(anonymous) 0x1bf561…c9ff5e
bot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$39
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
82.6%
Resolved
613
Trades
8,067
lifetime
Volume
$26.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$139
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-27
last 10-27 06:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
59% 79% +$4
Politics
26% 71% -$20
Crypto
9% 56% -$10
Tech
5% 62% -$13
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 253 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +7 $6 73¢ $5 -$1 08-31 10:45
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-16 04:16
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-05 17:41
Macron out by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-02 15:32
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-21 17:12
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 10-16 08:19
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 10-23 22:04
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 10-25 22:39
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-12 06:37
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 09-15 06:55
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +5 $4 93¢ $5 +$0 09-08 00:46
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 93¢ $5 +$1 10-24 05:43
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 10-11 20:33
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 10-26 23:11
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 10-26 05:40
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 10-26 23:21
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 10-22 08:54
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $0 10-16 13:39
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 08-11 08:32
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 10-22 05:28
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$0 09-18 23:01
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 10-08 06:20
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$1 10-24 08:11
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +5 $4 89¢ $4 +$0 10-14 18:18
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No +4 $4 97¢ $4 +$1 08-07 17:36
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $4 87¢ $4 $0 10-18 19:02
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +5 $4 87¢ $4 $0 09-06 05:14
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +5 $2 87¢ $4 +$2 10-10 13:33
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 10-21 06:40
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$1 10-25 02:37