Ugly-Platinum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.18K

Unrealized P&L

-$68

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

4,529

Trades

22,656

lifetime

Volume

$533.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$696

8 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 10-30 07:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 200 days

Categories

Other

41% 5% -$2,492

Crypto

27% 90% +$704

Politics

22% 1% -$1,061

Sports

5% 4% -$191

Tech

5% 3% -$135

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 268 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+445	$425	87¢	$389	-$36	10-30 02:23
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	+317	$296	90¢	$286	-$10	10-25 21:42
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128	No	+20	$18	82¢	$16	-$2	10-28 08:46
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$4	92¢	$5	+$0	10-26 08:42
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	+0	$1	81¢	$0	-$1	09-01 23:46
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	+0	$17	89¢	$0	-$17	10-23 23:33
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	+0	$1	39¢	$0	-$1	08-10 15:48
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	+0	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	09-23 04:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	41	$3.3K	2,883	2,883	+0	open	—	10-23 23:33
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	18	$3.0K	1,800	1,800	+0	No	-$15	09-06 12:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$2.9K	1,550	1,550	+0	open	—	10-17 11:07
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	20	$2.9K	1,625	1,625	+0	open	—	10-12 16:02
New pandemic in 2026?	12	$2.9K	1,747	1,747	+0	open	—	10-06 00:17
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	21	$2.8K	2,067	2,067	+0	No	-$11	08-24 13:53
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	30	$2.8K	1,613	1,613	+0	No	-$12	08-20 04:20
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	40	$2.6K	2,200	2,200	+0	Yes	-$37	08-08 16:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	18	$2.5K	1,902	1,902	+0	open	—	10-17 23:25
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	25	$2.4K	1,874	1,874	+0	No	-$7	09-01 06:10
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	12	$2.4K	1,523	1,523	+0	open	—	09-16 19:33
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	59	$2.3K	4,645	4,645	+0	open	—	08-20 17:58
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	12	$2.2K	1,161	1,161	+0	open	—	10-29 13:54
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	17	$2.2K	2,590	2,145	+445	open	—	10-30 02:23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	16	$2.1K	2,098	2,098	+0	open	—	09-22 11:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	8	$2.1K	1,172	1,172	+0	open	—	09-04 09:33
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	14	$2.0K	1,388	1,388	+0	No	-$16	08-20 17:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	4	$2.0K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	10-29 17:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	12	$2.0K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	10-29 17:48
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	33	$1.8K	1,783	1,783	+0	open	—	08-26 02:21
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	27	$1.8K	1,070	1,070	+0	open	—	10-25 23:40
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	26	$1.6K	1,734	1,734	+0	open	—	09-05 17:18
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	10	$1.6K	1,318	1,318	+0	open	—	08-13 17:43
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	21	$1.6K	1,363	1,363	+0	Yes	-$8	08-06 16:14
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	10	$1.6K	1,145	1,145	+0	open	—	09-20 12:19
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	11	$1.5K	950	950	+0	No	-$3	08-09 02:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	5	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-29 17:32
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	5	$1.5K	800	800	+0	open	—	10-29 21:13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	7	$1.5K	850	850	+0	open	—	10-04 16:07
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	6	$1.5K	770	770	+0	Yes	-$8	09-28 01:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 10:17:31	Will Red Bull Salzburg finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	No	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0xc9bf88…
10-30 10:17:21	Will Red Bull Salzburg finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x18c0d9…
10-30 07:49:12	Will Victor Hedman record 100+ points?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x7a799a…
10-30 07:48:45	Will Victor Hedman record 100+ points?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x6d1557…
10-30 07:48:18	Will Victor Hedman record 100+ points?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xab3311…
10-30 07:48:04	Will Victor Hedman record 100+ points?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x481031…
10-30 04:20:00	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x48ed1f…
10-30 04:19:33	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x6d815b…
10-30 04:19:22	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xb7026f…
10-30 02:23:33	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x255802…
10-30 02:23:07	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	70	84¢	$59	0xd96956…
10-30 02:22:40	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	98	84¢	$82	0x5e54a8…
10-30 02:22:15	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	81	84¢	$68	0x87250e…
10-30 02:21:49	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	81	84¢	$68	0xc54dc2…
10-30 02:21:22	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x2d7faf…
10-30 02:21:06	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	800	90¢	$719	0x9b0a9f…
10-30 02:12:16	Will AP call US House control by November 15, 11:59 PM?	Yes	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x4c9a20…
10-30 02:11:51	Will AP call US House control by November 15, 11:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x1fa3a3…
10-30 01:59:07	Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x3a0bab…
10-30 01:58:49	Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x589f24…
10-29 22:34:19	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0xd94478…
10-29 22:34:10	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x3980f9…
10-29 22:34:06	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x2fedfd…
10-29 21:13:46	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	177	94¢	$166	0x72e1f2…
