Ugly-Platinum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

6,111

lifetime

Volume

$180.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 07-24 00:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 100% +$0

Other

11% — —

Politics

8% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 302 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes		+0	$0	3¢	$0	$-0	06-29 08:40
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes		+0	$3	1¢	$0	$-3	07-13 06:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	7	$1.2K	800	800	+0	open	—	07-18 16:02
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	8	$815	807	807	+0	open	—	07-19 19:58
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	9	$773	700	700	+0	open	—	07-23 14:15
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	8	$766	550	550	+0	open	—	07-23 11:23
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	7	$718	401	401	+0	open	—	07-23 16:26
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	16	$682	425	425	+0	open	—	07-23 17:13
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	9	$638	400	400	+0	open	—	07-23 19:35
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	15	$637	620	620	+0	open	—	07-23 15:52
israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	9	$594	573	573	+0	open	—	07-22 16:18
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	4	$585	578	578	+0	open	—	07-17 02:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$531	300	300	+0	open	—	07-17 17:57
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	6	$516	400	400	+0	open	—	07-21 10:23
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	12	$505	320	320	+0	open	—	07-20 19:23
israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	13	$499	338	338	+0	open	—	07-19 16:58
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	6	$458	267	267	+0	open	—	07-21 02:39
us x china tariff agreement by december 31	11	$455	294	294	+0	open	—	07-16 13:54
nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	7	$415	230	230	+0	open	—	07-21 15:46
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	6	$385	400	400	+0	open	—	07-23 12:45
will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	8	$381	200	200	+0	open	—	07-23 20:04
kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	10	$376	250	250	+0	open	—	07-19 13:46
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	11	$371	412	412	+0	open	—	07-23 18:13
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	9	$364	300	300	+0	open	—	07-23 19:00
mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	9	$351	204	204	+0	open	—	07-22 07:27
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	14	$350	330	330	+0	open	—	07-23 07:33
israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	6	$346	205	205	+0	open	—	07-22 13:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	4	$336	400	400	+0	open	—	07-23 23:50
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	10	$332	210	210	+0	open	—	07-22 12:57
will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	11	$322	178	178	+0	open	—	07-21 18:30
jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	8	$308	255	255	+0	open	—	07-20 05:14
will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	9	$304	160	160	+0	open	—	07-01 15:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 03:40:06	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x12cd84…
07-24 03:39:52	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x6595a2…
07-24 03:27:58	us x cuba economic deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x8d6044…
07-24 03:27:42	us x cuba economic deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa68f68…
07-24 03:22:18	sun quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 2pt7	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x85f0ae…
07-24 03:13:16	sun quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 2pt7	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0675bc…
07-24 00:02:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	157	52¢	$81	0x27bb2f…
07-23 23:50:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	200	35¢	$70	0xc417c2…
07-23 23:50:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x795499…
07-23 21:53:51	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xa36ce0…
07-23 21:53:43	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x680540…
07-23 21:40:22	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x37f17e…
07-23 21:40:00	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0xbf6ea8…
07-23 21:39:48	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x8dfbbf…
07-23 20:06:00	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x598a4d…
07-23 20:05:46	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x1ad719…
07-23 20:04:09	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	SELL	44	91¢	$40	0xae410c…
07-23 20:03:48	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xca2665…
07-23 20:03:19	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	SELL	40	92¢	$36	0x162c0a…
07-23 20:02:57	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x4e4392…
07-23 20:02:40	will a european country take military action on iran by july 31 20260720005529605	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xc1259b…
07-23 19:44:31	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xeaee0a…
07-23 19:44:15	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf3d3f0…
07-23 19:35:55	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	SELL	200	80¢	$161	0x6ee17f…
07-23 19:35:45	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	83	81¢	$67	0x3743e0…
07-23 19:35:42	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	117	81¢	$95	0x28e3d3…
07-23 19:26:25	greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720012832781	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x278acc…
07-23 19:26:09	greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720012832781	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xa5272f…
