Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
open
Total volume
$1,024,140
$549 in 24h
Trades
16,337
Unique wallets
3,324
Liquidity
$437,589
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2028-11-08
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-26 23:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+29.3¢
(top1%: 42% YES on $42.8K
vs crowd: 13% YES on $530.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 79 | $24.9K | $25.8K | $935 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 141 | $27.1K | $66.8K | $39.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 1,085 | $10.5K | $303.4K | $292.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2,019 | $7.5K | $64.5K | $57.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 90 | $18.2K | $24.6K | $6.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 92 | $18.4K | $15.1K | +$3.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 187 | $2.4K | $66.2K | $63.8K |
| Median | 1,120 | $1.2K | $143.7K | $142.5K |
| Below median | 1,280 | $2.8K | $149.6K | $146.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 133 | $2.1K | $27.6K | $25.4K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 92 | $6.1K | $13.7K | $7.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 58 | $18.0K | $12.4K | +$5.6K |
| unranked | 272 | $611 | $7.5K | $6.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uncomfortable-Vaulting 0xabe7…d623 | Yes | +162,687 | $7,887 | $7,887 | 20 | 08-28 17:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | +92,619 | $4,666 | $4,666 | 198 | 10-23 02:01 |
| Dear-Thistle 0x0026…aef7 | Yes | +87,250 | $4,542 | $4,542 | 254 | 09-03 04:35 |
| Common-Nitrogen 0x68c2…1711 | Yes | +79,500 | $3,239 | $3,239 | 15 | 06-30 06:59 |
| Functional-Heartthrob 0x1c14…0869 | Yes | +68,591 | $2,792 | $2,792 | 86 | 07-08 03:17 |
| Trifling-Monkey 0xe6ca…b27a | Yes | +59,134 | $2,874 | $2,874 | 5 | 08-28 03:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ea5…5ed4 | Yes | +40,795 | $1,591 | $1,591 | 28 | 07-01 11:01 |
| Flaky-War 0xdd15…4a07 | Yes | +37,702 | $2,015 | $2,851 | 5 | 09-21 10:20 |
| Linear-Monocle 0xa7b5…fa78 | Yes | +35,867 | $1,777 | $1,777 | 106 | 09-23 22:00 |
| Monopoly_Money 0x7ea7…79ac | Yes | +35,040 | $1,448 | $1,448 | 73 | 06-30 06:54 |
| Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | Yes | +24,244 | $1,350 | $1,350 | 2 | 09-23 04:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x665b…32b1 | Yes | +20,000 | $820 | $820 | 47 | 06-30 07:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x31fc…4e30 | Yes | +14,941 | $657 | $657 | 1 | 06-18 14:30 |
| Odd-Street 0x4366…c73e | Yes | +11,413 | $491 | $491 | 12 | 06-19 20:14 |
| Chubby-Savage 0xe5a2…5384 | Yes | +10,000 | $443 | $443 | 2 | 05-29 13:52 |
| Green-Leprosy 0x4a74…d69e | No | +10,000 | $9,480 | $9,480 | 1 | 08-23 03:18 |
| Elegant-Staff 0x2458…f8e7 | Yes | +10,000 | $500 | $500 | 12 | 09-26 16:47 |
| Exalted-Declaration 0x405c…9537 | Yes | +9,554 | $430 | $430 | 4 | 05-21 20:30 |
| Green-Recruit 0x22db…190f | Yes | +9,106 | $384 | $420 | 45 | 08-28 17:59 |
| Piercing-Measles 0x0fcc…00fd | Yes | +9,003 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 08-04 08:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e68…3ba3 | Yes | +8,888 | $436 | $436 | 1 | 05-06 15:04 |
| Gleaming-Current 0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | +7,227 | $344 | $344 | 12 | 10-24 19:13 |
| Determined-Gear 0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | +7,000 | $315 | $315 | 1 | 06-07 09:24 |
| Buzzing-Musculature 0x0894…d819 | Yes | +5,000 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-30 07:00 |
| Modest-Meantime 0xc3bf…e70f | No | +5,000 | $4,720 | $4,720 | 15 | 09-06 08:05 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +5,000 | $211 | $211 | 6 | 06-29 16:44 |
| Naive-Leopard 0x0826…0b32 | Yes | +5,000 | $260 | $260 | 37 | 10-10 00:54 |
| Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | +5,000 | $233 | $233 | 19 | 10-22 17:21 |
| Agile-Selfesteem 0xb779…ab22 | Yes | +4,884 | $210 | $210 | 1 | 06-15 20:37 |
| Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | +4,726 | $209 | $209 | 33 | 10-10 00:54 |
| Powerful-Door 0x2283…72ad | Yes | +4,418 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-31 10:18 |
| Anxious-Thunderstorm 0x0a2f…31ae | Yes | +4,081 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-07 19:06 |
| Anxious-Fruit 0xaf2a…64dd | No | +3,400 | $3,259 | $3,259 | 9 | 05-26 06:18 |
| Kosher-Refuse 0x2117…5c26 | No | +2,836 | $2,682 | $2,682 | 2 | 09-15 15:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x9063…bcdb | No | +2,421 | $2,295 | $2,295 | 14 | 09-28 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa4c…f344 | No | +2,350 | $2,227 | $2,227 | 55 | 09-29 06:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 23:36:00 | Clear-Screenwriting 0x011f…1122 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe2bb3f… |
| 10-26 23:36:00 | (anonymous) 0x64cb…eecc | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xe2bb3f… |
