Realized P&L
+$717
Unrealized P&L
+$158
Hit rate
58.3%
Resolved
72
Trades
22,049
lifetime
Volume
$1.15M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$2.73K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-05 18:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
59% 53% +$294
Other
36% 52% +$15
Sports
4% 71% +$407
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 552 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +586 $447 90¢ $530 +$84 07-03 20:37
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +400 $252 68¢ $270 +$18 06-25 19:12
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +247 $217 96¢ $238 +$21 06-29 20:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +200 $168 94¢ $189 +$21 06-03 20:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $115 62¢ $188 +$73 06-29 16:09
Trump out as President before 2027? No +200 $186 94¢ $187 +$1 07-03 14:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -198 $-109 84¢ $-165 $-56 05-30 04:37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +206 $107 78¢ $161 +$54 06-26 09:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +200 $96 60¢ $121 +$25 06-08 18:23
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +133 $85 86¢ $114 +$29 06-29 00:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +150 $72 64¢ $97 +$25 07-02 17:57
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -82 $-76 97¢ $-80 $-3 05-27 23:23
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +200 $76 38¢ $75 $-1 07-05 02:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +171 $80 40¢ $67 $-12 06-04 09:20
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +200 $60 22¢ $43 $-17 06-03 09:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +100 $44 38¢ $38 $-6 06-04 14:04
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +67 $29 46¢ $31 +$2 07-05 15:33
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +500 $26 $25 $-1 07-02 15:46
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +388 $26 $25 $-1 07-05 01:07
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes -200 $-24 11¢ $-21 +$3 07-05 11:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -73 $-22 24¢ $-17 +$5 06-04 17:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +43 $53 30¢ $13 $-41 06-26 14:53
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +100 $13 12¢ $12 $-2 07-05 00:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +200 $28 $11 $-17 06-04 11:59
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? No +196 $18 $7 $-11 07-02 14:12
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +11 $-4 24¢ $3 +$6 07-05 18:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1 $-3 88¢ $-1 +$2 06-28 11:30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $-0 96¢ $0 +$1 06-08 23:05
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -0 $-8 16¢ $-0 +$8 07-04 06:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +21 $51 $0 $-51 07-04 11:08