Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$110

Unrealized P&L

-$117

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

Trades

164,469

lifetime

Volume

$3.03M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$519

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 12:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

70% 71% +$71

Politics

16% 37% +$7

Sports

11% 76% +$31

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 3025 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		-574	$-402	90¢	$-519	$-117	05-28 14:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	71	$30.1K	19,200	17,200	+2,000	open	—	04-21 19:31
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	798	$14.3K	10,858	10,915	-57	open	—	04-15 14:46
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	512	$13.5K	7,589	7,612	-24	open	—	04-15 07:56
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	324	$11.7K	6,704	6,305	+399	open	—	04-15 16:31
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	363	$10.3K	6,284	6,291	-7	open	—	03-14 07:19
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	410	$10.3K	5,627	5,547	+80	open	—	04-11 06:16
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	384	$9.9K	5,205	5,278	-74	open	—	04-15 05:47
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	327	$8.8K	4,658	4,681	-22	open	—	04-15 13:55
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	384	$8.7K	4,889	4,889	+0	open	—	04-15 14:43
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	312	$8.3K	6,610	6,778	-168	open	—	04-10 11:51
will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	265	$7.8K	4,386	4,317	+69	open	—	03-14 16:39
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	319	$7.2K	4,082	4,006	+76	open	—	02-22 09:20
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	209	$7.1K	3,730	3,655	+75	open	—	03-14 03:45
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	496	$6.8K	7,423	7,422	+1	open	—	04-15 12:43
will phan van giang be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	156	$6.6K	3,525	3,503	+22	open	—	01-23 06:24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	174	$6.5K	4,174	3,974	+200	open	—	03-13 10:44
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	148	$6.5K	3,367	3,352	+15	open	—	01-28 00:10
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	156	$6.4K	3,485	3,486	-1	open	—	04-14 14:01
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	384	$6.2K	4,379	4,297	+81	open	—	03-22 13:20
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	278	$6.2K	3,824	3,762	+62	open	—	04-15 08:39
will the us collect between 200b and 500b in revenue in 2025	316	$6.0K	3,610	3,436	+175	open	—	02-27 20:03
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	269	$5.8K	3,613	3,668	-55	open	—	03-30 07:20
will dominican republic win the 2026 world baseball classic	292	$5.8K	3,978	3,854	+124	open	—	03-15 16:16
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	282	$5.7K	4,595	4,388	+206	open	—	04-09 14:15
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	283	$5.7K	5,270	5,407	-137	open	—	02-27 00:14
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	197	$5.6K	3,703	3,856	-153	open	—	01-25 10:26
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	182	$5.6K	3,657	3,526	+131	open	—	04-11 18:33
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	342	$5.5K	7,240	7,033	+207	open	—	04-10 11:43
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	189	$5.4K	3,178	3,086	+92	open	—	04-07 05:24
will ryan coogler win best director at the 98th academy awards	159	$5.3K	2,940	2,773	+167	open	—	03-14 04:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:48:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	147	1¢	$2	0x59532b…
06-09 12:18:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x2b1719…
06-09 12:16:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xa7633e…
06-09 11:39:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x08cfc5…
06-09 11:07:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x4b729a…
06-09 11:07:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xe98581…
06-09 11:07:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xbab756…
06-09 11:00:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0xdb0899…
06-09 11:00:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	116	1¢	$1	0x7c0222…
06-09 11:00:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x6a8e52…
06-09 11:00:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x4469a2…
06-09 10:51:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	57	1¢	$1	0xb6cb89…
06-09 10:51:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x8702a5…
06-09 10:51:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$1	0x825348…
06-09 10:51:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	59	1¢	$1	0x6aad5b…
06-09 10:50:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	1,667	1¢	$20	0xcba405…
06-09 10:30:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	1,833	1¢	$22	0x751f2f…
06-09 10:25:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x030622…
06-09 10:18:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x58c061…
06-09 10:04:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x89db67…
06-09 10:04:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x3e882e…
06-09 09:58:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xe5ab36…
06-09 09:40:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	654	1¢	$8	0x0d8a7c…
05-31 20:50:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x571fdf…
05-31 20:50:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	1,619	6¢	$97	0x26b2a9…
05-31 20:33:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x94144f…
05-31 20:09:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	3,311	6¢	$199	0x17641c…
05-31 15:00:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	SELL	3,000	10¢	$300	0xbd6bce…
05-30 10:53:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	594	7¢	$42	0xe8a8d4…
