Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?
open
Total volume
$608
Trades
30
Unique wallets
10
Liquidity
$7,944
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-15 16:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $5
vs crowd: 2% YES on $384)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $359 | $359 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $6 | $15 | $10 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $369 | $369 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +365 | $353 | $363 | 6 | 07-14 21:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +78 | $1 | $4 | 8 | 07-15 14:54 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +61 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 18:40 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-15 14:54 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +1 | $1 | $20 | 3 | 07-15 16:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 16:36:05 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x448db1… |
| 07-15 16:36:05 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x448db1… |
| 07-15 14:54:16 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 69 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa10d02… |
| 07-15 14:54:16 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa10d02… |
| 07-15 14:54:16 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xa10d02… |
| 07-15 14:54:16 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xa10d02… |
| 07-14 21:26:28 | andy29 0xa75c…895e | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9b3ebc… |
| 07-14 21:26:28 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9b3ebc… |
| 07-14 16:39:08 | andy29 0xa75c…895e | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3c6ee6… |
| 07-14 16:39:08 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3c6ee6… |
| 07-14 10:50:02 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x7a7902… |
| 07-14 10:50:02 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 142 | 97¢ | $137 | 0x7a7902… |
| 07-14 10:50:02 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7a7902… |
| 07-14 10:50:02 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 206 | 97¢ | $199 | 0x7a7902… |
| 07-14 10:50:02 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7a7902… |
| 06-24 17:09:58 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7c59fa… |
| 06-24 17:09:58 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7c59fa… |
| 06-24 17:09:26 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 116 | 96¢ | $112 | 0x2b3bff… |
| 06-24 17:09:26 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x2b3bff… |
| 06-24 17:09:26 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2b3bff… |
| 06-22 02:02:47 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd918d7… |
| 06-22 02:02:47 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd918d7… |
| 06-22 02:01:41 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x716190… |
| 06-22 02:01:41 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x716190… |
| 06-15 18:40:27 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x253894… |
| 06-15 18:40:27 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 61 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x253894… |
| 06-15 18:40:27 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x253894… |
| 06-15 18:40:27 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0x253894… |
| 05-28 14:02:34 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8d75e3… |
| 05-28 14:02:34 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8d75e3… |