Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?
open
Total volume
$2,015
Trades
100
Unique wallets
44
Liquidity
$13,821
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-03
last 07-04 05:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+74.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $28
vs crowd: 26% YES on $1.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $50 | $917 | $867 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $72 | $11 | +$60 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $10 | $27 | $17 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $279 | $230 | +$50 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $28 | — | +$28 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $49 | $842 | $793 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $4 | $10 | $7 |
| Median | 2 | — | $18 | $18 |
| Below median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $35 | $85 | $50 |
| unranked | 18 | $288 | $230 | +$58 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naive-Soulmate 0x4133…ea5d | No | +974 | $832 | $832 | 6 | 07-02 13:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x4985…df6c | Yes | +723 | $94 | $94 | 3 | 06-25 07:08 |
| Icky-Chili 0x9b6f…0e5f | Yes | +500 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-03 00:19 |
| Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | Yes | +459 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-15 09:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb48…065a | Yes | +321 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-25 07:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x0847…b07b | Yes | +318 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-26 17:45 |
| Famous-Elderberry 0x38c0…53f9 | Yes | +273 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-02 13:24 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +268 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-03 00:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xf331…7e96 | No | +143 | $131 | $131 | 1 | 07-01 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x2742…dc70 | Yes | +100 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-03 05:10 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-03 00:19 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-03 00:19 |
| Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | +100 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 07-03 05:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +45 | $-8 | $28 | 5 | 07-02 13:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a67…5773 | Yes | +44 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-04 05:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d3f…55d5 | Yes | +40 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-25 16:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xc047…caa3 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-20 14:00 |
| New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 07-04 05:49 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-25 07:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x4440…3065 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-25 07:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-25 16:16 |
| Strict-Squeegee 0xc3be…0e17 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-03 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-03 12:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | +1 | $0 | $101 | 7 | 07-03 12:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +1 | $-1 | $22 | 20 | 07-04 05:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 05:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x81dc5a… |
| 07-04 05:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x4a67…5773 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 16¢ | $7 | 0x81dc5a… |
| 07-04 05:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x81dc5a… |
| 07-04 05:49:47 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 15 | 83¢ | $12 | 0x81dc5a… |
| 07-03 21:01:04 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xd0982c… |
| 07-03 21:01:04 | Strict-Squeegee 0xc3be…0e17 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xd0982c… |
| 07-03 15:32:41 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xea137d… |
| 07-03 15:32:41 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xea137d… |
| 07-03 15:32:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xea137d… |
| 07-03 12:25:52 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x9b370c… |
| 07-03 12:25:52 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x9b370c… |
| 07-03 12:25:17 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x4037f0… |
| 07-03 12:25:17 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | SELL | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x4037f0… |
| 07-03 12:12:20 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xace12c… |
| 07-03 12:12:20 | Snappy-Crusader 0x7296…69f5 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xace12c… |
| 07-03 12:12:20 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xace12c… |
| 07-03 12:12:20 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 12 | 87¢ | $10 | 0xace12c… |
| 07-03 12:12:20 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xace12c… |
| 07-03 05:56:10 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | SELL | 16 | 82¢ | $13 | 0x88bbdf… |
| 07-03 05:56:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x88bbdf… |
| 07-03 05:51:46 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xfac282… |
| 07-03 05:51:46 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xfac282… |
| 07-03 05:50:46 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xf8d69e… |
| 07-03 05:50:46 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | SELL | 27 | 85¢ | $23 | 0xf8d69e… |
| 07-03 05:50:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xf8d69e… |
| 07-03 05:50:46 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xf8d69e… |
| 07-03 05:16:56 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | BUY | 22 | 84¢ | $19 | 0x98737e… |
| 07-03 05:16:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x98737e… |
| 07-03 05:16:02 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 24 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x12001e… |
| 07-03 05:16:02 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x12001e… |
