Ugly-Platinum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

8,129

lifetime

Volume

$230.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 08-13 06:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$0

Other

19% — —

Politics

14% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 302 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	38	$2.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	08-08 16:50
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	23	$2.4K	1,574	1,574	+0	open	—	08-10 23:46
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	53	$2.1K	3,845	3,844	+1	open	—	08-13 07:20
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	14	$1.8K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	08-12 15:57
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	8	$1.8K	967	967	+0	open	—	08-08 21:39
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	21	$1.6K	1,363	1,363	+0	open	—	08-06 16:14
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	11	$1.5K	950	950	+0	open	—	08-09 02:19
New pandemic in 2026?	5	$1.5K	800	800	+0	open	—	07-28 04:25
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	10	$1.3K	988	988	+0	open	—	08-10 20:30
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	26	$1.3K	1,220	1,220	+0	open	—	08-06 18:41
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	7	$1.2K	800	800	+0	open	—	07-18 16:02
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	10	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	08-10 15:50
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	11	$1.1K	1,010	1,010	+0	open	—	08-13 00:13
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	20	$1.0K	1,435	1,435	+0	open	—	08-11 08:02
foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	14	$1.0K	563	563	+0	open	—	08-02 14:11
us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	13	$920	717	717	+0	open	—	08-11 15:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	11	$912	605	605	+0	open	—	08-07 19:18
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	17	$871	1,010	1,010	+0	open	—	08-09 17:38
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	20	$855	593	593	+0	open	—	08-09 21:09
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	8	$815	807	807	+0	open	—	07-19 19:58
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	19	$781	520	520	+0	open	—	08-12 16:48
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	13	$779	615	615	+0	open	—	08-04 00:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	6	$776	800	800	+0	open	—	08-06 16:11
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30 145	4	$766	400	400	+0	open	—	08-09 08:02
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	10	$765	795	795	+0	open	—	07-31 08:43
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	22	$758	505	505	+0	open	—	08-03 07:30
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	16	$748	555	555	+0	open	—	08-07 18:47
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	19	$695	815	815	+0	open	—	08-09 02:31
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	4	$684	400	400	+0	open	—	08-11 06:26
us x china tariff agreement by december 31	18	$655	494	494	+0	open	—	08-10 03:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 07:20:34	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	No	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x889fbe…
08-13 06:50:46	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0xa6f5b2…
08-13 06:50:40	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0xa7e612…
08-13 06:12:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0x18b51a…
08-13 06:12:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0xae37ff…
08-13 04:23:52	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x5566a2…
08-13 04:23:40	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xa3ff27…
08-13 03:44:24	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x53eb84…
08-13 03:44:01	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	SELL	16	59¢	$9	0x60cd13…
08-13 03:43:48	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x78c4c9…
08-13 03:21:55	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xe06676…
08-13 03:21:33	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$45	0xe2fcad…
08-13 03:21:10	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0x6c3efd…
08-13 03:20:58	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	BUY	90	92¢	$83	0x2e76ab…
08-13 03:08:58	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xb702ad…
08-13 03:08:51	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb911ea…
08-13 01:57:58	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x2953ec…
08-13 01:49:01	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x57411d…
08-13 00:35:12	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0xa585c6…
08-13 00:34:58	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x744313…
08-13 00:17:24	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	Yes	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0xa5f0d6…
08-13 00:17:06	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0xf5a78c…
08-13 00:13:52	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	600	54¢	$324	0x6742b8…
08-13 00:13:42	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	600	56¢	$336	0x3636ca…
08-12 23:30:03	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x17497d…
08-12 23:29:54	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd5535b…
08-12 22:46:30	will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x13ce5c…
08-12 22:46:21	will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xfad474…
08-12 22:35:42	russia elections united russia wins every region	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x9da95b…
08-12 22:35:31	russia elections united russia wins every region	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd10e85…
08-12 22:31:10	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xf505ac…
08-12 22:30:48	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	No	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0x58e514…
08-12 22:30:24	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xa4b6e9…
08-12 22:30:15	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0xec94ff…
