Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,685
Trades
41
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$6,970
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-11 19:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+94.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $12
vs crowd: 5% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $13 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $22 | — | +$22 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $20 | $1 | +$19 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $2 | $376 | $374 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | $666 | $665 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 3 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 3 | $22 | — | +$22 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +564 | $539 | $736 | 3 | 06-05 20:28 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +344 | $12 | $28 | 4 | 06-08 04:08 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | +201 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-30 11:51 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +53 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 13:47 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-08 04:07 |
| Gleeful-Pantyhose 0x2f9f…894f | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 13:47 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +25 | $0 | $2 | 4 | 06-11 19:29 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-05 20:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 19:29:57 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x687410… |
| 06-11 19:29:57 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x687410… |
| 06-11 08:41:10 | (anonymous) 0xdd1d…515f | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x60f2d5… |
| 06-11 08:41:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x60f2d5… |
| 06-08 04:08:31 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 5¢ | $7 | 0x551f36… |
| 06-08 04:08:31 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 150 | 95¢ | $142 | 0x551f36… |
| 06-08 04:08:01 | (anonymous) 0xab7e…1a5f | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x9bbc05… |
| 06-08 04:08:01 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9bbc05… |
| 06-08 04:07:58 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 60 | 95¢ | $57 | 0x8c3035… |
| 06-08 04:07:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8c3035… |
| 06-08 04:07:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x8c3035… |
| 06-06 13:47:39 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8e7608… |
| 06-06 13:47:39 | Gleeful-Pantyhose 0x2f9f…894f | Yes | BUY | 26 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8e7608… |
| 06-06 13:47:39 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8e7608… |
| 06-06 13:47:36 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | SELL | 83 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x2c55c5… |
| 06-06 13:47:36 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2c55c5… |
| 06-06 13:47:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2c55c5… |
| 06-06 13:47:27 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4ad1e4… |
| 06-06 13:47:27 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4ad1e4… |
| 06-05 20:28:27 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x18d1eb… |
| 06-05 20:28:27 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x18d1eb… |
| 06-05 20:28:27 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | SELL | 127 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x18d1eb… |
| 06-05 20:28:27 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 102 | 97¢ | $99 | 0x18d1eb… |
| 06-05 19:50:40 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf03f62… |
| 06-05 19:50:40 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 4¢ | $20 | 0xf03f62… |
| 06-05 19:50:40 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 521 | 96¢ | $500 | 0xf03f62… |
| 06-05 19:26:09 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 145 | 95¢ | $138 | 0xc672b5… |
| 06-05 19:26:09 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 130 | 5¢ | $6 | 0xc672b5… |
| 06-05 19:26:09 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0xc672b5… |
| 06-03 08:14:51 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0xdc1927… |
| 06-03 08:14:51 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xdc1927… |
| 06-02 23:39:13 | (anonymous) 0xab7e…1a5f | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa758b6… |
| 06-02 23:39:13 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa758b6… |
| 06-02 23:39:10 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | SELL | 221 | 6¢ | $13 | 0xc08438… |
| 06-02 23:39:10 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc08438… |
| 06-02 23:39:10 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | SELL | 241 | 94¢ | $227 | 0xc08438… |
| 05-30 11:51:44 | (anonymous) 0xab7e…1a5f | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x6cd7fa… |
| 05-30 11:51:44 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6cd7fa… |
| 05-30 11:51:37 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 300 | 94¢ | $282 | 0xff5447… |
| 05-30 11:51:37 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 6¢ | $12 | 0xff5447… |
| 05-30 11:51:37 | Frizzy-Tabernacle 0xc66c…36ac | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xff5447… |