Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
open
Total volume
$813,915
$6,743 in 24h
Trades
24,423
Unique wallets
6,244
Liquidity
$83,014
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-15 16:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+28.2¢
(top1%: 52% YES on $40.5K
vs crowd: 24% YES on $429.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 82 | $21.7K | $82.4K | $60.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 150 | $20.5K | $70.7K | $50.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 460 | $17.4K | $55.5K | $38.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5,552 | $42.1K | $118.9K | $76.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 35 | $21.0K | $19.5K | +$1.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 60 | $12.1K | $17.2K | $5.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 65 | $3.0K | $12.9K | $9.9K |
| Median | 806 | $8.0K | $24.3K | $16.2K |
| Below median | 657 | $5.6K | $20.7K | $15.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 50 | $1.5K | $2.7K | $1.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 72 | $5.6K | $13.3K | $7.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 41 | $3.1K | $46.4K | $43.3K |
| unranked | 4,458 | $41.8K | $170.6K | $128.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatal-Destination 0x4159…a9a0 | Yes | +49,204 | $7,402 | $7,815 | 117 | 08-12 15:47 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +21,385 | $2,393 | $6,906 | 317 | 08-14 05:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xab01…2558 | No | +17,457 | $15,432 | $15,432 | 10 | 08-06 06:27 |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist 0x3eae…e2ed | No | +17,240 | $15,007 | $15,007 | 5 | 08-03 14:05 |
| Handsome-Midden 0x1bad…63e9 | No | +13,835 | $12,000 | $12,000 | 6 | 07-31 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x328d…f7a9 | No | +11,998 | $10,188 | $10,188 | 30 | 07-15 18:42 |
| Needy-Anise 0x9792…bc5a | No | +10,314 | $8,401 | $8,401 | 3 | 07-02 18:08 |
| Homely-Amenity 0x0b64…49bd | No | +7,832 | $6,860 | $6,860 | 29 | 07-20 21:57 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +6,106 | $741 | $9,937 | 624 | 08-12 20:12 |
| Uniform-Botany 0xf0ed…47d8 | Yes | +5,782 | $1,195 | $1,195 | 17 | 06-25 01:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f34…7684 | No | +5,613 | $4,849 | $4,849 | 12 | 07-18 21:20 |
| Vacant-Backburn 0x3262…2d1d | Yes | +5,000 | $1,200 | $1,200 | 19 | 05-28 16:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +4,686 | $3,671 | $3,671 | 591 | 06-17 03:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +4,675 | $1,012 | $1,012 | 601 | 06-17 03:54 |
| Feline-Bronze 0x57c8…2ec4 | Yes | +3,562 | $819 | $1,011 | 6 | 07-19 21:56 |
| Any-Adviser 0x00d1…c8a4 | No | +3,414 | $2,663 | $2,663 | 16 | 06-01 09:20 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | No | +3,072 | $2,326 | $2,326 | 25 | 05-29 03:14 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +3,008 | $531 | $544 | 43 | 07-31 02:44 |
| Realistic-Payoff 0x88fe…f516 | Yes | +2,941 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-29 21:21 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +2,863 | $2,369 | $2,369 | 37 | 07-30 06:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x8465…a31a | Yes | +2,583 | $594 | $594 | 51 | 06-17 22:53 |
| Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | +2,533 | $296 | $4,831 | 319 | 08-13 02:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | +2,495 | $545 | $569 | 23 | 07-19 20:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x2be6…8ae5 | No | +2,200 | $1,681 | $1,681 | 4 | 06-17 13:18 |
| Zesty-Trash 0xceee…d39e | No | +2,095 | $1,594 | $4,448 | 80 | 06-14 10:30 |
| Untried-Complicity 0x1002…bdf0 | Yes | +2,013 | $309 | $1,533 | 18 | 07-05 16:54 |
| Grand-Reasoning 0x54b5…4b31 | Yes | +2,000 | $510 | $1,430 | 3 | 06-17 22:53 |
| Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | +1,976 | $1,658 | $6,407 | 12 | 07-16 08:02 |
