Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
open
Total volume
$23,162
Trades
366
Unique wallets
106
Liquidity
$659
Latest YES mid
83¢
Latest NO mid
17¢
End date
2026-06-28
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-09 21:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-81.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.7K
vs crowd: 82% YES on $22.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $52 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $666 | $1.1K | $410 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $10.9K | $1.0K | +$9.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 65 | $6.5K | $331 | +$6.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | — | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $897 | $1.5K | $591 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $144 | $71 | +$73 |
| Median | 6 | $416 | $9 | +$407 |
| Below median | 26 | $10.2K | $63 | +$10.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $50 | $31 | +$19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $5.5K | $286 | +$5.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $136 | $22 | +$114 |
| unranked | 33 | $786 | $419 | +$367 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Careful-Pioneer 0x89f7…1ec0 | Yes | +11,402 | $9,661 | $9,661 | 4 | 06-05 00:56 |
| Practical-Alcohol 0x1341…0853 | No | +9,927 | $1,588 | $1,588 | 26 | 06-09 21:25 |
| Composed-Commander 0x1469…aa70 | Yes | +6,307 | $5,480 | $5,480 | 4 | 05-31 12:25 |
| Surprised-Competition 0x05f0…2469 | No | +3,997 | $560 | $560 | 2 | 06-02 06:09 |
| Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | +3,574 | $365 | $1,251 | 74 | 06-09 21:55 |
| Tough-Stot 0x0a86…5664 | No | +1,308 | $210 | $210 | 1 | 06-04 14:05 |
| Dimpled-Chub 0x5026…dde1 | Yes | +646 | $553 | $553 | 14 | 06-07 11:51 |
| Blushing-Chandelier 0xf1ad…6979 | No | +473 | $80 | $80 | 26 | 06-09 21:25 |
| Clean-Root 0xce7f…de96 | Yes | +444 | $373 | $373 | 1 | 06-05 08:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a0c…6014 | Yes | +402 | $341 | $341 | 1 | 06-04 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x12be…b5c5 | Yes | +397 | $333 | $333 | 1 | 06-09 14:26 |
| Angry-Meander 0x2471…7796 | No | +390 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 06-02 21:49 |
| Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | +332 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-04 20:31 |
| Earnest-Shampoo 0xa8f3…e544 | Yes | +305 | $253 | $253 | 15 | 06-08 20:12 |
| Traumatic-Gondola 0x5dd4…ad53 | Yes | +285 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 05-31 16:28 |
| Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae | No | +250 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-06 16:04 |
| Enlightened-Publisher 0x55a4…4d0a | No | +248 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-02 08:31 |
| 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 0xcf19…6402 | No | +184 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 05-31 23:57 |
| Wretched-Passing 0xb223…3772 | No | +168 | $29 | $29 | 26 | 06-09 21:25 |
| Flawed-Waterfall 0x1715…dbe9 | No | +147 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-02 09:19 |
| Bustling-Quality 0x219a…a647 | Yes | +119 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-07 13:37 |
| Nonstop-Badger 0x184f…e0b2 | No | +118 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-08 21:03 |
| Talkative-Bicycle 0x561f…e4fa | Yes | +100 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 06-04 14:05 |
| Heartfelt-Mercury 0x54e8…5e6b | Yes | +100 | $84 | $84 | 2 | 06-02 08:31 |
| Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | No | +100 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-31 10:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6216…1bd4 | No | +100 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-02 13:42 |
| Scared-Canopy 0xfdd4…cd4a | No | +100 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-09 08:04 |
| Witty-Tripod 0x0537…5b0f | No | +100 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-06 11:22 |
| Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | Yes | +100 | $83 | $83 | 12 | 06-07 23:54 |
| Another-Photograph-Activist 0xd5d7…4952 | No | +94 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 06-05 20:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xe695…7493 | No | +70 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-04 20:31 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | +66 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-02 16:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c85…7260 | No | +64 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-05 18:48 |
| Zealous-Goose 0x4647…c34b | No | +61 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 12:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xb32e…bf23 | Yes | +60 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-07 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x38b1…6322 | No | +59 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-05 10:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x1554…fe50 | No | +59 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-09 14:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x42d8…e31e | Yes | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-09 09:13 |
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +50 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-07 11:51 |
| Profuse-Explorer 0xcb23…d5a9 | No | +50 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-09 02:33 |
| All-Architecture 0x588d…099a | No | +48 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-01 06:25 |
| Teeming-Functionality 0xde44…e17c | No | +47 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-06 13:13 |
| Good-Natured-Permit 0x530f…424e | No | +46 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-01 11:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x69b2…db56 | Yes | +36 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-07 11:15 |