08-12 20:36:16	Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xd5ad12…
08-12 20:36:04	Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xaeffb2…
08-12 20:30:37	andrew tate released from custody by august 31 2026 20260728183326903	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x11c164…
08-12 20:30:13	andrew tate released from custody by august 31 2026 20260728183326903	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xae491e…
08-12 20:30:00	andrew tate released from custody by august 31 2026 20260728183326903	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x7a33a2…
08-12 20:29:16	Will the St. Louis Cardinals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xbb8af5…
08-12 20:29:03	Will the St. Louis Cardinals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x4fa953…
08-12 20:15:25	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	SELL	6	73¢	$5	0x88b30c…
08-12 20:15:01	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	SELL	44	74¢	$32	0xdd6097…
08-12 20:14:57	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x63d495…
08-12 20:09:00	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0xba75ee…
08-12 20:08:52	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x3d8706…
08-12 19:54:34	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x2d4f28…
08-12 19:54:19	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3e9f25…
08-12 18:58:18	Will the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xc99214…
08-12 18:58:12	Will the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x22ab97…
08-12 18:58:09	Will the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1d8a39…
08-12 18:25:27	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0xc166e8…
08-12 18:25:13	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x08a3c9…
08-12 16:48:16	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	120	93¢	$111	0xe673b0…
08-12 16:47:54	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x375805…
08-12 16:47:46	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x5b1c78…
08-12 16:16:25	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xcfb8ba…
08-12 16:16:15	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xa9004f…
08-12 15:57:30	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	290	83¢	$241	0x08eccd…
08-12 15:57:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	110	84¢	$92	0xb3e6b6…
08-12 15:56:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	400	85¢	$340	0xc1e9c6…
08-12 15:54:37	will tom cruise be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x678eca…
08-12 15:54:28	will tom cruise be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x2be806…
08-12 15:51:19	will the ohio special 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827327	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xb4bb09…
08-12 15:42:21	will the ohio special 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827327	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb69694…
08-12 14:00:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	175	4¢	$7	0x5aa1af…
08-12 13:59:40	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x01f750…
08-12 13:59:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x9cd9a8…
08-12 11:59:22	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0xf8ac5a…
08-12 11:59:12	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x0b2814…
08-12 11:27:36	Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x4a135c…
08-12 11:27:28	Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xca8787…
08-12 11:02:55	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xdadffb…
08-12 11:02:49	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x024310…
08-12 06:07:00	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	49	79¢	$39	0x45a3be…
08-12 06:06:43	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	49	80¢	$39	0xc6cd7b…
08-12 05:31:45	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xd568a0…
08-12 05:31:34	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xdc5ad5…
08-12 04:36:09	will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x594990…
08-12 04:35:58	will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x25a90c…
08-12 04:10:34	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0xc9e27e…
08-12 04:10:12	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0xb8abd4…
08-12 04:09:51	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x74d4d1…
08-12 03:37:28	will clavicular wear a yarmulke in 2026 20260710172344899	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x750609…
08-12 03:37:06	will clavicular wear a yarmulke in 2026 20260710172344899	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x256287…
08-12 03:37:01	will clavicular wear a yarmulke in 2026 20260710172344899	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x82dd76…
08-12 03:18:15	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x61da5f…
08-12 03:18:01	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1620fe…
08-12 01:18:45	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xdbe514…
08-12 01:17:40	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0xca22ab…
08-12 01:17:31	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x1da87d…
08-12 01:13:51	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	11¢	$7	0xaec79e…
08-12 01:13:30	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0xa34408…
08-12 00:50:48	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0xe48cb2…
08-12 00:50:36	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x5da086…
08-11 21:28:33	will there be at least 15000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260727151618910	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x7b4163…
08-11 21:28:09	will there be at least 15000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260727151618910	No	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x488d6a…
08-11 21:19:21	will there be at least 15000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260727151618910	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x61ed86…
08-11 20:18:45	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xf8a3a8…
08-11 20:18:45	russia elections united russia wins every region	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x53c13b…