Competent-Transaction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$4.72K

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

130

Trades

4,828

lifetime

Volume

$1.68M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$348

Open exposure

$68.4K

19 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-04 09:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

51% 82% +$24,703

Politics

49% 70% +$1,850

Sports

0% 100% +$42

Crypto

0% 100% +$23

Tech

0% 100% +$19

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions (19) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	-28,889	-$26,523	98¢	$-28268	-$1,744	07-23 13:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-17,864	-$15,117	97¢	$-17319	-$2,202	06-16 13:12
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	-10,923	-$10,043	96¢	$-10524	-$481	07-22 13:13
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-6,738	-$5,425	85¢	$-5724	-$299	08-03 08:02
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	-2,662	-$2,422	96¢	$-2569	-$146	06-03 15:15
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	-1,528	-$1,411	98¢	$-1502	-$91	06-05 22:43
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-8,938	-$1,130	11¢	$-939	+$192	08-04 09:10
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	-777	-$354	74¢	$-571	-$218	07-06 21:03
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-1,137	-$469	36¢	$-406	+$63	07-05 08:11
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	-143	-$137	97¢	$-139	-$2	07-06 09:20
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-1,958	-$88	5¢	$-98	-$10	06-06 03:37
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	-111	-$83	84¢	$-94	-$11	06-05 17:50
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-2,222	-$51	3¢	$-60	-$9	06-05 18:08
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-666	-$127	8¢	$-50	+$77	07-30 23:44
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	-328	-$65	15¢	$-49	+$16	07-05 17:22
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-1,904	-$20	2¢	$-29	-$9	07-02 14:53
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-284	-$36	6¢	$-17	+$19	07-30 14:52
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-3,431	-$152	0¢	$-12	+$140	07-06 15:34
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	-1	-$1	100¢	$-1	$0	07-30 15:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by April 30?	265	$284.5K	163,539	125,692	+37,846	No	+$1,741	04-21 22:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	738	$284.2K	192,989	151,665	+41,324	No	+$11,550	05-28 07:54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	28	$121.8K	82,230	40,565	+41,666	Yes	+$306	04-08 01:25
netanyahu out by march 31 854	128	$112.5K	73,792	41,972	+31,820	No	+$2,028	03-28 08:21
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	379	$85.1K	54,677	48,899	+5,778	Yes	+$11,218	03-22 12:07
Netanyahu out by April 30?	183	$70.7K	56,018	16,216	+39,802	No	+$994	05-01 05:09
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	132	$59.8K	36,759	28,977	+7,782	No	+$1,876	03-28 22:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	31	$37.2K	34,222	4,222	+30,000	No	+$659	04-28 07:42
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	117	$36.3K	29,329	19,107	+10,222	No	-$248	03-25 21:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	97	$30.0K	20,988	13,468	+7,520	Yes	-$158	04-08 16:07
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	166	$28.0K	888	29,777	-28,889	open	—	07-23 13:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	128	$27.3K	19,767	18,934	+833	No	+$2,056	04-09 11:48
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	170	$25.4K	20,664	5,919	+14,746	Yes	+$568	04-27 21:27
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	40	$24.9K	25,077	0	+25,077	No	+$203	03-26 19:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	28	$22.2K	23,777	3,777	+20,000	Yes	+$349	04-19 09:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	33	$19.6K	19,104	875	+18,229	No	+$358	04-29 07:17
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	30	$19.3K	14,937	4,923	+10,014	No	+$429	04-08 07:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	8	$18.8K	2,222	20,086	-17,864	open	—	06-16 13:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	23	$16.9K	9,121	8,705	+416	No	-$20	04-30 12:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	39	$16.9K	13,093	6,103	+6,990	No	+$1,155	06-04 00:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	60	$16.3K	10,563	10,563	+0	open	—	07-02 12:51
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	11	$15.5K	7,999	7,999	+0	No	+$196	04-10 10:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	24	$13.8K	15,261	0	+15,261	Yes	-$13,175	05-08 18:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	20	$13.5K	14,148	0	+14,148	No	+$617	04-14 21:43
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	39	$12.5K	12,891	0	+12,891	No	+$345	04-15 14:31
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	26	$10.8K	7,358	4,007	+3,352	No	+$274	03-13 22:00
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	38	$10.1K	9,937	4,860	+5,076	No	+$1,777	04-10 08:54
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	32	$10.1K	7,345	2,860	+4,485	No	+$74	01-07 21:46
Trump out as President before 2027?	6	$10.0K	0	10,923	-10,923	open	—	07-22 13:13
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	123	$9.9K	8,676	8,272	+403	No	+$291	01-07 12:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 09:10:23	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	142	9¢	$13	0x35b5e3…
08-03 08:03:27	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	754	9¢	$68	0x8a358f…
08-03 08:02:54	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	82¢	$29	0x5853f7…
08-01 07:30:47	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x0675e1…
08-01 06:47:24	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0xf94f28…
07-31 16:57:51	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	561	82¢	$460	0xacfa3f…
07-31 13:40:54	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0x5cd034…
07-31 13:02:26	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	82¢	$23	0x509e6f…
07-31 12:29:44	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	218	82¢	$179	0xaecf07…
07-31 10:36:24	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0x88a857…
07-31 05:11:08	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	82¢	$20	0xe1e396…
07-31 04:34:57	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xfab5f0…
07-31 02:09:05	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	82¢	$85	0xe6b92d…
07-31 01:43:50	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0xfe2214…
07-31 01:00:23	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x68950c…
07-31 00:43:54	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x2fb94f…
