Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8f7…3793d4
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.72K
Unrealized P&L
+$357
Hit rate
89.2%
Resolved
20
Trades
2,870
lifetime
Volume
$199.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$8.89K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 15:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
98% 40% +$1,716
Crypto
1% — —
Politics
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +1,577 $1,109 77¢ $1.2K +$106 06-29 23:47
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No -1,079 $-1,069 100¢ $-1074 $-6 06-17 19:01
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +1,115 $779 86¢ $959 +$180 06-03 11:38
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No -842 $-787 94¢ $-790 $-4 07-11 10:12
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +802 $673 84¢ $674 +$1 07-09 03:03
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +734 $522 88¢ $643 +$121 06-19 12:26
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No -649 $-740 96¢ $-626 +$114 07-05 16:41
US recession by end of 2026? No +635 $527 88¢ $562 +$35 06-05 16:37
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No -472 $-448 93¢ $-441 +$7 06-19 06:55
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? No -342 $-311 96¢ $-328 $-16 06-17 18:39
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No -300 $-288 97¢ $-291 $-3 06-14 23:22
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -305 $-334 92¢ $-280 +$54 07-02 09:56
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? No -337 $-270 74¢ $-248 +$22 07-19 03:48
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +164 $122 91¢ $150 +$27 07-21 22:22
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -113 $-108 93¢ $-105 +$3 07-10 22:02
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes +326 $234 28¢ $91 $-143 07-21 06:01
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -568 $-108 16¢ $-91 +$17 06-17 18:09
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +127 $73 65¢ $82 +$10 07-15 20:15
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? No -75 $-61 90¢ $-68 $-7 06-21 16:21
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? No +75 $62 90¢ $67 +$5 06-07 00:20
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? No -44 $-32 89¢ $-39 $-8 06-17 19:24
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No -50 $-25 76¢ $-38 $-13 06-07 12:57
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes -121 $115 26¢ $-31 $-146 07-20 12:32