| Sane-Sprout 0xd2b8…8cf5 | Yes | +1,897 | $348 | $348 | 3 | 07-05 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x3007…763a | No | +1,733 | $1,400 | $1,400 | 4 | 07-16 02:53 |
| Another-Parenting 0xbb2e…5bbf | No | +1,605 | $1,380 | $1,380 | 2 | 07-15 22:48 |
| Mr.Eggplant 0x3b69…0cde | Yes | +1,523 | $309 | $309 | 9 | 06-24 07:49 |
| Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | +1,500 | $1,315 | $1,315 | 2 | 08-11 20:13 |
| Decimal-Recall 0xf648…8232 | No | +1,500 | $915 | $5,325 | 52 | 08-05 20:50 |
| Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | +1,416 | $99 | $99 | 6 | 08-15 16:40 |
| Circular-Sandpaper-Larder 0x058f…4883 | No | +1,285 | $963 | $2,563 | 23 | 07-15 18:39 |
| Earnest-Twitter 0x7164…7ff7 | Yes | +1,284 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 05-29 21:02 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | No | +1,276 | $1,040 | $1,040 | 7 | 08-06 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x0597…a84e | Yes | +1,238 | $260 | $260 | 1 | 06-12 11:40 |
| Heartfelt-Exchange 0xe6ef…418d | Yes | +1,000 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 06-15 05:31 |
| Downright-Niece 0xfd0e…a9c8 | Yes | +1,000 | $230 | $230 | 1 | 06-17 22:53 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | +1,000 | $140 | $140 | 1 | 07-03 13:14 |
| Monumental-Union 0x04bf…7caf | No | +1,000 | $780 | $780 | 13 | 06-14 10:30 |
| Guilty-Cranky 0x6d50…1f5d | Yes | +910 | $96 | $96 | 3 | 08-05 20:50 |
| Irritating-Builder 0xa092…11e3 | No | +800 | $634 | $634 | 3 | 07-16 18:30 |
| Impressive-Scarecrow 0xba62…58e9 | No | +778 | $613 | $613 | 43 | 06-11 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x5219…9781 | Yes | +714 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-03 15:29 |
| Silent-Tiara 0x96ea…d53f | Yes | +709 | $156 | $156 | 1 | 06-07 19:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x6989…b412 | No | +700 | $595 | $595 | 3 | 07-04 19:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 16:40:03 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 650 | 7¢ | $45 | 0x6fbf4b… |
| 08-15 16:40:03 | (anonymous) 0xe6c5…8732 | Yes | SELL | 650 | 7¢ | $45 | 0x6fbf4b… |
| 08-15 16:07:31 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 240 | 7¢ | $17 | 0xb33f36… |
| 08-15 16:07:31 | (anonymous) 0xe6c5…8732 | Yes | SELL | 240 | 7¢ | $17 | 0xb33f36… |
| 08-15 16:05:43 | (anonymous) 0x57bb…a082 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd68901… |
| 08-15 16:05:43 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd68901… |
| 08-15 12:50:51 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x47e6ee… |
| 08-15 12:50:51 | (anonymous) 0xf1b8…caf4 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x47e6ee… |
| 08-15 12:50:30 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x57241f… |
| 08-15 12:50:30 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x57241f… |
| 08-15 12:49:18 | Dishonest-Ruckus 0xfb9a…6d8b | No | SELL | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0x530021… |
| 08-15 12:49:18 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x530021… |
| 08-15 04:33:43 | (anonymous) 0x4ece…3a5b | Yes | SELL | 298 | 7¢ | $21 | 0x608a64… |
| 08-15 04:33:43 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 298 | 7¢ | $21 | 0x608a64… |
| 08-15 03:50:25 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 7¢ | $8 | 0x49a5ca… |
| 08-15 03:50:25 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 7¢ | $8 | 0x49a5ca… |
| 08-14 21:44:52 | Shameful-Cooperation 0x4542…2637 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd866cd… |
| 08-14 21:44:52 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd866cd… |
| 08-14 16:59:13 | Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48…a96d | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x11fe62… |
| 08-14 16:59:13 | Radiant-Divide 0x7df6…ac3b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x11fe62… |
