Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?
open
Total volume
$2,747
Trades
164
Unique wallets
57
Liquidity
$13,821
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-03
last 07-24 13:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+75.3¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $28
vs crowd: 25% YES on $2.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $63 | $977 | $914 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 14 | $83 | $12 | +$71 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $47 | $147 | $100 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $303 | $378 | $74 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $28 | — | +$28 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $58 | $867 | $809 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $8 | $37 | $29 |
| Median | 4 | $2 | $48 | $46 |
| Below median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $13 | $1 | +$12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $41 | $94 | $53 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 25 | $346 | $468 | $121 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naive-Soulmate 0x4133…ea5d | No | +974 | $832 | $832 | 6 | 07-02 13:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x4985…df6c | Yes | +723 | $94 | $94 | 3 | 06-25 07:08 |
| Icky-Chili 0x9b6f…0e5f | Yes | +500 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-03 00:19 |
| Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | Yes | +459 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-15 09:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb48…065a | Yes | +321 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-25 07:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x0847…b07b | Yes | +318 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-26 17:45 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +268 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-03 00:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a67…5773 | Yes | +149 | $25 | $25 | 5 | 07-05 00:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xb84c…e169 | Yes | +137 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 07-23 12:50 |
| Embellished-Toast-Cake 0x1452…449c | No | +119 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 07-23 10:52 |
| Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | +110 | $94 | $94 | 2 | 07-09 17:09 |
| Famous-Elderberry 0x38c0…53f9 | Yes | +101 | $20 | $80 | 2 | 07-05 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x2742…dc70 | Yes | +100 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-03 05:10 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-03 00:19 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +85 | $5 | $9 | 4 | 07-24 13:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x010d…d0e6 | No | +78 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 07-23 10:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +73 | $-3 | $33 | 6 | 07-05 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cb1…b128 | Yes | +69 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 07-04 14:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d3f…55d5 | Yes | +40 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-25 16:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +31 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 07-21 11:36 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-23 10:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xc047…caa3 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-20 14:00 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-25 07:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x4440…3065 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-25 07:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-09 17:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-25 16:16 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-23 10:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-23 10:52 |
| Strict-Squeegee 0xc3be…0e17 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-03 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +2 | $1 | $37 | 31 | 07-23 12:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xf331…7e96 | No | +1 | $7 | $255 | 3 | 07-11 14:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 21:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 13:16:25 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x730fb0… |
| 07-24 13:16:25 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x730fb0… |
| 07-24 13:16:22 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x2d9876… |
| 07-24 13:16:22 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x2d9876… |
| 07-24 13:14:09 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x27fe25… |
| 07-24 13:14:09 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x27fe25… |
| 07-23 12:50:00 | (anonymous) 0xb84c…e169 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x1b606b… |
| 07-23 12:50:00 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x1b606b… |
| 07-23 12:49:49 | (anonymous) 0xb84c…e169 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x269b50… |
| 07-23 12:49:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x269b50… |
| 07-23 12:49:49 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 22 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x269b50… |
| 07-23 10:52:21 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 22 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x2a5abe… |
| 07-23 10:52:21 | (anonymous) 0xb84c…e169 | Yes | BUY | 87 | 12¢ | $10 | 0x2a5abe… |
| 07-23 10:52:21 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x2a5abe… |
| 07-23 10:52:21 | Embellished-Toast-Cake 0x1452…449c | No | BUY | 119 | 88¢ | $104 | 0x2a5abe… |
| 07-23 10:52:18 | (anonymous) 0x010d…d0e6 | No | BUY | 78 | 87¢ | $68 | 0x77a494… |
| 07-23 10:52:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x77a494… |
| 07-23 10:52:18 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x77a494… |
| 07-23 10:15:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x17d8e1… |
| 07-23 10:15:04 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x17d8e1… |
| 07-21 11:36:36 | (anonymous) 0x6f1b…eb22 | No | SELL | 24 | 82¢ | $20 | 0xf32d7c… |
| 07-21 11:36:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 24 | 82¢ | $20 | 0xf32d7c… |
| 07-21 11:33:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xce74b0… |
| 07-21 11:33:28 | (anonymous) 0x6f1b…eb22 | No | BUY | 24 | 85¢ | $20 | 0xce74b0… |
| 07-19 18:03:27 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf91f4f… |
| 07-19 18:03:27 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xf91f4f… |
| 07-18 23:24:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 80¢ | $6 | 0xa872d6… |
