Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,369
$26,467 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$413,210
Latest YES mid
35¢
Latest NO mid
65¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 22:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.3¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $9
vs crowd: 100% YES on $2.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $9 | $2 | +$8 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $2.3K | $6 | +$2.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1.8K | — | +$1.8K |
| unranked | 27 | $505 | $8 | +$497 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | +5,031 | $1,759 | $1,759 | 6 | 05-05 14:32 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | +700 | $242 | $242 | 1 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Loyal-Gigantism 0x3851…3de0 | Yes | +565 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-05 10:21 |
| Digital-Assignment 0xa143…5b6f | Yes | +54 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-05 19:23 |
| Beautiful-Smock 0xb140…dcdf | Yes | +30 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-05 18:48 |
| Treasured-Yin 0x2824…da21 | Yes | +28 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 19:07 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +26 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-05 03:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x1861…3900 | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 18:35 |
| Good-Guerrilla 0x3743…93c5 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 14:22 |
| Weary-Jade 0xb953…ff83 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 06:00 |
| Square-Monopoly 0xe389…a867 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c14…264f | Yes | +5 | $2 | $9 | 4 | 05-05 14:32 |
| Worthwhile-Millisecond 0x82e7…c61c | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 03:50 |
| Calculating-Dissonance 0x5f75…f62c | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 19:06 |
| Unconscious-Frigate 0xab42…4c20 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 10:55 |
| Ecstatic-Spacing 0xbb4c…305e | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 09:36 |
| Twin-Savings 0xe5b7…fe86 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 16:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0be…6605 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 09:20 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 14:37 |
| Respectful-Back 0xc455…9a54 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 14:39 |
| Defenseless-Casualty 0x0e5b…d684 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 14:32 |
| Whopping-Surgeon 0xc8c2…765d | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 11:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 22:35:20 | Important-Minorleague 0xb544…e60b | Yes | SELL | 24 | 35¢ | $8 | 0x184a24… |
| 05-05 19:33:20 | Livid-Downfall 0x8b85…423b | Yes | SELL | 31 | 35¢ | $11 | 0xc922d5… |
| 05-05 19:23:00 | Digital-Assignment 0xa143…5b6f | Yes | BUY | 54 | 35¢ | $19 | 0x4003ec… |
| 05-05 19:07:50 | Treasured-Yin 0x2824…da21 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 35¢ | $10 | 0x77e6a5… |
| 05-05 19:06:40 | Calculating-Dissonance 0x5f75…f62c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xa7e2fa… |
| 05-05 18:48:00 | Beautiful-Smock 0xb140…dcdf | Yes | BUY | 25 | 35¢ | $9 | 0x49aa4d… |
| 05-05 18:35:56 | (anonymous) 0x1861…3900 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x2ffd94… |
| 05-05 18:23:08 | (anonymous) 0xb5cd…184c | Yes | SELL | 46 | 35¢ | $16 | 0xe4d4b7… |
| 05-05 16:39:42 | Watchful-Temporary 0x99f1…946c | Yes | SELL | 36 | 35¢ | $13 | 0x272cca… |
| 05-05 16:22:38 | Twin-Savings 0xe5b7…fe86 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xdccba3… |
| 05-05 14:39:48 | Respectful-Back 0xc455…9a54 | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0xb9eb3a… |
| 05-05 14:37:32 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 3 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x89d9fc… |
| 05-05 14:32:30 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | BUY | 126 | 36¢ | $45 | 0x448a61… |
| 05-05 14:32:26 | (anonymous) 0x5c14…264f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x89e14f… |
| 05-05 14:32:26 | Defenseless-Casualty 0x0e5b…d684 | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x7d37cd… |
| 05-05 14:22:22 | Good-Guerrilla 0x3743…93c5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x54090b… |
| 05-05 14:17:28 | Square-Monopoly 0xe389…a867 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xb790fb… |
| 05-05 13:46:52 | (anonymous) 0x5c14…264f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xfcc75b… |
| 05-05 13:40:26 | (anonymous) 0x5c14…264f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x786cab… |
| 05-05 11:31:38 | Whopping-Surgeon 0xc8c2…765d | No | BUY | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x0e4dd1… |
| 05-05 10:55:18 | Unconscious-Frigate 0xab42…4c20 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x7052ef… |
| 05-05 10:21:18 | Loyal-Gigantism 0x3851…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 565 | 35¢ | $200 | 0x0e24b1… |
| 05-05 09:36:08 | Ecstatic-Spacing 0xbb4c…305e | No | BUY | 4 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x72dd59… |
| 05-05 09:20:08 | (anonymous) 0xa0be…6605 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x8d2ab9… |
| 05-05 08:51:26 | (anonymous) 0x5c14…264f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x4ce761… |
| 05-05 06:10:06 | Dim-Oboe 0x2e35…0d9c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x82bfbf… |
| 05-05 06:00:06 | Weary-Jade 0xb953…ff83 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xc68941… |
| 05-05 04:35:32 | Interesting-Hydrant 0xe42b…13ad | Yes | SELL | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x0af218… |
| 05-05 03:50:08 | Worthwhile-Millisecond 0x82e7…c61c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xfe0e9a… |
| 05-05 03:27:18 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 35¢ | $9 | 0x077019… |
| 05-04 21:49:52 | Beautiful-Smock 0xb140…dcdf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x0e01d3… |
| 05-04 20:44:40 | Spherical-Therapist 0xdaff…87e3 | No | SELL | 50 | 64¢ | $32 | 0x900bb8… |
| 05-04 20:19:36 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 35¢ | $347 | 0xfd11df… |
| 05-04 20:19:36 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 700 | 35¢ | $242 | 0xe04688… |
| 05-04 20:19:36 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | BUY | 905 | 35¢ | $320 | 0x12041e… |
| 05-04 20:19:36 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 35¢ | $351 | 0x6ff1fb… |
| 05-04 20:19:36 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 35¢ | $351 | 0x368f5b… |
| 05-04 20:19:36 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 35¢ | $346 | 0x8afff5… |