US recession by end of 2026?
open
Total volume
$136,571
$873 in 24h
Trades
1,765
Unique wallets
433
Liquidity
$15,406
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2027-01-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-09 13:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+31.6¢
(top1%: 44% YES on $4.2K
vs crowd: 12% YES on $69.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 31 | $946 | $19.1K | $18.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 51 | $3.1K | $34.1K | $31.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 70 | $2.0K | $3.1K | $1.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 281 | $2.3K | $4.9K | $2.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 13 | $1.8K | $2.3K | $534 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $326 | $17.8K | $17.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 19 | $452 | $1.3K | $888 |
| Median | 57 | $136 | $2.2K | $2.1K |
| Below median | 73 | $156 | $783 | $627 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 15 | $103 | $264 | $161 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 17 | $408 | $4.4K | $4.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 15 | $1.7K | $18.5K | $16.8K |
| unranked | 203 | $3.2K | $13.5K | $10.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | No | +13,620 | $11,942 | $13,172 | 77 | 07-08 04:38 |
| Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | Yes | +9,394 | $1,279 | $1,279 | 48 | 07-04 10:45 |
| Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | +8,252 | $1,233 | $1,233 | 39 | 06-27 09:36 |
| Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | +4,000 | $3,490 | $3,490 | 3 | 07-01 23:03 |
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +3,970 | $517 | $517 | 42 | 07-09 13:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x3060…16cb | No | +3,053 | $2,679 | $2,679 | 2 | 06-16 15:41 |
| Gracious-Gammaray 0x48f9…e61d | Yes | +2,631 | $438 | $618 | 10 | 06-26 20:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xba8c…513c | Yes | +2,630 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-25 20:17 |
| Cute-Farmland 0xeb6f…25f0 | No | +2,453 | $1,617 | $22,927 | 31 | 07-06 17:16 |
| Fatal-Hardship 0xd650…5196 | Yes | +2,094 | $363 | $363 | 11 | 06-16 15:41 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +1,954 | $194 | $460 | 3 | 07-05 10:33 |
| Honored-Satellite 0x6131…fd16 | Yes | +1,615 | $194 | $194 | 1 | 07-02 12:32 |
| Blaring-Surge 0xcb89…a2e8 | No | +1,512 | $1,346 | $1,346 | 11 | 06-26 08:05 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +1,005 | $829 | $829 | 6 | 06-06 13:39 |
| Incompatible-Edition 0x4fe2…87c5 | No | +952 | $778 | $778 | 2 | 06-14 05:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x9cb7…2cbd | Yes | +909 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-25 07:17 |
| Hilarious-Fishery 0x47ae…ee94 | Yes | +884 | $181 | $181 | 5 | 06-01 12:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b7a…5790 | Yes | +875 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-26 22:38 |
| Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | No | +863 | $721 | $721 | 2 | 06-14 09:26 |
| Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | +744 | $644 | $644 | 5 | 07-07 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x5460…c7b5 | Yes | +667 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-17 00:20 |
| Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | +635 | $527 | $527 | 1 | 06-05 16:37 |
| Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | +610 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-10 16:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x5375…aeea | Yes | +578 | $82 | $82 | 2 | 06-30 07:09 |
| False-Interloper 0xc636…5ef9 | No | +565 | $484 | $484 | 4 | 06-18 01:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1e4…f622 | No | +531 | $455 | $455 | 3 | 06-17 11:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1e4…f622 | Yes | +508 | $76 | $76 | 2 | 06-17 11:35 |
| Rusty-Tactile 0x2478…2e62 | No | +500 | $395 | $395 | 2 | 06-03 23:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1b8…149e | Yes | +436 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-24 14:43 |
| Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | +416 | $369 | $369 | 7 | 07-09 01:52 |
| Capital-Poem 0x397b…d4bd | Yes | +409 | $84 | $84 | 4 | 06-01 12:16 |
| Capital-Poem 0x397b…d4bd | No | +409 | $326 | $326 | 4 | 06-02 15:06 |
| wkjhghjnbvs 0x2ee4…19c4 | No | +349 | $285 | $285 | 3 | 06-08 22:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f34…7684 | Yes | +348 | $38 | $38 | 11 | 06-25 20:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x4908…7caf | Yes | +342 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 06-22 15:25 |
| Forthright-Bike 0x6bd4…b90a | No | +288 | $236 | $236 | 4 | 06-13 23:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ee7…cadf | Yes | +273 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-25 05:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | +270 | $244 | $244 | 6 | 07-06 16:02 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +262 | $213 | $817 | 26 | 06-01 16:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x4908…7caf | No | +260 | $232 | $232 | 3 | 06-23 10:12 |
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | +260 | $231 | $231 | 5 | 07-07 23:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xfdea…1c07 | Yes | +256 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-10 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xd18d…c3d7 | No | +250 | $205 | $205 | 1 | 05-28 02:19 |
