(anonymous) 0xaa4c05…0cf344 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$234
Unrealized P&L
-$107
Hit rate
2.9%
Resolved
15
Trades
957
lifetime
Volume
$61.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$50.8K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 15:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
45% — —
Politics
45% 0% -$16
Sports
9% 36% -$219
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +12,146 $11,889 98¢ $11.9K +$32 11-04 11:09
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +8,201 $7,922 97¢ $8.0K +$54 11-04 13:22
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +7,419 $7,167 98¢ $7.3K +$122 10-09 08:00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7,146 $6,766 96¢ $6.8K +$68 11-04 15:24
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4,718 $4,418 97¢ $4.6K +$142 10-20 10:54
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,386 $2,900 86¢ $2.9K +$7 11-04 00:39
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +2,940 $2,612 92¢ $2.7K +$78 10-18 07:54
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,350 $2,227 96¢ $2.2K +$20 09-29 06:59
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +902 $873 97¢ $879 +$5 10-20 16:59
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +608 $586 95¢ $579 -$8 09-15 16:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +510 $484 96¢ $492 +$8 09-20 00:17
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,973 $440 14¢ $421 -$20 11-01 21:14
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6,692 $378 4¢ $291 -$87 11-04 14:54
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +285 $277 98¢ $278 +$1 10-20 15:10
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +264 $254 96¢ $255 +$1 09-18 09:49
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,940 $324 8¢ $250 -$75 10-20 19:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +12,626 $263 2¢ $234 -$30 11-04 12:54
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7,778 $284 3¢ $214 -$71 11-03 20:10
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +4,718 $319 3¢ $158 -$161 10-18 23:22
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +7,419 $283 2¢ $130 -$153 10-09 05:52
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,350 $124 4¢ $102 -$22 09-30 09:01
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Yes +608 $24 5¢ $29 +$5 09-18 08:13
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +902 $28 3¢ $23 -$5 10-11 13:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +510 $33 4¢ $18 -$15 09-26 13:26
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +264 $13 4¢ $9 -$4 09-15 08:52
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +285 $8 2¢ $7 -$1 10-15 11:17