Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$7,963
$57 in 24h
Trades
186
Unique wallets
60
Liquidity
$11,072
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2026-01-10
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-20 16:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.2¢
(top1%: 14% YES on $1.9K
vs crowd: 14% YES on $4.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $25 | $2.4K | $2.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $589 | $604 | $15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $36 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $8 | $16 | $8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $263 | $1.7K | $1.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $58 | $252 | $194 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $7 | $426 | $418 |
| Median | 4 | $28 | $1 | +$27 |
| Below median | 7 | $16 | $38 | $22 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $258 | $2 | +$256 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $16 | $674 | $657 |
| unranked | 14 | $11 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | +734 | $522 | $569 | 2 | 06-19 12:26 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +672 | $390 | $1,665 | 8 | 06-05 14:41 |
| Upset-Suede 0x9437…e75f | No | +619 | $530 | $530 | 1 | 06-18 22:59 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | +593 | $166 | $166 | 2 | 06-20 00:10 |
| False-Interloper 0xc636…5ef9 | No | +526 | $442 | $442 | 2 | 06-18 01:05 |
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | +522 | $426 | $426 | 14 | 06-15 18:24 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | +400 | $63 | $103 | 12 | 06-20 16:29 |
| Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | Yes | +200 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 06-05 12:59 |
| Alarming-Romaine 0x846a…8166 | Yes | +150 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-17 19:08 |
| Trained-Villa 0x0bfb…26a7 | No | +100 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 06-16 22:16 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +80 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-18 22:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xca08…c267 | No | +79 | $57 | $79 | 5 | 06-05 14:41 |
| Plain-Alteration 0x9c1e…302f | Yes | +42 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-20 16:29 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | +36 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-19 06:54 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +25 | $5 | $11 | 14 | 06-20 16:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x379e…d9e2 | Yes | +22 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 13:47 |
| Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $16 | 4 | 06-08 12:39 |
| Fluid-Masonry 0x60a8…7d37 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-08 23:29 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-29 19:24 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 22:19 |
| Hilarious-Fishery 0x47ae…ee94 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 07:26 |
| Needy-Cenotaph 0xeb22…808a | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-01 07:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xeddd…3447 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-10 14:51 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 13:17 |
| Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 13:56 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-05 13:06 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +1 | $-1 | $15 | 4 | 06-20 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +1 | $-1 | $4 | 2 | 06-20 16:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 16:29:05 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | SELL | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x1ae606… |
| 06-20 16:29:05 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x1ae606… |
| 06-20 16:29:05 | Plain-Alteration 0x9c1e…302f | Yes | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x1ae606… |
| 06-20 16:29:05 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1ae606… |
| 06-20 12:36:53 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xab47f7… |
| 06-20 12:36:53 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | Yes | SELL | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xab47f7… |
| 06-20 12:36:53 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 215 | 90¢ | $195 | 0xab47f7… |
| 06-20 12:36:53 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | SELL | 83 | 12¢ | $10 | 0xab47f7… |
| 06-20 09:44:14 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | Yes | SELL | 44 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xc126dd… |
| 06-20 09:44:14 | Complete-Osmosis 0xa255…2ffc | No | SELL | 44 | 92¢ | $40 | 0xc126dd… |
| 06-20 00:10:50 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | Yes | SELL | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x6538bd… |
| 06-20 00:10:50 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | BUY | 93 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x6538bd… |
| 06-20 00:10:50 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x6538bd… |
| 06-20 00:10:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 43 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x6538bd… |
| 06-19 12:26:32 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x4564ac… |
| 06-19 12:26:32 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x4564ac… |
| 06-19 12:26:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x4564ac… |
| 06-19 06:54:04 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | Yes | SELL | 161 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x2a677a… |
| 06-19 06:54:04 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x2a677a… |
| 06-19 06:54:04 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x2a677a… |
| 06-19 06:54:04 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x2a677a… |
| 06-19 06:54:04 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | BUY | 26 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xed0e59… |
| 06-19 06:54:04 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | Yes | SELL | 26 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xed0e59… |
| 06-19 06:54:04 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x2a677a… |
| 06-18 22:59:50 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x137827… |
| 06-18 22:59:50 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x137827… |
| 06-18 22:59:25 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xc0a4e4… |
| 06-18 22:59:25 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | SELL | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0xc0a4e4… |
| 06-18 22:59:25 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 14¢ | $11 | 0xc0a4e4… |
| 06-18 22:59:25 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 14¢ | $12 | 0xc0a4e4… |
