Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
open
Total volume
$18,146
$103 in 24h
Trades
631
Unique wallets
171
Liquidity
$2,555
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2025-10-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-09 06:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+9.5¢
(top1%: 35% YES on $1.1K
vs crowd: 25% YES on $10.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 22 | $1.3K | $990 | +$297 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $495 | $3.0K | $2.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 42 | $440 | $3.0K | $2.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 80 | $320 | $534 | $214 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $372 | $697 | $325 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $132 | $2.3K | $2.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $89 | $297 | $207 |
| Median | 15 | $195 | $683 | $488 |
| Below median | 25 | $155 | $89 | +$66 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $33 | $29 | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $253 | $667 | $413 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $926 | $421 | +$504 |
| unranked | 77 | $387 | $2.3K | $1.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x3007…763a | No | +802 | $560 | $560 | 5 | 07-06 04:33 |
| Cheery-Alert 0x43ab…a0ef | No | +765 | $505 | $505 | 15 | 06-25 18:27 |
| Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | +705 | $449 | $449 | 4 | 06-07 19:40 |
| Illustrious-Spectacles 0xbaa2…2c73 | Yes | +659 | $128 | $128 | 1 | 07-03 23:09 |
| Deadly-Halibut 0x91c9…d319 | No | +593 | $464 | $464 | 4 | 07-05 07:40 |
| Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | +320 | $200 | $200 | 4 | 07-07 17:40 |
| Dull-Smith 0x30db…33c0 | Yes | +290 | $75 | $250 | 7 | 07-04 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd3d…c306 | Yes | +262 | $86 | $86 | 4 | 06-26 08:03 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +203 | $63 | $63 | 17 | 07-08 18:35 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | +200 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 07-01 23:56 |
| Bleak-Full 0x6d9f…9790 | No | +181 | $127 | $127 | 1 | 07-02 06:49 |
| Extra-Large-Defeat 0xdf90…5637 | Yes | +175 | $52 | $52 | 2 | 07-02 06:49 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +174 | $118 | $118 | 16 | 07-07 17:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ea8…0b68 | No | +161 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 07-08 17:30 |
| Lost-Crest 0x22d6…f8b3 | Yes | +145 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-26 20:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +117 | $38 | $96 | 8 | 07-08 17:31 |
| Zesty-Disappointment 0xeb49…693e | No | +115 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 07-02 08:12 |
| Lumpy-Sweatshop 0x519e…edbd | Yes | +113 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 07-04 17:49 |
| Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | No | +111 | $84 | $84 | 2 | 07-04 14:44 |
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | +109 | $80 | $80 | 9 | 07-08 12:07 |
| Opulent-Citron 0x5eda…92a7 | Yes | +100 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 07-04 07:25 |
| Idle-Pineapple 0x5fa5…b7a7 | Yes | +80 | $21 | $21 | 4 | 07-07 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | +70 | $14 | $14 | 8 | 07-02 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x083c…a6ed | No | +69 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-02 06:49 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | +65 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-28 04:22 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | Yes | +63 | $26 | $36 | 2 | 06-08 12:22 |
| Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | +61 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 07-04 05:20 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +60 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-29 17:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xe38a…f2c3 | Yes | +58 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 07-01 05:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +55 | $43 | $50 | 4 | 07-04 07:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xa131…0610 | No | +55 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 06-29 08:33 |
| Emotional-Heating 0x77e6…0ae1 | No | +50 | $40 | $40 | 4 | 07-06 07:26 |
| Modern-Malice 0x9bae…5d34 | Yes | +50 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-08 05:47 |
| Modern-Malice 0x9bae…5d34 | No | +50 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-08 15:23 |
| cheng 0xfb66…5e13 | No | +50 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 07-04 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +50 | $10 | $41 | 4 | 07-09 06:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x22ad…27dc | Yes | +48 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-30 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x75f5…0718 | No | +47 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 06-29 07:46 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +46 | $14 | $35 | 6 | 07-08 18:35 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +45 | $9 | $76 | 9 | 06-20 19:28 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +43 | $22 | $31 | 3 | 07-06 04:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +42 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 06-20 10:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x5886…d68f | Yes | +41 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 07-04 23:58 |