07-23 19:25:28	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$47	0x039154…
07-23 19:25:06	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	No	SELL	72	96¢	$69	0x497de2…
07-23 19:24:43	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x721a47…
07-23 19:24:30	Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	No	BUY	150	97¢	$145	0x4007ff…
07-23 19:00:13	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0x845e8c…
07-23 18:59:48	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x679a0e…
07-23 18:59:24	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xa0acb1…
07-23 18:59:09	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xd9c6e5…
07-23 18:29:09	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xd18dd6…
07-23 18:28:55	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xfdb4cc…
07-23 18:13:04	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xed584d…
07-23 18:12:55	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xe12cc0…
07-23 18:01:01	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x5dd277…
07-23 18:00:55	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb76396…
07-23 17:39:46	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xecb944…
07-23 17:39:33	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x87c288…
07-23 17:13:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x6c2225…
07-23 17:13:22	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	96	90¢	$86	0x0f3727…
07-23 17:13:04	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xccb599…
07-23 16:31:51	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xa4963b…
07-23 16:31:37	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1bb5e0…
07-23 16:26:12	will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	No	SELL	357	89¢	$317	0x164914…
07-23 16:25:48	will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	No	SELL	35	90¢	$32	0xba6afd…
07-23 16:25:24	will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	No	SELL	8	91¢	$8	0x292795…
07-23 16:25:13	will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	No	BUY	251	90¢	$226	0x924da7…
07-23 16:25:13	will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	No	BUY	149	90¢	$134	0x452ab7…
07-23 16:04:03	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x7ed7c4…
07-23 16:03:49	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x36d948…
07-23 16:03:28	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x4672eb…
07-23 16:03:12	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x1f40ca…
07-23 15:53:09	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x6b36a3…
07-23 15:52:55	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	No	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0x58b737…
07-23 15:52:48	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x08cde9…
07-23 15:52:33	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	33	45¢	$15	0x7a5749…
07-23 15:52:31	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	No	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x33401e…
07-23 15:52:24	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xce33ae…
07-23 15:52:09	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x9c3e52…
07-23 15:51:45	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	44	47¢	$21	0xf5541e…
07-23 15:51:19	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0xc105a4…
07-23 15:50:54	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0x64f24b…
07-23 15:50:28	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x37c80c…
07-23 15:50:00	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	52	54¢	$28	0x463b83…
07-23 15:49:31	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x3500cc…
07-23 15:49:13	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x89789b…
07-23 15:48:52	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x361c97…
07-23 15:48:39	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x6a665d…
07-23 15:46:45	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x6f382f…
07-23 15:46:31	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb0e2f4…
07-23 15:34:13	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x97b2f8…
07-23 15:34:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1a5fb3…
07-23 15:31:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x7602aa…
07-23 15:30:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x99d222…
07-23 14:15:09	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xd96717…
07-23 14:14:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$181	0x2f9b3e…
07-23 13:05:09	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	18	46¢	$9	0xf1f3eb…
07-23 13:04:46	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x40225a…
07-23 13:04:24	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x5e104f…
07-23 13:04:01	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	22	55¢	$12	0x104438…
07-23 13:03:54	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xb39630…
07-23 12:45:40	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	62	75¢	$46	0x5a2fa2…
07-23 12:45:16	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	108	76¢	$82	0x6a9d85…
07-23 12:44:54	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0x6a8c9c…
07-23 12:44:45	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x93936d…
07-23 12:26:09	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x9b018b…
07-23 12:25:55	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x4df6ca…
07-23 11:40:12	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	SELL	49	38¢	$19	0xf9ed5f…
07-23 11:39:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0x53704a…
07-23 11:39:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	SELL	125	38¢	$48	0x2d6b73…
07-23 11:39:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xea24a7…
07-23 11:39:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	55	41¢	$23	0xccb72c…
07-23 11:39:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	125	41¢	$51	0x2cbe7b…
07-23 11:23:12	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	320	94¢	$301	0x0e550f…