07-30 23:44:02	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	666	19¢	$127	0x7425d6…
07-30 20:49:51	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x0a4075…
07-30 17:15:29	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x3da293…
07-30 17:03:02	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	827	10¢	$83	0xbace57…
07-30 15:51:39	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x17918c…
07-30 14:52:41	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	9¢	$5	0x3eb294…
07-30 13:39:24	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x456cec…
07-30 10:25:23	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	700	59¢	$413	0xc3f47c…
07-30 10:09:06	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0xbddd20…
07-30 10:05:42	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	166	59¢	$98	0xd3808d…
07-30 09:54:23	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x9db276…
07-30 09:54:23	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x1cc349…
07-30 09:54:18	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xd98fcf…
07-30 09:50:06	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xa6b6b5…
07-30 09:50:05	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x08c26d…
07-30 09:47:20	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x866b1f…
07-30 09:47:05	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xed39c1…
07-30 09:44:15	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xa5543b…
07-30 09:42:47	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x49d1c2…
07-30 09:09:08	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x746b86…
07-30 09:08:57	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x88781a…
07-30 09:08:57	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x66d741…
07-30 09:08:51	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xeb803a…
07-30 09:03:50	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xe39037…
07-30 09:01:44	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	335	59¢	$198	0x2f6044…
07-30 07:46:53	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x1c3968…
07-30 04:23:36	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xa57650…
07-30 02:36:24	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0xf7249d…
07-30 01:52:44	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x6b1553…
07-30 01:12:45	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x20e621…
07-30 00:56:45	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xb3e91a…
07-29 22:44:38	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0xe30a93…
07-29 21:35:38	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	82¢	$50	0x3952eb…
07-29 21:26:00	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xa0b859…
07-29 17:27:27	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0x8317c0…
07-29 17:27:05	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0x0bc6e5…
07-29 17:21:56	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	82¢	$57	0xbb6cd7…
07-24 01:24:39	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x0a70c7…
07-23 21:09:48	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x9b0f03…
07-23 20:21:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	797	57¢	$455	0x6fd06b…
07-23 19:38:07	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	146	12¢	$18	0x511312…
07-23 16:10:12	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x433dcf…
07-23 16:10:03	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x43d98b…
07-23 16:10:01	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x5a9b11…
07-23 15:21:51	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x953e5c…
07-23 14:46:10	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0xf2cda4…
07-23 14:38:46	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0x225a84…
07-23 14:35:25	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x9cf81a…
07-23 14:33:12	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x86aae9…
07-23 14:18:51	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x223429…
07-23 13:14:01	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	946	93¢	$879	0x77b89d…
07-23 12:45:54	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	35	57¢	$20	0x7363eb…
07-23 12:23:13	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0x1a30b9…
07-23 12:18:51	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xc9f2d2…
07-23 12:12:19	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x686e9c…
07-23 11:07:57	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x27d6e9…
07-23 10:45:25	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x542a81…
07-23 10:34:09	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	175	57¢	$100	0xbf6833…
07-23 09:30:00	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x810974…
07-23 09:18:24	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0xad052b…
07-23 08:57:12	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x4b823a…
07-23 07:51:13	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xa74c2a…
07-23 06:49:39	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xb77e82…
07-23 06:36:21	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x951688…
07-23 06:12:40	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	13	57¢	$8	0x87ff45…
07-22 21:13:49	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	12¢	$10	0xec4896…
07-22 20:11:54	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0xf7ea05…
07-22 18:24:18	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x772571…
07-22 14:07:40	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x87a069…
07-22 13:13:15	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	3,239	93¢	$3,012	0x59c4e0…
07-22 12:36:36	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	162	93¢	$151	0x9cef6e…
07-22 11:15:58	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	347	93¢	$323	0x99689e…
07-22 11:07:10	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7e3229…
07-22 09:29:49	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	303	93¢	$282	0xd04285…
07-22 08:55:55	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,302	81¢	$1,055	0x9c7adb…
07-22 08:54:19	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x9feef6…
07-22 03:49:10	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0xb04488…
07-22 00:15:46	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	12¢	$10	0x2319c3…
07-21 22:11:43	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	833	12¢	$100	0xfa0fcb…
07-21 21:10:01	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	81¢	$24	0x865e4e…
07-21 21:06:43	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	81¢	$24	0xc23a68…
07-21 20:34:28	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	833	12¢	$100	0xa033e4…
07-21 18:28:01	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	228	12¢	$27	0x4b8250…
07-21 18:27:54	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	81¢	$65	0xebfa58…