| 07-03 05:16:02 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | BUY | 38 | 83¢ | $32 | 0x12001e… |
| 07-03 05:10:28 | (anonymous) 0x2742…dc70 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x887464… |
| 07-03 05:10:28 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x887464… |
| 07-02 13:24:19 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x478ec1… |
| 07-02 13:24:19 | Naive-Soulmate 0x4133…ea5d | No | BUY | 190 | 80¢ | $152 | 0x478ec1… |
| 07-02 13:24:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 27 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x478ec1… |
| 07-02 13:24:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x478ec1… |
| 07-02 13:24:19 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x478ec1… |
| 07-02 13:24:19 | Famous-Elderberry 0x38c0…53f9 | Yes | BUY | 273 | 18¢ | $50 | 0x478ec1… |
| 07-01 22:54:08 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe01f39… |
| 07-01 22:54:08 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xe01f39… |
| 07-01 22:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xe01f39… |
| 07-01 22:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe01f39… |
| 07-01 22:54:08 | (anonymous) 0xf331…7e96 | No | BUY | 143 | 92¢ | $131 | 0xe01f39… |
| 07-01 22:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 72 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xe01f39… |
| 07-01 22:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xe01f39… |
| 06-28 20:35:11 | (anonymous) 0x08eb…9ca4 | No | SELL | 11 | 81¢ | $9 | 0xecc82e… |
| 06-28 20:35:11 | Naive-Soulmate 0x4133…ea5d | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xecc82e… |
| 06-28 20:35:11 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xecc82e… |
| 06-26 17:45:44 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 16¢ | $32 | 0xe08159… |
| 06-26 17:45:44 | Naive-Soulmate 0x4133…ea5d | No | BUY | 18 | 83¢ | $15 | 0xe08159… |
| 06-26 17:45:44 | (anonymous) 0x0847…b07b | Yes | BUY | 318 | 16¢ | $50 | 0xe08159… |
| 06-26 17:45:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0xe08159… |
| 06-25 16:16:52 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xbd7386… |
| 06-25 16:16:52 | (anonymous) 0x7d3f…55d5 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 16¢ | $7 | 0xbd7386… |
| 06-25 16:16:52 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xbd7386… |
| 06-25 16:16:52 | Naive-Soulmate 0x4133…ea5d | No | BUY | 18 | 83¢ | $15 | 0xbd7386… |
| 06-25 07:10:55 | (anonymous) 0x4440…3065 | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x2f88f2… |
| 06-25 07:10:55 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x2f88f2… |
| 06-25 07:08:58 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xa0e231… |
| 06-25 07:08:58 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xa0e231… |
| 06-25 07:08:58 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xa0e231… |
| 06-25 07:08:58 | (anonymous) 0x4985…df6c | Yes | BUY | 689 | 13¢ | $90 | 0xa0e231… |
| 06-25 07:08:58 | Naive-Soulmate 0x4133…ea5d | No | BUY | 730 | 87¢ | $635 | 0xa0e231… |
| 06-25 07:08:58 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa0e231… |
| 06-25 07:00:20 | (anonymous) 0x08eb…9ca4 | No | BUY | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0xe999ee… |
| 06-25 07:00:20 | (anonymous) 0x4985…df6c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xe999ee… |
| 06-25 07:00:19 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xafbc7e… |
| 06-25 07:00:19 | Naive-Soulmate 0x4133…ea5d | No | BUY | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0xafbc7e… |
| 06-25 07:00:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 83 | 15¢ | $12 | 0xafbc7e… |
| 06-25 07:00:19 | (anonymous) 0xfb48…065a | Yes | BUY | 321 | 16¢ | $50 | 0xafbc7e… |
| 06-25 07:00:19 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 196 | 16¢ | $31 | 0xafbc7e… |
| 06-25 07:00:19 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xafbc7e… |
| 06-25 07:00:19 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xafbc7e… |
| 06-25 06:57:29 | (anonymous) 0x4985…df6c | Yes | BUY | 23 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x3fe846… |
| 06-25 06:57:29 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x3fe846… |
| 06-22 00:00:20 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x860157… |
| 06-22 00:00:20 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 22 | 91¢ | $20 | 0x860157… |
| 06-20 14:00:59 | (anonymous) 0xc047…caa3 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xb546fc… |
| 06-20 14:00:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xb546fc… |
| 06-15 09:31:24 | Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | Yes | BUY | 459 | 6¢ | $28 | 0xd5b7f1… |
| 06-15 09:31:24 | (anonymous) 0x21a1…2f95 | Yes | SELL | 459 | 6¢ | $28 | 0xd5b7f1… |
| 06-09 04:37:12 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xd82d7b… |
| 06-09 04:37:12 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xd82d7b… |
| 06-07 11:03:52 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x9c3961… |
| 06-07 11:03:52 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x9c3961… |
| 06-07 11:02:09 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x8d0f4b… |
| 06-07 11:02:09 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8d0f4b… |
| 06-03 12:11:33 | Positive-Pod 0x38d0…5ea8 | Yes | SELL | 156 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x6bba91… |
| 06-03 12:11:33 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 156 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x6bba91… |
| 06-03 00:36:07 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd2c07a… |
| 06-03 00:36:07 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd2c07a… |
| 06-03 00:19:42 | (anonymous) 0x98ed…1349 | No | SELL | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xf3d44d… |
| 06-03 00:19:42 | (anonymous) 0x4db6…9842 | Yes | SELL | 1,307 | 6¢ | $81 | 0xf3d44d… |
| 06-03 00:19:42 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 84 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xf3d44d… |
| 06-03 00:19:42 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xf3d44d… |
| 06-03 00:19:42 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 268 | 6¢ | $16 | 0xf3d44d… |
| 06-03 00:19:42 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xf3d44d… |
| 06-03 00:19:42 | Icky-Chili 0x9b6f…0e5f | Yes | BUY | 500 | 6¢ | $30 | 0xf3d44d… |
| 06-03 00:19:42 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xf3d44d… |