Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
open
Total volume
$408,356
$6,743 in 24h
Trades
18,037
Unique wallets
4,976
Liquidity
$83,014
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-14 00:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+49.5¢
(top1%: 77% YES on $12.5K
vs crowd: 27% YES on $217.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 30 | $9.1K | $10.9K | $1.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 60 | $5.4K | $12.3K | $6.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 192 | $7.4K | $25.3K | $17.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4,694 | $37.9K | $109.6K | $71.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 18 | $9.6K | $2.9K | +$6.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 26 | $3.0K | $10.0K | $7.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 27 | $1.4K | $565 | +$795 |
| Median | 640 | $6.0K | $18.2K | $12.2K |
| Below median | 461 | $4.2K | $16.7K | $12.4K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 23 | $599 | $3.8K | $3.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 41 | $1.8K | $3.3K | $1.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 18 | $1.9K | $8.7K | $6.7K |
| unranked | 3,722 | $31.3K | $94.0K | $62.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +9,192 | $1,758 | $3,447 | 139 | 06-13 16:05 |
| Fatal-Destination 0x4159…a9a0 | Yes | +8,030 | $1,441 | $1,441 | 50 | 06-11 17:43 |
| Needy-Anise 0x9792…bc5a | No | +7,373 | $5,901 | $5,901 | 2 | 06-06 22:58 |
| Vacant-Backburn 0x3262…2d1d | Yes | +5,000 | $1,200 | $1,200 | 19 | 05-28 16:18 |
| Simplistic-Jellyfish 0xcdf8…b8ea | No | +4,500 | $3,600 | $3,600 | 1 | 06-08 08:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +4,307 | $923 | $923 | 560 | 06-12 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +4,299 | $3,377 | $3,377 | 549 | 06-11 17:48 |
| Cheerful-Visit 0x8a4e…1ba4 | Yes | +4,201 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 05-28 08:49 |
| Feline-Bronze 0x57c8…2ec4 | Yes | +3,923 | $868 | $882 | 2 | 06-12 01:04 |
| Any-Adviser 0x00d1…c8a4 | No | +3,414 | $2,663 | $2,663 | 16 | 06-01 09:20 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | +3,072 | $2,326 | $2,326 | 25 | 05-29 03:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | +2,595 | $557 | $557 | 22 | 06-03 04:34 |
| Decimal-Recall 0xf648…8232 | No | +2,000 | $1,580 | $1,580 | 6 | 06-12 18:49 |
| Major-Click 0xdc4b…dbca | No | +2,000 | $1,560 | $1,560 | 25 | 06-04 20:39 |
| Zesty-Trash 0xceee…d39e | No | +1,895 | $1,442 | $4,296 | 79 | 06-02 13:13 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,739 | $272 | $3,744 | 263 | 06-14 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3007…763a | No | +1,490 | $1,200 | $1,200 | 2 | 06-13 03:38 |
| Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | +1,402 | $300 | $300 | 5 | 06-13 16:38 |
| Earnest-Twitter 0x7164…7ff7 | Yes | +1,284 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 05-29 21:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x0597…a84e | Yes | +1,238 | $260 | $260 | 1 | 06-12 11:40 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +1,100 | $888 | $888 | 11 | 06-13 21:11 |
| Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | +1,028 | $162 | $2,273 | 154 | 06-13 18:46 |
| Bland-Metronome 0x0325…16e7 | No | +1,023 | $799 | $799 | 2 | 06-07 18:00 |
| Suspicious-Aid 0xc254…3f73 | No | +1,000 | $780 | $780 | 21 | 06-05 15:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x131a…e4d0 | Yes | +977 | $215 | $215 | 2 | 06-09 03:33 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | +865 | $666 | $666 | 6 | 05-28 02:30 |
| Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | +778 | $613 | $613 | 43 | 06-11 16:27 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +730 | $145 | $145 | 11 | 06-13 16:38 |
| Silent-Tiara 0x96ea…d53f | Yes | +709 | $156 | $156 | 1 | 06-07 19:53 |
| Monumental-Union 0x04bf…7caf | No | +700 | $543 | $543 | 10 | 06-13 23:48 |
| Calm-Astronomy 0x6d2d…5bd2 | Yes | +682 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 06-02 16:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x1eb9…5189 | No | +595 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-11 17:43 |
| Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | +506 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 06-08 01:55 |
| Flowery-Share 0xde0d…b6ca | Yes | +500 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-09 21:50 |
| Cheerful-Nucleotidase 0x8df9…468c | Yes | +500 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 06-09 21:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xce2a…75eb | Yes | +476 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-12 22:47 |
| cheng 0xfb66…5e13 | No | +472 | $368 | $368 | 17 | 06-02 06:59 |
| Circular-Sandpaper-Larder 0x058f…4883 | No | +444 | $337 | $337 | 8 | 06-02 12:14 |
| Stark-Palace 0x2ba1…b0b6 | No | +432 | $334 | $2,549 | 65 | 05-29 09:34 |
| Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb | Yes | +420 | $99 | $101 | 2 | 05-28 08:52 |
| Mr.Eggplant 0x3b69…0cde | Yes | +412 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 06-13 21:11 |
| Shiny-Crewmember 0x2411…ada7 | Yes | +400 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-28 17:59 |
| Stark-Palace 0x2ba1…b0b6 | Yes | +365 | $83 | $1,043 | 76 | 05-29 21:02 |
| Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | Yes | +331 | $56 | $431 | 22 | 06-14 00:04 |
| Intelligent-Caribou 0xceba…3e18 | No | +300 | $228 | $228 | 1 | 05-28 14:20 |
| Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | +256 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-29 23:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x567d…f927 | No | +250 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-07 00:13 |
| Easy-Koala 0xe6fd…8bc3 | No | +250 | $193 | $598 | 12 | 06-12 05:13 |
| Acidic-Chaplain 0x1994…b4e5 | Yes | +234 | $53 | $53 | 5 | 06-04 20:39 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +221 | $46 | $46 | 9 | 06-10 22:42 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +219 | $171 | $171 | 11 | 06-11 17:46 |
| Impressionable-Gobbler 0xf99e…6831 | Yes | +217 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-01 02:05 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +215 | $37 | $205 | 11 | 06-13 14:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 00:04:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 101 | 20¢ | $20 | 0xba4b59… |
| 06-14 00:04:09 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | Yes | BUY | 142 | 20¢ | $28 | 0xba4b59… |
| 06-14 00:04:09 | Strident-Native 0xbb41…111f | Yes | SELL | 243 | 20¢ | $49 | 0xba4b59… |
| 06-13 23:48:54 | Boiling-Sofa 0xd9eb…75ce | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x44e72b… |
| 06-13 23:48:54 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x44e72b… |
| 06-13 23:48:51 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 200 | 79¢ | $158 | 0xda526c… |
| 06-13 23:48:51 | Monumental-Union 0x04bf…7caf | No | BUY | 200 | 79¢ | $158 | 0xda526c… |
| 06-13 22:34:18 | Favorable-Bidder 0xaab6…b6a2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xbba0c2… |
| 06-13 22:34:18 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xbba0c2… |
| 06-13 21:11:48 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 100 | 79¢ | $79 | 0xc246c7… |
| 06-13 21:11:48 | Poor-Sea 0x7803…9e91 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xc246c7… |
| 06-13 21:11:48 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | BUY | 100 | 79¢ | $79 | 0xc246c7… |
| 06-13 21:11:48 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | Yes | SELL | 21 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xc246c7… |
| 06-13 21:11:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 185 | 21¢ | $39 | 0xc246c7… |
| 06-13 21:11:48 | Mr.Eggplant 0x3b69…0cde | Yes | BUY | 412 | 21¢ | $86 | 0xc246c7… |
| 06-13 19:42:37 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | Yes | BUY | 21 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xf78584… |
| 06-13 19:42:37 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | Yes | SELL | 121 | 20¢ | $24 | 0xf78584… |
| 06-13 19:42:37 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | SELL | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0xf78584… |
| 06-13 18:53:30 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 185 | 20¢ | $37 | 0x8a5a3f… |
