Icky-Chili — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$309

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,963

lifetime

Volume

$467.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$238

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 06-15 09:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% 100% +$138

Other

42% 100% +$170

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	215	$121.3K	56,307	77,751	-21,445	open	—	04-15 20:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	168	$43.0K	96,959	56,465	+40,494	open	—	05-31 09:08
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	82	$36.9K	25,253	25,303	-50	open	—	04-15 22:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	192	$32.1K	35,325	49,098	-13,774	open	—	04-21 19:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	170	$31.2K	51,515	51,553	-37	open	—	04-23 14:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	45	$27.9K	22,601	29,801	-7,200	open	—	06-15 09:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	134	$23.9K	56,827	56,827	+0	open	—	04-20 22:57
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	44	$20.2K	12,381	14,674	-2,293	open	—	04-19 21:12
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	96	$18.5K	11,808	11,900	-92	open	—	04-17 19:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	24	$13.4K	14,204	14,302	-98	open	—	04-07 22:33
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	44	$11.2K	9,887	7,719	+2,169	open	—	04-15 21:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	27	$9.3K	18,886	5,683	+13,203	open	—	04-07 22:14
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	29	$9.3K	12,796	11,805	+990	open	—	04-04 14:49
will tisza win at least 130 seats	28	$7.6K	6,570	5,250	+1,320	open	—	04-12 14:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	17	$7.3K	4,700	4,915	-215	open	—	04-28 02:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	54	$5.4K	11,400	16,400	-5,000	open	—	06-15 09:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	11	$3.7K	6,476	6,170	+307	open	—	05-06 08:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	4	$3.6K	2,217	2,217	+0	open	—	04-12 14:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	46	$2.7K	3,259	3,316	-57	open	—	04-07 22:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	9	$2.7K	4,600	30,755	-26,155	open	—	06-01 13:50
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	14	$2.6K	1,319	1,619	-300	open	—	04-20 05:13
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	19	$2.2K	3,109	3,109	+0	open	—	04-13 23:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	3	$2.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-10 18:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	12	$2.1K	2,730	3,600	-870	open	—	04-12 14:34
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	22	$2.1K	2,254	2,310	-56	Yes	+$170	04-07 22:57
israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	42	$1.7K	1,059	1,300	-241	open	—	04-10 15:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	36	$1.5K	4,900	4,900	+0	open	—	04-19 20:11
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	21	$1.4K	1,422	1,379	+43	open	—	04-12 00:36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	24	$1.3K	4,173	4,173	+0	open	—	04-10 10:19
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	21	$1.3K	640	840	-200	open	—	04-17 01:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 09:28:06	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3,000	1¢	$33	0x3f0ba5…
06-15 09:28:00	Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,201	0¢	$6	0x9a3adc…
06-15 09:27:49	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	50	23¢	$11	0xe4212f…
06-15 09:27:43	Clavicular sentenced to prison?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xbd3dc2…
06-15 09:27:15	Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	81	58¢	$47	0x54a26a…
06-15 09:27:03	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	400	15¢	$60	0x26e8cc…
06-15 09:27:00	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	500	14¢	$71	0x92c318…
06-15 09:26:57	Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6,991	0¢	$21	0x31048a…
06-15 09:26:49	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	SELL	103	96¢	$99	0xa836d0…
06-15 09:26:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	52¢	$103	0xaa3cd3…
06-15 09:25:21	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,200	19¢	$418	0x1e0826…
06-15 09:25:16	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	600	67¢	$400	0x00e4cd…
06-15 09:24:57	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	913	76¢	$698	0x764248…
06-15 09:24:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2,700	29¢	$783	0xd76dd7…
06-15 09:24:42	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,000	50¢	$995	0x34d935…
06-15 09:24:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1,400	88¢	$1,226	0x2f1355…
06-15 09:24:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21,001	93¢	$19,531	0x00862f…
06-15 09:23:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	1,000	94¢	$940	0xa82b4e…
06-14 22:46:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,400	73¢	$1,026	0xa37381…
06-14 14:11:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,400	35¢	$490	0x4b6d08…
06-14 11:25:40	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	121	15¢	$18	0xb25cce…
06-14 07:18:40	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	738	15¢	$107	0x91d59d…
06-14 00:23:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x4c4fe0…
06-13 14:11:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0xb4678e…
06-13 14:05:09	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xfdc8b3…
06-13 12:35:39	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,123	18¢	$200	0x31d329…
06-11 17:29:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	15,000	8¢	$1,125	0x049315…
