Radiant-Divide 0x7df61c…77ac3b
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$717
Unrealized P&L
+$382
Hit rate
58.3%
Resolved
72
Trades
20,397
lifetime
Volume
$1.06M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$4.94K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-15 05:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
62% 53% +$294
Other
34% 52% +$15
Sports
3% 71% +$407
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 552 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +800 $698 80¢ $644 $-54 06-08 15:45
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes +596 $520 88¢ $524 +$4 05-29 05:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +426 $134 94¢ $398 +$264 06-06 02:05
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -435 $-397 92¢ $-398 $-0 06-14 14:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +400 $264 74¢ $294 +$30 06-08 00:48
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +333 $253 76¢ $253 +$1 06-15 05:31
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +253 $240 97¢ $245 +$5 06-11 22:12
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +200 $183 93¢ $187 +$4 06-09 18:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +200 $168 90¢ $181 +$13 06-03 20:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $147 57¢ $172 +$26 06-02 22:56
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +200 $186 84¢ $168 $-18 06-04 03:00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +200 $122 83¢ $166 +$44 05-28 04:09
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No +166 $160 98¢ $163 +$3 06-05 09:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -198 $-109 72¢ $-142 $-33 05-30 04:37
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No +600 $156 24¢ $141 $-15 06-08 23:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +200 $96 55¢ $109 +$13 06-08 18:23
Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool? No +100 $94 98¢ $98 +$4 06-05 22:30
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -82 $-76 95¢ $-78 $-2 05-27 23:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +171 $80 46¢ $78 $-2 06-04 09:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +191 $76 32¢ $62 $-14 06-02 12:11
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +63 $49 99¢ $62 +$12 06-07 17:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +200 $54 29¢ $57 +$3 06-12 09:18
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +200 $60 26¢ $53 $-7 06-03 09:04
Will Karrigan retire by June 30? No +50 $49 100¢ $50 +$1 06-04 23:06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +100 $44 42¢ $42 $-2 06-04 14:04
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +55 $-33 76¢ $42 +$75 06-12 08:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -43 $-42 97¢ $-42 +$0 06-08 08:04
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July? Yes +50 $12 74¢ $37 +$25 06-11 09:29
Will Valve remove Ancient from the Map Pool? No +39 $36 94¢ $36 +$0 06-14 17:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -73 $-22 29¢ $-21 +$1 06-04 17:08