| Naive-Flu 0x230c…d36f | Yes | +239 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 06-18 11:04 |
| Intrepid-Patience 0x9dfb…820a | Yes | +208 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-24 17:28 |
| False-Mall 0x7124…70c1 | No | +200 | $162 | $162 | 1 | 06-05 21:32 |
| Notable-Sitar 0x659c…a086 | No | +200 | $182 | $182 | 5 | 07-05 13:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x0377…1833 | Yes | +179 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 06-23 07:16 |
| Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | +173 | $151 | $151 | 7 | 06-21 21:08 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +167 | $26 | $346 | 83 | 07-01 16:34 |
| Buoyant-Friendship 0x567e…e2d2 | No | +162 | $144 | $144 | 7 | 07-04 08:16 |
| Murky-Contrast 0x33d9…2805 | Yes | +156 | $29 | $29 | 4 | 06-07 12:56 |
| Sticky-Mood-Electrocardiogram 0xe393…8364 | Yes | +140 | $53 | $152 | 15 | 06-22 00:33 |
| Sticky-Mood-Electrocardiogram 0xe393…8364 | No | +140 | $116 | $116 | 4 | 06-12 23:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 13:12:38 | (anonymous) 0x72d6…934b | Yes | SELL | 66 | 10¢ | $7 | 0xcbdf4d… |
| 07-09 13:12:38 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xcbdf4d… |
| 07-09 13:12:38 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 10¢ | $6 | 0xcbdf4d… |
| 07-09 01:52:56 | (anonymous) 0xa121…56a3 | No | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0x84bcd2… |
| 07-09 01:52:56 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | BUY | 3 | 89¢ | $3 | 0x84bcd2… |
| 07-08 20:16:11 | Hasty-Actress 0x9dc1…580f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x337d69… |
| 07-08 20:16:11 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x337d69… |
| 07-08 16:46:41 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xf092fe… |
| 07-08 16:46:41 | (anonymous) 0x53b8…0d34 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xf092fe… |
| 07-08 13:50:40 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x73156a… |
| 07-08 13:50:40 | Smug-Respite 0x9cd5…c868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x73156a… |
| 07-08 13:09:13 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x3031cd… |
| 07-08 13:09:13 | (anonymous) 0xe2c4…3db8 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x3031cd… |
| 07-08 10:33:32 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x141016… |
| 07-08 10:33:32 | (anonymous) 0xfc2a…79d5 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x141016… |
| 07-08 09:56:10 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0xd25ae2… |
| 07-08 09:56:10 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | BUY | 36 | 89¢ | $32 | 0xd25ae2… |
| 07-08 09:56:10 | (anonymous) 0x1a9a…3c1f | Yes | BUY | 136 | 11¢ | $15 | 0xd25ae2… |
| 07-08 04:38:37 | Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xe5e542… |
| 07-08 04:38:37 | (anonymous) 0x8a50…c3f6 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xe5e542… |
| 07-07 23:17:40 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 34 | 89¢ | $30 | 0x430ee2… |
| 07-07 23:17:40 | Gullible-Hammer 0x8fce…2566 | No | SELL | 34 | 89¢ | $30 | 0x430ee2… |
| 07-07 23:09:35 | Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | No | SELL | 500 | 90¢ | $450 | 0xee497f… |
| 07-07 23:09:35 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 500 | 90¢ | $450 | 0xee497f… |
| 07-07 23:08:10 | Jam-Packed-Probability 0xff32…8932 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x49b7c5… |
| 07-07 23:08:10 | Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | No | SELL | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x49b7c5… |
| 07-07 15:29:31 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 91 | 89¢ | $81 | 0x8c166b… |
| 07-07 15:29:31 | (anonymous) 0x7675…49b0 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 11¢ | $10 | 0x8c166b… |
| 07-07 13:09:40 | Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | No | SELL | 62 | 90¢ | $55 | 0xba0bd6… |
| 07-07 13:09:40 | Crafty-Parenting 0xf0bb…0ebe | Yes | SELL | 62 | 10¢ | $6 | 0xba0bd6… |
| 07-07 04:44:05 | Finished-Hour 0x06c9…4410 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6cb4f4… |
| 07-07 04:44:05 | Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x6cb4f4… |
| 07-06 23:19:53 | Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | No | SELL | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x69e726… |
| 07-06 23:19:53 | Meaty-Locket 0xec4e…d9db | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x69e726… |
| 07-06 17:26:55 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xb51c55… |
| 07-06 17:26:55 | Straight-Scout 0xc0bf…2032 | No | SELL | 16 | 90¢ | $14 | 0xb51c55… |
| 07-06 17:26:55 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb51c55… |
| 07-06 17:16:46 | Cute-Farmland 0xeb6f…25f0 | No | SELL | 62 | 91¢ | $57 | 0xc45873… |
| 07-06 17:16:46 | Long-Term-Aim 0xa512…77dd | Yes | SELL | 62 | 9¢ | $6 | 0xc45873… |
| 07-06 16:02:56 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x260ae5… |
| 07-06 16:02:56 | Cute-Farmland 0xeb6f…25f0 | No | SELL | 18 | 91¢ | $16 | 0x260ae5… |
| 07-06 16:02:56 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x260ae5… |
| 07-06 15:05:01 | Violent-Signature 0xe9fb…dbd0 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x326099… |
