Whirlwind-Thermals — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

519

Trades

890

lifetime

Volume

$2.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 05-20 07:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Other

72% 71% -$32

Politics

17% 74% +$0

Sports

7% 78% +$13

Tech

2% 89% +$1

Crypto

1% 93% +$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 22c	2	$35	31	30	+1	Yes	+$25	04-02 15:36
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	3	$20	13	13	+0	No	+$0	05-20 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 25?	3	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$2	04-25 12:19
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$20	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-20 07:32
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$19	30	30	+0	No	+$1	05-20 07:32
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$19	185	185	+0	No	$0	05-20 07:32
highest temperature in chengdu on april 3 2026 25c	2	$18	13	13	+0	Yes	+$8	04-03 12:35
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$17	19	19	+0	No	+$1	05-15 03:45
highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 21c	2	$16	16	16	+0	Yes	+$14	03-28 07:53
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	4	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	05-13 17:55
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$16	17	0	+17	No	+$1	04-27 23:34
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	6	$16	19	15	+3	No	$0	05-15 10:20
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 17c	7	$15	11	11	+0	No	-$3	04-23 13:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$14	8	8	+0	No	+$2	05-09 04:03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$14	31	31	+0	No	-$10	05-18 15:31
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	7	$13	15	0	+15	No	+$2	05-12 01:46
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$1	04-24 15:45
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$13	15	0	+15	Yes	+$2	05-12 18:47
highest temperature in beijing on april 23 2026 25c	2	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	04-23 09:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	05-19 17:15
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	3	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	05-20 07:33
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	3	$12	8	8	+0	Yes	$0	05-20 07:33
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	17	$12	400	400	+0	No	+$2	05-19 17:12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$11	25	0	+25	Yes	+$14	05-18 07:58
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$11	23	18	+5	No	-$3	05-18 03:56
highest temperature in shanghai on april 4 2026 22c	2	$11	31	30	+1	No	-$9	04-04 05:41
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	2	$11	7	7	+0	No	+$1	05-20 07:33
Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	05-20 07:33
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5	3	$11	16	16	+0	Over	-$9	05-19 02:57
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-12 08:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 07:39:26	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x7aa0cd…
05-20 07:39:19	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xd43983…
05-20 07:39:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x4a7fb0…
05-20 07:39:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdc2ff7…
05-20 07:38:56	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xe9cb4d…
05-20 07:38:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x89da02…
05-20 07:38:39	Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1c27d4…
05-20 07:38:28	Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf77f84…
05-20 07:38:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x97a908…
05-20 07:38:09	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc04dae…
05-20 07:37:57	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb898b7…
05-20 07:37:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x951002…
05-20 07:37:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x6bd2c6…
05-20 07:37:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xfff5e5…
05-20 07:37:11	Will Yuri Fulmer win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xf5b3d2…
05-20 07:36:59	Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?	Yes	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x271ebb…
05-20 07:36:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x90568a…
05-20 07:36:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa922e1…
05-20 07:36:33	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x4d5890…
05-20 07:36:24	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x11bdbd…
05-20 07:36:15	Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xd8321e…
05-20 07:36:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xb01ce3…
05-20 07:35:51	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa8fd69…
05-20 07:35:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x69638f…
05-20 07:35:37	Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x9ce157…
05-20 07:35:28	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xd21370…
05-20 07:35:21	Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0x1d903c…
05-20 07:35:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x92b1de…
05-20 07:35:04	Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xe5bfed…
05-20 07:34:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf5c638…
05-20 07:34:44	Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x49ac0a…
05-20 07:34:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xd75427…
05-20 07:34:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4504ab…
05-20 07:33:52	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x96bc5d…
05-20 07:33:43	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	16¢	$5	0x78a9dd…
05-20 07:33:34	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x92bbf2…
05-20 07:33:24	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x14393b…
05-20 07:33:15	Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x36f77e…
05-20 07:33:08	Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x61bfa8…
05-20 07:33:01	Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Yes	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xab705f…
05-20 07:32:54	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	185	5¢	$9	0x3e107a…
05-20 07:32:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0x263724…
05-20 07:32:37	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0x98f741…
05-20 07:32:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0x271470…
05-20 07:27:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	17¢	$5	0x5608c5…
05-20 07:25:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x1b1242…
05-20 07:22:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1a5f92…
05-20 01:26:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x941623…
05-20 01:22:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x6b7989…
05-20 00:34:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1ebe92…
05-20 00:31:27	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0c5097…
05-20 00:24:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x830a30…
05-19 23:35:04	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x774be1…
05-19 17:20:08	Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x276d42…
05-19 17:15:14	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x72d89c…
05-19 17:12:43	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xf832a7…
05-19 16:12:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc7d8c8…
05-19 08:42:36	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	1¢	$0	0x2b7db4…
05-19 08:40:30	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x95c873…
05-19 08:39:34	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x0b5a5a…
05-19 08:29:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xf88696…
05-19 08:27:54	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x504dcb…
05-19 08:25:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x59ca8d…
05-19 08:22:44	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x367966…
05-19 08:21:34	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x9b7925…
05-19 08:19:49	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x26cea5…
05-19 08:17:52	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	185	5¢	$10	0xafc59e…
05-19 08:09:24	Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb28681…
05-19 08:07:20	Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xd286c2…
05-19 08:05:44	Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x22cbbc…
05-19 08:03:32	Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc676ca…
05-19 08:01:51	Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x137829…
05-19 07:07:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x9c33f6…
05-19 04:29:52	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x28548b…
05-19 04:28:37	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xba9df5…
05-19 04:25:57	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x8d97c1…
05-19 03:08:31	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x93d194…
05-19 02:57:54	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5	Over	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0x95df88…
05-19 02:57:44	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5	Over	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x95923c…
05-19 02:34:01	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x28e798…
05-19 01:24:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x16db08…
05-19 01:19:19	Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf40a50…
05-18 23:39:59	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb7a4cf…
05-18 23:38:38	mlb lad sd 2026 05 18 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc450f6…
05-18 23:38:12	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xdb9e68…
05-18 23:35:13	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xb61628…
05-18 23:33:02	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xec4bc2…
05-18 23:32:29	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xcb258b…
05-18 23:31:03	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x28b7ae…
05-18 23:30:32	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xefc6c2…
05-18 23:26:14	Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x70c8ed…
05-18 15:48:25	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xdd1e45…
05-18 15:31:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	6¢	$2	0x6100ef…
05-18 14:26:24	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x686e91…
05-18 14:16:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa9991b…
05-18 09:51:26	Will "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5dcdc0…
05-18 09:50:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x06700f…
05-18 09:49:01	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfa7737…
05-18 09:46:43	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xffc6aa…
05-18 09:45:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1c242b…