| 08-14 16:48:45 | (anonymous) 0x9987…5f4c | No | SELL | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x97f5a1… |
| 08-14 16:48:45 | Clueless-Dugout-Tomtom 0x0787…0ca3 | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x97f5a1… |
| 08-14 16:48:45 | Radiant-Divide 0x7df6…ac3b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x97f5a1… |
| 08-14 16:48:45 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 86 | 93¢ | $80 | 0x97f5a1… |
| 08-14 14:27:22 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x5408e2… |
| 08-14 14:27:22 | Sophisticated-Fate 0xd6cc…c2e7 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x5408e2… |
| 08-14 10:10:12 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | BUY | 24 | 91¢ | $22 | 0xa7eeb9… |
| 08-14 10:10:12 | (anonymous) 0x1ccb…57b7 | No | SELL | 24 | 91¢ | $22 | 0xa7eeb9… |
| 08-14 05:21:54 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe59c74… |
| 08-14 05:21:54 | (anonymous) 0x2285…71b5 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xe59c74… |
| 08-14 02:33:55 | Scary-Rubbish-Contour 0xdb0f…6906 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x2838f5… |
| 08-14 02:33:55 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x2838f5… |
| 08-14 02:29:00 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 600 | 7¢ | $42 | 0xc2acc9… |
| 08-14 02:29:00 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 600 | 7¢ | $42 | 0xc2acc9… |
| 08-14 02:28:27 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x685c9f… |
| 08-14 02:28:27 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x685c9f… |
| 08-14 02:28:00 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xd64f62… |
| 08-14 02:28:00 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xd64f62… |
| 08-14 02:27:57 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x02e046… |
| 08-14 02:27:57 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x02e046… |
| 08-14 02:27:57 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 8¢ | $10 | 0x02e046… |
| 08-14 02:27:57 | Major-Click 0xdc4b…dbca | No | SELL | 314 | 92¢ | $289 | 0x02e046… |
| 08-14 02:27:57 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 600 | 8¢ | $48 | 0x02e046… |
| 08-14 02:27:57 | Enchanting-Texture 0x71ab…f015 | No | SELL | 1,089 | 92¢ | $1,002 | 0x02e046… |
| 08-14 02:27:57 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x02e046… |
| 08-14 02:27:57 | Euphoric-Spider 0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | SELL | 6,401 | 8¢ | $512 | 0x02e046… |
| 08-14 02:27:57 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | SELL | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x02e046… |
| 08-14 02:27:57 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x02e046… |
| 08-14 02:27:57 | Shocked-Brink 0x8b88…5f5e | No | SELL | 3,568 | 92¢ | $3,283 | 0x02e046… |
| 08-14 02:27:57 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x02e046… |
| 08-13 22:54:21 | Frightening-Editor 0x06d5…0417 | No | SELL | 13 | 91¢ | $12 | 0xc71be9… |
| 08-13 22:54:21 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | BUY | 13 | 91¢ | $12 | 0xc71be9… |
| 08-13 22:16:01 | Major-Click 0xdc4b…dbca | No | SELL | 43 | 92¢ | $40 | 0xb036f0… |
| 08-13 22:16:01 | (anonymous) 0x5b38…85b5 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xb036f0… |
| 08-13 17:59:10 | Major-Click 0xdc4b…dbca | No | SELL | 260 | 92¢ | $240 | 0x241801… |
| 08-13 17:59:10 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | SELL | 361 | 8¢ | $30 | 0x241801… |
| 08-13 17:59:10 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 101 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x241801… |
| 08-13 17:17:10 | (anonymous) 0xc286…e86e | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xc30fc4… |
| 08-13 17:17:10 | (anonymous) 0x3642…757d | No | BUY | 55 | 90¢ | $49 | 0xc30fc4… |
| 08-13 17:17:10 | (anonymous) 0xd995…fe67 | No | SELL | 65 | 90¢ | $58 | 0xc30fc4… |
| 08-13 16:36:00 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xa38325… |