06-06 09:50:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	397	20¢	$79	0x627742…
06-06 09:48:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x9f22d1…
06-06 09:48:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	20¢	$80	0x5b27f6…
06-06 09:46:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x3cbd2b…
06-06 09:45:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	20¢	$120	0xd06aae…
06-06 09:43:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xfed613…
06-06 09:34:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	1,000	31¢	$310	0xf0e89b…
06-06 08:14:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	21¢	$22	0xcb33de…
06-06 08:12:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xa25c58…
06-06 08:10:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	866	21¢	$182	0x2ba726…
06-06 08:09:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x6c1d16…
06-06 08:07:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xbe6ccc…
06-06 02:47:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	22¢	$132	0xcc8ef2…
06-06 02:45:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	22¢	$17	0x1fa9bb…
06-06 02:28:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	22¢	$15	0x6082e4…
06-03 00:19:42	Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0xf3d44d…
06-02 21:42:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	23¢	$138	0xa91933…
06-02 20:10:07	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xa8d0f8…
06-02 20:10:07	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x52e875…
06-02 19:44:06	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0x467ecf…
06-02 19:42:18	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x82ed78…
06-02 19:32:58	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	81	47¢	$38	0xef4683…
06-02 19:30:22	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	101	47¢	$47	0xa40ac3…
06-02 19:30:22	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x26a937…
06-02 19:22:14	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xb7d605…
06-02 16:43:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	24¢	$144	0xfdf190…
06-01 19:12:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xf49437…
06-01 19:08:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,601	26¢	$2,500	0xaf54ef…
06-01 18:43:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xc3aa27…
06-01 14:55:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	21¢	$210	0xc4a841…
06-01 14:50:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0x517388…
06-01 13:50:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15,378	6¢	$923	0xf41d7a…
06-01 08:49:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15,378	6¢	$923	0x31eae0…
06-01 05:09:21	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x13d5b8…
06-01 04:28:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,279	12¢	$154	0xafd255…
06-01 04:21:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xcc117c…
06-01 04:19:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	12¢	$20	0x251d4e…
06-01 04:17:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	12¢	$14	0x170154…
06-01 04:16:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0x630b05…
06-01 04:14:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x9eda88…
06-01 04:11:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x7b213d…
06-01 04:10:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	12¢	$11	0x874c3d…
06-01 04:05:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	12¢	$2	0x6e6f58…
05-31 17:01:14	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x02d357…
05-31 16:33:39	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0xdd5527…
05-31 11:50:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	316	18¢	$57	0xc9b9d0…
05-31 11:48:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	310	18¢	$56	0x2c14aa…
05-31 11:33:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	18¢	$6	0xc35a24…
05-31 11:33:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x4804d2…
05-31 11:28:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	18¢	$11	0x13ef7b…
05-31 11:23:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x4cee72…
05-31 11:04:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x4a9d08…
05-31 10:57:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xb1b0cd…
05-31 10:53:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf1aa2f…
05-31 10:48:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x0b8989…
05-31 10:45:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	671	18¢	$121	0x6b3315…
05-31 10:35:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	970	18¢	$175	0xfd1f44…
05-31 10:21:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x400d5a…
05-31 10:18:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	589	18¢	$106	0x042e89…
05-31 09:08:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15,000	1¢	$210	0x79a284…
05-31 05:25:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,992	29¢	$868	0x12a415…
05-31 05:18:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,172	29¢	$1,500	0xcccf1d…
05-31 05:03:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xc7c1a7…
05-31 04:58:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x0c2007…
05-31 04:45:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x3f5040…
05-31 04:41:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0xb970a8…
05-31 04:20:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	321	29¢	$93	0x9ec4a9…
05-30 21:29:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xfadd56…
05-30 21:29:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xb290ac…
05-30 21:27:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	29¢	$19	0x6f576d…
05-30 21:00:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	29¢	$26	0x710d9a…
05-30 20:53:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	29¢	$13	0xed3cab…
05-30 20:49:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0xefd906…