Minor-Oregano 0x70fcf4…c288c1
bot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$75
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved
464
Trades
1,048
lifetime
Volume
$1.84K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$75
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 10-22 18:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 109 days
Categories
Other
48% 29% -$58
Politics
41% 47% +$9
Crypto
9% 57% -$26
Sports
2% 31% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No -12 -$11 91¢ $-11 -$1 05-07 19:55
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 -$5 74¢ $-9 -$3 05-05 18:30
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -6 -$5 96¢ $-6 -$1 05-04 19:58
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $1 90¢ $5 +$4 06-10 04:48
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -3 -$3 97¢ $-3 $0 04-29 02:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +4 $1 88¢ $3 +$2 06-11 14:25
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +3 $2 97¢ $3 +$1 05-14 04:42
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -4 -$2 72¢ $-3 -$1 05-02 13:00
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +23 $2 11¢ $2 +$1 09-02 15:03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$2 88¢ $-2 $0 05-09 01:57
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No -3 -$2 84¢ $-2 +$0 04-29 19:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -2 -$1 93¢ $-2 -$1 05-22 02:42
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$1 05-28 16:23
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -11 -$5 18¢ $-2 +$4 05-06 22:13
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -28 -$6 6¢ $-2 +$5 05-05 18:33
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? No +2 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-11 19:10
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -1 -$1 92¢ $-1 $0 05-02 03:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 05-02 03:41
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 04-28 15:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $2 14¢ $1 -$1 10-02 18:31
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +12 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 09-14 23:43
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 04-28 15:34
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 05-02 03:38
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 05-02 03:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 10-02 18:31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 05-02 03:38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 05-02 03:38
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 30¢ $1 +$0 07-01 15:33
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -2 -$1 62¢ $-1 +$0 05-11 03:27
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3 $1 37¢ $1 $0 06-22 15:07