US recession by end of 2026?
open
Total volume
$170,453
$873 in 24h
Trades
2,342
Unique wallets
535
Liquidity
$15,406
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2027-01-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-01 18:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+35.8¢
(top1%: 48% YES on $4.5K
vs crowd: 12% YES on $87.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 41 | $2.0K | $38.0K | $36.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 62 | $3.9K | $28.1K | $24.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 88 | $1.9K | $5.3K | $3.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 344 | $2.5K | $5.7K | $3.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 17 | $2.1K | $2.3K | $214 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 27 | $1.6K | $20.0K | $18.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 19 | $139 | $3.7K | $3.5K |
| Median | 68 | $165 | $3.6K | $3.5K |
| Below median | 85 | $222 | $1.5K | $1.3K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 16 | $113 | $314 | $201 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 20 | $408 | $6.1K | $5.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 16 | $2.0K | $23.0K | $21.0K |
| unranked | 267 | $3.6K | $16.6K | $13.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | No | +10,899 | $9,466 | $15,648 | 93 | 07-17 16:16 |
| Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | Yes | +10,404 | $1,380 | $1,380 | 50 | 07-17 16:16 |
| Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | +7,044 | $1,068 | $1,438 | 46 | 07-22 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | +4,494 | $613 | $613 | 19 | 07-18 06:13 |
| Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | +4,000 | $3,490 | $3,490 | 3 | 07-01 23:03 |
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +3,806 | $488 | $596 | 51 | 07-22 06:27 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +3,168 | $376 | $642 | 4 | 07-20 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x3060…16cb | No | +3,053 | $2,679 | $2,679 | 2 | 06-16 15:41 |
| Determined-Gear 0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | +3,000 | $300 | $300 | 19 | 07-14 18:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xba8c…513c | Yes | +2,630 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-25 20:17 |
| Cute-Farmland 0xeb6f…25f0 | No | +2,453 | $1,617 | $22,927 | 31 | 07-06 17:16 |
| Another-Allowance 0xdafd…5ffb | No | +2,220 | $1,998 | $1,998 | 1 | 07-11 14:06 |
| Gracious-Gammaray 0x48f9…e61d | Yes | +2,208 | $391 | $665 | 11 | 07-22 00:23 |
| Fatal-Hardship 0xd650…5196 | Yes | +2,094 | $363 | $363 | 11 | 06-16 15:41 |
| Honored-Satellite 0x6131…fd16 | Yes | +1,615 | $194 | $194 | 1 | 07-02 12:32 |
| Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | +1,512 | $1,346 | $1,346 | 11 | 06-26 08:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e34…f1a7 | No | +1,242 | $1,057 | $1,057 | 2 | 07-29 18:56 |
| Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | +1,097 | $956 | $956 | 11 | 08-01 10:16 |
| Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | +1,018 | $863 | $863 | 3 | 08-01 14:32 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +1,005 | $829 | $829 | 6 | 06-06 13:39 |
| Incompatible-Edition 0x4fe2…87c5 | No | +952 | $778 | $778 | 2 | 06-14 05:58 |
| Gregarious-Return 0x7c30…7673 | No | +900 | $792 | $792 | 1 | 07-18 05:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b7a…5790 | Yes | +875 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-26 22:38 |
| Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | No | +863 | $721 | $721 | 2 | 06-14 09:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x5460…c7b5 | Yes | +667 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-17 00:20 |
| Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | +635 | $527 | $527 | 1 | 06-05 16:37 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | +608 | $493 | $1,466 | 16 | 07-18 23:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5375…aeea | Yes | +578 | $82 | $82 | 2 | 06-30 07:09 |
| False-Interloper 0xc636…5ef9 | No | +565 | $484 | $484 | 4 | 06-18 01:06 |
