Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?
open
Total volume
$22,017
Trades
230
Unique wallets
63
Liquidity
$6,970
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-21 22:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+94.3¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $12
vs crowd: 6% YES on $13.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $16 | $8.3K | $8.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $154 | $3.2K | $3.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $523 | $528 | $5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $61 | $508 | $447 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $21 | $1.5K | $1.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $25 | $3.6K | $3.6K |
| Median | 6 | — | $204 | $204 |
| Below median | 10 | $24 | $676 | $652 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $39 | $393 | $354 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $11 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $0 | $2.8K | $2.8K |
| unranked | 20 | $621 | $2.0K | $1.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +1,033 | $24 | $124 | 11 | 08-08 05:31 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +751 | $623 | $6,222 | 17 | 08-17 09:14 |
| Vivacious-Blackfish 0x141a…95a9 | No | +500 | $484 | $484 | 2 | 08-04 16:59 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +400 | $391 | $2,586 | 5 | 06-25 05:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | +364 | $6 | $23 | 3 | 07-14 10:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x138b…0467 | Yes | +328 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 08-17 02:49 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +310 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 08-08 05:31 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +232 | $227 | $227 | 6 | 08-04 22:50 |
| Unlined-Pole 0x49f2…d7b4 | No | +205 | $187 | $187 | 2 | 06-23 00:10 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | +201 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-30 11:51 |
| Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | +102 | $2 | $6 | 5 | 08-17 09:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x78bd…a2eb | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-16 10:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 07-05 01:00 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +70 | $66 | $630 | 4 | 08-04 16:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf331…7e96 | Yes | +52 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-28 18:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed1…c93c | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-25 17:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xce6b…b6cc | No | +49 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 08-04 16:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x3e98…5b87 | No | +46 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 08-01 06:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x3926…7828 | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-14 10:50 |
| Monstrous-Crunch 0x6a8b…a7c1 | Yes | +29 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-29 12:03 |
| Gleeful-Pantyhose 0x2f9f…894f | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 13:47 |
| Flat-Badger 0x2a01…6397 | No | +13 | $-57 | $3,783 | 3 | 06-26 05:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xf399…6bf5 | No | +12 | $12 | $90 | 3 | 08-21 22:23 |
| Unlined-Pole 0x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-08 05:31 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-05 20:28 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 12:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 22:23:28 | (anonymous) 0x8564…0306 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb63daa… |
| 08-21 22:23:28 | (anonymous) 0xf399…6bf5 | No | SELL | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0xb63daa… |
| 08-17 09:14:31 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x8cee40… |
| 08-17 09:14:31 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8cee40… |
| 08-17 09:14:19 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4e23a1… |
| 08-17 09:14:19 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4e23a1… |
| 08-17 09:14:19 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x4e23a1… |
| 08-17 02:49:33 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xda400d… |
| 08-17 02:49:33 | (anonymous) 0x138b…0467 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xda400d… |
| 08-16 10:41:24 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 76 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf9fb54… |
| 08-16 10:41:24 | (anonymous) 0x4a80…e1ee | Yes | SELL | 24 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf9fb54… |
| 08-16 10:41:24 | (anonymous) 0x78bd…a2eb | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xf9fb54… |
| 08-14 17:44:10 | (anonymous) 0x138b…0467 | Yes | BUY | 271 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x0536e7… |
| 08-14 17:44:10 | (anonymous) 0x4a80…e1ee | Yes | SELL | 271 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x0536e7… |
| 08-14 01:37:36 | Male-Slice 0x77e8…d8e3 | No | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xa42051… |
| 08-14 01:37:36 | (anonymous) 0x4a80…e1ee | Yes | SELL | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa42051… |
| 08-12 16:49:19 | (anonymous) 0x4a80…e1ee | Yes | SELL | 133 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x35257a… |
| 08-12 16:49:19 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x35257a… |
| 08-08 05:31:46 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 257 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x1fedde… |
| 08-08 05:31:46 | Nice-Sweets 0x6413…556e | Yes | SELL | 395 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x1fedde… |
| 08-08 05:31:46 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1fedde… |
| 08-08 05:31:46 | Unlined-Pole 0x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1fedde… |
| 08-06 13:01:14 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 706 | 99¢ | $698 | 0xa67196… |
| 08-06 13:01:14 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | SELL | 706 | 1¢ | $8 | 0xa67196… |
| 08-04 22:50:17 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9bba77… |
| 08-04 22:50:17 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 70 | 99¢ | $69 | 0x9bba77… |
| 08-04 22:50:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x9bba77… |
| 08-04 17:07:32 | (anonymous) 0x4a80…e1ee | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xcea83a… |
| 08-04 17:07:32 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 40 | 97¢ | $38 | 0xcea83a… |
| 08-04 16:59:54 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x271fa6… |
