Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
open
Total volume
$43,666
$128 in 24h
Trades
1,234
Unique wallets
207
Liquidity
$27,566
End date
2027-01-27
First seen
2026-09-30
last 10-26 17:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.7¢
(top1%: 45% YES on $13.5K
vs crowd: 46% YES on $30.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 53 | $8.3K | $9.7K | $1.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 61 | $3.7K | $4.0K | $393 |
| 🐟 Fish | 65 | $1.7K | $2.3K | $610 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $337 | $550 | $213 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 31 | $6.1K | $7.4K | $1.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 24 | $202 | $642 | $440 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $127 | $42 | +$85 |
| Median | 11 | $534 | $59 | +$474 |
| Below median | 32 | $616 | $1.2K | $576 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 26 | $897 | $790 | +$108 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 28 | $1.2K | $1.5K | $232 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 44 | $4.3K | $4.8K | $548 |
| unranked | 3 | $10 | $111 | $102 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whirlwind-Maggot 0xbf96…9942 | Yes | +2,571 | $1,107 | $1,221 | 13 | 10-16 04:26 |
| Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | No | +2,285 | $968 | $968 | 2 | 10-19 00:56 |
| Knotty-Mud 0x71dd…d61c | Yes | +2,000 | $1,040 | $1,040 | 11 | 10-20 19:51 |
| White-Tabernacle 0xb3cf…4723 | No | +1,996 | $940 | $1,109 | 3 | 10-22 19:11 |
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | +1,668 | $958 | $2,578 | 26 | 10-26 17:55 |
| Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | Yes | +1,604 | $817 | $817 | 2 | 10-15 02:34 |
| Queasy-Cougar 0xa4b3…87b8 | No | +1,522 | $748 | $1,817 | 8 | 10-22 16:37 |
| Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | +1,320 | $440 | $2,963 | 13 | 10-22 14:44 |
| Polite-Belief 0xc33d…1b02 | Yes | +1,000 | $500 | $500 | 9 | 10-14 13:08 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +917 | $461 | $481 | 18 | 10-24 06:18 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +888 | $416 | $420 | 15 | 10-26 06:49 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +888 | $492 | $501 | 17 | 10-26 06:49 |
| Giving-Petticoat 0xd426…334a | Yes | +844 | $155 | $155 | 1 | 10-01 18:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +838 | $418 | $418 | 15 | 10-15 14:24 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +573 | $304 | $304 | 17 | 10-22 09:36 |
| Unlined-Pole 0x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | +449 | $202 | $202 | 2 | 10-15 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x22d8…a92b | No | +430 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 10-08 13:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +418 | $258 | $258 | 10 | 10-14 18:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x43b9…5db9 | No | +411 | $229 | $229 | 4 | 10-03 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +399 | $192 | $266 | 20 | 10-21 08:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +399 | $226 | $505 | 20 | 10-22 01:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | +395 | $198 | $198 | 14 | 10-23 01:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | +394 | $208 | $208 | 13 | 10-23 01:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5814…cb14 | No | +380 | $172 | $172 | 15 | 10-24 06:17 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +340 | $243 | $589 | 16 | 10-23 01:02 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +319 | $169 | $312 | 14 | 10-22 02:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x44b7…2e99 | No | +279 | $162 | $178 | 3 | 10-03 23:23 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | +220 | $127 | $450 | 5 | 10-14 16:13 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | +220 | $115 | $183 | 5 | 10-25 22:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1e1…6f6f | No | +176 | $71 | $657 | 20 | 10-21 02:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +163 | $71 | $71 | 3 | 10-26 06:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +163 | $104 | $232 | 7 | 10-26 06:49 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | +162 | $95 | $230 | 12 | 10-26 06:49 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +144 | $109 | $527 | 10 | 10-22 20:44 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +144 | $72 | $162 | 5 | 10-19 00:56 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | +142 | $72 | $159 | 5 | 10-24 02:59 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | +142 | $79 | $79 | 3 | 10-24 02:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x3187…1df4 | Yes | +128 | $69 | $251 | 7 | 10-15 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xa2c0…cbe8 | No | +125 | $27 | $164 | 9 | 10-14 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xa742…9856 | No | +122 | $56 | $326 | 18 | 10-26 08:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +107 | $42 | $91 | 12 | 10-14 18:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +107 | $71 | $85 | 9 | 10-14 16:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x9530…5699 | Yes | +106 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 10-17 18:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x9530…5699 | No | +106 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 10-17 18:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | Yes | +105 | $56 | $71 | 4 | 10-22 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | No | +104 | $48 | $48 | 3 | 10-22 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | Yes | +104 | $61 | $110 | 4 | 10-22 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x6417…8279 | Yes | +104 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 10-06 14:20 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +104 | $63 | $364 | 11 | 10-23 18:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +104 | $74 | $226 | 2 | 10-20 06:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +104 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 10-19 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | No | +104 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 10-22 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cfc…2111 | No | +101 | $68 | $193 | 10 | 10-19 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x6417…8279 | No | +101 | $58 | $81 | 4 | 10-06 10:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d58…4205 | Yes | +100 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 10-07 03:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb4b…5667 | Yes | +100 | $46 | $46 | 6 | 10-14 18:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +99 | $43 | $52 | 8 | 10-17 18:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe418…eaab | Yes | +89 | $53 | $94 | 5 | 10-16 04:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xc49c…71f1 | Yes | +85 | $60 | $181 | 7 | 10-15 15:59 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +81 | $46 | $59 | 8 | 10-19 21:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 17:55:48 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xd9c757… |
| 10-26 17:55:48 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xd9c757… |
| 10-26 17:30:36 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 58¢ | $2 | 0x6f0285… |
| 10-26 17:30:36 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 3 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x6f0285… |
| 10-26 08:51:47 | (anonymous) 0xa742…9856 | No | SELL | 50 | 41¢ | $20 | 0x92848e… |
| 10-26 08:51:47 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | BUY | 50 | 41¢ | $20 | 0x92848e… |
| 10-26 06:50:00 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 60¢ | $0 | 0x0dc187… |
| 10-26 06:50:00 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | SELL | 0 | 40¢ | $0 | 0x0dc187… |
| 10-26 06:49:57 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0x0e0402… |
| 10-26 06:49:57 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | No | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x0e0402… |
| 10-26 06:49:57 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 58¢ | $0 | 0x249028… |
| 10-26 06:49:57 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 0 | 42¢ | $0 | 0x249028… |
| 10-26 06:49:57 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x0e0402… |
| 10-26 06:49:56 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 19 | 41¢ | $8 | 0xf2a942… |
| 10-26 06:49:56 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 20 | 41¢ | $8 | 0x7f4bee… |
| 10-26 06:49:56 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 20 | 41¢ | $8 | 0xd8e475… |
| 10-26 06:49:56 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0xd8e475… |
| 10-26 06:49:56 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | No | SELL | 19 | 41¢ | $8 | 0xf2a942… |
| 10-26 06:49:56 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x7f4bee… |
| 10-25 22:41:32 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 60¢ | $30 | 0xfd92d3… |
| 10-25 22:41:32 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | SELL | 50 | 40¢ | $20 | 0xfd92d3… |
| 10-24 15:58:08 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 60¢ | $4 | 0xbfb873… |
| 10-24 15:58:08 | (anonymous) 0xa5eb…6409 | No | SELL | 7 | 40¢ | $3 | 0xbfb873… |
| 10-24 15:40:47 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 194 | 60¢ | $116 | 0xa82b92… |
| 10-24 15:40:47 | (anonymous) 0xc327…ee64 | No | SELL | 194 | 40¢ | $77 | 0xa82b92… |
| 10-24 08:03:26 | (anonymous) 0xc60f…cce2 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 60¢ | $14 | 0x12e608… |
| 10-24 08:03:26 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 60¢ | $13 | 0x12e608… |
| 10-24 08:03:26 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x12e608… |
| 10-24 07:18:42 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0xf6d4bd… |
| 10-24 07:18:42 | (anonymous) 0xc60f…cce2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0xf6d4bd… |
| 10-24 06:18:05 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 50 | 41¢ | $20 | 0x274afa… |
| 10-24 06:18:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 50 | 41¢ | $20 | 0x274afa… |
| 10-24 06:17:56 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x917bad… |
| 10-24 06:17:56 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 1 | 40¢ | $0 | 0x917bad… |
| 10-24 06:17:54 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 43 | 41¢ | $18 | 0x2e4318… |
| 10-24 06:17:54 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 43 | 41¢ | $18 | 0x2e4318… |
| 10-24 06:17:53 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 59¢ | $25 | 0x350b25… |
| 10-24 06:17:53 | (anonymous) 0x5814…cb14 | No | BUY | 42 | 41¢ | $17 | 0x350b25… |
| 10-24 03:36:15 | (anonymous) 0x78f5…bccd | No | BUY | 6 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x0e3f32… |
| 10-24 03:36:15 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 6 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x0e3f32… |
| 10-24 02:59:45 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 57¢ | $0 | 0xc6fa8f… |
| 10-24 02:59:45 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 0 | 43¢ | $0 | 0xc6fa8f… |
| 10-24 02:59:42 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 19 | 41¢ | $8 | 0x63f7b0… |
