Realized P&L
-$5.42K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.74K
Hit rate
68.1%
Resolved
40,130
Trades
713,328
lifetime
Volume
$4.30M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$35.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-18
last 10-27 10:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Other
76% 60% -$2,816
Politics
15% 49% -$1,190
Sports
9% 49% -$1,575
Tech
0% 48% +$89
Crypto
0% 76% +$38
Pop-Culture
0% 80% +$37
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 12246 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? No +3,385 $3,370 99¢ $3.4K -$14 10-27 06:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,341 $1,786 82¢ $1.9K +$122 10-26 03:13
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,809 $1,730 96¢ $1.7K +$11 10-27 03:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,898 $980 88¢ $1.7K +$699 10-10 22:55
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,674 $1,666 100¢ $1.7K +$4 10-18 18:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,613 $1,579 100¢ $1.6K +$32 10-23 14:01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,816 $1,644 88¢ $1.6K -$43 10-27 07:05
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +1,559 $1,543 99¢ $1.5K +$5 10-27 07:14
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +1,559 $1,512 96¢ $1.5K -$14 10-26 19:52
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,374 $1,253 92¢ $1.3K +$19 10-23 09:17
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +1,249 $1,239 99¢ $1.2K -$1 10-17 14:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,221 $1,183 99¢ $1.2K +$30 10-12 21:17
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +960 $953 100¢ $956 +$3 10-15 01:02
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +968 $734 97¢ $935 +$202 10-26 21:17
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +939 $934 99¢ $930 -$3 10-14 20:44
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,017 $921 91¢ $922 +$1 10-23 15:55
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +924 $915 99¢ $911 -$4 10-14 11:07
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +900 $889 99¢ $894 +$5 10-26 13:28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +963 $843 90¢ $868 +$25 09-18 12:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +972 $725 86¢ $836 +$111 10-26 23:18
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 No +868 $516 96¢ $833 +$317 10-27 03:56
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +826 $821 100¢ $823 +$2 10-27 02:57
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +830 $825 98¢ $813 -$13 10-21 13:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +815 $687 100¢ $812 +$125 10-26 17:04
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +752 $739 99¢ $742 +$4 08-17 20:42
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +731 $715 99¢ $724 +$10 10-26 23:00
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +724 $721 99¢ $720 -$1 10-15 01:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +718 $712 100¢ $716 +$3 10-14 12:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +717 $652 96¢ $692 +$40 10-25 08:08
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +733 $622 94¢ $685 +$64 09-30 13:48