Realized P&L
+$20
Unrealized P&L
+$74
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
272
lifetime
Volume
$2.96K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$363
23 positions
First seen
2026-02-17
last 07-09 14:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
52% 100% +$20
Politics
39%
Sports
8%
Crypto
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +120 $74 78¢ $93 +$18 07-09 14:06
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +45 $35 96¢ $44 +$8 06-24 11:20
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +39 $21 96¢ $37 +$16 06-22 22:20
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? No +40 $32 87¢ $35 +$3 06-18 01:47
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? No +30 $23 90¢ $27 +$4 06-10 19:34
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027? No +30 $20 76¢ $23 +$3 06-17 11:12
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +20 $14 86¢ $17 +$4 06-24 06:24
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? No +20 $12 78¢ $16 +$4 06-17 07:48
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +10 $6 96¢ $10 +$3 06-11 19:15
Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +9 $9 99¢ $9 +$1 06-17 04:01
Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 06-16 20:04
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 06-17 17:08
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? No +11 $6 77¢ $9 +$2 06-17 12:53
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No +20 $2 32¢ $6 +$4 06-17 09:35
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +5 $3 96¢ $5 +$2 06-23 08:37
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes +5 $1 68¢ $3 +$2 06-21 09:12
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? Yes +11 $2 27¢ $3 +$1 06-17 01:37
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -21 $-7 14¢ $-3 +$4 06-03 11:32
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -10 $13 20¢ $-2 $-15 06-03 10:51
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? No +4 $-5 49¢ $2 +$7 06-22 09:53
Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 02:39
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 06-12 00:47
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -1 $-0 39¢ $-0 +$0 05-28 20:30