Safe-Sparerib — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

284

lifetime

Volume

$3.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 08-06 13:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$20

Politics

38% — —

Sports

7% — —

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	5	$520	338	218	+120	open	—	03-24 01:07
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	21	$462	708	201	+507	open	—	04-07 16:18
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	3	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	04-28 13:38
Will André Carson be the Democratic nominee for IN-07?	3	$176	100	100	+0	Yes	+$14	04-06 17:20
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$128	120	120	+0	open	—	04-06 17:18
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	04-06 17:25
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	2	$108	61	61	+0	open	—	03-24 00:48
Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$87	60	60	+0	open	—	03-24 00:49
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	6	$87	121	120	+0	open	—	04-04 03:27
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	1	$81	0	81	-81	open	—	06-02 08:50
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	18	$80	124	4	+120	open	—	07-09 14:06
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?	2	$75	104	0	+104	open	—	08-04 16:59
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	3	$66	43	43	+0	open	—	03-24 00:49
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	22	$53	136	146	-10	open	—	06-03 10:51
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	2	$45	53	53	+0	open	—	06-10 01:54
Will no one dissent the April Fed decision?	1	$43	46	0	+46	open	—	04-07 08:13
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	5	$35	45	0	+45	open	—	06-24 11:20
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	7	$35	60	30	+30	open	—	06-10 19:34
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	6	$33	118	58	+60	open	—	04-07 13:05
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?	4	$32	40	0	+40	open	—	06-18 01:47
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	4	$30	30	10	+20	open	—	06-24 06:24
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	3	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	06-15 15:45
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?	2	$29	706	706	+0	open	—	08-06 13:01
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	4	$29	28	24	+4	open	—	06-22 09:53
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$29	60	0	+60	open	—	03-25 12:03
will peaky blinders the immortal man be the 2 us netflix movie this week	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	03-24 07:38
Will Ryan Crosswell be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?	4	$27	155	0	+155	open	—	04-07 11:39
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	5	$24	39	34	+5	open	—	04-06 19:12
Will Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	03-24 00:50
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	3	$23	66	50	+16	No	+$7	04-07 11:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 13:01:14	Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	706	1¢	$8	0xa67196…
08-04 16:59:59	Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?	No	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xe92e75…
08-04 16:59:57	will taylor swift be time person of the year 2026	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xe9acc2…
08-04 16:59:57	Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?	No	BUY	93	78¢	$73	0x756be3…
08-04 16:59:57	Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?	No	BUY	56	13¢	$7	0x02826b…
08-04 16:59:57	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	11¢	$4	0x01abbb…
08-04 16:59:56	Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	BUY	122	2¢	$3	0x8b51bd…
08-04 16:59:53	Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xbdecdc…
08-04 16:59:53	Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	486	2¢	$11	0x9399ac…
08-04 16:59:53	Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	438	4¢	$19	0x7c0b69…
08-04 16:59:51	Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	27	84¢	$23	0x612ec5…
08-04 16:59:51	Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	706	3¢	$21	0x2d39ae…
07-09 14:06:34	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xcb4bf9…
07-09 12:44:41	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xe4a365…
07-09 12:42:34	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xd10076…
07-09 12:24:31	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x7e49cd…
07-09 12:23:40	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x8d6f71…
07-02 15:02:05	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x9d7cc2…
07-02 15:00:41	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x3e9a4e…
06-24 16:07:52	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x9fafdd…
06-24 11:20:13	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xf034d2…
06-24 06:24:35	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xb9f0c9…
06-24 06:24:13	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x1424ad…
06-24 03:17:01	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xf5c2e3…
06-23 12:18:23	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xef52f1…
06-23 11:31:11	Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xa70f16…
06-23 11:30:40	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xcc7d01…
06-23 10:31:17	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x62d770…
06-23 08:37:02	Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x730d6a…
06-23 05:09:08	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x8b691a…
06-22 22:20:43	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x86a170…
06-22 16:05:17	will lesil mcguire advance from the 2026 alaska governor primary election	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x14d455…
06-22 16:05:16	will lesil mcguire advance from the 2026 alaska governor primary election	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x692e16…
06-22 16:02:47	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x79f97f…
06-22 14:03:28	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x74ca8d…
06-22 12:08:22	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x291ac8…
06-22 10:50:49	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x9e6661…
06-22 09:53:28	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6f46b7…
06-22 09:18:07	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x77353e…
06-21 09:12:11	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x94c344…
06-19 20:22:10	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x7a2b74…
06-19 11:34:13	Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x64ebcc…
06-18 06:49:14	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	No	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0xae5a7d…
06-18 03:15:19	Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x2be62c…
06-18 01:47:43	Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x88f57f…
06-18 00:15:29	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xe3d920…
06-18 00:15:29	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x486179…
06-18 00:02:25	Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x217497…
06-17 22:16:59	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8fa4a8…
06-17 17:08:43	Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x066e3f…
06-17 15:17:55	Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xd6343c…
06-17 12:53:14	Will Export-control chip security become law this year?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x40a546…
06-17 12:30:14	Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xc8deaa…
06-17 12:02:19	will noah kahan have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9bfa09…
06-17 11:24:23	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x20f344…
06-17 11:12:22	Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x0f6441…
06-17 11:01:43	Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xd935d1…
06-17 10:17:46	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xbdc084…
06-17 09:35:38	Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x432473…
06-17 09:02:35	Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x8399e1…
06-17 09:02:05	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xff38b0…
06-17 09:02:05	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x792328…
06-17 07:48:23	Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xba775b…
06-17 04:27:08	Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xe6aca0…
06-17 04:01:07	Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x40918c…
06-17 04:01:05	Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xdc3bd8…
06-17 02:48:33	Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x295150…
06-17 01:56:53	will lesil mcguire advance from the 2026 alaska governor primary election	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x00416f…
06-17 01:37:52	Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x1c6221…
06-16 21:13:44	will noah kahan have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x28aaf6…
06-16 20:04:26	Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x1bfb4c…
06-16 19:48:16	Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x71ccac…
06-16 18:19:32	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x325ad4…
06-16 17:36:53	will the weeknd have a 1 hit in june	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x44a3e4…
06-16 13:26:05	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x928128…
06-16 13:26:05	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x401eef…
06-15 15:45:54	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x5c3d7e…
06-12 11:50:55	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x164bd9…
06-12 04:45:33	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xd86567…
06-12 03:38:25	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x7c15a1…
06-12 00:47:21	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x619135…
06-12 00:27:04	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xe839e0…
06-11 21:25:01	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x14a0fb…
06-11 19:15:45	Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xd67a94…
06-11 15:39:57	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xcca0d2…
06-11 15:36:34	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xe3930c…
06-10 19:34:04	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x1615a3…
06-10 18:36:09	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x2e2f07…
06-10 18:00:13	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xa2ae02…
06-10 01:54:45	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	47¢	$25	0x094b75…
06-05 06:41:37	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	SELL	24	71¢	$17	0xdd00ca…
06-04 04:03:34	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0xdae3b7…
06-03 15:51:36	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xf1a0ee…
06-03 15:51:36	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x539618…
06-03 11:40:01	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x39a5e6…
06-03 11:40:01	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x352687…
06-03 11:40:01	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x0769de…
06-03 11:32:14	Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	21	32¢	$7	0x6c301f…
06-03 10:51:25	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x9f0443…
06-03 10:50:57	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x407d01…