| 07-06 15:05:01 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x326099… |
| 07-06 03:24:52 | (anonymous) 0x0a6e…a5fd | No | SELL | 31 | 91¢ | $28 | 0x91c80d… |
| 07-06 03:24:52 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | BUY | 31 | 91¢ | $28 | 0x91c80d… |
| 07-06 02:48:38 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | BUY | 80 | 91¢ | $73 | 0x95f248… |
| 07-06 02:48:38 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 63 | 91¢ | $57 | 0x95f248… |
| 07-06 02:48:38 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 13 | 91¢ | $12 | 0x95f248… |
| 07-06 02:48:38 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x95f248… |
| 07-06 02:47:05 | Revolving-Plant 0xfc55…5c33 | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x457f41… |
| 07-06 02:47:05 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x457f41… |
| 07-06 02:47:05 | Junior-Production 0x2bfb…5c9e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x457f41… |
| 07-06 02:46:31 | Junior-Production 0x2bfb…5c9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x7390f4… |
| 07-06 02:46:31 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x7390f4… |
| 07-06 02:43:58 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x0ce9e3… |
| 07-06 02:43:58 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x0ce9e3… |
| 07-06 02:43:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x0ce9e3… |
| 07-06 02:43:58 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | BUY | 130 | 90¢ | $117 | 0x0ce9e3… |
| 07-06 01:25:43 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6b6ad1… |
| 07-06 01:25:43 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x6b6ad1… |
| 07-05 23:25:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 0 | 91¢ | $0 | 0x02974b… |
| 07-05 23:25:38 | (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x02974b… |
| 07-05 23:25:38 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x02974b… |
| 07-05 23:25:37 | (anonymous) 0xc804…8726 | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xca0510… |
| 07-05 23:25:37 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xca0510… |
| 07-05 23:00:49 | Splendid-Progression 0xf13f…31cb | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x02d22d… |
| 07-05 23:00:49 | Stable-Holiday 0xbaf3…0386 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x02d22d… |
| 07-05 16:07:02 | (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xc27436… |
| 07-05 16:07:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xc27436… |
| 07-05 16:06:59 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x1c7635… |
| 07-05 16:06:59 | Stable-Holiday 0xbaf3…0386 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x1c7635… |
| 07-05 14:32:58 | Concrete-Nasal 0xed0c…79a7 | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $8 | 0x9cd978… |
| 07-05 14:32:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $8 | 0x9cd978… |
| 07-05 14:19:08 | Concrete-Nasal 0xed0c…79a7 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xde1902… |
| 07-05 14:19:08 | Noisy-Attention 0x34ab…2f71 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xde1902… |
| 07-05 13:34:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x443727… |
| 07-05 13:34:38 | (anonymous) 0x62c1…3d8d | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x443727… |
| 07-05 13:34:02 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xccb608… |
| 07-05 13:34:02 | Clear-Cut-Barley 0x3a1e…abbe | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xccb608… |
| 07-05 13:34:02 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 225 | 9¢ | $21 | 0xccb608… |
| 07-05 13:34:02 | Notable-Sitar 0x659c…a086 | No | BUY | 72 | 91¢ | $65 | 0xccb608… |
| 07-05 13:34:02 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 83 | 90¢ | $75 | 0xccb608… |
| 07-05 13:34:02 | Revolving-Plant 0xfc55…5c33 | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xccb608… |
| 07-05 13:34:02 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xccb608… |
| 07-05 13:34:02 | Concrete-Nasal 0xed0c…79a7 | No | BUY | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0xccb608… |
| 07-05 13:32:43 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc73723… |
| 07-05 13:32:43 | Stable-Holiday 0xbaf3…0386 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xc73723… |
| 07-05 13:31:56 | Stable-Holiday 0xbaf3…0386 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xdf3fcb… |
| 07-05 13:31:56 | Notable-Sitar 0x659c…a086 | No | BUY | 14 | 91¢ | $13 | 0xdf3fcb… |
| 07-05 13:30:49 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9fb535… |
| 07-05 13:30:49 | Stable-Holiday 0xbaf3…0386 | No | BUY | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0x9fb535… |
| 07-05 13:29:17 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x56ffca… |
| 07-05 13:29:17 | Stable-Holiday 0xbaf3…0386 | No | BUY | 18 | 92¢ | $17 | 0x56ffca… |
| 07-05 13:29:08 | Stable-Holiday 0xbaf3…0386 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xa43b1f… |
| 07-05 13:29:08 | Notable-Sitar 0x659c…a086 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xa43b1f… |
| 07-05 13:01:40 | (anonymous) 0x873e…4b1e | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x437f33… |
| 07-05 13:01:40 | Notable-Sitar 0x659c…a086 | No | BUY | 56 | 91¢ | $51 | 0x437f33… |
| 07-05 12:48:31 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x3f1d62… |
| 07-05 12:48:31 | (anonymous) 0xb2b6…f887 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x3f1d62… |