| Sleepy-Equality 0x4c2d…f8ae | Yes | +41 | $54 | $348 | 7 | 07-07 11:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xc031…2c43 | No | +40 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 07-01 16:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d80…e3bd | No | +40 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-29 07:12 |
| Dental-Liquid 0x7f9e…3a0e | No | +39 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-02 09:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe26…2203 | Yes | +38 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-06 09:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x8e14…81c9 | No | +37 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-25 11:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x82ab…78ab | No | +35 | $22 | $88 | 2 | 06-29 07:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x20db…945d | Yes | +35 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-17 20:56 |
| Prize-Monastery 0xcd76…77bd | No | +34 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-30 19:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x0742…2ba8 | No | +30 | $19 | $61 | 2 | 06-29 08:32 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $5 | $40 | 8 | 07-08 17:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xb13b…b220 | No | +30 | $18 | $75 | 2 | 06-29 07:12 |
| Another-Junk 0x0b15…da0b | Yes | +25 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-27 21:11 |
| Satisfied-Fighter 0x40e1…30ff | Yes | +24 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-29 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xba56…e263 | Yes | +18 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-08 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x429b…2f21 | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-01 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a54…e1dd | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 23:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 06:39:14 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | BUY | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0x290d36… |
| 07-09 06:39:14 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0x290d36… |
| 07-08 18:35:11 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 23¢ | $3 | 0xf3f6b1… |
| 07-08 18:35:11 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xf3f6b1… |
| 07-08 18:35:11 | Crowded-Distance 0x2974…9c23 | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xf3f6b1… |
| 07-08 17:31:50 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 25¢ | $11 | 0x44e423… |
| 07-08 17:31:50 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 25¢ | $11 | 0x44e423… |
| 07-08 17:30:49 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x130f99… |
| 07-08 17:30:49 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | SELL | 50 | 75¢ | $38 | 0x130f99… |
| 07-08 17:30:49 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 25¢ | $11 | 0x130f99… |
| 07-08 17:30:49 | (anonymous) 0x6ea8…0b68 | No | BUY | 161 | 75¢ | $120 | 0x130f99… |
| 07-08 17:30:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 26¢ | $8 | 0x130f99… |
| 07-08 17:30:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 15 | 74¢ | $11 | 0x130f99… |
| 07-08 12:07:49 | Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | BUY | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0xe96285… |
| 07-08 12:07:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 73¢ | $11 | 0xe96285… |
| 07-08 12:07:49 | (anonymous) 0xba56…e263 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xe96285… |
| 07-07 17:44:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 73¢ | $11 | 0x1e0b73… |
| 07-07 17:44:35 | (anonymous) 0xf45c…6a48 | No | SELL | 15 | 73¢ | $11 | 0x1e0b73… |
| 07-07 17:40:32 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0x588b6f… |
| 07-07 17:40:32 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0x588b6f… |
| 07-07 17:40:32 | Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x588b6f… |
| 07-07 17:40:32 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x588b6f… |
| 07-07 17:40:32 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | SELL | 50 | 73¢ | $36 | 0x588b6f… |
| 07-07 15:39:08 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xaecce5… |
| 07-07 15:39:08 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0xaecce5… |
| 07-07 15:35:07 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | BUY | 40 | 76¢ | $30 | 0xd4e77f… |
| 07-07 15:35:07 | Simple-Exercise 0xa032…679e | No | SELL | 132 | 77¢ | $101 | 0xd4e77f… |
| 07-07 15:35:07 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 92 | 23¢ | $21 | 0xd4e77f… |
| 07-07 11:38:34 | Sleepy-Equality 0x4c2d…f8ae | Yes | BUY | 34 | 23¢ | $8 | 0xc6a97f… |
| 07-07 11:38:34 | Rewarding-Alto 0xd3ba…33b9 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 23¢ | $8 | 0xc6a97f… |
| 07-07 09:07:16 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x28fd03… |
| 07-07 09:07:16 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x28fd03… |
| 07-07 09:07:16 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x28fd03… |
| 07-07 09:07:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 25 | 75¢ | $19 | 0x28fd03… |
| 07-07 09:07:16 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 92 | 24¢ | $22 | 0x28fd03… |
| 07-07 09:07:16 | Simple-Exercise 0xa032…679e | No | BUY | 132 | 76¢ | $100 | 0x28fd03… |
| 07-07 07:50:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xca6440… |
| 07-07 07:50:41 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xca6440… |
| 07-07 06:06:11 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0xc49521… |
| 07-07 06:06:11 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xc49521… |
| 07-07 06:06:11 | Idle-Pineapple 0x5fa5…b7a7 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 27¢ | $4 | 0xc49521… |
| 07-06 21:07:58 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x61e085… |
