US recession by end of 2026?
open
Total volume
$95,835
$873 in 24h
Trades
1,056
Unique wallets
275
Liquidity
$15,406
Latest YES mid
13¢
Latest NO mid
87¢
End date
2027-01-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-18 02:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+27.2¢
(top1%: 39% YES on $3.8K
vs crowd: 12% YES on $47.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 22 | $308 | $12.3K | $12.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 35 | $2.5K | $23.9K | $21.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 47 | $1.3K | $1.5K | $167 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 171 | $1.4K | $4.0K | $2.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 11 | $1.5K | $2.3K | $855 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $242 | $17.7K | $17.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $426 | $965 | $538 |
| Median | 34 | $107 | $624 | $517 |
| Below median | 52 | $129 | $202 | $74 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $103 | $149 | $46 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 15 | $408 | $1.7K | $1.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $806 | $10.0K | $9.1K |
| unranked | 122 | $1.8K | $8.0K | $6.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cute-Farmland 0xeb6f…25f0 | No | +13,795 | $11,713 | $12,831 | 11 | 06-16 22:37 |
| Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | +6,752 | $1,073 | $1,073 | 27 | 06-16 15:41 |
| Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | No | +6,455 | $5,575 | $5,575 | 35 | 06-17 20:57 |
| Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | Yes | +4,571 | $750 | $750 | 22 | 06-17 20:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x3060…16cb | No | +3,053 | $2,679 | $2,679 | 2 | 06-16 15:41 |
| Fatal-Hardship 0xd650…5196 | Yes | +2,094 | $363 | $363 | 11 | 06-16 15:41 |
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +1,410 | $249 | $249 | 9 | 06-17 20:45 |
| Gracious-Gammaray 0x48f9…e61d | Yes | +1,318 | $277 | $458 | 8 | 06-12 21:24 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +1,005 | $829 | $829 | 6 | 06-06 13:39 |
| Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | +1,000 | $820 | $820 | 1 | 05-27 23:06 |
| Incompatible-Edition 0x4fe2…87c5 | No | +952 | $778 | $778 | 2 | 06-14 05:58 |
| Hilarious-Fishery 0x47ae…ee94 | Yes | +884 | $181 | $181 | 5 | 06-01 12:14 |
| Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | No | +863 | $721 | $721 | 2 | 06-14 09:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x5460…c7b5 | Yes | +667 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-17 00:20 |
| Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | +635 | $527 | $527 | 1 | 06-05 16:37 |
| Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | +610 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-10 16:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e8c…028a | Yes | +600 | $113 | $113 | 1 | 06-05 06:14 |
| Sticky-Mood-Electrocardiogram 0xe393…8364 | Yes | +571 | $103 | $103 | 13 | 06-12 23:04 |
| False-Interloper 0xc636…5ef9 | No | +565 | $484 | $484 | 4 | 06-18 01:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1e4…f622 | No | +531 | $455 | $455 | 3 | 06-17 11:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1e4…f622 | Yes | +508 | $76 | $76 | 2 | 06-17 11:35 |
| Rusty-Tactile 0x2478…2e62 | No | +500 | $395 | $395 | 2 | 06-03 23:15 |
| Capital-Poem 0x397b…d4bd | Yes | +409 | $84 | $84 | 4 | 06-01 12:16 |
| Capital-Poem 0x397b…d4bd | No | +409 | $326 | $326 | 4 | 06-02 15:06 |
| wkjhghjnbvs 0x2ee4…19c4 | No | +349 | $285 | $285 | 3 | 06-08 22:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x5375…aeea | Yes | +319 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-16 00:36 |
| Forthright-Bike 0x6bd4…b90a | No | +288 | $236 | $236 | 4 | 06-13 23:52 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +262 | $213 | $817 | 26 | 06-01 16:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdea…1c07 | Yes | +256 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-10 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xd18d…c3d7 | No | +250 | $205 | $205 | 1 | 05-28 02:19 |
| Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | +244 | $194 | $194 | 4 | 05-29 10:07 |
| Hollow-Bumper 0xfa8a…1589 | Yes | +230 | $48 | $48 | 14 | 06-02 15:06 |
| False-Mall 0x7124…70c1 | No | +200 | $162 | $162 | 1 | 06-05 21:32 |
| Murky-Contrast 0x33d9…2805 | Yes | +156 | $29 | $29 | 4 | 06-07 12:56 |
| Gullible-Hammer 0x8fce…2566 | No | +153 | $122 | $274 | 5 | 06-18 02:47 |
| Melodic-Cria 0xf971…0a57 | No | +144 | $124 | $124 | 2 | 06-17 21:05 |
| Sticky-Mood-Electrocardiogram 0xe393…8364 | No | +140 | $116 | $116 | 4 | 06-12 23:04 |
| Extra-Large-Begonia 0x095d…52cf | No | +140 | $115 | $115 | 7 | 06-05 11:34 |
| Practical-Vacuum 0x292c…7756 | Yes | +136 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-01 14:54 |
| Expert-Morning 0xbf6b…7199 | Yes | +135 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-05 03:05 |
| Far-Off-Thunderbolt 0x93ed…7eaa | No | +120 | $97 | $97 | 11 | 06-09 13:09 |
| Far-Off-Thunderbolt 0x93ed…7eaa | Yes | +120 | $22 | $22 | 5 | 06-07 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x5080…69d5 | Yes | +118 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-14 15:48 |
| Melodic-Cria 0xf971…0a57 | Yes | +107 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-28 09:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bc4…2d14 | No | +100 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 06-16 18:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x0377…1833 | Yes | +95 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-01 04:55 |
| Brilliant-Aquarium 0xaff3…500a | No | +86 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 05-30 19:57 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +79 | $17 | $249 | 56 | 06-18 01:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xb38c…3f22 | Yes | +76 | $14 | $14 | 5 | 06-08 08:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xb38c…3f22 | No | +76 | $62 | $62 | 5 | 06-10 17:53 |
| x26 0x5b91…2709 | No | +70 | $57 | $57 | 5 | 06-13 05:05 |
| Crafty-Parenting 0xf0bb…0ebe | Yes | +62 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 06-09 06:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 02:47:17 | Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x3783ae… |
| 06-18 02:47:17 | Gullible-Hammer 0x8fce…2566 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x3783ae… |
| 06-18 02:33:47 | Gullible-Hammer 0x8fce…2566 | No | SELL | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0xeb8c1b… |
| 06-18 02:33:47 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xeb8c1b… |
| 06-18 02:33:47 | Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | BUY | 40 | 86¢ | $34 | 0xeb8c1b… |
| 06-18 02:32:16 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x5acd1c… |
| 06-18 02:32:16 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | BUY | 25 | 87¢ | $22 | 0x5acd1c… |
| 06-18 02:32:16 | Gullible-Hammer 0x8fce…2566 | No | SELL | 36 | 87¢ | $31 | 0x5acd1c… |
| 06-18 01:06:28 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 21 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xd212ed… |
| 06-18 01:06:28 | False-Interloper 0xc636…5ef9 | No | BUY | 45 | 88¢ | $40 | 0xd212ed… |
| 06-18 01:06:28 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | SELL | 24 | 88¢ | $21 | 0xd212ed… |
| 06-18 01:03:59 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0xe055ae… |
| 06-18 01:03:59 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xe055ae… |
| 06-18 01:03:59 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe055ae… |
| 06-18 01:03:59 | False-Interloper 0xc636…5ef9 | No | BUY | 300 | 88¢ | $264 | 0xe055ae… |
| 06-18 01:03:59 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | SELL | 26 | 88¢ | $23 | 0xe055ae… |
| 06-18 01:03:59 | Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | SELL | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0xe055ae… |
| 06-17 21:05:44 | Thoughtful-Visa 0x2df2…9dca | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x6f58d3… |
