Low-Jug 0x4ac989…01cf1a
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.92K
Unrealized P&L
-$887
Hit rate
65.6%
Resolved
51
Trades
2,033
lifetime
Volume
$283.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$139
Open exposure
$10.9K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 23:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
59% 61% $-1,253
Politics
35% 40% $-389
Sports
5% 20% $-280
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -2,652 $-2,097 84¢ $-2216 $-119 07-20 13:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,100 $1,626 72¢ $1.5K $-103 07-17 16:02
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +862 $719 94¢ $815 +$95 05-29 14:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -793 $-341 99¢ $-783 $-442 06-17 16:52
US recession by end of 2026? No +810 $680 88¢ $717 +$37 07-13 18:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -800 $-542 86¢ $-692 $-150 06-12 12:04
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +633 $500 88¢ $557 +$57 07-13 12:02
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +654 $517 84¢ $553 +$35 07-21 23:52
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +500 $407 77¢ $385 $-22 07-13 20:33
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +359 $272 88¢ $315 +$42 07-21 23:43
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? No +306 $257 84¢ $256 $-2 07-18 05:58
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +376 $249 67¢ $252 +$3 07-16 21:00
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +284 $250 86¢ $243 $-7 07-13 12:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -263 $-233 90¢ $-235 $-2 07-21 23:52
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -303 $-212 74¢ $-226 $-14 07-15 18:43
US military draft authorized in 2026? No -205 $-196 95¢ $-195 +$2 06-21 15:01
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +200 $150 78¢ $156 +$6 07-16 11:21
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +200 $150 76¢ $151 +$1 07-13 12:09
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +211 $100 54¢ $113 +$13 06-01 12:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -102 $-96 94¢ $-96 $-1 07-21 23:43
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -99 $-94 96¢ $-95 $-1 06-18 13:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -399 $-287 22¢ $-86 +$201 06-18 16:21
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +500 $139 15¢ $72 $-67 06-01 16:52
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +95 $70 74¢ $71 +$1 07-16 12:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +62 $70 86¢ $53 $-17 07-17 16:41
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +81 $44 64¢ $52 +$8 07-16 01:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +805 $453 1¢ $10 $-443 06-18 21:36
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +8 $6 80¢ $6 +$0 07-17 00:21