Realized P&L
+$20
Unrealized P&L
+$28
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
265
lifetime
Volume
$2.94K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$324
24 positions
First seen
2026-02-17
last 06-24 16:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
52% 100% +$20
Politics
39%
Sports
8%
Crypto
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +113 $69 68¢ $77 +$8 06-24 03:17
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? No +40 $32 88¢ $35 +$3 06-18 01:47
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +45 $35 72¢ $33 $-2 06-24 11:20
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027? No +30 $20 88¢ $26 +$7 06-17 11:12
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? No +30 $23 86¢ $26 +$3 06-10 19:34
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +39 $21 57¢ $22 +$1 06-22 22:20
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +20 $14 80¢ $16 +$2 06-24 06:24
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? No +20 $12 64¢ $13 +$1 06-17 07:48
Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.? No +10 $8 89¢ $9 +$1 06-16 20:04
Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +9 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-17 04:01
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No +20 $2 42¢ $8 +$6 06-17 09:35
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.? No +10 $8 81¢ $8 +$0 06-17 17:08
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +10 $7 76¢ $8 +$0 06-24 16:07
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? No +11 $6 68¢ $8 +$1 06-17 12:53
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +10 $6 64¢ $6 +$0 06-11 19:15
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -21 $-7 25¢ $-5 +$1 06-03 11:32
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? Yes +11 $2 40¢ $4 +$2 06-17 01:37
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -10 $13 24¢ $-2 $-16 06-03 10:51
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +5 $3 46¢ $2 $-0 06-23 08:37
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +5 $1 45¢ $2 +$1 06-21 09:12
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? No +4 $-5 52¢ $2 +$7 06-22 09:53
Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 02:39
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -1 $-0 44¢ $-0 +$0 05-28 20:30
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +0 $0 72¢ $0 $-0 06-12 00:47