Warm-Secretary 0x3cafe1…8c6d8a
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$585
Unrealized P&L
-$697
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
456
lifetime
Volume
$288.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$632
Open exposure
$25.7K
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 07-21 16:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
48% — —
Other
29% 100% +$62
Politics
23% 100% +$523
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -15,969 $-14,965 96¢ $-15290 $-325 07-14 10:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -4,233 $-4,012 98¢ $-4132 $-120 06-18 19:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +2,155 $1,880 76¢ $1.6K $-242 06-18 14:44
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No -1,166 $-1,127 96¢ $-1116 +$11 06-26 08:15
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1,102 $-1,060 97¢ $-1068 $-8 06-07 16:05
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No -1,092 $-1,045 96¢ $-1046 $-1 07-14 10:49
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -653 $-634 97¢ $-633 +$1 07-14 10:49
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? No -281 $-240 86¢ $-243 $-3 07-12 08:59
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No -284 $-201 72¢ $-206 $-5 07-21 16:14
Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027? No -206 $-199 97¢ $-201 $-2 07-14 10:50
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? No -143 $-137 98¢ $-140 $-3 07-14 10:50
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? No -26 $-25 95¢ $-25 +$0 07-14 10:50