Low-Jug 0x4ac989…01cf1a Create alert
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.52K
Unrealized P&L
+$520
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
799
Trades
2,968
lifetime
Volume
$392.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$132
Open exposure
$8.50K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 16:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 181 days
Categories
Other
57% 67% +$2,079
Politics
35% 69% -$1,378
Sports
4% 49% +$1,185
Tech
4% 71% +$439
Crypto
1% 67% +$191
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +874 $766 96¢ $843 +$78 10-17 04:17
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +600 $317 91¢ $548 +$231 10-21 17:36
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +713 $362 76¢ $545 +$183 10-28 18:33
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +1,198 $370 44¢ $527 +$157 10-25 16:05
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -541 -$148 97¢ $-526 -$378 05-20 16:28
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +471 $294 94¢ $445 +$151 10-26 14:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -500 -$406 85¢ $-425 -$19 07-26 15:32
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +416 $337 88¢ $364 +$27 10-17 04:18
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +2,900 $904 10¢ $275 -$628 08-07 23:25
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +324 $221 82¢ $264 +$43 10-17 04:20
US military draft authorized in 2026? No -266 -$255 98¢ $-261 -$6 08-12 20:04
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -337 -$237 73¢ $-247 -$10 08-12 20:04
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -232 -$197 100¢ $-232 -$35 10-18 12:12
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +247 $112 93¢ $230 +$118 10-26 14:49
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +244 $200 92¢ $226 +$26 10-22 12:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +225 $213 97¢ $219 +$6 10-17 04:20
US recession by end of 2026? No +229 $139 94¢ $216 +$78 09-07 16:15
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 No +209 $152 93¢ $195 +$43 08-12 20:11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +203 $47 96¢ $194 +$147 10-26 14:50
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -200 -$177 96¢ $-193 -$16 09-07 17:27
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +17,000 $128 1¢ $178 +$50 10-26 14:48
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +232 $200 74¢ $173 -$27 10-25 14:02
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +194 $90 84¢ $164 +$73 10-17 04:24
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No -168 -$162 96¢ $-162 +$0 10-26 14:37
will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232 Yes +371 $147 42¢ $154 +$7 08-07 18:48
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +168 $87 90¢ $150 +$63 10-26 14:48
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +166 $115 89¢ $148 +$34 10-26 14:45
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No +248 $103 56¢ $140 +$36 09-16 16:03
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +159 $100 84¢ $133 +$33 10-26 13:40
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +140 $69 88¢ $123 +$54 10-17 04:23