Livid-Menu — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$252

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.4%

Resolved

Trades

278

lifetime

Volume

$3.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-22 10:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 43% $-242

Other

34% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-10

Tech

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	6	$689	954	452	+502	open	—	05-30 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$241	209	199	+10	Down	+$19	05-04 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$182	323	312	+11	Up	$-27	05-04 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$155	634	634	+0	Down	$-65	05-04 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$110	322	0	+322	Down	$-110	05-04 22:30
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	4	$73	88	93	-5	open	—	06-01 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	4	$67	79	79	+0	Down	+$27	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$64	53	42	+11	Up	+$15	05-04 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	6	$63	69	69	+0	Down	+$3	05-04 22:24
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	2	$60	33	33	+0	open	—	06-03 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$47	68	68	+0	Up	+$7	05-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$46	48	48	+0	Up	+$6	05-04 23:47
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$44	182	182	+0	open	—	06-12 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$42	52	21	+31	Up	$-18	05-04 23:16
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	123	$41	4,105	10	+4,095	open	—	03-11 05:52
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	1	$40	67	0	+67	open	—	05-29 21:30
worst cup fakers fc vspt infamous fc 20260603233701031	3	$40	60	20	+40	open	—	06-06 11:52
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 3pt5	2	$39	58	58	+0	open	—	07-11 21:37
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 5pt5	2	$38	50	50	+0	open	—	06-18 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$36	197	30	+167	Down	$-4	05-04 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$35	39	25	+14	Down	+$9	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$31	50	32	+18	Down	$-9	05-04 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$31	46	29	+16	Down	$-9	05-05 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$29	38	26	+12	Down	+$1	05-05 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$25	37	37	+0	Up	+$5	05-05 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$23	47	47	+0	Down	$-17	05-05 11:51
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals mikel oyarzabal gte1	2	$23	25	25	+0	open	—	06-15 16:50
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	2	$21	43	20	+23	open	—	06-18 20:44
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	06-16 07:23
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	1	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	06-16 07:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 10:51:37	btc updown 5m 1784717400	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x635b69…
07-22 10:43:43	btc updown 5m 1784716800	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x26f953…
07-20 13:31:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd98880…
07-14 15:45:28	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x1c1321…
07-11 21:37:14	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	58	32¢	$19	0xaa268f…
07-11 21:00:10	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x4b15c1…
07-11 20:46:19	btc updown 5m 1783802700	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x045d15…
07-11 20:37:40	btc updown 5m 1783802100	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x514ae6…
07-11 20:35:04	btc updown 5m 1783801800	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xef42ba…
07-11 20:33:19	btc updown 5m 1783801800	Down	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xbb1a37…
07-11 20:30:25	btc updown 5m 1783801800	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x110337…
07-11 20:11:52	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x704606…
07-11 20:10:44	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	58	34¢	$20	0xbce5bf…
07-10 19:46:43	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners team away 2pt5	Over	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x0fd0be…
06-26 23:43:16	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x8d402a…
06-26 23:41:31	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x846272…
06-26 12:47:53	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x8569b5…
06-26 11:46:04	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xdcea35…
06-26 10:54:37	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xe6983b…
06-25 09:58:50	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x02b2ac…
06-23 23:12:41	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xf451dd…
06-23 10:37:08	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	England	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xd9973a…
06-22 19:28:49	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts first half	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x09b205…
06-22 19:27:46	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xf669d5…
06-22 12:23:11	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xec9b1e…
06-21 22:03:22	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x14dc51…
06-21 22:02:26	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xbb3127…
06-21 16:14:07	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	96	21¢	$20	0x3be2d0…
06-21 09:38:08	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Saudi Arabia	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x969dc5…
06-21 09:36:13	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x499d40…
06-21 09:35:14	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x4dd20d…
06-20 22:23:07	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xe0dd80…
06-20 22:20:53	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xa3cc25…
06-20 12:11:58	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xcf1c7d…
06-20 12:10:17	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x33fa71…
06-19 12:36:44	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x9f8e66…
06-19 12:34:19	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xbf8d91…
06-18 23:02:52	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 5pt5	Canada	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0xf5a958…
06-18 23:01:58	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 5pt5	Canada	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xbf0394…
06-18 20:44:31	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x02690d…
06-18 18:33:13	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x5a901b…
06-18 17:35:05	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xbe6ef2…
06-18 08:21:50	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xa1775e…
06-18 07:24:25	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf72308…
06-17 07:28:53	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xe6adf8…
06-17 07:23:44	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x8a5045…
06-17 07:12:46	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x03b461…
06-17 07:12:37	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x307363…
06-16 13:39:53	Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0x26fcf9…
06-16 13:39:41	Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	302	3¢	$10	0x2cc5a3…
06-16 07:29:03	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x0aacc1…
06-16 07:26:16	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x47f59e…
06-16 07:23:37	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x688336…
06-15 22:20:25	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x4cac36…
06-15 18:33:12	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x4efd5f…
06-15 16:59:31	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 btts	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x76f0bc…
06-15 16:50:19	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals mikel oyarzabal gte1	No	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0x9756a3…
06-15 07:53:21	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals mikel oyarzabal gte1	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xea131e…
06-13 12:14:15	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6e83bb…
06-12 17:59:10	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	182	13¢	$24	0x69f78c…
06-06 11:52:37	worst cup fakers fc vspt infamous fc 20260603233701031	Fakers	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x73f1f1…
06-06 11:52:24	worst cup fakers fc vspt infamous fc 20260603233701031	Infamous	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x8792bc…
06-06 11:52:15	worst cup fakers fc vspt infamous fc 20260603233701031	Infamous	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x927356…
06-03 14:31:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,150	0¢	$6	0xa27478…
06-03 11:13:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6434f9…
06-03 11:10:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	28	30¢	$8	0xf26cdf…
06-03 11:01:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x436c6f…
06-03 10:59:13	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x961bb8…
06-03 10:56:23	Nothing Ever Happens: June	Something	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x8a74a5…
06-03 10:52:34	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	33	92¢	$30	0x626c2e…
06-03 10:37:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,975	0¢	$12	0xb93fb6…
06-03 10:31:48	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xf397c2…
06-01 07:57:51	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x695362…
05-31 21:55:12	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	74	39¢	$29	0x1c774c…
05-31 14:52:16	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x85a003…
05-31 14:52:02	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0xe47889…
05-30 20:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0x9ae6ec…
05-30 20:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x45b201…
05-30 20:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x7c4c64…
05-30 20:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	452	42¢	$189	0xeac4d8…
05-30 20:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0x686cb6…
05-30 20:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xd447cd…
05-29 21:30:12	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xc1eaf4…
05-29 07:48:24	Andorra vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xcdf5f5…
05-28 20:16:06	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x783e8c…
05-28 20:14:30	Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x9d659a…
05-28 07:57:00	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x64af46…
05-28 07:55:55	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xa9fe74…
05-21 09:17:38	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xd444e1…
05-05 11:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa3a48f…
05-05 11:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	47	7¢	$3	0xc41cd9…
05-05 11:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x180188…
05-05 00:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	37	40¢	$15	0x21f812…
05-05 00:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x932806…
05-05 00:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x186e9a…
05-05 00:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	29	36¢	$11	0x1c5c49…
05-05 00:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x312c77…
05-05 00:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x4ba18f…
05-05 00:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	26	37¢	$9	0xebcf4a…
05-05 00:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x7436a9…