Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$13,115
$57 in 24h
Trades
388
Unique wallets
114
Liquidity
$11,072
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-01-10
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-03 13:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+6.1¢
(top1%: 20% YES on $2.2K
vs crowd: 14% YES on $7.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $88 | $3.7K | $3.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $745 | $1.6K | $879 |
| 🐟 Fish | 29 | $40 | $905 | $865 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 38 | $261 | $527 | $266 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $445 | $1.7K | $1.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $7 | $297 | $289 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $19 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Median | 10 | $31 | $20 | +$11 |
| Below median | 17 | $45 | $287 | $242 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $261 | $255 | +$6 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $62 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
| unranked | 49 | $265 | $1.9K | $1.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | +1,289 | $1,053 | $1,053 | 15 | 07-02 10:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b7a…5790 | Yes | +1,229 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-26 22:36 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | +990 | $133 | $180 | 20 | 07-31 11:54 |
| False-Interloper 0xc636…5ef9 | No | +817 | $698 | $698 | 4 | 07-29 21:01 |
| Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | +734 | $522 | $569 | 2 | 06-19 12:26 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +730 | $439 | $1,714 | 11 | 07-02 16:05 |
| Upset-Suede 0x9437…e75f | No | +619 | $530 | $530 | 1 | 06-18 22:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xfcbb…2711 | No | +227 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-30 12:23 |
| Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | Yes | +200 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 06-05 12:59 |
| Alarming-Romaine 0x846a…8166 | Yes | +150 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-17 19:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xcfe5…3912 | Yes | +120 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 07-03 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x32df…314e | No | +120 | $95 | $95 | 4 | 07-20 06:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x2029…f60a | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-02 15:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f63…5b31 | No | +100 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 07-07 02:22 |
| Trained-Villa 0x0bfb…26a7 | No | +100 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 06-16 22:16 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +100 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 07-07 14:19 |
| Lumbering-Ore 0x0218…41ae | Yes | +83 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-22 19:14 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +83 | $75 | $163 | 30 | 08-01 11:07 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +70 | $18 | $35 | 35 | 07-30 12:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | +46 | $57 | $427 | 7 | 07-18 07:34 |
| Plain-Alteration 0x9c1e…302f | Yes | +42 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-20 16:29 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | +40 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 08-02 15:59 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | +36 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-19 06:54 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 07-09 02:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +24 | $3 | $8 | 3 | 07-02 16:05 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +24 | $1 | $37 | 17 | 08-01 11:07 |
| Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $16 | 4 | 06-08 12:39 |
| Costly-Quart 0x480f…7c91 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-27 10:00 |
| Unsung-Bamboo 0xb1b7…0373 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-30 12:23 |
| Fluid-Masonry 0x60a8…7d37 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 07-02 16:19 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | +16 | $78 | $353 | 11 | 07-31 11:54 |
| Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-27 10:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-29 19:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1700…b560 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 13:30 |
| Faraway-Sail 0xb249…70b5 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 06:34 |
| Needy-Cenotaph 0xeb22…808a | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-01 07:26 |
| Actual-Characterization 0x4e4f…a849 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-02 16:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xeddd…3447 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-10 14:51 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 13:17 |
| Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 13:56 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $7 | 4 | 08-01 11:07 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-05 13:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 13:34:50 | Cute-Farmland 0xeb6f…25f0 | No | SELL | 95 | 91¢ | $86 | 0x52327e… |
| 08-03 13:34:50 | (anonymous) 0xe0ab…d374 | Yes | SELL | 95 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x52327e… |
| 08-03 06:26:14 | (anonymous) 0xe35b…436e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xcef1d1… |
| 08-03 06:26:14 | Wrong-Apprehension 0xdf81…697d | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xcef1d1… |
| 08-02 15:59:18 | Wrong-Apprehension 0xdf81…697d | No | SELL | 90 | 91¢ | $82 | 0xdbc209… |
| 08-02 15:59:18 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xdbc209… |
| 08-02 15:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x2029…f60a | No | BUY | 110 | 91¢ | $100 | 0xdbc209… |
| 08-01 11:07:48 | (anonymous) 0xba0f…1011 | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x4bba9e… |
| 08-01 11:07:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x4bba9e… |
| 08-01 11:07:44 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x5139c2… |
| 08-01 11:07:44 | (anonymous) 0xe0ab…d374 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 11¢ | $10 | 0x5139c2… |
| 08-01 11:07:44 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x5139c2… |
| 08-01 11:07:44 | (anonymous) 0xba0f…1011 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x5139c2… |
| 08-01 11:07:44 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x5139c2… |
| 07-31 11:54:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x827be1… |
| 07-31 11:54:06 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x827be1… |
| 07-31 11:54:03 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | SELL | 392 | 11¢ | $44 | 0xec7c9d… |
| 07-31 11:54:03 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xec7c9d… |
| 07-31 11:54:03 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 70 | 11¢ | $8 | 0xec7c9d… |
| 07-31 11:54:03 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 303 | 11¢ | $34 | 0xec7c9d… |
| 07-30 12:23:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xae6b0f… |
| 07-30 12:23:02 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xae6b0f… |