| 06-18 22:59:25 | Upset-Suede 0x9437…e75f | No | BUY | 619 | 86¢ | $530 | 0xc0a4e4… |
| 06-18 22:59:25 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xc0a4e4… |
| 06-18 22:59:25 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 200 | 85¢ | $170 | 0xc0a4e4… |
| 06-18 22:59:25 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 81 | 13¢ | $11 | 0xc0a4e4… |
| 06-18 01:05:44 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x11b015… |
| 06-18 01:05:44 | False-Interloper 0xc636…5ef9 | No | BUY | 226 | 84¢ | $190 | 0x11b015… |
| 06-18 01:05:44 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 221 | 84¢ | $186 | 0x11b015… |
| 06-18 01:00:43 | False-Interloper 0xc636…5ef9 | No | BUY | 300 | 84¢ | $252 | 0x8f3fcb… |
| 06-18 01:00:43 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 100 | 84¢ | $84 | 0x8f3fcb… |
| 06-17 19:08:58 | Alarming-Romaine 0x846a…8166 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 18¢ | $27 | 0xc66451… |
| 06-17 19:08:58 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 150 | 82¢ | $123 | 0xc66451… |
| 06-17 12:00:17 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 120 | 82¢ | $98 | 0xde1594… |
| 06-17 12:00:17 | Unwilling-Evocation 0xfa7e…f37e | No | SELL | 120 | 82¢ | $98 | 0xde1594… |
| 06-16 22:16:35 | Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | SELL | 227 | 83¢ | $187 | 0xf30400… |
| 06-16 22:16:35 | Trained-Villa 0x0bfb…26a7 | No | BUY | 100 | 83¢ | $83 | 0xf30400… |
| 06-16 22:16:35 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 15 | 83¢ | $12 | 0xf30400… |
| 06-16 22:16:35 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 107 | 82¢ | $88 | 0xf30400… |
| 06-16 22:16:35 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xf30400… |
| 06-15 18:24:45 | Boiling-Sofa 0xd9eb…75ce | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x6cd0df… |
| 06-15 18:24:45 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x6cd0df… |
| 06-15 18:23:10 | Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xd01543… |
| 06-15 18:23:10 | Boiling-Sofa 0xd9eb…75ce | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xd01543… |
| 06-15 18:22:54 | Boiling-Sofa 0xd9eb…75ce | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xdf2659… |
| 06-15 18:22:54 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xdf2659… |
| 06-15 08:28:18 | Boiling-Sofa 0xd9eb…75ce | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x9e53f2… |
| 06-15 08:28:18 | Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x9e53f2… |
| 06-15 08:28:15 | (anonymous) 0x4b15…23b7 | No | SELL | 21 | 83¢ | $18 | 0x372985… |
| 06-15 08:28:15 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 21 | 83¢ | $18 | 0x372985… |
| 06-12 11:16:00 | Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | SELL | 31 | 84¢ | $26 | 0xb07a22… |
| 06-12 11:16:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 31 | 16¢ | $5 | 0xb07a22… |
| 06-11 22:15:48 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 19 | 83¢ | $16 | 0xb15572… |
| 06-11 22:15:48 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 19 | 83¢ | $16 | 0xb15572… |
| 06-11 15:44:25 | (anonymous) 0xf66c…f3a4 | No | SELL | 19 | 83¢ | $16 | 0xa1ef0f… |
| 06-11 15:44:25 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 19 | 83¢ | $16 | 0xa1ef0f… |
| 06-10 22:19:15 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x2c3e6b… |
| 06-10 22:19:15 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 8 | 83¢ | $6 | 0x2c3e6b… |
| 06-10 22:18:30 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 21 | 83¢ | $18 | 0x2bcacf… |
| 06-10 22:18:30 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 21 | 83¢ | $18 | 0x2bcacf… |
| 06-10 20:16:39 | Unwilling-Evocation 0xfa7e…f37e | No | SELL | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0xc50ae6… |
| 06-10 20:16:39 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0xc50ae6… |
| 06-10 20:12:42 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0x05c618… |
| 06-10 20:12:42 | Unwilling-Evocation 0xfa7e…f37e | No | SELL | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0x05c618… |
| 06-10 19:41:22 | (anonymous) 0xabf5…c828 | No | SELL | 4 | 83¢ | $3 | 0xade246… |
| 06-10 19:41:22 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 4 | 83¢ | $3 | 0xade246… |
| 06-10 14:51:13 | (anonymous) 0xeddd…3447 | No | BUY | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x3b3613… |
| 06-10 14:51:13 | Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | SELL | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x3b3613… |
| 06-10 12:55:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xdba8d5… |
| 06-10 12:55:10 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0xdba8d5… |
| 06-09 18:45:07 | Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | SELL | 18 | 84¢ | $15 | 0x5781d0… |
| 06-09 18:45:07 | Gripping-Dungarees 0xf7cc…2506 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x5781d0… |
| 06-09 10:18:31 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $0 | 0x6efa07… |
| 06-09 10:18:31 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | No | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $0 | 0x6efa07… |
| 06-08 23:29:28 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 140 | 16¢ | $22 | 0x6ea527… |
| 06-08 23:29:28 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | SELL | 71 | 16¢ | $11 | 0x6ea527… |
| 06-08 23:29:28 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x6ea527… |
| 06-08 23:29:28 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x6ea527… |
| 06-08 23:29:28 | Fluid-Masonry 0x60a8…7d37 | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x6ea527… |
| 06-08 12:46:34 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 80 | 83¢ | $66 | 0x27947a… |
| 06-08 12:46:34 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 80 | 17¢ | $14 | 0x27947a… |
| 06-08 12:45:51 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x2f753d… |
| 06-08 12:45:51 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x2f753d… |
| 06-08 12:39:10 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 11 | 78¢ | $9 | 0x047fb7… |
| 06-08 12:39:10 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x047fb7… |
| 06-08 12:39:10 | Pointed-Sail 0x9cfd…dfe7 | No | SELL | 6 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x047fb7… |
| 06-08 12:39:10 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x047fb7… |
| 06-08 12:39:10 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x047fb7… |
| 06-08 12:39:10 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 230 | 80¢ | $183 | 0x047fb7… |
| 06-08 12:39:10 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 71 | 20¢ | $14 | 0x047fb7… |
| 06-08 12:39:10 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x047fb7… |
| 06-08 12:39:10 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 20¢ | $8 | 0x047fb7… |