| 06-17 21:05:44 | Melodic-Cria 0xf971…0a57 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x6f58d3… |
| 06-17 20:57:34 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0xb557ca… |
| 06-17 20:57:34 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xb557ca… |
| 06-17 20:57:34 | Rewarding-Subset 0x7399…46d6 | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0xb557ca… |
| 06-17 20:57:34 | Upset-Suede 0x9437…e75f | No | SELL | 1,800 | 86¢ | $1,549 | 0xb557ca… |
| 06-17 20:57:34 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xb557ca… |
| 06-17 20:57:34 | Melodic-Cria 0xf971…0a57 | No | BUY | 142 | 86¢ | $122 | 0xb557ca… |
| 06-17 20:57:34 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 51 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xb557ca… |
| 06-17 20:57:34 | Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | No | BUY | 1,250 | 86¢ | $1,075 | 0xb557ca… |
| 06-17 20:45:38 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x23d883… |
| 06-17 20:45:38 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x23d883… |
| 06-17 20:45:38 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x23d883… |
| 06-17 20:45:38 | Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 12¢ | $9 | 0x23d883… |
| 06-17 20:45:38 | Untidy-Rim 0x3c6d…00b0 | Yes | SELL | 1,364 | 12¢ | $164 | 0x23d883… |
| 06-17 20:45:38 | Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4 | No | SELL | 1,163 | 88¢ | $1,023 | 0x23d883… |
| 06-17 19:26:22 | Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4 | No | SELL | 260 | 88¢ | $229 | 0xdd2d4f… |
| 06-17 19:26:22 | Delectable-Diary 0x8537…0694 | Yes | SELL | 260 | 12¢ | $31 | 0xdd2d4f… |
| 06-17 18:28:10 | Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 87¢ | $870 | 0x1951b4… |
| 06-17 18:28:10 | Bony-Novel 0x5351…c7ed | No | SELL | 1,000 | 87¢ | $870 | 0x1951b4… |
| 06-17 18:25:32 | Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4 | No | SELL | 130 | 88¢ | $114 | 0xb11f33… |
| 06-17 18:25:32 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0xb11f33… |
| 06-17 18:25:32 | (anonymous) 0x9945…fd40 | Yes | SELL | 183 | 12¢ | $23 | 0xb11f33… |
| 06-17 18:25:32 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | SELL | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xb11f33… |
| 06-17 17:18:35 | Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x211e0c… |
| 06-17 17:18:35 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x211e0c… |
| 06-17 17:02:13 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x62b280… |
| 06-17 17:02:13 | Flustered-Makeover-Sonar 0xb99a…8521 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x62b280… |
| 06-17 16:35:05 | Candid-Outrage 0x9b8a…b420 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xbf4402… |
| 06-17 16:35:05 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0xbf4402… |
| 06-17 16:20:47 | (anonymous) 0x567e…8a23 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x9f0d58… |
| 06-17 16:20:47 | Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | BUY | 33 | 85¢ | $28 | 0x9f0d58… |
| 06-17 12:49:40 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x7d6660… |
| 06-17 12:49:40 | (anonymous) 0xf519…924a | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x7d6660… |
| 06-17 11:35:50 | (anonymous) 0xf1e4…f622 | Yes | BUY | 254 | 15¢ | $38 | 0x3bdbe0… |
| 06-17 11:35:50 | Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | BUY | 254 | 85¢ | $216 | 0x3bdbe0… |
| 06-17 11:33:44 | Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 13¢ | $9 | 0x1788b2… |
| 06-17 11:33:44 | Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x1788b2… |
| 06-17 11:33:44 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 52 | 86¢ | $45 | 0x1788b2… |
| 06-17 11:33:44 | (anonymous) 0xf1e4…f622 | No | BUY | 254 | 86¢ | $219 | 0x1788b2… |
| 06-17 11:33:44 | Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | SELL | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0x1788b2… |
| 06-17 11:33:43 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 23 | 86¢ | $20 | 0xd926d8… |