| 08-04 16:59:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x271fa6… |
| 08-04 16:59:54 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 70 | 97¢ | $68 | 0x271fa6… |
| 08-04 16:59:51 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x2d39ae… |
| 08-04 16:59:51 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $38 | 0x2d39ae… |
| 08-04 16:59:51 | (anonymous) 0xce6b…b6cc | No | BUY | 49 | 98¢ | $48 | 0x2d39ae… |
| 08-04 16:59:51 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | BUY | 706 | 3¢ | $21 | 0x2d39ae… |
| 08-04 16:59:51 | Vivacious-Blackfish 0x141a…95a9 | No | BUY | 486 | 97¢ | $471 | 0x2d39ae… |
| 08-04 16:59:51 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x2d39ae… |
| 08-03 01:56:15 | Male-Slice 0x77e8…d8e3 | No | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xa49433… |
| 08-03 01:56:15 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xa49433… |
| 08-02 15:22:35 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 26 | 98¢ | $26 | 0x977f0a… |
| 08-02 15:22:35 | (anonymous) 0x8564…0306 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x977f0a… |
| 08-02 15:22:35 | Vivacious-Blackfish 0x141a…95a9 | No | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x977f0a… |
| 08-01 13:02:18 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x0c2048… |
| 08-01 13:02:18 | (anonymous) 0xac9f…88d6 | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x0c2048… |
| 08-01 06:34:35 | (anonymous) 0xac9f…88d6 | No | SELL | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0xdda78d… |
| 08-01 06:34:35 | (anonymous) 0x3e98…5b87 | No | BUY | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0xdda78d… |
| 07-31 19:52:35 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x896253… |
| 07-31 19:52:35 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x896253… |
| 07-30 22:45:09 | (anonymous) 0xffad…c64c | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x8e9a51… |
| 07-30 22:45:09 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x8e9a51… |
| 07-29 19:44:44 | (anonymous) 0x2fa8…52ed | No | SELL | 65 | 97¢ | $63 | 0xe502f6… |
| 07-29 19:44:44 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 65 | 97¢ | $63 | 0xe502f6… |
| 07-29 19:35:23 | (anonymous) 0x2fa8…52ed | No | SELL | 58 | 97¢ | $56 | 0xa43454… |
| 07-29 19:35:23 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0xa43454… |
| 07-29 19:35:23 | (anonymous) 0xf399…6bf5 | No | BUY | 23 | 98¢ | $22 | 0xa43454… |
| 07-29 19:23:03 | (anonymous) 0x2fa8…52ed | No | BUY | 123 | 98¢ | $120 | 0x21c82b… |
| 07-29 19:23:03 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 74 | 98¢ | $73 | 0x21c82b… |
| 07-29 19:23:03 | (anonymous) 0xffad…c64c | No | SELL | 49 | 98¢ | $47 | 0x21c82b… |
| 07-29 19:02:54 | (anonymous) 0xf399…6bf5 | No | BUY | 29 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xaca89f… |
| 07-29 19:02:54 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 29 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xaca89f… |
| 07-29 12:03:33 | Monstrous-Crunch 0x6a8b…a7c1 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5fb572… |
| 07-29 12:03:33 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 29 | 97¢ | $28 | 0x5fb572… |
| 07-25 17:03:39 | (anonymous) 0xeed1…c93c | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x428743… |
| 07-25 17:03:39 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x428743… |
| 07-25 17:03:39 | (anonymous) 0xffad…c64c | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x428743… |
| 07-25 15:16:12 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x13e959… |
| 07-25 15:16:12 | (anonymous) 0xac9f…88d6 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x13e959… |
| 07-23 15:50:30 | (anonymous) 0xac9f…88d6 | No | BUY | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0x87a06a… |
| 07-23 15:50:30 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0x87a06a… |
| 07-21 15:50:30 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf813b7… |
| 07-21 15:50:30 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0xf813b7… |
| 07-18 15:50:30 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x973bad… |
| 07-18 15:50:30 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 36 | 98¢ | $36 | 0x973bad… |
| 07-18 11:23:51 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 183 | 98¢ | $178 | 0x93b665… |
| 07-18 11:23:51 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 146 | 98¢ | $143 | 0x93b665… |
| 07-18 11:23:51 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x93b665… |
| 07-14 10:50:26 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 101 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x5a559d… |
| 07-14 10:50:26 | (anonymous) 0x3926…7828 | No | BUY | 42 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x5a559d… |
| 07-14 10:50:26 | Warm-Secretary 0x3caf…6d8a | No | SELL | 143 | 96¢ | $137 | 0x5a559d… |
| 07-12 21:47:25 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 35 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xef46df… |
| 07-12 21:47:25 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 146 | 96¢ | $140 | 0xef46df… |
| 07-12 21:47:25 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 111 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xef46df… |
| 07-12 04:10:32 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x126de8… |
| 07-12 04:10:32 | Frequent-Basis 0xdf43…1330 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x126de8… |
| 07-07 07:36:59 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0561df… |
| 07-07 07:36:59 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x0561df… |
| 07-05 16:02:11 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xd24db1… |
| 07-05 16:02:11 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xd24db1… |
| 07-05 16:02:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xd24db1… |
| 07-05 16:02:11 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 293 | 98¢ | $286 | 0xd24db1… |
| 07-05 16:02:11 | Plump-Pruner-Scallops 0x9cb4…2914 | Yes | SELL | 2,509 | 2¢ | $56 | 0xd24db1… |
| 07-05 16:02:11 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 576 | 2¢ | $14 | 0xd24db1… |
| 07-05 16:02:11 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 818 | 98¢ | $802 | 0xd24db1… |
| 07-05 16:02:11 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd24db1… |
| 07-05 16:02:11 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 146 | 98¢ | $142 | 0xd24db1… |
| 07-05 01:00:23 | Plump-Pruner-Scallops 0x9cb4…2914 | Yes | BUY | 2,509 | 4¢ | $100 | 0x3aebc1… |
| 07-05 01:00:23 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | Yes | SELL | 282 | 4¢ | $11 | 0x3aebc1… |
| 07-05 01:00:23 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 292 | 96¢ | $280 | 0x3aebc1… |
| 07-05 01:00:23 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 600 | 4¢ | $25 | 0x3aebc1… |