05-30 10:36:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x94972a…
05-30 10:35:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x642d99…
05-30 10:35:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x8332d4…
05-30 10:35:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	888	7¢	$62	0x57e0cb…
05-30 10:32:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x3416d0…
05-30 10:32:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	51	7¢	$4	0x74e122…
05-30 10:32:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x9fa77b…
05-30 10:32:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	51	7¢	$4	0xa15007…
05-30 10:32:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	56	7¢	$4	0x794811…
05-30 10:32:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	51	7¢	$4	0x830cc8…
05-30 10:27:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0xf24822…
05-30 10:16:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xff83a7…
05-30 10:06:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xfd805c…
05-30 09:43:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0xbf6393…
05-30 09:25:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x0f8c38…
05-30 09:09:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	108	7¢	$8	0x031eb9…
05-30 08:49:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	329	7¢	$23	0x586dd3…
05-30 08:38:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	82	7¢	$6	0x9159e8…
05-30 08:19:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x59436e…
05-29 06:55:16	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	492	98¢	$484	0x487516…
05-29 06:54:48	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	508	98¢	$500	0x957e3a…
05-28 14:13:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	263	67¢	$176	0xd07cf9…
05-28 14:13:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	737	67¢	$494	0x9462c2…
05-28 14:12:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xea06d0…
05-28 14:11:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	116	68¢	$79	0xc8e817…
05-28 14:05:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	28	67¢	$19	0xb25f9e…
05-28 14:05:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xa88a93…
05-28 13:55:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x146ff2…
05-28 13:53:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	44	67¢	$29	0x290015…
05-28 13:47:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	70	67¢	$47	0x5d784c…
05-28 13:47:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0x1fccef…
05-28 13:39:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0x01b3bd…
05-28 13:38:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	29	68¢	$20	0xe4106d…
05-28 13:37:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	147	68¢	$100	0xcaff9d…
05-28 13:23:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x51c747…
05-28 13:12:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x8e5442…
05-28 13:12:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	294	68¢	$200	0xb23f87…
05-28 13:11:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	81	68¢	$55	0xc2a452…
05-28 13:11:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	836	68¢	$568	0xa2cae2…
05-28 05:59:36	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0xbd8376…
05-28 05:59:34	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xe5838b…
05-28 05:46:23	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x4e7349…
04-29 08:19:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	71¢	$710	0x0e3950…
04-28 13:33:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	70¢	$700	0x78d7c3…
04-28 08:34:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	193	86¢	$166	0x9f1d7c…
04-28 08:34:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x5236e3…
04-28 08:28:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	213	86¢	$183	0x8a1678…
04-28 08:25:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	589	86¢	$507	0x2aa49d…
04-28 07:21:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0x73c31d…
04-28 04:00:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	117	87¢	$102	0xda29c1…
04-28 03:48:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	299	87¢	$260	0x6423d8…
04-28 03:33:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xeb9e50…
04-28 03:18:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	28	87¢	$24	0x28ca8f…
04-28 03:00:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	22	87¢	$19	0x4c0c79…
04-28 02:57:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	463	87¢	$403	0x7418fb…
04-28 02:51:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x9e49dc…
04-28 02:47:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x2ec6a3…
04-28 02:46:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xd87aef…
04-28 02:34:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	29	87¢	$26	0x422cf6…
04-28 02:20:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xd0c67f…
04-28 02:19:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xb144d0…
04-27 10:13:50	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	SELL	766	16¢	$123	0x4ab573…
04-27 09:53:22	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xf5b217…
04-27 09:15:56	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xc7be69…
04-27 09:09:08	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	SELL	222	16¢	$35	0x35c49c…
04-27 07:53:22	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	BUY	465	15¢	$70	0x1a55ad…
04-27 07:43:50	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x91ed1d…
04-27 07:43:44	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xc561b9…
04-27 07:38:42	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Trail Blazers	BUY	513	15¢	$77	0xf89139…
04-27 06:49:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0xa5f321…
04-26 15:57:10	Will "SAKAMOTO DAYS" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?	No	SELL	46	79¢	$36	0x866468…