Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$11,809
$57 in 24h
Trades
314
Unique wallets
97
Liquidity
$11,072
Latest YES mid
13¢
Latest NO mid
87¢
End date
2026-01-10
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-09 20:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+18.9¢
(top1%: 33% YES on $945
vs crowd: 14% YES on $7.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $47 | $3.7K | $3.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $656 | $1.5K | $862 |
| 🐟 Fish | 26 | $37 | $659 | $622 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $239 | $235 | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $310 | $635 | $325 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $65 | $1.4K | $1.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $14 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Median | 7 | $28 | $9 | +$19 |
| Below median | 14 | $37 | $209 | $172 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $259 | $255 | +$4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $28 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| unranked | 39 | $238 | $1.3K | $1.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | +1,289 | $1,053 | $1,053 | 15 | 07-02 10:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b7a…5790 | Yes | +1,229 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-26 22:36 |
| Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | +734 | $522 | $569 | 2 | 06-19 12:26 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +730 | $439 | $1,714 | 11 | 07-02 16:05 |
| Upset-Suede 0x9437…e75f | No | +619 | $530 | $530 | 1 | 06-18 22:59 |
| False-Interloper 0xc636…5ef9 | No | +526 | $442 | $442 | 2 | 06-18 01:05 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | +386 | $120 | $306 | 8 | 07-09 02:06 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | +370 | $59 | $107 | 13 | 06-26 22:36 |
| Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | Yes | +200 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 06-05 12:59 |
| Alarming-Romaine 0x846a…8166 | Yes | +150 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-17 19:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xcfe5…3912 | Yes | +120 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 07-03 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x32df…314e | No | +115 | $91 | $91 | 3 | 07-02 08:51 |
| Trained-Villa 0x0bfb…26a7 | No | +100 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 06-16 22:16 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +100 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 07-07 14:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f63…5b31 | No | +100 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 07-07 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | +90 | $95 | $389 | 5 | 07-09 20:12 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +46 | $43 | $131 | 24 | 07-09 07:49 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +45 | $15 | $32 | 33 | 07-09 02:07 |
| Plain-Alteration 0x9c1e…302f | Yes | +42 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-20 16:29 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | +36 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-19 06:54 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 07-09 02:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +24 | $3 | $8 | 3 | 07-02 16:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x379e…d9e2 | Yes | +22 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 13:47 |
| Costly-Quart 0x480f…7c91 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-27 10:00 |
| Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $16 | 4 | 06-08 12:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 07-02 16:05 |
| Fluid-Masonry 0x60a8…7d37 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 07-02 16:19 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-25 05:24 |
| Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-27 10:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xddda…bd52 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 18:44 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-29 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xe35b…436e | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-02 04:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x1700…b560 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 13:30 |
| Faraway-Sail 0xb249…70b5 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 06:34 |
| Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | +6 | $5 | $21 | 3 | 07-09 07:49 |
| Needy-Cenotaph 0xeb22…808a | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-01 07:26 |
| Actual-Characterization 0x4e4f…a849 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-02 16:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xeddd…3447 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-10 14:51 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 13:17 |
| Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 13:56 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-05 13:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 20:12:59 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x2d69ac… |
| 07-09 20:12:59 | Hilarious-Fishery 0x47ae…ee94 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x2d69ac… |
| 07-09 07:49:38 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x5858c1… |
| 07-09 07:49:38 | Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5858c1… |
| 07-09 07:49:34 | Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x4fd8fd… |
| 07-09 07:49:34 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x4fd8fd… |
| 07-09 06:34:55 | Faraway-Sail 0xb249…70b5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xc7bb95… |
| 07-09 06:34:55 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0xc7bb95… |
| 07-09 02:07:05 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xb2d407… |
| 07-09 02:07:05 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 4 | 88¢ | $3 | 0xb2d407… |
| 07-09 02:06:16 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0xeb10de… |
| 07-09 02:06:16 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x785173… |
| 07-09 02:06:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 89¢ | $14 | 0x785173… |
| 07-09 02:06:16 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | BUY | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0xeb10de… |
| 07-09 02:06:16 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0x785173… |
| 07-09 02:06:14 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x154061… |
| 07-09 02:06:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0x154061… |
| 07-09 02:06:14 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x154061… |
| 07-09 02:06:14 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | BUY | 45 | 89¢ | $40 | 0x5fcbee… |
| 07-09 02:06:14 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x5fcbee… |
| 07-09 02:06:14 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0x5fcbee… |
| 07-09 02:06:01 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | BUY | 196 | 10¢ | $20 | 0xaccd32… |
| 07-09 02:06:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 32 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xaccd32… |
| 07-09 02:06:01 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xaccd32… |
