Radiant-Divide 0x7df61c…77ac3b
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$12.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.13K
Hit rate
69.9%
Resolved
2,784
Trades
39,487
lifetime
Volume
$2.10M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$33.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 19:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 278 days
Categories
Politics
51% 69% +$2,889
Other
40% 61% +$4,682
Sports
8% 67% +$5,078
Crypto
1% 49% -$384
Tech
1% 50% +$9
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$74
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 727 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +2,610 $2,344 97¢ $2.5K +$187 10-28 15:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +2,368 $2,004 100¢ $2.4K +$358 10-20 03:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,594 $2,066 90¢ $2.3K +$282 10-26 03:58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,330 $1,822 60¢ $2.0K +$159 10-29 19:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +1,900 $1,355 98¢ $1.9K +$507 10-26 20:43
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +2,065 $1,552 82¢ $1.7K +$151 10-24 20:34
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +2,612 $1,539 56¢ $1.5K -$63 10-26 16:22
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,257 $1,060 99¢ $1.2K +$189 10-28 05:31
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +1,362 $793 90¢ $1.2K +$439 08-06 12:40
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,326 $903 86¢ $1.1K +$232 10-24 07:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,200 $884 86¢ $1.0K +$154 10-28 18:02
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +1,134 $1,012 90¢ $1.0K +$15 10-29 17:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +1,500 $846 66¢ $990 +$144 10-27 07:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +1,030 $717 96¢ $989 +$271 10-29 17:46
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,000 $871 94¢ $935 +$64 10-28 20:31
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $807 82¢ $820 +$13 10-29 17:47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +854 $681 96¢ $820 +$139 10-19 08:33
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,150 $597 68¢ $781 +$185 10-26 12:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +800 $320 90¢ $716 +$396 10-09 17:34
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +800 $561 88¢ $708 +$147 10-24 14:18
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 15 No +1,345 $554 52¢ $700 +$146 10-23 14:20
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +975 $729 72¢ $697 -$32 10-29 17:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,653 $524 40¢ $669 +$146 10-29 16:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -800 -$576 82¢ $-656 -$79 10-23 21:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +1,345 $745 48¢ $646 -$99 10-24 00:42
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +800 $609 80¢ $644 +$35 10-22 11:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +1,064 $638 60¢ $638 +$1 10-26 01:10
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,952 $747 32¢ $625 -$121 10-29 16:52
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +850 $530 70¢ $599 +$70 10-26 20:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +775 $504 77¢ $597 +$93 10-13 09:47