| 06-13 18:53:30 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | Yes | SELL | 185 | 20¢ | $37 | 0x8a5a3f… |
| 06-13 18:46:45 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 206 | 21¢ | $43 | 0xad17a4… |
| 06-13 18:46:45 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | Yes | BUY | 306 | 21¢ | $64 | 0xad17a4… |
| 06-13 18:46:45 | Poor-Sea 0x7803…9e91 | No | SELL | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xad17a4… |
| 06-13 18:46:45 | Euphoric-Spider 0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 21¢ | $210 | 0xad17a4… |
| 06-13 18:46:45 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 87 | 21¢ | $18 | 0xad17a4… |
| 06-13 18:39:19 | Euphoric-Spider 0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | SELL | 575 | 22¢ | $127 | 0xd19cf1… |
| 06-13 18:39:19 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | SELL | 100 | 78¢ | $78 | 0xd19cf1… |
| 06-13 18:39:19 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 213 | 78¢ | $166 | 0xd19cf1… |
| 06-13 18:39:19 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 103 | 22¢ | $23 | 0xd19cf1… |
| 06-13 18:39:19 | Frilly-Knowhow 0x7a17…12f3 | No | SELL | 158 | 78¢ | $123 | 0xd19cf1… |
| 06-13 18:13:49 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | Yes | SELL | 103 | 22¢ | $23 | 0xdc13b5… |
| 06-13 18:13:49 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 103 | 22¢ | $23 | 0xdc13b5… |
| 06-13 17:17:34 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 52 | 78¢ | $41 | 0x5d976a… |
| 06-13 17:17:34 | Illiterate-Share 0x28df…d86c | Yes | SELL | 400 | 22¢ | $88 | 0x5d976a… |
| 06-13 17:17:34 | Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | No | SELL | 136 | 78¢ | $106 | 0x5d976a… |
| 06-13 17:17:34 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 212 | 78¢ | $165 | 0x5d976a… |
| 06-13 16:55:48 | Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x1fe34c… |
| 06-13 16:55:48 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 48 | 23¢ | $11 | 0x1fe34c… |
| 06-13 16:55:48 | Fixed-Digit 0x7ed0…8230 | No | SELL | 103 | 77¢ | $79 | 0x1fe34c… |
| 06-13 16:55:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 44 | 23¢ | $10 | 0x1fe34c… |
| 06-13 16:38:39 | Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x4e410b… |
| 06-13 16:38:39 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | SELL | 153 | 80¢ | $122 | 0x4e410b… |
| 06-13 16:38:39 | Untried-Complicity 0x1002…bdf0 | Yes | SELL | 1,283 | 20¢ | $254 | 0x4e410b… |
| 06-13 16:38:39 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | SELL | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0x4e410b… |
| 06-13 16:38:39 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 206 | 20¢ | $41 | 0x4e410b… |
| 06-13 16:38:39 | Frilly-Knowhow 0x7a17…12f3 | No | SELL | 169 | 80¢ | $135 | 0x4e410b… |
| 06-13 16:38:39 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | BUY | 215 | 19¢ | $41 | 0x4e410b… |
| 06-13 16:38:39 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | Yes | BUY | 200 | 20¢ | $40 | 0x4e410b… |
| 06-13 16:38:39 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 100 | 20¢ | $20 | 0x4e410b… |
| 06-13 16:38:39 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 61 | 20¢ | $12 | 0x4e410b… |
| 06-13 16:38:39 | Euphoric-Spider 0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 20¢ | $8 | 0x4e410b… |
| 06-13 16:05:55 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | Yes | SELL | 110 | 21¢ | $23 | 0xfe2103… |
| 06-13 16:05:55 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | BUY | 100 | 79¢ | $79 | 0xfe2103… |
| 06-13 16:05:55 | Steep-Pegboard 0x924d…bfba | No | SELL | 590 | 79¢ | $466 | 0xfe2103… |
| 06-13 16:05:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 284 | 21¢ | $60 | 0xfe2103… |
| 06-13 16:05:55 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 91 | 21¢ | $19 | 0xfe2103… |
| 06-13 16:05:55 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xfe2103… |
| 06-13 14:48:37 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 100 | 79¢ | $79 | 0x719c0c… |
| 06-13 14:48:37 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 100 | 21¢ | $21 | 0x719c0c… |
