US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
open
Total volume
$25,298
$379,282 in 24h
Trades
40
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$186,996
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 18:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $1 | $8.2K | $8.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $4.0K | $4.0K |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 32 | $1 | $4.2K | $4.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talkative-Painting 0x0a54…4a03 | No | +3,972 | $3,960 | $3,960 | 1 | 05-05 00:34 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | +2,562 | $2,555 | $2,555 | 2 | 05-05 00:55 |
| Opulent-Right 0xb100…6461 | No | +577 | $574 | $574 | 1 | 05-04 23:49 |
| Woeful-Strap 0x5d05…6320 | Yes | +352 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 04:30 |
| Well-To-Do-Coliseum 0x17ba…c80f | No | +160 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 05-05 13:45 |
| Flowery-Trachoma 0xff7a…c85d | No | +114 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 05-05 13:50 |
| Mixed-Forecast 0xef61…94cb | No | +111 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 05-05 16:27 |
| Meager-Credit 0xef83…614c | No | +111 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 05-05 15:37 |
| Creepy-Sport 0x6048…16d6 | No | +102 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 05-05 16:27 |
| Glossy-Delight 0x70ed…b41a | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-05 16:27 |
| Impartial-Spectrum 0xa6c4…d601 | No | +88 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 05-05 13:40 |
| Sharp-Empowerment 0xeee3…f0e1 | No | +72 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 05-05 07:10 |
| Broken-Frock 0x423f…2b80 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-05 02:49 |
| Downright-Mountain 0x7c86…01b8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 08:25 |
| Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 22:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 18:26:42 | Writhing-Lettuce-Sadness 0x95dd…3641 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x661117… |
| 05-05 18:14:16 | (anonymous) 0x4245…62eb | No | SELL | 1,120 | 100¢ | $1,119 | 0x9d6cce… |
| 05-05 18:02:58 | Ignorant-Front 0x0dd6…5f62 | No | SELL | 6,450 | 100¢ | $6,443 | 0x560628… |
| 05-05 17:14:56 | Serious-Immigrant 0xed07…b712 | No | SELL | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0xe944ea… |
| 05-05 17:14:52 | Serious-Immigrant 0xed07…b712 | No | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0x582106… |
| 05-05 17:14:48 | Serious-Immigrant 0xed07…b712 | No | SELL | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0x02203e… |
| 05-05 17:14:44 | Serious-Immigrant 0xed07…b712 | No | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0xfe934b… |
| 05-05 16:44:54 | Serious-Immigrant 0xed07…b712 | No | SELL | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0xa46cac… |
| 05-05 16:44:50 | Serious-Immigrant 0xed07…b712 | No | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0x619d4e… |
| 05-05 16:27:48 | Glossy-Delight 0x70ed…b41a | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x7005c5… |
| 05-05 16:27:42 | Creepy-Sport 0x6048…16d6 | No | BUY | 102 | 100¢ | $102 | 0x092369… |
| 05-05 16:27:34 | Mixed-Forecast 0xef61…94cb | No | BUY | 111 | 100¢ | $111 | 0xb1cf0b… |
| 05-05 15:37:28 | Meager-Credit 0xef83…614c | No | BUY | 111 | 100¢ | $111 | 0xbb7201… |
| 05-05 14:54:34 | Safe-Shift 0xfa18…65de | No | SELL | 53 | 100¢ | $53 | 0x1682d1… |
| 05-05 14:39:52 | Glamorous-Rhyme 0x78b3…b95a | No | SELL | 400 | 100¢ | $400 | 0xe965b1… |
| 05-05 14:29:36 | Unwitting-Decency 0xd955…3b46 | No | SELL | 51 | 100¢ | $51 | 0x4fdba4… |
| 05-05 14:14:44 | Meek-Vacuum 0x7222…71f2 | No | SELL | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0x6f5972… |
| 05-05 14:07:02 | Whole-Amount 0xe425…89d4 | No | SELL | 51 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x1dfe10… |
| 05-05 13:50:28 | Flowery-Trachoma 0xff7a…c85d | No | BUY | 114 | 100¢ | $114 | 0x2167aa… |
| 05-05 13:45:26 | Well-To-Do-Coliseum 0x17ba…c80f | No | BUY | 160 | 100¢ | $160 | 0xa4227a… |
| 05-05 13:40:26 | Impartial-Spectrum 0xa6c4…d601 | No | BUY | 88 | 100¢ | $88 | 0x8d8e37… |
| 05-05 10:01:32 | Important-Baritone 0x6424…2718 | Yes | SELL | 294 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbe926d… |
| 05-05 08:25:18 | Downright-Mountain 0x7c86…01b8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0bbb36… |
| 05-05 07:15:44 | Necessary-Utilization 0xd3f6…f654 | No | SELL | 122 | 100¢ | $122 | 0xb15e0c… |
| 05-05 07:10:48 | Sharp-Empowerment 0xeee3…f0e1 | No | BUY | 72 | 100¢ | $72 | 0x320330… |
| 05-05 07:06:00 | Dramatic-Dozen 0x5969…5bed | No | SELL | 7,110 | 100¢ | $7,096 | 0xd4b733… |
| 05-05 05:45:38 | Free-Analog 0x4161…6290 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xda2e3b… |
| 05-05 04:55:48 | Different-Stud 0xd6db…edbe | No | SELL | 84 | 100¢ | $84 | 0xe8e36e… |
| 05-05 04:30:10 | Woeful-Strap 0x5d05…6320 | Yes | BUY | 352 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf0a544… |
| 05-05 03:28:04 | Realistic-Backup 0x083e…81a1 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xc8acca… |
| 05-05 02:49:54 | Broken-Frock 0x423f…2b80 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xbe7f49… |
| 05-05 01:24:56 | Light-Formation 0x03ce…fa72 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd066ff… |
| 05-05 00:55:18 | Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x8b0d20… |
| 05-05 00:55:08 | Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | No | BUY | 2,551 | 100¢ | $2,543 | 0x6d2329… |
| 05-05 00:34:36 | Talkative-Painting 0x0a54…4a03 | No | BUY | 3,972 | 100¢ | $3,960 | 0x2ff270… |
| 05-04 23:49:52 | Opulent-Right 0xb100…6461 | No | BUY | 577 | 100¢ | $574 | 0x422652… |
| 05-04 23:45:06 | Quiet-Joy 0x2a48…0806 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x92330c… |
| 05-04 22:39:58 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xf2599f… |
| 05-04 21:24:14 | Required-Jellyfish 0xdae3…0863 | No | SELL | 195 | 100¢ | $194 | 0xc8cf41… |
| 05-04 21:04:16 | Precious-Clearance 0xbc65…0a92 | No | SELL | 1,211 | 100¢ | $1,205 | 0x048257… |