| 07-06 21:07:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 9 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x61e085… |
| 07-06 09:15:17 | (anonymous) 0xbe26…2203 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 26¢ | $10 | 0x7b19df… |
| 07-06 09:15:17 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x7b19df… |
| 07-06 09:15:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x7b19df… |
| 07-06 09:15:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 21 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x7b19df… |
| 07-06 08:05:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 28 | 76¢ | $22 | 0x776cb5… |
| 07-06 08:05:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x776cb5… |
| 07-06 08:05:43 | (anonymous) 0x56c4…580c | Yes | SELL | 41 | 24¢ | $10 | 0x776cb5… |
| 07-06 07:31:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x49df45… |
| 07-06 07:31:22 | Unfit-Boutique 0xd0b7…fa4b | No | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x49df45… |
| 07-06 07:30:55 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | SELL | 120 | 74¢ | $88 | 0xab2a43… |
| 07-06 07:30:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 26¢ | $8 | 0xab2a43… |
| 07-06 07:30:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0xab2a43… |
| 07-06 07:30:55 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | BUY | 60 | 73¢ | $44 | 0xab2a43… |
| 07-06 07:26:34 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xd92b42… |
| 07-06 07:26:34 | Emotional-Heating 0x77e6…0ae1 | No | BUY | 13 | 77¢ | $10 | 0xd92b42… |
| 07-06 07:26:34 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xd92b42… |
| 07-06 07:26:34 | Sleepy-Equality 0x4c2d…f8ae | Yes | BUY | 7 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xd92b42… |
| 07-06 06:15:46 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 4 | 77¢ | $3 | 0xb7d614… |
| 07-06 06:15:46 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | Yes | SELL | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xb7d614… |
| 07-06 04:33:53 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | SELL | 6 | 75¢ | $5 | 0xa8b4fc… |
| 07-06 04:33:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0xa8b4fc… |
| 07-06 04:33:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 9 | 75¢ | $7 | 0xa8b4fc… |
| 07-06 04:33:53 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xa8b4fc… |
| 07-06 04:33:53 | (anonymous) 0x3007…763a | No | BUY | 80 | 75¢ | $60 | 0xa8b4fc… |
| 07-06 04:33:53 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | SELL | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0xa8b4fc… |
| 07-05 23:21:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 9 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x071c32… |
| 07-05 23:21:02 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x071c32… |
| 07-05 13:00:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x70fe1f… |
| 07-05 13:00:13 | (anonymous) 0xdf4b…7166 | No | SELL | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x70fe1f… |
| 07-05 07:46:23 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 9 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xe3cda7… |
| 07-05 07:46:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 9 | 75¢ | $7 | 0xe3cda7… |
| 07-05 07:40:56 | Deadly-Halibut 0x91c9…d319 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x81ad50… |
| 07-05 07:40:56 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x81ad50… |
| 07-05 00:44:58 | Lonely-Kinase 0xef5f…bbb7 | No | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x971dd4… |
| 07-05 00:44:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x971dd4… |
| 07-04 23:58:34 | Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0xada5d1… |
| 07-04 23:58:34 | (anonymous) 0x5886…d68f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xada5d1… |
| 07-04 23:58:34 | cheng 0xfb66…5e13 | No | BUY | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0xada5d1… |
| 07-04 20:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x5886…d68f | Yes | BUY | 37 | 27¢ | $10 | 0x83c720… |
| 07-04 20:54:43 | cheng 0xfb66…5e13 | No | BUY | 37 | 73¢ | $27 | 0x83c720… |
| 07-04 17:49:01 | Lumpy-Sweatshop 0x519e…edbd | Yes | BUY | 57 | 26¢ | $15 | 0x02f844… |
| 07-04 17:49:01 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 12 | 74¢ | $9 | 0x02f844… |
| 07-04 17:49:01 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x02f844… |
| 07-04 17:49:01 | cheng 0xfb66…5e13 | No | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $8 | 0x02f844… |
| 07-04 17:49:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0x02f844… |
| 07-04 14:44:53 | Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | No | BUY | 60 | 74¢ | $44 | 0x54a302… |
| 07-04 14:44:53 | Dull-Smith 0x30db…33c0 | Yes | BUY | 135 | 26¢ | $35 | 0xd18175… |
| 07-04 14:44:53 | Dull-Smith 0x30db…33c0 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 26¢ | $16 | 0x54a302… |
| 07-04 14:44:53 | Deadly-Halibut 0x91c9…d319 | No | BUY | 135 | 74¢ | $100 | 0xd18175… |
| 07-04 14:34:07 | (anonymous) 0xedc4…be57 | No | SELL | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0xb98086… |
| 07-04 14:34:07 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0xb98086… |
| 07-04 12:44:44 | Dull-Smith 0x30db…33c0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x121195… |
| 07-04 12:44:44 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x121195… |
| 07-04 07:25:25 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xa93960… |
| 07-04 07:25:25 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 16 | 76¢ | $12 | 0x170157… |
| 07-04 07:25:25 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | SELL | 0 | 79¢ | $0 | 0x170157… |
| 07-04 07:25:25 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x170157… |