Competent-Transaction 0x70c146…d41be2
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$12.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$143
Hit rate
70.6%
Resolved
7
Trades
4,004
lifetime
Volume
$1.56M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$389
Open exposure
$27.7K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-06 01:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
51% 0% $-13,175
Other
49% 100% +$877
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 356 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -8,954 $-7,633 86¢ $-7745 $-112 06-04 00:47
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -3,827 $-3,291 86¢ $-3310 $-19 06-04 08:15
Trump out as President before 2027? No -2,731 $-2,458 90¢ $-2444 +$14 06-05 09:38
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -2,662 $-2,422 89¢ $-2369 +$53 06-03 15:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -2,330 $-2,265 98¢ $-2273 $-8 06-04 00:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -2,682 $-2,157 82¢ $-2186 $-29 06-04 20:34
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +1,777 $1,746 99¢ $1.8K +$18 06-02 20:39
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1,528 $-1,411 95¢ $-1456 $-45 06-05 22:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -1,111 $-1,092 99¢ $-1100 $-8 06-02 19:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -1,025 $-954 94¢ $-969 $-15 06-06 01:34
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +888 $865 98¢ $872 +$7 06-02 21:58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -666 $-648 97¢ $-646 +$2 06-03 07:16
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No -426 $-416 98¢ $-419 $-3 06-04 01:10
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -111 $-83 72¢ $-80 +$3 06-05 17:50
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes -285 $-34 12¢ $-33 +$1 06-04 14:25
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -33 $-30 96¢ $-31 $-1 06-03 07:15