| 06-17 11:33:43 | (anonymous) 0xf1e4…f622 | No | BUY | 23 | 86¢ | $20 | 0xd926d8… |
| 06-17 11:33:41 | (anonymous) 0xf1e4…f622 | Yes | BUY | 254 | 15¢ | $38 | 0xdb8993… |
| 06-17 11:33:41 | Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | BUY | 254 | 85¢ | $216 | 0xdb8993… |
| 06-17 10:41:14 | (anonymous) 0x276e…2822 | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0xc983f4… |
| 06-17 10:41:14 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0xc983f4… |
| 06-17 07:53:28 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x256d90… |
| 06-17 07:53:28 | (anonymous) 0xfbc9…31f2 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x256d90… |
| 06-17 06:41:55 | Imperturbable-Foot 0x0b73…01e3 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xc71285… |
| 06-17 06:41:55 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | SELL | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0xc71285… |
| 06-17 06:26:50 | Unlucky-Hubcap 0xdce3…f469 | No | SELL | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0xdceaa2… |
| 06-17 06:26:50 | Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0xdceaa2… |
| 06-17 05:51:17 | Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0xd9268e… |
| 06-17 05:51:17 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd9268e… |
| 06-17 00:20:16 | Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | BUY | 517 | 85¢ | $439 | 0x5ce717… |
| 06-17 00:20:16 | (anonymous) 0x5460…c7b5 | Yes | BUY | 667 | 15¢ | $100 | 0x5ce717… |
| 06-17 00:20:16 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | BUY | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x5ce717… |
| 06-17 00:20:16 | Nonstop-Erosion 0xf1a2…f1b6 | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x5ce717… |
| 06-16 22:37:35 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x3724e3… |
| 06-16 22:37:35 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 55 | 86¢ | $48 | 0x3724e3… |
| 06-16 22:37:35 | Cute-Farmland 0xeb6f…25f0 | No | BUY | 4,059 | 86¢ | $3,490 | 0x3724e3… |
| 06-16 22:37:35 | Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | SELL | 3,906 | 86¢ | $3,359 | 0x3724e3… |
| 06-16 22:36:58 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x84db45… |
| 06-16 22:36:58 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x84db45… |
| 06-16 22:36:38 | Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | SELL | 7,620 | 86¢ | $6,553 | 0xe64b49… |
| 06-16 22:36:38 | Pleased-Chaplain 0xc2ff…ce1c | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0xe64b49… |
| 06-16 22:36:38 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xe64b49… |
| 06-16 22:36:38 | Cute-Farmland 0xeb6f…25f0 | No | BUY | 7,500 | 86¢ | $6,450 | 0xe64b49… |
| 06-16 22:30:28 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 12 | 87¢ | $11 | 0xee1801… |
| 06-16 22:30:28 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 28 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xee1801… |
| 06-16 22:30:28 | Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | SELL | 1,303 | 87¢ | $1,133 | 0xee1801… |
| 06-16 22:30:28 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xee1801… |
| 06-16 22:30:28 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xee1801… |
| 06-16 22:30:28 | Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | No | BUY | 1,250 | 87¢ | $1,088 | 0xee1801… |
| 06-16 22:27:25 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x7130a5… |
| 06-16 22:27:25 | (anonymous) 0x9de8…108c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x7130a5… |
| 06-16 18:31:55 | (anonymous) 0x3bc4…2d14 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x831245… |
| 06-16 18:31:55 | Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x831245… |
| 06-16 18:27:17 | Overlooked-Hug 0x5e9b…f335 | No | SELL | 873 | 87¢ | $760 | 0xc4f07d… |
| 06-16 18:27:17 | Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | No | BUY | 871 | 87¢ | $758 | 0xc4f07d… |
| 06-16 18:27:17 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xc4f07d… |
| 06-16 16:08:40 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x950de0… |