| 08-13 16:36:00 | Major-Click 0xdc4b…dbca | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xa38325… |
| 08-13 16:34:18 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 99 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x4c710b… |
| 08-13 16:34:18 | Major-Click 0xdc4b…dbca | No | SELL | 99 | 92¢ | $91 | 0x4c710b… |
| 08-13 16:32:46 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xb3b886… |
| 08-13 16:32:46 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 101 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xb3b886… |
| 08-13 16:32:46 | Detailed-Basin 0x45dd…1e20 | No | SELL | 31 | 92¢ | $29 | 0xb3b886… |
| 08-13 16:32:46 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xb3b886… |
| 08-13 16:32:46 | Unhappy-Cape 0x0815…3eb1 | Yes | SELL | 2,564 | 8¢ | $208 | 0xb3b886… |
| 08-13 16:32:46 | Major-Click 0xdc4b…dbca | No | SELL | 2,282 | 92¢ | $2,099 | 0xb3b886… |
| 08-13 15:14:16 | Enormous-Framework-Viability 0x4ebe…7a3d | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xe929d7… |
| 08-13 15:14:16 | (anonymous) 0x3642…757d | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xe929d7… |
| 08-13 12:44:52 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x1687be… |
| 08-13 12:44:52 | (anonymous) 0x3642…757d | No | BUY | 49 | 90¢ | $44 | 0x1687be… |
| 08-13 12:44:52 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x1687be… |
| 08-13 12:44:52 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x1687be… |
| 08-13 12:44:51 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 101 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xbde8e6… |
| 08-13 12:44:51 | Criminal-Noun 0xea30…f2a9 | Yes | BUY | 246 | 9¢ | $22 | 0xbde8e6… |
| 08-13 12:44:51 | Detailed-Shearling 0xb6b9…b487 | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0xbde8e6… |
| 08-13 12:44:51 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xbde8e6… |
| 08-13 12:44:51 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xbde8e6… |
| 08-13 10:35:21 | Idle-Twist 0xa5d9…8177 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0x8f9dc6… |
| 08-13 10:35:21 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | BUY | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0x8f9dc6… |
| 08-13 10:00:21 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x6fe7f7… |
| 08-13 10:00:21 | Detailed-Basin 0x45dd…1e20 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x6fe7f7… |
| 08-13 09:49:30 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | BUY | 110 | 91¢ | $100 | 0xeb118c… |
| 08-13 09:49:30 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xeb118c… |
| 08-13 09:49:30 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | No | BUY | 99 | 92¢ | $91 | 0x927124… |
| 08-13 09:49:30 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xeb118c… |
| 08-13 09:49:30 | Detailed-Basin 0x45dd…1e20 | No | SELL | 99 | 92¢ | $91 | 0x927124… |
| 08-13 02:35:19 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xf6cbc2… |
| 08-13 02:35:19 | Unsung-Bamboo 0xb1b7…0373 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xf6cbc2… |
| 08-12 21:50:19 | Euphoric-Spider 0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | BUY | 230 | 9¢ | $21 | 0x6c54c5… |
| 08-12 21:50:19 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x6c54c5… |
| 08-12 21:50:19 | (anonymous) 0x9a84…bb2e | Yes | SELL | 250 | 9¢ | $22 | 0x6c54c5… |
| 08-12 20:12:28 | Average-Jellybeans 0x3f2d…2adc | Yes | SELL | 95 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x83a08a… |
| 08-12 20:12:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 87 | 10¢ | $9 | 0x83a08a… |
| 08-12 20:12:28 | Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | SELL | 266 | 90¢ | $239 | 0x83a08a… |
| 08-12 19:16:12 | Euphoric-Spider 0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x73fb71… |
| 08-12 19:16:12 | (anonymous) 0xcc28…79ba | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x73fb71… |