(anonymous) 0xf33104…4b7e96 Create alert
6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$34
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
80.2%
Resolved
39
Trades
368
lifetime
Volume
$13.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$711
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 11-04 13:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
39% 33% -$26
Politics
32% 61% +$37
Sports
22% 75% -$77
Pop-Culture
5% — —
Tech
1% 100% +$31
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No — +240 $227 100¢ $240 +$13 08-11 05:27
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? Yes +135 $107 99¢ $134 +$26 08-08 04:37
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +370 $140 26¢ $96 -$44 09-09 12:22
Will Frosinone be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A? No — +54 $42 94¢ $51 +$10 10-17 18:02
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? Yes — +89 $41 44¢ $40 -$2 10-30 12:22
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +235 $45 13¢ $31 -$14 09-10 04:12
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? Yes +573 $79 5¢ $27 -$52 08-28 04:31
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +43 $13 57¢ $25 +$12 09-06 17:15
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes +623 $83 3¢ $20 -$63 08-08 04:31
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +16 -$17 87¢ $14 +$30 09-16 12:10
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Yes +136 $39 10¢ $14 -$25 07-12 15:04
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +258 $18 4¢ $10 -$9 11-03 01:40
Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship? No — +76 $18 5¢ $4 -$15 10-04 17:01
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes +74 $4 5¢ $3 -$1 09-25 21:48
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +1 -$15 90¢ $1 +$16 08-28 04:24
Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? Yes +1 -$28 96¢ $1 +$29 08-07 03:38
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No +61 $29 1¢ $1 -$29 07-17 02:19
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +0 -$18 100¢ $0 +$18 07-28 03:21
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +0 -$67 100¢ $0 +$68 09-23 01:23
Will Tim Walz be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No — +0 -$3 99¢ $0 +$4 09-25 21:47
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 $0 10-26 16:19
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +0 $0 68¢ $0 +$1 09-25 21:45
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +0 -$5 62¢ $0 +$6 08-07 22:04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +0 $4 92¢ $0 -$4 09-09 23:06
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +0 -$2 24¢ $0 +$2 08-07 03:37
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? Yes +1 -$1 12¢ $0 +$1 08-28 12:18
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +0 -$1 97¢ $0 +$2 07-11 19:24
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +0 $2 39¢ $0 -$1 09-10 04:10
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +1 -$3 8¢ $0 +$3 09-11 15:40
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 -$2 38¢ $0 +$2 07-17 00:55