| 10-26 22:35:35 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xc1447f… |
| 10-26 22:35:35 | (anonymous) 0x1131…697c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc1447f… |
| 10-26 20:34:30 | (anonymous) 0x8f69…2923 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf7b4f3… |
| 10-26 20:34:30 | (anonymous) 0x8a16…765a | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf7b4f3… |
| 10-26 19:04:51 | (anonymous) 0xca08…9821 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0052e2… |
| 10-26 19:04:51 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0052e2… |
| 10-26 18:32:27 | (anonymous) 0x55ed…b1de | No | SELL | 9 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xc3143c… |
| 10-26 18:32:27 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc3143c… |
| 10-26 16:33:05 | (anonymous) 0x64cb…eecc | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xea9179… |
| 10-26 16:33:05 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xea9179… |
| 10-26 15:26:24 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x3d92c6… |
| 10-26 15:26:24 | (anonymous) 0x8a16…765a | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x3d92c6… |
| 10-26 15:08:45 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5b0ee7… |
| 10-26 15:08:45 | (anonymous) 0xb466…de76 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x5b0ee7… |
| 10-26 10:31:32 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | SELL | 9 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x40a8cf… |
| 10-26 10:31:32 | (anonymous) 0x55ed…b1de | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x40a8cf… |
| 10-26 08:35:29 | (anonymous) 0xdd30…749c | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xe3a278… |
| 10-26 08:35:29 | Clear-Screenwriting 0x011f…1122 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe3a278… |
| 10-26 07:07:59 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x5a28b6… |
| 10-26 07:07:59 | (anonymous) 0xb466…de76 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x5a28b6… |
| 10-26 05:52:02 | (anonymous) 0xf2f8…2678 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xd4c00d… |
| 10-26 05:52:02 | Clear-Screenwriting 0x011f…1122 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd4c00d… |
| 10-26 04:13:53 | (anonymous) 0x6e14…0629 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x3e72f2… |
| 10-26 04:13:53 | Clear-Screenwriting 0x011f…1122 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3e72f2… |
| 10-26 03:00:50 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | SELL | 121 | 95¢ | $115 | 0x426467… |
| 10-26 03:00:50 | (anonymous) 0x330a…e4c7 | Yes | SELL | 121 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x426467… |
| 10-26 01:20:17 | (anonymous) 0x330a…e4c7 | Yes | BUY | 288 | 5¢ | $15 | 0xb83c09… |
| 10-26 01:20:17 | Clear-Screenwriting 0x011f…1122 | Yes | SELL | 288 | 5¢ | $15 | 0xb83c09… |
| 10-26 00:46:59 | (anonymous) 0xf2f8…2678 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb98726… |
| 10-26 00:46:59 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb98726… |
| 10-26 00:30:38 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf10108… |
| 10-26 00:30:38 | (anonymous) 0xdd30…749c | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf10108… |
| 10-25 22:52:14 | Clear-Screenwriting 0x011f…1122 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x121071… |
| 10-25 22:52:14 | (anonymous) 0x1ce1…52c2 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x121071… |
| 10-25 22:41:53 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | SELL | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0x8b621a… |
| 10-25 22:41:53 | (anonymous) 0x99f8…3ad0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x8b621a… |
| 10-25 20:10:27 | (anonymous) 0x6e14…0629 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xd230f3… |
| 10-25 20:10:27 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xd230f3… |
| 10-25 18:48:02 | Clear-Screenwriting 0x011f…1122 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa5b411… |
| 10-25 18:48:02 | (anonymous) 0x406e…28c2 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xa5b411… |
| 10-25 17:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x1c5d7d… |
| 10-25 17:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x1ce1…52c2 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x1c5d7d… |
| 10-25 16:09:03 | Clear-Screenwriting 0x011f…1122 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x99be6c… |
| 10-25 16:09:03 | (anonymous) 0x6c78…73c5 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x99be6c… |
| 10-25 13:47:14 | Clear-Screenwriting 0x011f…1122 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3cefbd… |
| 10-25 13:47:14 | (anonymous) 0xc560…4dbc | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x3cefbd… |
| 10-25 13:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x406e…28c2 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xc6e809… |