| 07-30 12:23:00 | Unsung-Bamboo 0xb1b7…0373 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x6f9665… |
| 07-30 12:23:00 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x6f9665… |
| 07-30 12:23:00 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x6f9665… |
| 07-30 12:23:00 | (anonymous) 0xfcbb…2711 | No | BUY | 227 | 88¢ | $200 | 0x6f9665… |
| 07-30 12:23:00 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x6f9665… |
| 07-30 12:23:00 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 141 | 88¢ | $124 | 0x6f9665… |
| 07-30 02:28:38 | (anonymous) 0x379e…d9e2 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x832cec… |
| 07-30 02:28:38 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 22 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x832cec… |
| 07-29 21:01:29 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 41 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x9ab2e0… |
| 07-29 21:01:29 | False-Interloper 0xc636…5ef9 | No | BUY | 41 | 88¢ | $36 | 0x9ab2e0… |
| 07-29 21:00:51 | False-Interloper 0xc636…5ef9 | No | BUY | 250 | 88¢ | $220 | 0xd5bc8d… |
| 07-29 21:00:51 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 250 | 12¢ | $30 | 0xd5bc8d… |
| 07-26 09:01:13 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x970516… |
| 07-26 09:01:13 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x970516… |
| 07-26 07:45:55 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | No | SELL | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x4a6aa6… |
| 07-26 07:45:55 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x4a6aa6… |
| 07-26 07:45:54 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0x64341f… |
| 07-26 07:45:54 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 202 | 12¢ | $24 | 0x64341f… |
| 07-26 07:45:54 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 167 | 12¢ | $20 | 0x64341f… |
| 07-26 07:45:54 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x64341f… |
| 07-22 21:27:07 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x0b8337… |
| 07-22 21:27:07 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x0b8337… |
| 07-22 19:14:01 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 83 | 12¢ | $10 | 0x8fd965… |
| 07-22 19:14:01 | Lumbering-Ore 0x0218…41ae | Yes | BUY | 83 | 12¢ | $10 | 0x8fd965… |
| 07-22 11:22:45 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd439b6… |
| 07-22 11:22:45 | (anonymous) 0xee3d…d5d8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd439b6… |
| 07-22 09:35:10 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x981d2b… |
| 07-22 09:35:10 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x981d2b… |
| 07-21 05:24:15 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1b0d23… |
| 07-21 05:24:15 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1b0d23… |
| 07-21 02:45:12 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x372209… |
| 07-21 02:45:12 | (anonymous) 0xba0f…1011 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x372209… |
| 07-21 02:45:09 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | Yes | SELL | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xdeb3fd… |
| 07-21 02:45:09 | (anonymous) 0xba0f…1011 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xdeb3fd… |
| 07-20 06:38:03 | (anonymous) 0x32df…314e | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x45e4f3… |
| 07-20 06:38:03 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x45e4f3… |
| 07-19 18:32:01 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x36cfcd… |
| 07-19 18:32:01 | Spry-Pasta 0xac2c…68db | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x36cfcd… |
| 07-18 07:34:57 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | SELL | 34 | 88¢ | $30 | 0x6a25f7… |
| 07-18 07:34:57 | (anonymous) 0xc3cd…71ee | Yes | SELL | 34 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x6a25f7… |
| 07-16 20:41:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf43e20… |
| 07-16 20:41:31 | (anonymous) 0xb743…0892 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf43e20… |
| 07-15 08:22:56 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | BUY | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x072857… |
| 07-15 08:22:56 | Stimulating-Hunter 0x405e…7289 | No | SELL | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x072857… |
| 07-14 21:17:59 | (anonymous) 0xddda…bd52 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0c0f42… |
| 07-14 21:17:59 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x0c0f42… |
| 07-14 03:10:05 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | BUY | 13 | 86¢ | $11 | 0x6fca08… |
| 07-14 03:10:05 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x6fca08… |
| 07-14 03:10:05 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x6fca08… |
| 07-12 08:31:22 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x5f13e6… |
| 07-12 08:31:22 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x5f13e6… |
| 07-12 08:31:22 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x5f13e6… |
| 07-09 20:12:59 | Hilarious-Fishery 0x47ae…ee94 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x2d69ac… |
| 07-09 20:12:59 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x2d69ac… |
| 07-09 07:49:38 | Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5858c1… |
| 07-09 07:49:38 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x5858c1… |
| 07-09 07:49:34 | Disastrous-Bend 0xe000…cbb1 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x4fd8fd… |
| 07-09 07:49:34 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x4fd8fd… |
| 07-09 06:34:55 | Faraway-Sail 0xb249…70b5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xc7bb95… |
| 07-09 06:34:55 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0xc7bb95… |
| 07-09 02:07:05 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xb2d407… |
| 07-09 02:07:05 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 4 | 88¢ | $3 | 0xb2d407… |
| 07-09 02:06:16 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x785173… |
| 07-09 02:06:16 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0xeb10de… |
| 07-09 02:06:16 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | BUY | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0xeb10de… |
| 07-09 02:06:16 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0x785173… |
| 07-09 02:06:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 89¢ | $14 | 0x785173… |
| 07-09 02:06:14 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x154061… |
| 07-09 02:06:14 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | BUY | 45 | 89¢ | $40 | 0x5fcbee… |
| 07-09 02:06:14 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x5fcbee… |
| 07-09 02:06:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0x154061… |
| 07-09 02:06:14 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0x5fcbee… |
| 07-09 02:06:14 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x154061… |
| 07-09 02:06:01 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xaccd32… |
| 07-09 02:06:01 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xaccd32… |
| 07-09 02:06:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 32 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xaccd32… |
| 07-09 02:06:01 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xaccd32… |
| 07-09 02:06:01 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | BUY | 196 | 10¢ | $20 | 0xaccd32… |