| False-Mall 0x7124…70c1 | No | +533 | $446 | $1,648 | 9 | 07-30 21:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1e4…f622 | No | +531 | $455 | $455 | 3 | 06-17 11:33 |
| Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | +510 | $452 | $452 | 9 | 07-20 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1e4…f622 | Yes | +508 | $76 | $76 | 2 | 06-17 11:35 |
| Rusty-Tactile 0x2478…2e62 | No | +500 | $395 | $395 | 2 | 06-03 23:15 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +481 | $426 | $426 | 3 | 08-01 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1b8…149e | Yes | +436 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-24 14:43 |
| Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | +423 | $371 | $371 | 10 | 07-18 05:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0da…8288 | Yes | +417 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-30 10:22 |
| Capital-Poem 0x397b…d4bd | Yes | +409 | $84 | $84 | 4 | 06-01 12:16 |
| Capital-Poem 0x397b…d4bd | No | +409 | $326 | $326 | 4 | 06-02 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | +353 | $318 | $318 | 12 | 07-28 15:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f34…7684 | Yes | +348 | $38 | $38 | 11 | 06-25 20:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x3750…cbdd | No | +333 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 07-23 16:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x0377…1833 | Yes | +332 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 07-29 18:56 |
| wkjhghjnbvs 0x2ee4…19c4 | No | +278 | $224 | $346 | 7 | 07-22 23:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ee7…cadf | Yes | +273 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-25 05:26 |
| Witty-Teriyaki 0xacb1…1b1d | Yes | +271 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-11 14:38 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +271 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-24 02:53 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +262 | $213 | $817 | 26 | 06-01 16:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x4908…7caf | Yes | +260 | $28 | $50 | 3 | 07-20 04:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x4908…7caf | No | +260 | $232 | $232 | 3 | 06-23 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdea…1c07 | Yes | +256 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-10 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xd18d…c3d7 | No | +250 | $205 | $205 | 1 | 05-28 02:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 18:36:00 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8a74cd… |
| 08-01 18:36:00 | (anonymous) 0x8cc5…6518 | No | SELL | 34 | 89¢ | $30 | 0x8a74cd… |
| 08-01 18:36:00 | (anonymous) 0xdb05…4e1b | No | SELL | 341 | 89¢ | $304 | 0x8a74cd… |
| 08-01 18:36:00 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 381 | 89¢ | $339 | 0x8a74cd… |
| 08-01 17:21:30 | (anonymous) 0x6825…735c | No | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x8a6ae4… |
| 08-01 17:21:30 | (anonymous) 0xdb05…4e1b | No | SELL | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x8a6ae4… |
| 08-01 14:32:24 | Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | BUY | 208 | 88¢ | $183 | 0x33a4cf… |
| 08-01 14:32:24 | (anonymous) 0x88ce…3a36 | Yes | BUY | 208 | 12¢ | $25 | 0x33a4cf… |
| 08-01 10:16:41 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 32 | 88¢ | $28 | 0x0db43d… |
| 08-01 10:16:41 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 32 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x0db43d… |
| 08-01 05:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 4 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x16ef1f… |
| 08-01 05:19:33 | (anonymous) 0x206b…80c2 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x16ef1f… |
| 07-31 05:57:30 | (anonymous) 0xdb05…4e1b | No | SELL | 112 | 89¢ | $100 | 0xc59afb… |
| 07-31 05:57:30 | Firm-Calcification 0x0931…dfc8 | No | BUY | 112 | 89¢ | $100 | 0xc59afb… |
| 07-31 02:50:06 | Bumpy-Sculptural 0x83e0…92e0 | No | BUY | 112 | 89¢ | $100 | 0xc012cd… |
