39:01 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xc4eeb0… |
| 07-14 23:39:01 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 56 | 93¢ | $52 | 0xc4eeb0… |
| 07-14 23:38:26 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 61 | 93¢ | $57 | 0x638f24… |
| 07-14 23:38:26 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 56 | 93¢ | $52 | 0x638f24… |
| 07-14 23:38:26 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x638f24… |
| 07-13 08:39:17 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xf67916… |
| 07-13 08:39:17 | (anonymous) 0xf812…09b4 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf67916… |
| 07-13 08:39:17 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xf67916… |
| 07-13 02:03:26 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 67 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x11ad45… |
| 07-13 02:03:26 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 67 | 92¢ | $61 | 0x11ad45… |
| 07-12 14:57:59 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xfcef7d… |
| 07-12 14:57:59 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xfcef7d… |
| 07-12 14:57:59 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xfcef7d… |
| 07-11 03:01:34 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf6c809… |
| 07-11 03:01:34 | Impassioned-Godfather 0xbca4…16d2 | No | SELL | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0xf6c809… |
| 07-10 21:56:34 | Impassioned-Godfather 0xbca4…16d2 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x4f0c1d… |
| 07-10 21:56:34 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x4f0c1d… |
| 06-25 14:53:28 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe5e48b… |
| 06-25 14:53:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe5e48b… |
| 06-21 20:53:47 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x8e6d9a… |
| 06-21 20:53:47 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x8e6d9a… |
| 06-21 20:53:04 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x7947e3… |
| 06-21 20:53:04 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x7947e3… |
| 06-21 18:26:44 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x744bdc… |
| 06-21 18:26:44 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x744bdc… |
| 06-11 07:16:15 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x6729d5… |
| 06-11 07:16:15 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x6729d5… |
| 06-11 07:14:15 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xa7643f… |
| 06-11 07:14:15 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xa7643f… |
| 06-05 06:07:33 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 4 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xdc78e0… |
| 06-05 06:07:33 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xdc78e0… |
| 06-05 06:07:33 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xdc78e0… |
| 06-05 06:06:46 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x01b7d9… |
| 06-05 06:06:46 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x01b7d9… |
| 06-05 06:06:37 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x8a7af3… |
| 06-05 06:06:37 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x8a7af3… |
| 05-31 09:28:50 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5c889a… |
| 05-31 09:28:50 | (anonymous) 0xf812…09b4 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5c889a… |