10-29 21:13:21	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x6fd342…
10-29 21:12:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	212	94¢	$200	0xe3dd0e…
10-29 21:12:27	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	211	95¢	$200	0x54b830…
10-29 21:12:21	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	800	96¢	$770	0xc8fe97…
10-29 19:59:13	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x95a308…
10-29 19:59:13	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	87¢	$15	0x9456b6…
10-29 19:09:51	Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x6005a5…
10-29 19:09:42	Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x14e601…
10-29 17:55:49	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	78	89¢	$69	0xf3cfe0…
10-29 17:55:22	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	78	89¢	$69	0x286591…
10-29 17:54:41	Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$191	0xbcfe16…
10-29 17:54:35	Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xa73b86…
10-29 17:54:14	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	SELL	232	89¢	$207	0x00e3a5…
10-29 17:54:01	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	89¢	$29	0x8261f0…
10-29 17:53:59	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	89¢	$222	0xc791cf…
10-29 17:53:59	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	89¢	$60	0x969017…
10-29 17:52:43	Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	69	87¢	$60	0x5a9044…
10-29 17:52:29	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	300	8¢	$24	0xde421a…
10-29 17:52:16	Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	90¢	$225	0x65c79a…
10-29 17:52:02	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x1218c3…
10-29 17:51:49	Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0xfa1c25…
10-29 17:51:37	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	350	9¢	$30	0x5a3d73…
10-29 17:51:32	Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	91¢	$274	0xb68903…
10-29 17:51:29	Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$183	0x56fc2c…
10-29 17:51:26	Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	91¢	$34	0x687796…
10-29 17:49:23	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	88¢	$47	0xe04bf1…
10-29 17:48:56	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x506348…
10-29 17:48:55	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	102	92¢	$93	0x365854…
10-29 17:48:41	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	800	91¢	$728	0xe3ad15…
10-29 17:48:26	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xe4fb81…
10-29 17:48:26	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x6d2a0d…
10-29 17:48:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	800	92¢	$736	0x1e5995…
10-29 17:48:13	Venezuela election scheduled by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	92¢	$40	0x075e25…
10-29 17:48:04	Venezuela election scheduled by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0x9fae52…
10-29 17:47:56	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x8dcebe…
10-29 17:47:56	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x3499d0…
10-29 17:47:29	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	No	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x633076…
10-29 17:47:28	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xbc2f6b…
10-29 17:47:28	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x414190…
10-29 17:47:16	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xe5acfe…
10-29 17:47:11	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	91¢	$127	0x3bc4ca…
10-29 17:47:01	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x203941…
10-29 17:46:52	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	140	93¢	$130	0x5ee198…
10-29 17:40:41	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	173	4¢	$7	0x743971…
10-29 17:40:14	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x523d6a…
10-29 17:39:49	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x6bd2ad…
10-29 17:39:22	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xc16268…
10-29 17:38:55	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	140	7¢	$10	0x3831c5…
10-29 17:38:29	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0x90ef1d…
10-29 17:38:02	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	81	8¢	$6	0xe73d24…
10-29 17:37:44	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	560	8¢	$45	0xe1dff0…
10-29 17:37:22	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xb40f39…
10-29 17:37:11	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x48a3f8…
10-29 17:32:07	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	175	90¢	$157	0x23d795…
10-29 17:31:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	625	91¢	$569	0x408631…
10-29 17:31:26	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	800	94¢	$752	0x30b761…
10-29 17:31:23	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	800	96¢	$765	0xdf7dd7…
10-29 17:31:11	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	800	94¢	$752	0xd363ba…
10-29 17:17:43	Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0x9c6e7f…
10-29 17:17:28	Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xcf8d4e…
10-29 16:35:49	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xb2bd35…
10-29 16:34:07	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xb7d051…
10-29 16:34:05	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x068cc3…
10-29 16:33:59	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xdf8390…
10-29 13:54:58	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	75	96¢	$72	0x20a3cd…
10-29 13:54:32	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	421	96¢	$402	0xb5f5a2…
10-29 13:53:40	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	304	96¢	$291	0xf094a8…
10-29 13:53:40	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	488	96¢	$468	0x43e488…
10-29 13:53:35	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xd3d206…
10-29 13:53:31	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	96¢	$84	0x56c1c1…
10-29 13:53:31	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x1c997d…
10-29 13:53:31	France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	208	96¢	$199	0x03bbd4…
10-29 10:53:38	Will Ethereum hit $6k by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xa11b09…
10-29 10:53:25	Will Ethereum hit $6k by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x10c4b1…
10-29 08:36:31	Will Huang Shih-chieh win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0x91bfca…
10-29 08:36:04	Will Huang Shih-chieh win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x87f378…