Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
open
Total volume
$64,364
$103 in 24h
Trades
1,326
Unique wallets
305
Liquidity
$2,555
Latest YES mid
19¢
Latest NO mid
81¢
End date
2025-10-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-21 11:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.2¢
(top1%: 10% YES on $4.4K
vs crowd: 17% YES on $36.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 31 | $2.6K | $7.3K | $4.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 48 | $818 | $11.1K | $10.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 77 | $1.3K | $6.0K | $4.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 149 | $1.5K | $5.6K | $4.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 12 | $441 | $4.0K | $3.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $359 | $3.1K | $2.8K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $299 | $1.3K | $1000 |
| Median | 29 | $342 | $1.5K | $1.1K |
| Below median | 37 | $407 | $342 | +$64 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $33 | $228 | $195 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 18 | $508 | $1.7K | $1.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 11 | $2.2K | $1.8K | +$379 |
| unranked | 156 | $1.7K | $16.1K | $14.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x56e7…cf24 | Yes | +4,027 | $471 | $471 | 28 | 08-10 11:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x52f5…19da | No | +3,026 | $2,717 | $6,283 | 11 | 08-08 16:34 |
| Bleak-Full 0x6d9f…9790 | No | +2,800 | $2,394 | $2,394 | 6 | 08-10 11:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3007…763a | No | +1,059 | $760 | $760 | 7 | 07-15 21:44 |
| Grounded-Depression 0x35bb…009b | No | +1,000 | $880 | $880 | 3 | 08-12 22:25 |
| Quizzical-Accelerant 0x49b0…efd5 | Yes | +833 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-12 17:14 |
| Cheery-Alert 0x43ab…a0ef | No | +765 | $505 | $505 | 15 | 06-25 18:27 |
| Tragic-Member 0x738a…5996 | Yes | +764 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 08-11 06:01 |
| Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | +761 | $490 | $490 | 7 | 07-19 02:10 |
| Judicious-Electricity 0xb8ac…965c | Yes | +707 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-17 19:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a33…7302 | Yes | +706 | $80 | $80 | 7 | 08-02 18:24 |
| Illustrious-Spectacles 0xbaa2…2c73 | Yes | +659 | $128 | $128 | 1 | 07-03 23:09 |
| Murky-Rhetoric 0x9352…2227 | No | +654 | $588 | $588 | 1 | 07-30 22:27 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | +500 | $445 | $445 | 3 | 08-12 02:35 |
| Cultivated-Sustainment 0x3539…e5d4 | Yes | +483 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 08-08 16:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x3277…4d96 | Yes | +455 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 08-01 13:42 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +432 | $55 | $122 | 16 | 08-02 18:24 |
| Shady-Dog 0x7a90…2ff9 | Yes | +400 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 07-30 18:04 |
| Scratchy-Sidewalk 0xee25…7cd3 | Yes | +396 | $45 | $192 | 12 | 08-19 12:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x43b9…5db9 | No | +326 | $290 | $290 | 3 | 08-10 11:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf58b…5f34 | No | +300 | $267 | $267 | 2 | 08-09 16:13 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +284 | $76 | $76 | 25 | 07-30 12:23 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +268 | $196 | $196 | 23 | 08-12 22:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd3d…c306 | Yes | +262 | $86 | $86 | 4 | 06-26 08:03 |
| Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | No | +226 | $195 | $195 | 7 | 08-11 06:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x45dc…0f24 | Yes | +203 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 07-15 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x12ce…928f | No | +200 | $176 | $176 | 4 | 08-12 17:14 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +200 | $172 | $172 | 1 | 08-19 12:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x44b7…2e99 | No | +184 | $164 | $164 | 2 | 08-10 05:02 |
| Dental-Parachute 0xe2cd…3897 | No | +175 | $155 | $155 | 5 | 08-10 11:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xabd5…e713 | No | +162 | $144 | $144 | 3 | 08-10 11:01 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +141 | $31 | $31 | 3 | 07-30 22:37 |
| Sleepy-Equality 0x4c2d…f8ae | Yes | +141 | $67 | $361 | 8 | 07-17 12:55 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +134 | $12 | $504 | 28 | 08-19 12:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x80ee…9128 | No | +120 | $101 | $101 | 2 | 07-17 19:59 |
| Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | No | +118 | $90 | $90 | 3 | 07-10 11:27 |
| Lumpy-Sweatshop 0x519e…edbd | Yes | +113 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 07-04 17:49 |
| Attentive-Algebra 0x8e4f…4594 | Yes | +107 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 07-31 21:09 |
| Previous-Seafood 0xf9ac…806e | No | +100 | $90 | $90 | 4 | 08-07 14:20 |
| Opulent-Citron 0x5eda…92a7 | Yes | +100 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 07-04 07:25 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +91 | $64 | $64 | 4 | 07-20 02:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +82 | $29 | $105 | 9 | 07-11 06:39 |
| Idle-Pineapple 0x5fa5…b7a7 | Yes | +80 | $21 | $21 | 4 | 07-07 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x0745…4a1b | Yes | +71 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-11 23:08 |
| Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | +70 | $63 | $63 | 2 | 08-07 23:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | +70 | $14 | $14 | 8 | 07-02 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x70e6…c271 | Yes | +67 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-14 09:53 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | Yes | +63 | $26 | $36 | 2 | 06-08 12:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xe38a…f2c3 | Yes | +58 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 07-01 05:21 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | +57 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 07-31 21:09 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +55 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 07-27 07:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xa131…0610 | No | +55 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 06-29 08:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +51 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 08-12 22:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +51 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 08-12 22:25 |
| Modern-Malice 0x9bae…5d34 | Yes | +50 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-08 05:47 |
| Modern-Malice 0x9bae…5d34 | No | +50 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-08 15:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e6…66b7 | No | +50 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 08-19 12:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x22ad…27dc | Yes | +48 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-30 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xf22e…18f2 | No | +47 | $41 | $87 | 6 | 08-10 11:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x75f5…0718 | No | +47 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 06-29 07:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 11:03:16 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x7471a0… |
| 08-21 11:03:16 | Incredible-Favor 0x44a3…121f | Yes | SELL | 518 | 12¢ | $62 | 0x7471a0… |
| 08-21 11:03:16 | Beautiful-Plaintiff 0x0770…184b | No | SELL | 237 | 88¢ | $208 | 0x7471a0… |
| 08-21 11:03:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 86 | 87¢ | $75 | 0x7471a0… |
| 08-21 11:03:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 11¢ | $7 | 0x7471a0… |
| 08-21 11:03:16 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 11¢ | $8 | 0x7471a0… |
| 08-21 11:03:16 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | SELL | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0x7471a0… |
| 08-21 04:26:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b63…1071 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x699e68… |
| 08-21 04:26:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x699e68… |
| 08-20 10:56:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 42 | 86¢ | $37 | 0x8a023a… |
| 08-20 10:56:37 | Enormous-Trapezium 0x961a…e91c | No | SELL | 42 | 86¢ | $37 | 0x8a023a… |
| 08-20 03:15:30 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | SELL | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x88efb9… |
| 08-20 03:15:30 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x88efb9… |
| 08-20 03:15:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 45 | 86¢ | $39 | 0x88efb9… |
| 08-19 12:11:40 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | SELL | 50 | 85¢ | $43 | 0xb33b16… |
| 08-19 12:11:40 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0xb33b16… |
| 08-19 12:11:36 | (anonymous) 0x41e6…66b7 | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0xf10155… |
| 08-19 12:11:36 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0xf10155… |
| 08-19 12:11:36 | Incredible-Favor 0x44a3…121f | Yes | BUY | 518 | 13¢ | $69 | 0xf10155… |
| 08-19 12:11:36 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 200 | 86¢ | $172 | 0xf10155… |
| 08-19 12:11:36 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0xf10155… |
| 08-19 12:11:36 | Scratchy-Sidewalk 0xee25…7cd3 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 14¢ | $6 | 0xf10155… |
| 08-19 07:03:15 | Beautiful-Plaintiff 0x0770…184b | No | SELL | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xd32a72… |
| 08-19 07:03:15 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xd32a72… |
| 08-18 21:03:45 | Scratchy-Sidewalk 0xee25…7cd3 | Yes | SELL | 85 | 11¢ | $9 | 0xaa10e9… |
| 08-18 21:03:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 85 | 89¢ | $75 | 0xaa10e9… |
| 08-18 12:39:42 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x89840b… |
| 08-18 12:39:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x89840b… |
| 08-18 12:39:42 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x89840b… |
| 08-18 12:39:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 99 | 88¢ | $87 | 0x89840b… |
| 08-18 12:39:42 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | SELL | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x89840b… |
| 08-18 12:39:42 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | SELL | 200 | 12¢ | $25 | 0x89840b… |
| 08-17 17:40:18 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xf060e3… |
| 08-17 17:40:18 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | No | SELL | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xf060e3… |
| 08-17 15:03:09 | (anonymous) 0x57ec…885b | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x903c82… |
| 08-17 15:03:09 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x903c82… |
| 08-15 12:35:13 | (anonymous) 0x0db9…a4a8 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xcb4b03… |
| 08-15 12:35:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0xcb4b03… |
| 08-14 09:53:10 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 57 | 15¢ | $9 | 0x6e28fe… |
| 08-14 09:53:10 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x6e28fe… |
| 08-14 09:53:10 | (anonymous) 0x70e6…c271 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 15¢ | $10 | 0x6e28fe… |
| 08-13 05:10:57 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 45 | 15¢ | $7 | 0xf28191… |