| 10-24 02:59:42 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | BUY | 19 | 59¢ | $11 | 0xa05b6c… |
| 10-24 02:59:42 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 59¢ | $11 | 0x63f7b0… |
| 10-24 02:59:42 | (anonymous) 0xa742…9856 | No | BUY | 19 | 41¢ | $8 | 0xa05b6c… |
| 10-24 02:59:41 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 19 | 41¢ | $8 | 0xb03630… |
| 10-24 02:59:41 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 59¢ | $11 | 0x5b4ee4… |
| 10-24 02:59:41 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 19 | 41¢ | $8 | 0x5b4ee4… |
| 10-24 02:59:41 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | SELL | 19 | 41¢ | $8 | 0xb03630… |
| 10-23 23:44:23 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | No | SELL | 54 | 42¢ | $23 | 0x752864… |
| 10-23 23:44:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 58¢ | $31 | 0x752864… |
| 10-23 18:05:05 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 0 | 44¢ | $0 | 0xa05e01… |
| 10-23 18:05:05 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 56¢ | $0 | 0xa05e01… |
| 10-23 18:05:03 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | No | BUY | 73 | 42¢ | $31 | 0x191e7f… |
| 10-23 18:05:03 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 58¢ | $29 | 0x86fe80… |
| 10-23 18:05:03 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 73 | 42¢ | $31 | 0xdffcf9… |
| 10-23 18:05:03 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 58¢ | $42 | 0x191e7f… |
| 10-23 18:05:03 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 73 | 42¢ | $31 | 0x86fe80… |
| 10-23 18:05:03 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | BUY | 73 | 58¢ | $42 | 0xdffcf9… |
| 10-23 18:05:03 | Unsightly-Young 0x2c1a…42d8 | Yes | SELL | 74 | 58¢ | $43 | 0x86fe80… |
| 10-23 18:05:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 197 | 42¢ | $83 | 0x86fe80… |
| 10-23 16:41:33 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 7 | 43¢ | $3 | 0xe22e3b… |
| 10-23 16:41:33 | (anonymous) 0xa5eb…6409 | No | BUY | 7 | 43¢ | $3 | 0xe22e3b… |
| 10-23 16:41:32 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 57¢ | $28 | 0xc12888… |
| 10-23 16:41:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 50 | 43¢ | $22 | 0xc12888… |
| 10-23 07:13:06 | Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | No | BUY | 8 | 42¢ | $3 | 0x065a48… |
| 10-23 07:13:06 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 8 | 42¢ | $3 | 0x065a48… |
| 10-23 05:36:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x92841b… |
| 10-23 05:36:45 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x92841b… |
| 10-23 01:02:51 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xf4f79a… |
| 10-23 01:02:51 | (anonymous) 0xd45b…7ae6 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 59¢ | $30 | 0xf4f79a… |
| 10-23 01:02:51 | (anonymous) 0x91eb…6335 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 59¢ | $36 | 0xf4f79a… |
| 10-23 01:02:51 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x50f5b9… |
| 10-23 01:02:51 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0x50f5b9… |
| 10-22 20:44:56 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 58¢ | $18 | 0xf91841… |
| 10-22 20:44:56 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | SELL | 31 | 42¢ | $13 | 0xf91841… |
| 10-22 19:11:48 | White-Tabernacle 0xb3cf…4723 | No | BUY | 400 | 44¢ | $176 | 0x95efe0… |
| 10-22 19:11:48 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 395 | 56¢ | $221 | 0x95efe0… |
| 10-22 19:11:48 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x95efe0… |
| 10-22 18:10:30 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 57¢ | $28 | 0x576cf2… |
| 10-22 18:10:30 | (anonymous) 0xa742…9856 | No | SELL | 50 | 43¢ | $22 | 0x576cf2… |
| 10-22 16:37:17 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 56¢ | $59 | 0x9a620b… |
| 10-22 16:37:17 | Queasy-Cougar 0xa4b3…87b8 | No | BUY | 222 | 44¢ | $98 | 0x9a620b… |
| 10-22 16:37:17 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | SELL | 117 | 44¢ | $51 | 0x9a620b… |
| 10-22 16:27:42 | (anonymous) 0xa742…9856 | No | BUY | 45 | 43¢ | $19 | 0x2766b4… |
| 10-22 16:27:42 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x2766b4… |
| 10-22 16:27:42 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 50 | 43¢ | $22 | 0x2766b4… |
| 10-22 15:53:17 | (anonymous) 0x033b…5fd4 | No | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x883129… |
| 10-22 15:53:17 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x883129… |
| 10-22 15:51:11 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | SELL | 21 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x2a0180… |
| 10-22 15:51:11 | (anonymous) 0x5814…cb14 | No | BUY | 21 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x2a0180… |
| 10-22 15:50:54 | (anonymous) 0x5814…cb14 | No | BUY | 21 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x865e6e… |
| 10-22 15:50:54 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x865e6e… |
| 10-22 15:50:54 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | SELL | 16 | 44¢ | $7 | 0x865e6e… |
| 10-22 15:44:30 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | SELL | 102 | 43¢ | $44 | 0xe92779… |
| 10-22 15:44:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 94 | 43¢ | $41 | 0xe92779… |
| 10-22 15:44:30 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 8 | 43¢ | $3 | 0xe92779… |
| 10-22 15:25:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x621c66… |
| 10-22 15:25:44 | (anonymous) 0xa5eb…6409 | No | SELL | 6 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x621c66… |