| 07-09 02:06:01 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xaccd32… |
| 07-09 02:06:01 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xaccd32… |
| 07-09 02:06:01 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xaccd32… |
| 07-09 02:06:01 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xaccd32… |
| 07-08 18:44:11 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc39f6b… |
| 07-08 18:44:11 | (anonymous) 0xddda…bd52 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc39f6b… |
| 07-08 18:44:11 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xc39f6b… |
| 07-08 01:05:46 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6bbcd9… |
| 07-08 01:05:46 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 80 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x6bbcd9… |
| 07-08 01:05:46 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x6bbcd9… |
| 07-07 14:19:38 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xa1dc36… |
| 07-07 14:19:38 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 80 | 9¢ | $8 | 0xa1dc36… |
| 07-07 14:19:38 | (anonymous) 0xbf79…605f | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xa1dc36… |
| 07-07 11:39:11 | (anonymous) 0xbf79…605f | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xa8e6f0… |
| 07-07 11:39:11 | Rewarding-Alto 0xd3ba…33b9 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa8e6f0… |
| 07-07 02:22:40 | (anonymous) 0x6f63…5b31 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x19a478… |
| 07-07 02:22:40 | (anonymous) 0xbf79…605f | No | SELL | 70 | 90¢ | $63 | 0x19a478… |
| 07-07 02:22:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x19a478… |
| 07-06 02:31:22 | (anonymous) 0xc46b…eca2 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xe049c9… |
| 07-06 02:31:22 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xe049c9… |
| 07-04 13:30:49 | (anonymous) 0x1700…b560 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9187b6… |
| 07-04 13:30:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9187b6… |
| 07-03 06:04:44 | (anonymous) 0xcfe5…3912 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 15¢ | $11 | 0x4e204d… |
| 07-03 06:04:44 | (anonymous) 0x1835…37c5 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 15¢ | $11 | 0x4e204d… |
| 07-03 04:25:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xcb27ee… |
| 07-03 04:25:23 | (anonymous) 0x07f2…cddc | Yes | SELL | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xcb27ee… |
| 07-03 03:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…e50f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x906d9c… |
| 07-03 03:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xcfe5…3912 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x906d9c… |
| 07-02 16:19:50 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc13cf7… |
| 07-02 16:19:50 | Fluid-Masonry 0x60a8…7d37 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xc13cf7… |
| 07-02 16:19:50 | Actual-Characterization 0x4e4f…a849 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xc13cf7… |
| 07-02 16:19:50 | Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xc13cf7… |
| 07-02 16:05:28 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x72e632… |
| 07-02 16:05:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x72e632… |
| 07-02 16:05:28 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x72e632… |
| 07-02 16:05:19 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x425cc1… |
| 07-02 16:05:19 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x425cc1… |
| 07-02 16:05:19 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x425cc1… |
| 07-02 16:05:08 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xcc5721… |
| 07-02 16:05:08 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | BUY | 43 | 83¢ | $36 | 0xcc5721… |
| 07-02 16:05:08 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xcc5721… |
| 07-02 16:05:08 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 0 | 86¢ | $0 | 0xcc5721… |
| 07-02 16:05:08 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xcc5721… |
| 07-02 16:05:08 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 17¢ | $4 | 0xcc5721… |
| 07-02 10:42:41 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xe9de96… |
| 07-02 10:42:41 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 767 | 82¢ | $627 | 0xe9de96… |
| 07-02 10:42:41 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 20¢ | $3 | 0xe9de96… |
| 07-02 10:42:41 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0xe9de96… |
| 07-02 10:42:41 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | SELL | 2 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xe9de96… |
| 07-02 10:42:41 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 500 | 83¢ | $413 | 0xe9de96… |
| 07-02 10:42:41 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | SELL | 177 | 80¢ | $142 | 0xe9de96… |
| 07-02 08:51:11 | (anonymous) 0x32df…314e | No | BUY | 60 | 79¢ | $47 | 0x9d77d4… |
| 07-02 08:51:11 | (anonymous) 0x2cef…0bdc | No | SELL | 65 | 79¢ | $51 | 0x9d77d4… |
| 07-02 08:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x32df…314e | No | BUY | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0x39addf… |
| 07-02 08:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x2a3b…a28f | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xbb96c7… |
| 07-02 08:48:20 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xbb96c7… |
| 07-02 08:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x2a3b…a28f | No | SELL | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0x39addf… |
| 07-02 04:30:50 | (anonymous) 0xe35b…436e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xc5ce89… |
| 07-02 04:30:50 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xc5ce89… |
| 07-02 04:30:50 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xc5ce89… |
| 06-28 13:16:55 | (anonymous) 0x5605…23fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xbf9102… |
| 06-28 13:16:55 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xbf9102… |
| 06-28 10:17:22 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 89 | 81¢ | $72 | 0xd3fb46… |
| 06-28 10:17:22 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 19¢ | $17 | 0xd3fb46… |
| 06-27 13:57:29 | (anonymous) 0x5605…23fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x70d997… |
| 06-27 13:57:29 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x70d997… |
| 06-27 10:00:01 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xb581d8… |
| 06-27 10:00:01 | Costly-Quart 0x480f…7c91 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xb581d8… |
| 06-27 10:00:01 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xb581d8… |
| 06-27 10:00:01 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xb581d8… |
| 06-27 06:52:49 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x539629… |
| 06-27 06:52:49 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x539629… |
| 06-26 22:42:56 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 22 | 81¢ | $18 | 0xe376e1… |
| 06-26 22:42:56 | (anonymous) 0x0fc1…a3bb | No | SELL | 22 | 81¢ | $18 | 0xe376e1… |
| 06-26 22:36:44 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | SELL | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xd1b312… |
| 06-26 22:36:44 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | BUY | 177 | 89¢ | $158 | 0xd1b312… |