| 06-13 14:47:42 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0xc410fa… |
| 06-13 14:47:42 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0xc410fa… |
| 06-13 14:47:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 395 | 20¢ | $79 | 0xc410fa… |
| 06-13 14:47:42 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 200 | 20¢ | $40 | 0xc410fa… |
| 06-13 14:47:42 | Frilly-Knowhow 0x7a17…12f3 | No | BUY | 160 | 80¢ | $128 | 0xc410fa… |
| 06-13 14:47:42 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | BUY | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0xc410fa… |
| 06-13 14:47:42 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 16 | 20¢ | $3 | 0xc410fa… |
| 06-13 14:47:42 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 206 | 20¢ | $41 | 0xc410fa… |
| 06-13 14:47:42 | Euphoric-Spider 0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | BUY | 1,461 | 20¢ | $292 | 0xc410fa… |
| 06-13 14:12:24 | (anonymous) 0x44ea…4910 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x911beb… |
| 06-13 14:12:24 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | BUY | 8 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x911beb… |
| 06-13 14:01:33 | Intent-Attitude 0xc97f…b64e | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xf3b309… |
| 06-13 14:01:33 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xf3b309… |
| 06-13 12:58:22 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | BUY | 58 | 19¢ | $11 | 0x3d7147… |
| 06-13 12:58:22 | Pricey-Epauliere 0x6e8e…4cac | No | SELL | 4 | 81¢ | $3 | 0x3d7147… |
| 06-13 12:58:22 | Silly-Education 0xfeb6…7bad | Yes | SELL | 62 | 19¢ | $12 | 0x3d7147… |
| 06-13 11:41:40 | Frilly-Knowhow 0x7a17…12f3 | No | BUY | 2 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xcd7195… |
| 06-13 11:41:40 | Dishonest-Solicitation 0xaab3…e7a5 | No | SELL | 2 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xcd7195… |
| 06-13 10:37:28 | (anonymous) 0xa8a0…d5a0 | No | SELL | 49 | 80¢ | $39 | 0x654ad7… |
| 06-13 10:37:28 | Frilly-Knowhow 0x7a17…12f3 | No | BUY | 49 | 80¢ | $39 | 0x654ad7… |
| 06-13 10:33:33 | Stingy-Thief 0x1fe9…ffe0 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 19¢ | $11 | 0x11fa1e… |
| 06-13 10:33:33 | Pricey-Epauliere 0x6e8e…4cac | No | SELL | 59 | 81¢ | $48 | 0x11fa1e… |
| 06-13 09:24:34 | Frilly-Knowhow 0x7a17…12f3 | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x7225ad… |
| 06-13 09:24:34 | (anonymous) 0x0f34…7684 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x7225ad… |
| 06-13 07:17:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 227 | 19¢ | $43 | 0x73015b… |
| 06-13 07:17:07 | (anonymous) 0x29ac…a7ba | Yes | SELL | 227 | 19¢ | $43 | 0x73015b… |
| 06-13 07:05:00 | (anonymous) 0x0be0…ffaf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x2a8865… |
| 06-13 07:05:00 | Frilly-Knowhow 0x7a17…12f3 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x2a8865… |
| 06-13 06:43:25 | (anonymous) 0xad75…3ccb | Yes | BUY | 13 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x00b117… |
| 06-13 06:43:25 | Extra-Small-Democrat 0x260b…aa9e | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x00b117… |
| 06-13 06:43:25 | Poor-Sea 0x7803…9e91 | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x00b117… |
| 06-13 06:43:25 | Frilly-Knowhow 0x7a17…12f3 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x00b117… |
| 06-13 05:41:12 | Murky-Chow 0x6406…bc04 | No | BUY | 51 | 80¢ | $41 | 0xe9357e… |
| 06-13 05:41:12 | Hoarse-Public 0x5710…5a7a | No | SELL | 51 | 80¢ | $41 | 0xe9357e… |
| 06-13 05:28:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 42 | 19¢ | $8 | 0xb3ac51… |
| 06-13 05:28:52 | Criminal-Sleuth 0xc52a…41d2 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 19¢ | $8 | 0xb3ac51… |
| 06-13 03:38:12 | (anonymous) 0x3007…763a | No | BUY | 247 | 81¢ | $200 | 0xc34c5a… |
| 06-13 03:38:12 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 85 | 19¢ | $16 | 0xc34c5a… |
| 06-13 03:38:12 | Frilly-Knowhow 0x7a17…12f3 | No | SELL | 67 | 81¢ | $54 | 0xc34c5a… |
| 06-13 03:38:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xc34c5a… |
| 06-13 02:46:09 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | BUY | 111 | 19¢ | $21 | 0xbc5d3c… |