Realized P&L
+$309
Unrealized P&L
+$890
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,963
lifetime
Volume
$467.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$238
Open exposure
$2.14K
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-15 09:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
58% 100% +$138
Other
42% 100% +$170
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 223 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -913 $-698 74¢ $-671 +$27 06-15 09:24
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -2,000 $-995 25¢ $-500 +$495 06-15 09:24
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -600 $-400 76¢ $-459 $-59 06-15 09:25
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +400 $188 40¢ $158 $-30 06-02 20:10
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +113 $94 82¢ $93 $-1 05-31 17:01
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -200 $-103 46¢ $-91 +$12 06-15 09:26
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? Yes +500 $30 12¢ $60 +$30 06-03 00:19
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes -400 $-60 14¢ $-54 +$6 06-15 09:27
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes -81 $-47 49¢ $-40 +$8 06-15 09:27
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -50 $-11 16¢ $-8 +$3 06-15 09:27
Clavicular sentenced to prison? Yes -40 $-6 15¢ $-6 $-0 06-15 09:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1,700 $-403 $-4 +$399 06-15 09:24