Precious-Split — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$332

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-17 07:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 50% $-44

Other

4% — —

Politics

2% 0% $-1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	4	$87	56	56	+0	Yes	+$3	05-12 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	2	$42	55	0	+55	Down	$-42	05-13 07:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	1	$40	0	41	-41	No	$-0	05-12 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	5	$32	20	20	+0	Down	+$4	05-11 14:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	4	$31	17	17	+0	Yes	+$3	05-11 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	5	$24	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	05-10 16:55
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	3	$15	23	0	+23	Yes	$-15	05-10 18:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	6	$10	9	9	+0	No	$-0	05-10 18:01
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	2	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	05-10 18:01
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	4	$4	22	22	+0	open	—	04-29 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$3	17	17	+0	open	—	04-29 10:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 14:00
James Comey arrested by April 29?	2	$3	110	0	+110	open	—	04-29 18:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	3	$3	16	6	+10	No	$-1	04-29 11:05
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	4	$3	28	27	+0	open	—	05-17 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$2	7	7	+0	open	—	04-29 10:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	2	$2	9	9	+0	open	—	04-29 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-29 10:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-28 17:03
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	04-28 12:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$2	11	11	+0	open	—	04-28 17:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	31	31	+0	open	—	04-29 13:38
Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?	2	$1	28	26	+1	open	—	04-29 09:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$1	167	0	+167	open	—	04-29 11:12
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	1	$1	70	0	+70	open	—	04-28 16:29
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	04-28 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	04-29 10:04
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1	54	0	+54	open	—	04-28 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	04-29 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-29 13:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 07:57:47	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x0f6c46…
05-13 07:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0xe20be5…
05-13 07:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x3e5c50…
05-12 16:24:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x763a7c…
05-12 15:00:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x72df4b…
05-12 14:42:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xc4cd61…
05-12 07:48:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0xb20fc4…
05-12 07:44:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x66423e…
05-11 14:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x8ac039…
05-11 14:59:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xe96650…
05-11 12:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x2953a9…
05-11 08:02:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0x559fc7…
05-11 04:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x61863b…
05-10 20:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xa893e6…
05-10 18:44:32	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xff7225…
05-10 18:01:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x1cfad8…
05-10 18:01:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x451b8c…
05-10 18:01:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x125049…
05-10 17:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xbe1a82…
05-10 17:04:45	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9781d6…
05-10 17:03:33	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa37f43…
05-10 16:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xa6a5a4…
05-10 08:33:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbe370e…
05-10 08:33:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xbf8f6f…
05-10 07:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x00278e…
05-10 07:04:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	No	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x0a66f6…
05-10 07:03:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xacd026…
05-10 07:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x063517…
05-10 07:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x86600a…
05-10 06:54:25	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x16aaba…
05-10 06:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xf373b1…
05-10 06:29:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd5b560…
05-10 06:27:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xeb94d9…
04-29 18:25:26	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2e3cce…
04-29 18:25:06	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xdcec95…
04-29 14:14:18	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x456889…
04-29 14:14:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	No	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xc0492d…
04-29 14:01:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x8d9d7e…
04-29 14:00:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x622f8c…
04-29 13:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x161dc2…
04-29 13:38:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x6f200c…
04-29 11:46:10	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x074ef4…
04-29 11:45:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7f5fab…
04-29 11:12:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xe18f7d…
04-29 11:06:38	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf76e4c…
04-29 11:05:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x09ef33…
04-29 10:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x004d27…
04-29 10:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7aec8e…
04-29 10:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x73376e…
04-29 10:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x116c7c…
04-29 10:38:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x09d0d9…
04-29 10:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2f391f…
04-29 10:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x33b215…
04-29 10:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbde4ec…
04-29 10:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0x977ddd…
04-29 10:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf45218…
04-29 10:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe78e72…
04-29 10:08:34	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x458fb0…
04-29 10:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb1ff81…
04-29 09:11:52	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xca7c1e…
04-29 09:04:08	Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x4819e7…
04-28 17:12:56	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x40885b…
04-28 17:12:48	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0xa0fb08…
04-28 17:03:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x48d6aa…
04-28 16:30:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x42e94b…
04-28 16:29:44	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Galions	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x79ac1c…
04-28 13:28:26	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb9deef…
04-28 12:33:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x84cf3d…
04-28 12:33:40	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x97f8b9…
04-28 10:47:06	Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x94b403…
04-28 10:45:44	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9beb0c…
04-28 10:40:24	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd14d42…
04-28 10:36:48	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0xf647bc…
04-28 10:30:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0b7909…
04-28 10:20:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x191d7c…
04-28 10:11:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x548f7d…
04-28 10:02:10	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xed9e86…
04-28 09:15:46	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2a417b…