Realized P&L
+$585
Unrealized P&L
-$215
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
437
lifetime
Volume
$284.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$650
Open exposure
$23.0K
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-30 08:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
49%
Other
28% 100% +$62
Politics
23% 100% +$523
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -14,185 $-13,249 95¢ $-13497 $-248 06-01 13:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -4,233 $-4,012 96¢ $-4051 $-39 06-18 19:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +2,155 $1,880 90¢ $2.0K +$70 06-18 14:44
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No -1,166 $-1,127 96¢ $-1121 +$5 06-26 08:15
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +1,114 $1,100 100¢ $1.1K +$9 06-21 05:29
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1,102 $-1,060 96¢ $-1055 +$6 06-07 16:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -240 $-222 100¢ $-240 $-18 06-27 02:19
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 84¢ $-5 +$0 06-30 08:02