Low-Jug 0x4ac989…01cf1a
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.92K
Unrealized P&L
-$430
Hit rate
65.6%
Resolved
51
Trades
1,875
lifetime
Volume
$263.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$140
Open exposure
$9.50K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 08:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
60% 61% $-1,253
Politics
35% 40% $-389
Sports
4% 20% $-280
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -2,454 $-1,933 81¢ $-1990 $-57 06-24 20:52
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +862 $719 90¢ $780 +$61 05-29 14:05
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? No -657 $-649 100¢ $-656 $-7 06-27 05:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -800 $-542 80¢ $-644 $-102 06-12 12:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -793 $-341 70¢ $-551 $-210 06-17 16:52
US recession by end of 2026? No +610 $500 88¢ $534 +$34 06-10 16:15
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? No +504 $497 100¢ $502 +$5 06-25 13:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -500 $-430 88¢ $-438 $-8 06-18 16:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -425 $-413 100¢ $-425 $-11 06-11 14:07
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +506 $400 84¢ $423 +$23 06-08 01:55
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +500 $388 75¢ $375 $-13 06-25 13:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -300 $-216 99¢ $-298 $-82 06-15 12:08
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026? No +253 $253 100¢ $253 +$0 06-25 13:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +805 $453 30¢ $245 $-207 06-18 21:36
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? No +207 $228 100¢ $207 $-21 06-20 17:11
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +236 $205 86¢ $204 $-0 06-29 08:35
US military draft authorized in 2026? No -205 $-196 92¢ $-188 +$8 06-21 15:01
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? No -182 $-182 100¢ $-182 $-0 06-27 05:22
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +211 $100 60¢ $127 +$27 06-01 12:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -399 $-287 30¢ $-118 +$170 06-18 16:21
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -99 $-94 96¢ $-94 +$0 06-18 13:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -92 $-92 100¢ $-92 $-0 06-27 05:22
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +500 $139 11¢ $52 $-87 06-01 16:52
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +52 $50 100¢ $52 +$2 06-21 13:24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -42 $-37 90¢ $-38 $-1 06-11 19:11
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? No -21 $-20 100¢ $-20 $-0 06-27 05:21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +13 $-35 100¢ $13 +$48 06-27 05:21