Minor-Oregano 0x70fcf4…c288c1
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Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
61.4%
Resolved
13
Trades
494
lifetime
Volume
$994
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$37
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 07-01 15:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
56% 67% +$4
Other
27% 43% $-2
Crypto
17% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -15 $-8 55¢ $-8 +$0 06-30 15:32
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No -4 $-3 74¢ $-3 $-0 07-01 14:52
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No -4 $-3 84¢ $-3 +$0 07-01 14:54
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes +6 $3 32¢ $2 $-1 06-10 13:42
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +2 $1 73¢ $2 +$1 05-28 16:23
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $1 27¢ $2 +$1 06-10 04:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-28 15:17
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -9 $-2 16¢ $-1 +$1 05-30 22:07
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? No +2 $1 75¢ $1 +$0 06-11 19:10
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 07-01 15:33
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 05-30 21:34
Japan recession in 2026? Yes +5 $2 16¢ $1 $-1 05-31 17:10
UK Recession in 2026? Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 05-30 14:31
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +8 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-27 14:15
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-22 14:57
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 05-28 16:34
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 17¢ $1 $-0 05-30 21:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +3 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-02 19:02
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +2 $1 31¢ $1 $-0 05-31 03:02
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 8¢ $1 $-0 05-28 16:44
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes +4 $2 20¢ $1 $-1 05-30 14:37
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? Yes +10 $1 7¢ $1 $-0 06-03 20:23
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 06-03 13:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +4 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-11 14:25
Negative GDP growth in 2026? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-03 21:21
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 8¢ $0 $-1 06-02 18:57
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? Yes +6 $1 7¢ $0 $-1 05-28 16:37
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? Yes +6 $1 6¢ $0 $-1 06-10 04:57
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? Yes +2 $1 18¢ $0 $-1 06-10 04:56
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Yes +6 $1 2¢ $0 $-1 05-31 03:02