Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
open
Total volume
$262
$26,971 in 24h
Trades
21
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$46,139
Latest YES mid
78¢
Latest NO mid
22¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.5¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $5
vs crowd: 100% YES on $225)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $219 | $1 | +$218 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $40 | — | +$40 |
| unranked | 18 | $172 | $1 | +$171 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thrifty-Dungeon 0xfc1f…a246 | Yes | +100 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-04 23:39 |
| Unhealthy-Grandparent 0x1e20…a1aa | Yes | +51 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-05 04:30 |
| Difficult-Ultimatum 0x2075…e67c | Yes | +38 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-05 19:57 |
| Uneven-Relationship 0x06d4…8264 | Yes | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-05 20:59 |
| Exemplary-Fifth 0xd8c1…16c0 | Yes | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 10:25 |
| Unfinished-Thing 0xf126…4754 | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-04 21:29 |
| Scary-Round 0xb289…33b5 | Yes | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 01:55 |
| Major-Composition 0xcc8e…5e49 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 02:40 |
| Pointed-Sender 0x1fbb…3713 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 21:10 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 15:29 |
| Strange-Undertaker 0x12b2…a11d | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 00:55 |
| Round-Sole 0xed4d…2dfd | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 12:50 |
| Focused-Chief 0x16d0…d266 | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 20:54 |
| Grounded-Leader 0x3a4c…42b1 | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 18:26 |
| Perfect-Attendance 0x54a5…130c | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 21:14 |
| Delayed-Validate 0x5f1b…0223 | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 21:45 |
| Complete-Loan 0x4e27…c8f1 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 02:30 |
| Fitting-Somewhere 0x926d…6aa7 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 06:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a55…ebec | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 08:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 21:45:10 | Delayed-Validate 0x5f1b…0223 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 78¢ | $3 | 0xc636cd… |
| 05-05 21:14:56 | Perfect-Attendance 0x54a5…130c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 78¢ | $3 | 0x80ddc9… |
| 05-05 21:10:02 | Pointed-Sender 0x1fbb…3713 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x2bf9de… |
| 05-05 20:59:58 | Uneven-Relationship 0x06d4…8264 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $15 | 0xe0eb45… |
| 05-05 20:54:44 | Focused-Chief 0x16d0…d266 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 78¢ | $3 | 0xa47605… |
| 05-05 19:57:18 | Difficult-Ultimatum 0x2075…e67c | Yes | BUY | 38 | 78¢ | $30 | 0xce86e9… |
| 05-05 18:26:44 | Grounded-Leader 0x3a4c…42b1 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 78¢ | $3 | 0x33f7dd… |
| 05-05 15:29:42 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x909d25… |
| 05-05 12:50:36 | Round-Sole 0xed4d…2dfd | Yes | BUY | 4 | 78¢ | $3 | 0x01e1e6… |
| 05-05 10:25:14 | Exemplary-Fifth 0xd8c1…16c0 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x418894… |
| 05-05 08:36:16 | (anonymous) 0x5a55…ebec | Yes | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xa90d98… |
| 05-05 07:30:58 | Unsteady-Variability 0x52c5…4a9c | Yes | SELL | 25 | 77¢ | $20 | 0xf87934… |
| 05-05 06:25:28 | Fitting-Somewhere 0x926d…6aa7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x82cf0d… |
| 05-05 06:20:42 | (anonymous) 0xa1d6…a7bd | Yes | SELL | 23 | 77¢ | $18 | 0x7244c9… |
| 05-05 04:30:40 | Unhealthy-Grandparent 0x1e20…a1aa | Yes | BUY | 51 | 78¢ | $40 | 0xcc5e23… |
| 05-05 02:40:00 | Major-Composition 0xcc8e…5e49 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x82f507… |
| 05-05 02:30:06 | Complete-Loan 0x4e27…c8f1 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0xeca960… |
| 05-05 01:55:00 | Scary-Round 0xb289…33b5 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 79¢ | $7 | 0xce7316… |
| 05-05 00:55:10 | Strange-Undertaker 0x12b2…a11d | No | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x9e1171… |
| 05-04 23:39:54 | Thrifty-Dungeon 0xfc1f…a246 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0x7ebe2f… |
| 05-04 21:29:42 | Unfinished-Thing 0xf126…4754 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x2e8cbe… |