Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8f7…3793d4
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$6.64K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.95K
Hit rate
74.4%
Resolved
367
Trades
6,035
lifetime
Volume
$548.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$21.2K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 05:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 98 days
Categories
Other
93% 50% +$6,787
Politics
7% 67% -$2
Crypto
0% 54% -$142
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +6,134 $4,142 80¢ $4.9K +$796 09-21 17:32
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +4,732 $4,368 98¢ $4.6K +$272 10-28 21:07
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -2,208 -$2,125 99¢ $-2190 -$65 09-29 11:50
US recession by end of 2026? No -2,287 -$2,190 93¢ $-2127 +$63 09-06 17:54
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -2,200 -$2,734 92¢ $-2024 +$710 09-06 11:16
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -1,552 -$1,459 98¢ $-1524 -$65 09-11 13:07
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1,429 -$2,901 97¢ $-1390 +$1,511 10-20 21:05
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No -1,000 -$1,095 96¢ $-963 +$132 09-15 14:45
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +465 $253 88¢ $411 +$158 09-30 21:05
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +3,117 $2,662 11¢ $343 -$2,319 10-28 00:32
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? No +242 $123 98¢ $238 +$115 10-28 19:16
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No -188 -$170 95¢ $-179 -$8 05-09 19:08
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No -100 -$91 88¢ $-88 +$3 05-09 19:08
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -72 -$43 93¢ $-67 -$24 06-19 12:26
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -1,513 -$284 1¢ $-21 +$263 06-02 12:12
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -468 -$49 4¢ $-17 +$32 06-17 18:09
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No -13 -$44 97¢ $-13 +$31 06-14 23:22
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1,309 -$144 0¢ $-6 +$138 05-02 09:23
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +0 $7 88¢ $0 -$7 09-21 20:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +0 -$216 24¢ $0 +$216 10-26 21:09