| 07-31 02:50:06 | (anonymous) 0xdb05…4e1b | No | SELL | 112 | 89¢ | $100 | 0xc012cd… |
| 07-30 21:47:18 | Constant-Cranberry 0x0387…62d1 | Yes | SELL | 290 | 13¢ | $38 | 0x6ac204… |
| 07-30 21:47:18 | Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | BUY | 658 | 88¢ | $579 | 0x6ac204… |
| 07-30 21:47:18 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6ac204… |
| 07-30 21:47:18 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 148 | 86¢ | $127 | 0x6ac204… |
| 07-30 21:47:18 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | Yes | SELL | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x6ac204… |
| 07-30 21:47:18 | (anonymous) 0xe640…0bf0 | No | SELL | 1,751 | 88¢ | $1,534 | 0x6ac204… |
| 07-30 21:47:18 | False-Mall 0x7124…70c1 | No | BUY | 500 | 88¢ | $440 | 0x6ac204… |
| 07-30 12:12:47 | (anonymous) 0xdb05…4e1b | No | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x43c3d7… |
| 07-30 12:12:47 | (anonymous) 0xdf4f…8fe8 | No | BUY | 3 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x43c3d7… |
| 07-30 11:26:47 | Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | BUY | 102 | 88¢ | $90 | 0x42fb76… |
| 07-30 11:26:47 | (anonymous) 0x13bf…544e | Yes | BUY | 102 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x42fb76… |
| 07-30 10:22:11 | (anonymous) 0xa0da…8288 | Yes | BUY | 417 | 12¢ | $50 | 0xcd3591… |
| 07-30 10:22:11 | Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | BUY | 417 | 88¢ | $367 | 0xcd3591… |
| 07-30 08:16:20 | Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x1cb7b1… |
| 07-30 08:16:20 | (anonymous) 0x26b6…cedc | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1cb7b1… |
| 07-30 03:43:57 | Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xddbedf… |
| 07-30 03:43:57 | (anonymous) 0xe2c4…3db8 | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xddbedf… |
| 07-29 20:35:02 | Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $9 | 0xbb296d… |
| 07-29 20:35:02 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 11 | 88¢ | $9 | 0xbb296d… |
| 07-29 18:56:33 | (anonymous) 0x0377…1833 | Yes | BUY | 154 | 13¢ | $20 | 0x80d1e5… |
| 07-29 18:56:33 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x80d1e5… |
| 07-29 18:56:33 | AnEggplant 0xc97d…732b | Yes | SELL | 71 | 13¢ | $9 | 0x80d1e5… |
| 07-29 18:56:33 | (anonymous) 0x0e34…f1a7 | No | BUY | 68 | 87¢ | $59 | 0x80d1e5… |
| 07-28 22:26:50 | (anonymous) 0x01a6…9bad | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xf9596b… |
| 07-28 22:26:50 | AnEggplant 0xc97d…732b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xf9596b… |
| 07-28 21:53:19 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 12 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x49d951… |
| 07-28 21:53:19 | AnEggplant 0xc97d…732b | Yes | SELL | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x49d951… |
| 07-28 21:24:50 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 105 | 88¢ | $92 | 0xf2b789… |
| 07-28 21:24:50 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xf2b789… |
| 07-28 21:24:50 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xf2b789… |
| 07-28 21:24:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xf2b789… |
| 07-28 21:12:10 | AnEggplant 0xc97d…732b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd62174… |
| 07-28 21:12:10 | Energetic-Turning 0x9869…1a45 | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xd62174… |
| 07-28 20:29:26 | AnEggplant 0xc97d…732b | Yes | SELL | 77 | 13¢ | $10 | 0xe8b251… |
| 07-28 20:29:26 | (anonymous) 0xf8ab…8829 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 13¢ | $10 | 0xe8b251… |
| 07-28 16:26:49 | (anonymous) 0xf23e…fab9 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 13¢ | $8 | 0xd05bf5… |
| 07-28 16:26:49 | AnEggplant 0xc97d…732b | Yes | SELL | 64 | 13¢ | $8 | 0xd05bf5… |
| 07-28 15:39:08 | (anonymous) 0xf23e…fab9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x1ac03c… |
| 07-28 15:39:08 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x1ac03c… |
| 07-28 15:33:40 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0xa6b7f7… |