| 10-25 13:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xc6e809… |
| 10-25 11:55:45 | (anonymous) 0x8f69…2923 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x13b6d5… |
| 10-25 11:55:45 | Optimal-Maybe 0xe2eb…4546 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x13b6d5… |
| 10-25 11:37:54 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x81d147… |
| 10-25 11:37:54 | Queasy-Divorce 0x53d5…d88c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x81d147… |
| 10-25 09:07:29 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x8f8625… |
| 10-25 09:07:29 | (anonymous) 0x6c78…73c5 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x8f8625… |
| 10-25 08:13:03 | (anonymous) 0x2cef…0709 | No | SELL | 526 | 95¢ | $499 | 0xefc520… |
| 10-25 08:13:03 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | BUY | 36 | 95¢ | $34 | 0xefc520… |
| 10-25 08:13:03 | Clear-Screenwriting 0x011f…1122 | Yes | SELL | 440 | 5¢ | $23 | 0xefc520… |
| 10-25 08:13:03 | (anonymous) 0x8f69…2923 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xefc520… |
| 10-25 06:43:02 | (anonymous) 0xc560…4dbc | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x89f5e3… |
| 10-25 06:43:02 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x89f5e3… |
| 10-25 06:32:11 | (anonymous) 0xa01e…5d95 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x97e412… |
| 10-25 06:32:11 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x97e412… |
| 10-25 04:53:45 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5514df… |
| 10-25 04:53:45 | Optimal-Maybe 0xe2eb…4546 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5514df… |
| 10-25 02:31:23 | (anonymous) 0xa01e…5d95 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xae6e2c… |
| 10-25 02:31:23 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xae6e2c… |
| 10-24 22:22:17 | (anonymous) 0x4689…f31c | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x5413e5… |
| 10-24 22:22:17 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x5413e5… |
| 10-24 19:13:05 | Gleaming-Current 0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xae5a97… |
| 10-24 19:13:05 | (anonymous) 0xf75d…9991 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xae5a97… |
| 10-24 18:54:11 | (anonymous) 0xf75d…9991 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xc0095a… |
| 10-24 18:54:11 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xc0095a… |
| 10-24 18:17:17 | (anonymous) 0x4689…f31c | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x905f62… |
| 10-24 18:17:17 | Gleaming-Current 0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x905f62… |
| 10-24 18:15:45 | (anonymous) 0xfd72…6ae5 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x561f60… |
| 10-24 18:15:45 | Gleaming-Current 0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x561f60… |
| 10-24 18:12:41 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x60cf64… |
| 10-24 18:12:41 | Fixed-Lawyer 0x3fb5…df41 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x60cf64… |
| 10-24 16:29:23 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | BUY | 131 | 95¢ | $124 | 0x101110… |
| 10-24 16:29:23 | (anonymous) 0x2f6a…87f3 | Yes | BUY | 131 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x101110… |
| 10-24 14:58:26 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xaa460c… |
| 10-24 14:58:26 | Gleaming-Current 0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xaa460c… |
| 10-24 14:58:20 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x656ac2… |
| 10-24 14:58:20 | Gleaming-Current 0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x656ac2… |
| 10-24 14:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xd2f6…44be | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x2100be… |
| 10-24 14:33:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2100be… |
| 10-24 14:12:05 | Gleaming-Current 0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x63393b… |
| 10-24 14:12:05 | Fixed-Lawyer 0x3fb5…df41 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x63393b… |
| 10-24 12:35:42 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xfe0a02… |
| 10-24 12:35:42 | True-Bridge 0x2b8a…1073 | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xfe0a02… |
| 10-24 12:20:51 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xbfaca9… |
| 10-24 12:20:51 | (anonymous) 0x9919…8b4f | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xbfaca9… |
| 10-24 08:18:36 | (anonymous) 0x9919…8b4f | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xd85e2c… |
| 10-24 08:18:36 | Gleaming-Current 0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd85e2c… |
| 10-24 05:32:18 | True-Bridge 0x2b8a…1073 | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x7e7a02… |
| 10-24 05:32:18 | Gleaming-Current 0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7e7a02… |
| 10-23 18:57:39 | (anonymous) 0x7dda…f8d9 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xdc88ca… |
| 10-23 18:57:39 | (anonymous) 0x6c8b…645c | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xdc88ca… |