| Fussy-Snack 0x7f4e…52f2 | Yes | +36 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-08 11:57 |
| Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | No | +35 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-09 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d58…db51 | Yes | +23 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-01 00:02 |
| Candid-Thrush 0x404c…74dc | Yes | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-09 05:26 |
| Courteous-Dwell 0xe068…c5ea | Yes | +12 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-03 23:03 |
| Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-08 20:12 |
| Focused-Porcelain 0x5f02…c78f | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-06 07:54 |
| Mysterious-Iris 0xbd8a…f9bd | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-03 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xac71…b3ea | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 21:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c28…c354 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 18:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xf397…2354 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 21:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x2388…b798 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 14:47 |
| Harmful-Ratepayer 0xdc1f…d243 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $34 | 3 | 06-09 16:49 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 07:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xff65…af77 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-07 22:53 |
| Wiry-Paddle 0xde9b…074e | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 11:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 21:55:48 | (anonymous) 0xdfd6…4fa5 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xf0d75f… |
| 06-09 21:55:48 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xf0d75f… |
| 06-09 21:25:24 | Wretched-Passing 0xb223…3772 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x1cdd20… |
| 06-09 21:25:24 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x1cdd20… |
| 06-09 21:25:13 | Blushing-Chandelier 0xf1ad…6979 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x510597… |
| 06-09 21:25:13 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x510597… |
| 06-09 21:25:12 | Practical-Alcohol 0x1341…0853 | No | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xe73580… |
| 06-09 21:25:12 | (anonymous) 0xac71…b3ea | Yes | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xe73580… |
| 06-09 20:34:04 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | No | BUY | 35 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x29b5b2… |
| 06-09 20:34:04 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 35 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x29b5b2… |
| 06-09 18:51:01 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xa6dc90… |
| 06-09 18:51:01 | Wretched-Passing 0xb223…3772 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xa6dc90… |
| 06-09 18:50:58 | Blushing-Chandelier 0xf1ad…6979 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x21deef… |
| 06-09 18:50:58 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x21deef… |
| 06-09 18:50:57 | (anonymous) 0x9c28…c354 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x0d9540… |
| 06-09 18:50:57 | Practical-Alcohol 0x1341…0853 | No | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x0d9540… |
| 06-09 16:49:36 | Wretched-Passing 0xb223…3772 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xe2a9cd… |
| 06-09 16:49:36 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xe2a9cd… |
| 06-09 16:49:31 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xe6333c… |
| 06-09 16:49:31 | (anonymous) 0x4fdd…9a6c | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xe6333c… |
| 06-09 16:49:30 | Practical-Alcohol 0x1341…0853 | No | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x974e8b… |
| 06-09 16:49:30 | Harmful-Ratepayer 0xdc1f…d243 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x974e8b… |
| 06-09 16:49:30 | Blushing-Chandelier 0xf1ad…6979 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xe497d5… |
| 06-09 16:49:30 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xe497d5… |
| 06-09 14:26:39 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x150a64… |
| 06-09 14:26:39 | Wretched-Passing 0xb223…3772 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x150a64… |
| 06-09 14:26:36 | (anonymous) 0x4fdd…9a6c | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x1f757d… |
| 06-09 14:26:36 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x1f757d… |
| 06-09 14:26:36 | Blushing-Chandelier 0xf1ad…6979 | No | BUY | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x727ef3… |
| 06-09 14:26:36 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x727ef3… |
| 06-09 14:26:34 | Practical-Alcohol 0x1341…0853 | No | BUY | 397 | 16¢ | $63 | 0x3c1f01… |
| 06-09 14:26:34 | (anonymous) 0x12be…b5c5 | Yes | BUY | 397 | 84¢ | $333 | 0x3c1f01… |
| 06-09 14:10:48 | (anonymous) 0x1554…fe50 | No | BUY | 59 | 17¢ | $10 | 0x76201f… |
| 06-09 14:10:48 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 59 | 17¢ | $10 | 0x76201f… |
| 06-09 13:26:04 | Worthless-Storytelling 0x69ae…f469 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x93e00f… |
| 06-09 13:26:04 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x93e00f… |
| 06-09 12:57:58 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xed1869… |
| 06-09 12:57:58 | Wretched-Passing 0xb223…3772 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xed1869… |
| 06-09 12:57:55 | Practical-Alcohol 0x1341…0853 | No | BUY | 253 | 16¢ | $40 | 0x7bc245… |
| 06-09 12:57:55 | Blushing-Chandelier 0xf1ad…6979 | No | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x41a40e… |
| 06-09 12:57:55 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x41a40e… |
| 06-09 12:57:55 | (anonymous) 0xcf72…1535 | No | SELL | 253 | 16¢ | $40 | 0x7bc245… |
| 06-09 09:13:25 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x9870f6… |