| 08-13 05:10:57 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xf28191… |
| 08-13 05:10:57 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | SELL | 50 | 85¢ | $43 | 0xf28191… |
| 08-12 22:25:15 | Cluttered-Gain 0xf86c…ba99 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xf10761… |
| 08-12 22:25:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xf10761… |
| 08-12 22:25:03 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 126 | 15¢ | $19 | 0xb31822… |
| 08-12 22:25:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0xb31822… |
| 08-12 22:25:03 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | SELL | 156 | 85¢ | $133 | 0xb31822… |
| 08-12 22:25:01 | (anonymous) 0x1bcc…160a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x311467… |
| 08-12 22:25:01 | (anonymous) 0x903c…079b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x311467… |
| 08-12 22:25:01 | (anonymous) 0xcbdc…f5e4 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x311467… |
| 08-12 22:25:01 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 51 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x73cd0d… |
| 08-12 22:25:01 | Humble-Chicken 0xc935…74cf | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x311467… |
| 08-12 22:25:01 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x311467… |
| 08-12 22:25:01 | Grounded-Depression 0x35bb…009b | No | BUY | 381 | 88¢ | $335 | 0x311467… |
| 08-12 22:25:01 | Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | No | SELL | 1,099 | 87¢ | $961 | 0x311467… |
| 08-12 22:25:01 | (anonymous) 0x2e7f…66c7 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x311467… |
| 08-12 22:25:01 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x73cd0d… |
| 08-12 22:25:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 200 | 87¢ | $174 | 0x311467… |
| 08-12 22:25:01 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 51 | 86¢ | $44 | 0x311467… |
| 08-12 22:25:01 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | BUY | 76 | 87¢ | $66 | 0x311467… |
| 08-12 22:25:01 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x311467… |
| 08-12 22:25:01 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x311467… |
| 08-12 22:25:01 | (anonymous) 0x93d9…ad95 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x311467… |
| 08-12 19:09:51 | Grounded-Depression 0x35bb…009b | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x6edac6… |
| 08-12 19:09:51 | Grouchy-Individual 0xa520…16ce | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x6edac6… |
| 08-12 17:14:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x671c1c… |
| 08-12 17:14:39 | Quizzical-Accelerant 0x49b0…efd5 | Yes | BUY | 833 | 12¢ | $100 | 0x671c1c… |
| 08-12 17:14:39 | (anonymous) 0x12ce…928f | No | BUY | 151 | 88¢ | $133 | 0x671c1c… |
| 08-12 17:14:39 | Grounded-Depression 0x35bb…009b | No | BUY | 618 | 88¢ | $544 | 0x671c1c… |
| 08-12 17:14:39 | (anonymous) 0x1fbd…18ac | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x671c1c… |
| 08-12 12:43:13 | (anonymous) 0x12ce…928f | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x4e9ccb… |
| 08-12 12:43:13 | (anonymous) 0x1ca5…80f5 | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x4e9ccb… |
| 08-12 02:35:57 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | BUY | 36 | 89¢ | $32 | 0x2bdcc7… |
| 08-12 02:35:57 | (anonymous) 0x12ce…928f | No | BUY | 14 | 88¢ | $12 | 0x2bdcc7… |
| 08-12 02:35:57 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | SELL | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0x2bdcc7… |
| 08-11 20:20:01 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xb6f108… |
| 08-11 20:20:01 | (anonymous) 0xad66…7e7c | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xb6f108… |
| 08-11 15:53:01 | Extra-Large-Defeat 0xdf90…5637 | Yes | SELL | 213 | 10¢ | $21 | 0x2db878… |
| 08-11 15:53:01 | Beautiful-Plaintiff 0x0770…184b | No | SELL | 213 | 90¢ | $192 | 0x2db878… |
| 08-11 08:47:51 | (anonymous) 0xfb64…c2ab | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x761fa4… |
| 08-11 08:47:51 | Scratchy-Sidewalk 0xee25…7cd3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x761fa4… |
| 08-11 06:01:12 | Beautiful-Plaintiff 0x0770…184b | No | BUY | 153 | 90¢ | $137 | 0xc2e1f7… |
| 08-11 06:01:12 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xc2e1f7… |
| 08-11 06:01:12 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | BUY | 461 | 89¢ | $410 | 0xc2e1f7… |
| 08-11 06:01:12 | Tragic-Member 0x738a…5996 | Yes | BUY | 764 | 11¢ | $82 | 0xc2e1f7… |
| 08-11 06:01:12 | Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | No | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0xc2e1f7… |
| 08-10 18:21:52 | Beautiful-Plaintiff 0x0770…184b | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x82f63e… |
| 08-10 18:21:52 | (anonymous) 0xe577…c284 | No | SELL | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x82f63e… |
| 08-10 16:50:21 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x8a0318… |
| 08-10 16:50:21 | Wry-Meatloaf 0xbb9f…557b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x8a0318… |
| 08-10 14:53:34 | Beautiful-Plaintiff 0x0770…184b | No | BUY | 339 | 90¢ | $305 | 0xca835c… |
| 08-10 14:53:34 | Scratchy-Sidewalk 0xee25…7cd3 | Yes | BUY | 339 | 10¢ | $34 | 0xca835c… |
| 08-10 14:06:12 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x688588… |
| 08-10 14:06:12 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x688588… |
| 08-10 14:06:12 | (anonymous) 0x6a70…f154 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x688588… |
| 08-10 13:51:03 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x4708d9… |
| 08-10 13:51:03 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x4708d9… |
| 08-10 11:01:49 | Dismal-Directory 0xc95c…5e0b | No | SELL | 21 | 89¢ | $19 | 0x2abb37… |