Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
open
Total volume
$257
$59 in 24h
Trades
22
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$14,120
Latest YES mid
32¢
Latest NO mid
68¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-17 05:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $16 | $5 | +$11 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $7 | $10 | $4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $19 | — | +$19 |
| unranked | 4 | $4 | $10 | $7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genuine-Fate 0xb3e4…fb45 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-06 16:43 |
| Detailed-Lip 0xcca9…4c9f | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf59…f2b8 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 03:08 |
| Magnificent-Cardigan-Ecology 0xf732…4933 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 02:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 05:24:43 | French-Circumstance 0x94cc…36d1 | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x1d4747… |
| 05-17 05:22:48 | French-Circumstance 0x94cc…36d1 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x6172e0… |
| 05-17 05:19:42 | French-Circumstance 0x94cc…36d1 | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x9c9bf7… |
| 05-17 05:19:21 | French-Circumstance 0x94cc…36d1 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xa21d39… |
| 05-17 04:38:49 | French-Circumstance 0x94cc…36d1 | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x2148ee… |
| 05-17 02:33:27 | French-Circumstance 0x94cc…36d1 | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x5cfdba… |
| 05-17 02:28:30 | French-Circumstance 0x94cc…36d1 | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xc493a7… |
| 05-17 02:12:33 | French-Circumstance 0x94cc…36d1 | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x378bcd… |
| 05-17 02:08:17 | French-Circumstance 0x94cc…36d1 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xa159f1… |
| 05-17 02:07:23 | French-Circumstance 0x94cc…36d1 | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x05cad3… |
| 05-13 06:14:25 | Spiteful-Eyeball 0x15c9…dfd3 | No | SELL | 8 | 69¢ | $6 | 0x08b0f7… |
| 05-13 03:08:02 | (anonymous) 0xbf59…f2b8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x489f1e… |
| 05-13 02:53:24 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | Yes | SELL | 52 | 30¢ | $16 | 0x50d579… |
| 05-13 02:53:06 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | Yes | BUY | 52 | 31¢ | $16 | 0xd83e2c… |
| 05-13 02:51:11 | Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 | No | SELL | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x0083f2… |
| 05-11 15:06:53 | Soft-Nurse 0xcedd…10d6 | Yes | SELL | 534 | 30¢ | $160 | 0x62e7d8… |
| 05-10 02:23:45 | Detailed-Lip 0xcca9…4c9f | No | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0x47af17… |
| 05-09 02:35:11 | Magnificent-Cardigan-Ecology 0xf732…4933 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x7354c4… |
| 05-08 07:30:39 | Every-Picture 0x7741…2c46 | No | SELL | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x4e6dee… |
| 05-07 21:11:30 | Infinite-Vise-Wombat 0x6980…ad28 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x091991… |
| 05-06 20:25:50 | Minor-Oregano 0x70fc…88c1 | No | SELL | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x86c388… |
| 05-06 16:43:19 | Genuine-Fate 0xb3e4…fb45 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xcbeea8… |