| 06-09 09:13:25 | Wretched-Passing 0xb223…3772 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x9870f6… |
| 06-09 09:13:19 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x371fbf… |
| 06-09 09:13:19 | Blushing-Chandelier 0xf1ad…6979 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x371fbf… |
| 06-09 09:13:18 | (anonymous) 0x42d8…e31e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x48a5fa… |
| 06-09 09:13:18 | Practical-Alcohol 0x1341…0853 | No | BUY | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x48a5fa… |
| 06-09 08:04:46 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 100 | 17¢ | $17 | 0xbfd8b3… |
| 06-09 08:04:46 | Scared-Canopy 0xfdd4…cd4a | No | BUY | 100 | 17¢ | $17 | 0xbfd8b3… |
| 06-09 07:18:06 | Wretched-Passing 0xb223…3772 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x358a07… |
| 06-09 07:18:06 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x5ba197… |
| 06-09 07:18:06 | Blushing-Chandelier 0xf1ad…6979 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x5ba197… |
| 06-09 07:18:06 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x358a07… |
| 06-09 07:18:04 | Practical-Alcohol 0x1341…0853 | No | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x26ff46… |
| 06-09 07:18:04 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x26ff46… |
| 06-09 05:26:42 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x218458… |
| 06-09 05:26:42 | Wretched-Passing 0xb223…3772 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x218458… |
| 06-09 05:26:37 | Practical-Alcohol 0x1341…0853 | No | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x72b5a1… |
| 06-09 05:26:37 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x18acd3… |
| 06-09 05:26:37 | Blushing-Chandelier 0xf1ad…6979 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x18acd3… |
| 06-09 05:26:37 | Candid-Thrush 0x404c…74dc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x72b5a1… |
| 06-09 02:33:06 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x87dc82… |
| 06-09 02:33:06 | Profuse-Explorer 0xcb23…d5a9 | No | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x87dc82… |
| 06-08 23:28:18 | Cluttered-Audience-Earring 0x13f9…648f | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x48ff67… |
| 06-08 23:28:18 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x48ff67… |
| 06-08 21:03:49 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 118 | 17¢ | $20 | 0x760462… |
| 06-08 21:03:49 | Nonstop-Badger 0x184f…e0b2 | No | BUY | 118 | 17¢ | $20 | 0x760462… |
| 06-08 20:31:01 | Soft-Jicama 0xd966…81eb | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x25b267… |
| 06-08 20:31:01 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x25b267… |
| 06-08 20:17:39 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 94 | 17¢ | $16 | 0x5925ee… |
| 06-08 20:17:39 | (anonymous) 0xcf72…1535 | No | BUY | 94 | 17¢ | $16 | 0x5925ee… |
| 06-08 20:12:48 | Earnest-Shampoo 0xa8f3…e544 | Yes | BUY | 136 | 83¢ | $113 | 0x8469ad… |
| 06-08 20:12:48 | (anonymous) 0xcf72…1535 | No | BUY | 159 | 17¢ | $27 | 0x8469ad… |
| 06-08 20:12:48 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 13 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x8469ad… |
| 06-08 20:12:48 | Delightful-Forecast 0x9fad…fcc1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x8469ad… |
| 06-08 18:32:33 | Earnest-Shampoo 0xa8f3…e544 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x41b377… |
| 06-08 18:32:33 | Wretched-Passing 0xb223…3772 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x41b377… |
| 06-08 18:32:31 | (anonymous) 0xfee8…e480 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x84b721… |
| 06-08 18:32:31 | Earnest-Shampoo 0xa8f3…e544 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x74cc05… |
| 06-08 18:32:31 | Blushing-Chandelier 0xf1ad…6979 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x74cc05… |
| 06-08 18:32:31 | Practical-Alcohol 0x1341…0853 | No | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x84b721… |
| 06-08 17:36:51 | Some-Mainstream 0xeac6…6cf8 | No | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x2a3953… |
| 06-08 17:36:51 | Earnest-Shampoo 0xa8f3…e544 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x2a3953… |
| 06-08 15:01:40 | Primary-Toenail 0x3e10…29e0 | No | BUY | 29 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x318a9d… |
| 06-08 15:01:40 | Earnest-Shampoo 0xa8f3…e544 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 83¢ | $24 | 0x318a9d… |
| 06-08 14:21:46 | Earnest-Shampoo 0xa8f3…e544 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x2e527f… |
| 06-08 14:21:46 | Wretched-Passing 0xb223…3772 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x2e527f… |
| 06-08 14:21:42 | (anonymous) 0xa933…bfa6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x2a9b05… |
| 06-08 14:21:42 | Blushing-Chandelier 0xf1ad…6979 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x6c9e08… |
| 06-08 14:21:42 | Practical-Alcohol 0x1341…0853 | No | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x2a9b05… |
| 06-08 14:21:42 | Earnest-Shampoo 0xa8f3…e544 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x6c9e08… |
| 06-08 11:57:27 | Wretched-Passing 0xb223…3772 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x85a914… |
| 06-08 11:57:27 | Earnest-Shampoo 0xa8f3…e544 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x85a914… |
| 06-08 11:57:21 | Fussy-Snack 0x7f4e…52f2 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 84¢ | $30 | 0x168a42… |
| 06-08 11:57:21 | Earnest-Shampoo 0xa8f3…e544 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xe3956c… |
| 06-08 11:57:21 | Blushing-Chandelier 0xf1ad…6979 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xe3956c… |
| 06-08 11:57:21 | Practical-Alcohol 0x1341…0853 | No | BUY | 36 | 16¢ | $6 | 0x168a42… |
| 06-08 10:30:43 | Shameless-Twist 0x758b…156c | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x222f04… |
| 06-08 10:30:43 | Earnest-Shampoo 0xa8f3…e544 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x222f04… |