Minor-Oregano 0x70fcf4…c288c1
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Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
61.4%
Resolved
13
Trades
467
lifetime
Volume
$953
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$27
27 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 06-08 02:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
57% 67% +$4
Other
26% 43% $-2
Crypto
17% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes -4 $-3 66¢ $-3 +$0 05-30 14:07
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes +4 $2 72¢ $3 +$1 05-30 14:37
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +3 $1 55¢ $2 +$1 05-30 14:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -9 $-2 20¢ $-2 +$0 05-30 22:07
Japan recession in 2026? Yes +5 $2 26¢ $1 $-1 05-31 17:10
UK Recession in 2026? Yes +3 $1 44¢ $1 +$0 05-30 14:31
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? Yes +12 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 06-08 02:31
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 06-01 14:28
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +3 $1 34¢ $1 +$0 06-01 14:27
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes +2 $1 46¢ $1 +$0 05-30 14:35
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +2 $1 44¢ $1 $-0 05-28 16:23
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 05-28 16:44
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 05-30 21:34
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 05-30 21:34
Negative GDP growth in 2026? Yes +10 $1 8¢ $1 $-0 06-03 21:21
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 06-02 19:02
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? Yes +6 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 05-28 16:37
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +2 $1 32¢ $1 $-0 05-31 03:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No +2 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 06-07 00:23
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-03 20:23
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 05-28 16:34
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 06-08 02:58
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +3 $1 16¢ $0 $-0 06-03 13:56
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 8¢ $0 $-1 06-02 18:57
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? Yes +9 $1 4¢ $0 $-1 05-28 16:37
Will Iran Play in the World Cup? No +11 $1 2¢ $0 $-1 06-01 14:54
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Yes +6 $1 3¢ $0 $-1 05-31 03:02