Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8f7…3793d4
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.72K
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
89.2%
Resolved
20
Trades
2,829
lifetime
Volume
$191.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$67
Open exposure
$13.1K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 06:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
98% 40% +$1,716
Crypto
1% — —
Politics
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +7,935 $4,664 55¢ $4.3K $-339 06-21 10:48
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +1,577 $1,109 80¢ $1.3K +$161 06-29 23:47
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No -1,079 $-1,069 99¢ $-1063 +$5 06-17 19:01
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +1,115 $779 88¢ $976 +$197 06-03 11:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -955 $-1,191 99¢ $-950 +$241 06-25 07:15
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +839 $705 80¢ $675 $-29 06-17 19:05
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +734 $522 77¢ $568 +$46 06-19 12:26
US recession by end of 2026? No +635 $527 88¢ $556 +$29 06-05 16:37
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No -472 $-448 94¢ $-445 +$3 06-19 06:55
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? No -342 $-311 96¢ $-327 $-16 06-17 18:39
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No -300 $-288 94¢ $-284 +$4 06-14 23:22
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +308 $253 85¢ $263 +$10 06-18 11:24
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +267 $203 90¢ $239 +$36 06-26 15:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -200 $-174 100¢ $-200 $-26 06-01 07:46
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes +601 $291 32¢ $192 $-99 06-05 13:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No -150 $-124 100¢ $-150 $-26 06-01 07:45
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes +717 $391 18¢ $133 $-259 06-24 12:04
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +203 $127 60¢ $121 $-6 06-29 14:22
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -568 $-108 18¢ $-105 +$3 06-17 18:09
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +83 $-46 94¢ $78 +$124 07-01 02:08
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? No -75 $-61 93¢ $-70 $-9 06-21 16:21
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? No +75 $62 88¢ $66 +$3 06-07 00:20
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? No -44 $-32 89¢ $-39 $-8 06-17 19:24
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No -50 $-25 76¢ $-38 $-13 06-07 12:57
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? No +10 $7 77¢ $8 +$1 06-16 19:51
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No +9 $8 87¢ $8 +$0 06-05 12:59