| 07-28 15:33:40 | (anonymous) 0xf23e…fab9 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xa6b7f7… |
| 07-28 15:08:02 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x220dd3… |
| 07-28 15:08:02 | (anonymous) 0xc754…bb99 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x220dd3… |
| 07-27 23:13:15 | (anonymous) 0xc754…bb99 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x468c77… |
| 07-27 23:13:15 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x468c77… |
| 07-27 23:08:43 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0x86f69a… |
| 07-27 23:08:43 | Gullible-Hammer 0x8fce…2566 | No | SELL | 150 | 87¢ | $130 | 0x86f69a… |
| 07-27 23:08:43 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x86f69a… |
| 07-27 23:08:43 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 35 | 86¢ | $30 | 0x86f69a… |
| 07-27 23:06:21 | Gullible-Hammer 0x8fce…2566 | No | SELL | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0x62ed56… |
| 07-27 23:06:21 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 54 | 86¢ | $47 | 0x62ed56… |
| 07-27 23:06:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x62ed56… |
| 07-27 23:06:21 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x62ed56… |
| 07-27 23:06:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x62ed56… |
| 07-27 22:18:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x7e1a27… |
| 07-27 22:18:25 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x7e1a27… |
| 07-27 22:18:25 | (anonymous) 0xe01e…db1f | No | SELL | 17 | 87¢ | $15 | 0x7e1a27… |
| 07-27 20:27:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xfe66ed… |
| 07-27 20:27:57 | (anonymous) 0x1690…d790 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xfe66ed… |
| 07-27 20:27:57 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0xfe66ed… |
| 07-27 20:05:13 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x47cfb6… |
| 07-27 20:05:13 | (anonymous) 0x1724…e7a4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x47cfb6… |
| 07-27 03:26:39 | (anonymous) 0x66b5…d8cd | Yes | SELL | 13 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x76ab3f… |
| 07-27 03:26:39 | (anonymous) 0xdb05…4e1b | No | SELL | 13 | 89¢ | $12 | 0x76ab3f… |
| 07-26 09:50:54 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 150 | 89¢ | $134 | 0x146d43… |
| 07-26 09:50:54 | (anonymous) 0xdb05…4e1b | No | SELL | 150 | 89¢ | $134 | 0x146d43… |
| 07-26 03:25:55 | (anonymous) 0xdb05…4e1b | No | SELL | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0x68bcac… |
| 07-26 03:25:55 | Overcooked-Photodiode 0x3dc3…18f7 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x68bcac… |
| 07-25 19:49:31 | (anonymous) 0xca96…775a | Yes | SELL | 322 | 11¢ | $36 | 0x197b4d… |
| 07-25 19:49:31 | AnEggplant 0xc97d…732b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x197b4d… |
| 07-25 19:49:31 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x197b4d… |
| 07-25 19:49:31 | (anonymous) 0xdb05…4e1b | No | SELL | 237 | 89¢ | $211 | 0x197b4d… |
| 07-25 19:49:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x197b4d… |
| 07-25 19:49:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x197b4d… |
| 07-25 14:52:16 | (anonymous) 0xdb05…4e1b | No | SELL | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x7e5da8… |
| 07-25 14:52:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x7e5da8… |
| 07-25 14:12:42 | (anonymous) 0xdb05…4e1b | No | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x2394d5… |
| 07-25 14:12:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x2394d5… |
| 07-25 05:07:39 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x347b3c… |
| 07-25 05:07:39 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x347b3c… |
| 07-25 05:07:39 | Starry-Mapping 0x0d12…371a | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x347b3c… |
| 07-25 03:44:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 35 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x6ee3fe… |
| 07-25 03:44:58 | AnEggplant 0xc97d…732b | Yes | BUY | 35 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x6ee3fe… |
| 07-25 00:25:48 | False-Mall 0x7124…70c1 | No | SELL | 135 | 90¢ | $122 | 0x75a318… |