Whirlwind-Thermals — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.6%

Resolved

Trades

530

lifetime

Volume

$1.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 05-20 07:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

75% 100% +$2

Politics

12% 100% +$3

Sports

10% 78% +$2

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 22c	2	$35	31	30	+1	open	—	04-02 15:36
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 25?	3	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-25 12:19
highest temperature in chengdu on april 3 2026 25c	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	04-03 12:35
highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 21c	2	$16	16	16	+0	open	—	03-28 07:53
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	04-27 23:34
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 17c	7	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	04-23 13:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$14	8	8	+0	No	+$2	05-09 04:03
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	7	$13	15	0	+15	open	—	05-12 01:46
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-24 15:45
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$13	15	0	+15	open	—	05-12 18:47
highest temperature in beijing on april 23 2026 25c	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-23 09:05
highest temperature in shanghai on april 4 2026 22c	2	$11	31	30	+1	open	—	04-04 05:41
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5	3	$11	16	16	+0	open	—	05-19 02:57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-09 04:02
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 15:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 07:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 07:34
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 05:53
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 16corhigher	1	$10	52	0	+52	open	—	04-04 18:52
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	2	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-18 23:31
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 07:35
highest temperature in chengdu on april 3 2026 26c	4	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	04-03 12:34
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	03-06 20:08
highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 78 79f	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-23 23:51
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	2	$9	12	0	+12	open	—	05-18 23:30
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-11 01:30
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5	2	$9	5	5	+0	Over	+$1	05-14 03:21
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-09 12:34
highest temperature in miami on april 22 2026 78 79f	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-23 00:29
highest temperature in atlanta on april 23 2026 82 83f	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 00:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 07:39:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x4a7fb0…
05-20 07:38:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x89da02…
05-20 07:38:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x97a908…
05-20 07:37:57	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb898b7…
05-20 07:37:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x951002…
05-20 07:37:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x6bd2c6…
05-20 07:37:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xfff5e5…
05-20 07:36:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x90568a…
05-20 07:36:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa922e1…
05-20 07:36:33	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x4d5890…
05-20 07:36:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xb01ce3…
05-20 07:35:51	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa8fd69…
05-20 07:35:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x92b1de…
05-20 07:34:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf5c638…
05-20 07:34:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4504ab…
05-20 00:34:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1ebe92…
05-20 00:31:27	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0c5097…
05-20 00:24:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x830a30…
05-19 23:35:04	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x774be1…
05-19 07:07:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x9c33f6…
05-19 03:08:31	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x93d194…
05-19 02:57:54	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5	Over	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0x95df88…
05-19 02:57:44	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5	Over	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x95923c…
05-19 01:24:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x16db08…
05-18 23:38:38	mlb lad sd 2026 05 18 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc450f6…
05-18 23:38:12	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xdb9e68…
05-18 23:35:13	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xb61628…
05-18 23:33:02	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5	Over	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xec4bc2…
05-18 23:32:29	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xcb258b…
05-18 23:31:03	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x28b7ae…
05-18 23:30:32	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xefc6c2…
05-18 15:48:25	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xdd1e45…
05-18 14:26:24	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x686e91…
05-18 06:59:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1585ca…
05-18 06:53:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x42e209…
05-18 06:52:28	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xfa65c4…
05-18 06:51:55	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xea4c2b…
05-17 20:18:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcf3af8…
05-17 20:12:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3db1fb…
05-17 20:08:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xabd788…
05-17 19:59:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x74124b…
05-17 19:56:27	Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbab6a5…
05-17 19:52:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1c77e8…
05-17 19:49:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb4d646…
05-17 16:30:27	Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x909ab7…
05-17 10:06:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xf487a1…
05-17 09:38:00	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5	Over	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x590969…
05-17 09:37:50	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5	Over	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd01e23…
05-17 05:10:24	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x88add0…
05-16 16:21:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xf19b31…
05-16 16:21:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x31ccbf…
05-16 14:49:50	Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x83128f…
05-16 14:31:45	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x14e33f…
05-16 09:06:07	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5	Over	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xc22a6d…
05-15 10:28:57	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd85c79…
05-15 10:23:32	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc56cfe…
05-15 10:01:25	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x17b9f2…
05-15 10:01:24	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xb27c9d…
05-15 04:47:48	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x962475…
05-15 03:42:00	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x551da6…
05-15 03:41:53	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5	Over	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3e06e6…
05-15 03:40:30	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5	Over	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x7bb45e…
05-14 19:19:15	Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xec31b8…
05-14 18:02:15	Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x45ceb9…
05-14 17:50:14	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4b246c…
05-14 17:28:49	Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x669b07…
05-14 17:15:38	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x5fc8a3…
05-14 16:11:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x294bd9…
05-14 03:44:12	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x821bcd…
05-14 03:43:42	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x912b94…
05-14 03:43:24	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x4a806b…
05-14 03:21:49	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x312935…
05-13 08:03:23	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5	Over	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4ddbcf…
05-13 06:21:16	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	Pistons	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0208f4…
05-13 06:12:01	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7cdbea…
05-13 02:18:29	Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4553b8…
05-13 02:16:46	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3a9294…
05-13 02:05:15	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x0e0298…
05-13 01:52:40	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x5dfd8c…
05-12 18:47:41	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x7934b2…
05-12 17:50:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf407b6…
05-12 17:41:50	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x873a51…
05-12 17:40:08	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8630f0…
05-12 17:33:19	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xf9689d…
05-12 10:41:15	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x48a621…
05-12 02:01:35	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x546317…
05-12 02:01:02	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdd81d7…
05-12 02:00:16	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5	Over	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa88c6c…
05-12 01:46:53	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xa6656f…
05-12 01:42:55	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x83f1f1…
05-11 10:16:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x0ca5f0…
05-11 10:15:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2d7b2c…
05-11 07:48:48	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9f5157…
05-11 07:47:55	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6422ff…
05-11 02:12:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa2b707…
05-11 01:30:02	Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xed5cb6…
05-10 17:06:04	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2e628f…
05-10 17:02:23	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0f8118…
05-10 07:02:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x4e90c7…
05-10 01:37:47	Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x13dadd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	227	$372.4K	33,145	05-31 17:26
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	225	$273.4K	22,292	05-31 15:28
Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9	211	$286.3K	21,226	05-29 23:54
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	208	$148.0K	18,870	04-25 14:25
Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f	191	$1.89K	1,173	05-13 16:31
Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f	182	$40.6K	14,113	05-20 15:13
Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50	165	$23.6K	2,336	04-28 09:04
White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb	164	$32.9K	6,364	04-27 07:15