Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,850
Trades
61
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$7,944
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-08 22:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $5
vs crowd: 2% YES on $1.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | — | $866 | $866 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $6 | $211 | $205 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $1 | $159 | $158 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $16 | $12 | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | $98 | $96 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $0 | $658 | $658 |
| Median | 4 | $11 | $3 | +$8 |
| Below median | 5 | $1 | $238 | $237 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $4 | $153 | $149 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $65 | $65 |
| unranked | 5 | $5 | $28 | $23 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +635 | $613 | $623 | 9 | 08-04 17:07 |
| Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | +486 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 08-04 16:59 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +156 | $153 | $153 | 4 | 08-08 22:05 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +66 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 08-04 16:59 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +61 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 18:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x8564…0306 | Yes | +53 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-02 15:22 |
| Quixotic-Return 0xb10a…5b24 | Yes | +52 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-04 13:40 |
| Bogus-Misrepresentation 0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | +49 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 08-03 06:31 |
| Revolving-Pitcher 0x57da…a280 | No | +33 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 08-04 16:59 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-15 14:54 |
| Fussy-Plywood 0xfd45…6e52 | No | +2 | $2 | $54 | 2 | 08-08 22:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x4483…d0bb | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-01 11:28 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +1 | $1 | $20 | 3 | 07-15 16:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 22:05:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x6795bd… |
| 08-08 22:05:09 | Fussy-Plywood 0xfd45…6e52 | No | SELL | 26 | 98¢ | $26 | 0x6795bd… |
| 08-08 22:05:09 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 56 | 98¢ | $55 | 0x6795bd… |
| 08-05 08:02:18 | Traumatic-Rostrum 0x7bd5…cc12 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x723efc… |
| 08-05 08:02:18 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x723efc… |
| 08-04 17:07:26 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x8db985… |
| 08-04 17:07:26 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x8db985… |
| 08-04 17:07:17 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x5f0a92… |
| 08-04 17:07:17 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x5f0a92… |
| 08-04 17:07:08 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 70 | 96¢ | $67 | 0x646ac4… |
| 08-04 17:07:08 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x646ac4… |
| 08-04 17:07:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x646ac4… |
| 08-04 16:59:53 | Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | SELL | 33 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9399ac… |
| 08-04 16:59:53 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x9399ac… |
| 08-04 16:59:53 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 26 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9399ac… |
| 08-04 16:59:53 | Fussy-Plywood 0xfd45…6e52 | No | BUY | 28 | 98¢ | $28 | 0x9399ac… |
| 08-04 16:59:53 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 66 | 98¢ | $65 | 0x9399ac… |
| 08-04 16:59:53 | Revolving-Pitcher 0x57da…a280 | No | BUY | 33 | 98¢ | $32 | 0x9399ac… |
| 08-04 16:59:53 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x9399ac… |
| 08-04 16:59:53 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | BUY | 486 | 2¢ | $11 | 0x9399ac… |
| 08-04 16:59:53 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x9399ac… |
| 08-04 13:40:53 | Quixotic-Return 0xb10a…5b24 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7717c9… |
| 08-04 13:40:53 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7717c9… |
| 08-03 06:31:05 | Bogus-Misrepresentation 0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd1d23f… |
| 08-03 06:31:05 | Traumatic-Rostrum 0x7bd5…cc12 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xd1d23f… |
| 08-02 22:24:05 | Bogus-Misrepresentation 0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | BUY | 36 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc3d5ba… |
| 08-02 22:24:05 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 36 | 98¢ | $36 | 0xc3d5ba… |
| 08-02 15:22:51 | (anonymous) 0x8564…0306 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x16b482… |
| 08-02 15:22:51 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0x16b482… |
| 08-01 11:28:32 | Bogus-Misrepresentation 0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd9834e… |
| 08-01 11:28:32 | (anonymous) 0x4483…d0bb | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xd9834e… |
| 07-15 16:36:05 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x448db1… |
| 07-15 16:36:05 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x448db1… |
| 07-15 14:54:16 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa10d02… |
| 07-15 14:54:16 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 69 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa10d02… |
| 07-15 14:54:16 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xa10d02… |
| 07-15 14:54:16 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xa10d02… |
| 07-14 21:26:28 | andy29 0xa75c…895e | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9b3ebc… |
| 07-14 21:26:28 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9b3ebc… |
| 07-14 16:39:08 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3c6ee6… |
| 07-14 16:39:08 | andy29 0xa75c…895e | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3c6ee6… |
| 07-14 10:50:02 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 206 | 97¢ | $199 | 0x7a7902… |
| 07-14 10:50:02 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 142 | 97¢ | $137 | 0x7a7902… |
| 07-14 10:50:02 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x7a7902… |
| 07-14 10:50:02 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7a7902… |
| 07-14 10:50:02 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7a7902… |
| 06-24 17:09:58 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7c59fa… |
| 06-24 17:09:58 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7c59fa… |
| 06-24 17:09:26 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 116 | 96¢ | $112 | 0x2b3bff… |
| 06-24 17:09:26 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2b3bff… |
| 06-24 17:09:26 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x2b3bff… |
| 06-22 02:02:47 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd918d7… |
| 06-22 02:02:47 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd918d7… |
| 06-22 02:01:41 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x716190… |
| 06-22 02:01:41 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x716190… |
| 06-15 18:40:27 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 61 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x253894… |
| 06-15 18:40:27 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0x253894… |
| 06-15 18:40:27 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x253894… |
| 06-15 18:40:27 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x253894… |
| 05-28 14:02:34 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8d75e3… |
| 05-28 14:02:34 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8d75e3… |