| 07-18 23:24:42 | (anonymous) 0x6f1b…eb22 | No | SELL | 7 | 80¢ | $6 | 0xa872d6… |
| 07-18 23:21:22 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xa57413… |
| 07-18 23:21:22 | (anonymous) 0x6f1b…eb22 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0xa57413… |
| 07-11 14:40:07 | Somber-Merit 0x10e1…aa05 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x004871… |
| 07-11 14:40:07 | (anonymous) 0xf331…7e96 | No | SELL | 39 | 87¢ | $34 | 0x004871… |
| 07-11 14:39:41 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x7760b3… |
| 07-11 14:39:41 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x7760b3… |
| 07-11 14:39:41 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x7760b3… |
| 07-11 14:39:41 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x7760b3… |
| 07-11 14:39:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x7760b3… |
| 07-11 14:39:41 | Somber-Merit 0x10e1…aa05 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x7760b3… |
| 07-11 14:39:41 | (anonymous) 0xf331…7e96 | No | SELL | 103 | 88¢ | $90 | 0x7760b3… |
| 07-11 14:14:47 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x4658cd… |
| 07-11 14:14:47 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | SELL | 40 | 86¢ | $34 | 0x4658cd… |
| 07-11 14:14:47 | Somber-Merit 0x10e1…aa05 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 14¢ | $8 | 0x4658cd… |
| 07-09 17:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xcee295… |
| 07-09 17:09:35 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xcee295… |
| 07-08 00:59:52 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x922dfd… |
| 07-08 00:59:52 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x922dfd… |
| 07-08 00:55:44 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xf62222… |
| 07-08 00:55:44 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xf62222… |
| 07-05 00:25:02 | (anonymous) 0x4a67…5773 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x7216b7… |
| 07-05 00:25:02 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x7216b7… |
| 07-05 00:20:56 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x47f6da… |
| 07-05 00:20:56 | (anonymous) 0x4a67…5773 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x47f6da… |
| 07-05 00:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xd32aa4… |
| 07-05 00:12:22 | Famous-Elderberry 0x38c0…53f9 | Yes | SELL | 172 | 18¢ | $30 | 0xd32aa4… |
| 07-05 00:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 28 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xd32aa4… |
| 07-05 00:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x4a67…5773 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 17¢ | $15 | 0xd32aa4… |
| 07-05 00:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xd32aa4… |
| 07-04 21:43:01 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x8d2b71… |
| 07-04 21:43:01 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | SELL | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x8d2b71… |
| 07-04 14:50:07 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | BUY | 50 | 77¢ | $38 | 0xbe5e05… |
| 07-04 14:50:07 | (anonymous) 0x7cb1…b128 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 23¢ | $12 | 0xbe5e05… |
| 07-04 14:49:40 | (anonymous) 0x7cb1…b128 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xfcc7a8… |
| 07-04 14:49:40 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xfcc7a8… |
| 07-04 14:49:40 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 23¢ | $3 | 0xfcc7a8… |
| 07-04 05:49:47 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 15 | 83¢ | $12 | 0x81dc5a… |
| 07-04 05:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x81dc5a… |
| 07-04 05:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x4a67…5773 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 16¢ | $7 | 0x81dc5a… |
| 07-04 05:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x81dc5a… |
| 07-03 21:01:04 | Strict-Squeegee 0xc3be…0e17 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xd0982c… |
| 07-03 21:01:04 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xd0982c… |
| 07-03 15:32:41 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xea137d… |
| 07-03 15:32:41 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xea137d… |
| 07-03 15:32:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xea137d… |
| 07-03 12:25:52 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x9b370c… |
| 07-03 12:25:52 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x9b370c… |
| 07-03 12:25:17 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x4037f0… |
| 07-03 12:25:17 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | SELL | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x4037f0… |
| 07-03 12:12:20 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xace12c… |
| 07-03 12:12:20 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 12 | 87¢ | $10 | 0xace12c… |
| 07-03 12:12:20 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xace12c… |
| 07-03 12:12:20 | Snappy-Crusader 0x7296…69f5 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xace12c… |
| 07-03 12:12:20 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xace12c… |
| 07-03 05:56:10 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | SELL | 16 | 82¢ | $13 | 0x88bbdf… |
| 07-03 05:56:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x88bbdf… |
| 07-03 05:51:46 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xfac282… |
| 07-03 05:51:46 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xfac282… |
| 07-03 05:50:46 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | SELL | 27 | 85¢ | $23 | 0xf8d69e… |
| 07-03 05:50:46 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xf8d69e… |
| 07-03 05:50:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xf8d69e… |
| 07-03 05:50:46 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xf8d69e… |
| 07-03 05:16:56 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | BUY | 22 | 84¢ | $19 | 0x98737e… |
| 07-03 05:16:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x98737e… |
| 07-03 05:16:02 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | BUY | 38 | 83¢ | $32 | 0x12001e… |
| 07-03 05:16:02 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x12001e… |
| 07-03 05:16:02 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 24 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x12001e… |
| 07-03 05:10:28 | (anonymous) 0x2742…dc70 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x887464… |
| 07-03 05:10:28 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x887464… |
| 07-02 13:24:19 | Famous-Elderberry 0x38c0…53f9 | Yes | BUY | 273 | 18¢ | $50 | 0x478ec1… |
| 07-02 13:24:19 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x478ec1… |
| 07-02 13:24:19 | Naive-Soulmate 0x4133…ea5d | No | BUY | 190 | 80¢ | $152 | 0x478ec1… |