Warm-Secretary 0x3cafe1…8c6d8a
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$585
Unrealized P&L
-$218
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
437
lifetime
Volume
$284.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$650
Open exposure
$33.1K
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-30 08:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
49% — —
Other
28% 100% +$62
Politics
23% 100% +$523
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -14,185 $-13,249 95¢ $-13469 $-220 06-01 13:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -4,233 $-4,012 96¢ $-4053 $-41 06-18 19:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -3,634 $-3,609 100¢ $-3630 $-22 06-17 18:37
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? No -2,148 $-2,133 100¢ $-2146 $-13 06-17 18:38
Trump out as President by June 30? No -2,056 $-2,042 100¢ $-2054 $-12 06-17 18:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +2,155 $1,880 90¢ $2.0K +$70 06-18 14:44
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No -1,166 $-1,127 96¢ $-1121 +$5 06-26 08:15
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +1,114 $1,100 100¢ $1.1K +$9 06-21 05:29
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1,102 $-1,060 95¢ $-1048 +$13 06-07 16:05
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -550 $-546 100¢ $-550 $-4 06-26 08:25
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -465 $-464 100¢ $-464 $-0 06-26 13:46
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026? No -418 $-420 100¢ $-417 +$3 06-26 08:12
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -415 $-413 100¢ $-414 $-0 06-26 08:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -240 $-222 100¢ $-240 $-18 06-27 02:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -179 $-193 100¢ $-179 +$14 06-26 08:08
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026? No -134 $-132 100¢ $-134 $-2 06-26 13:46
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? No -51 $-51 100¢ $-51 $-0 06-26 08:22
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -31 $-31 100¢ $-31 +$0 06-26 08:22
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 84¢ $-5 +$0 06-30 08:02