Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$712,069
$12,778 in 24h
Trades
16,450
Unique wallets
2,729
Liquidity
$292,543
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2027-04-19
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-26 21:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.6¢
(top1%: 38% YES on $120.4K
vs crowd: 41% YES on $407.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 146 | $32.5K | $126.5K | $93.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 220 | $65.0K | $37.2K | +$27.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 553 | $42.9K | $51.5K | $8.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,810 | $26.9K | $25.4K | +$1.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 150 | $46.3K | $74.1K | $27.8K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 196 | $24.0K | $14.6K | +$9.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 185 | $3.0K | $6.3K | $3.4K |
| Median | 693 | $4.3K | $24.5K | $20.3K |
| Below median | 1,013 | $22.2K | $19.3K | +$2.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 169 | $7.0K | $12.0K | $5.0K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 160 | $14.6K | $17.7K | $3.0K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 103 | $39.9K | $66.4K | $26.5K |
| unranked | 60 | $6.1K | $5.6K | +$430 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | Yes | +124,987 | $1,368 | $1,368 | 197 | 10-11 23:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x316a…c449 | Yes | +82,470 | $434 | $434 | 161 | 10-17 02:01 |
| Murky-Arrest 0xc00d…6cd3 | Yes | +80,000 | $1,040 | $1,040 | 152 | 10-01 17:45 |
| Tense-Precedent 0xfb51…742d | Yes | +69,676 | $909 | $2,863 | 185 | 10-08 08:49 |
| Forthright-Kingfish 0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | +61,306 | $795 | $795 | 96 | 10-20 19:50 |
| STONE 0x2897…0a12 | Yes | +56,493 | $1,094 | $1,094 | 70 | 09-22 16:16 |
| Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | +47,817 | $2,779 | $3,360 | 60 | 10-25 19:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c83…eceb | Yes | +42,190 | $226 | $226 | 43 | 10-22 05:13 |
| Horrible-App 0xeed4…c1c2 | Yes | +36,640 | $222 | $222 | 32 | 10-25 02:57 |
| Quizzical-Arrogance 0x2106…4dea | No | +27,261 | $19,922 | $29,187 | 215 | 07-07 12:33 |
| Unusual-Plugin 0x8b36…a393 | Yes | +26,607 | $5,841 | $11,881 | 212 | 06-24 17:26 |
| Speedy-Recorder 0xf7a1…9dce | Yes | +25,638 | $7,004 | $7,004 | 2 | 06-09 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x6dbb…3ff7 | Yes | +25,145 | $125 | $125 | 1 | 10-02 13:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x7972…ec63 | Yes | +24,600 | $1,069 | $1,162 | 10 | 07-19 18:10 |
| Snappy-Dynamics 0x1970…398d | Yes | +18,892 | $979 | $979 | 20 | 07-07 18:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x4917…4537 | Yes | +17,760 | $284 | $284 | 1 | 09-16 15:55 |
| Reckless-Hatbox 0x843e…d2f3 | Yes | +17,341 | $5,041 | $5,041 | 17 | 06-10 18:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x164e…0f52 | Yes | +17,136 | $101 | $101 | 9 | 10-18 16:47 |
| Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | +16,218 | $13,910 | $13,910 | 7 | 10-01 14:25 |
| Tense-Habit 0xef6b…32f0 | Yes | +15,621 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-21 12:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x71e9…2cc2 | Yes | +12,506 | $65 | $65 | 42 | 10-04 13:45 |
| Popular-Code 0x8c21…adaf | Yes | +12,250 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 10-03 14:26 |
| Lonely-Bog 0xe542…0a37 | Yes | +11,000 | $290 | $290 | 13 | 10-01 20:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x250c…e86f | Yes | +10,932 | $66 | $66 | 2 | 10-22 09:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x6013…1025 | Yes | +10,000 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 11 | 07-07 18:10 |
| Proper-Bathrobe 0x7516…8beb | Yes | +10,000 | $2,600 | $2,600 | 21 | 07-07 09:55 |
| Satisfied-Crawdad 0x9f07…fbde | Yes | +10,000 | $343 | $343 | 12 | 10-02 15:08 |
| Tense-Precedent 0xfb51…742d | No | +9,822 | $2,825 | $83,305 | 38 | 07-11 00:14 |
| Subtle-Carving 0xce36…48ca | Yes | +9,145 | $80 | $80 | 6 | 10-26 17:46 |
| Puny-Trapdoor 0x50f4…5e6a | Yes | +8,416 | $67 | $118 | 12 | 10-25 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d34…2166 | Yes | +7,706 | $66 | $66 | 2 | 10-22 17:18 |
| Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | +7,400 | $97 | $157 | 31 | 10-17 23:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5161…3c38 | Yes | +6,854 | $316 | $528 | 5 | 07-14 23:07 |
| Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | +4,150 | $3,091 | $3,091 | 27 | 07-04 08:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x3275…7b7e | No | +3,658 | $3,590 | $3,590 | 19 | 09-21 03:51 |
| Dead-Lava 0x629b…995a | No | +3,333 | $2,366 | $2,366 | 1 | 06-10 05:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d63…77dc | No | +3,245 | $3,183 | $3,183 | 20 | 09-26 13:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x110a…c654 | No | +3,163 | $3,103 | $3,103 | 23 | 09-26 10:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 21:01:27 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x702f9a… |
| 10-26 21:01:27 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x702f9a… |
| 10-26 17:46:02 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8302f5… |
| 10-26 17:46:02 | Subtle-Carving 0xce36…48ca | Yes | BUY | 4,286 | 1¢ | $30 | 0x8302f5… |
| 10-26 17:42:11 | Subtle-Carving 0xce36…48ca | Yes | BUY | 1,429 | 1¢ | $10 | 0x66382e… |
| 10-26 17:42:11 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 239 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x66382e… |
| 10-26 17:40:50 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 310 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x2b0ec7… |
| 10-26 17:40:50 | (anonymous) 0xe565…9479 | No | BUY | 31 | 99¢ | $31 | 0x2b0ec7… |
| 10-26 17:40:50 | Subtle-Carving 0xce36…48ca | Yes | BUY | 1,429 | 1¢ | $10 | 0x2b0ec7… |
| 10-26 17:40:26 | Subtle-Carving 0xce36…48ca | Yes | BUY | 714 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x783d60… |
| 10-26 17:40:26 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 714 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x783d60… |
| 10-26 17:39:12 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 714 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x773a3c… |
| 10-26 17:39:12 | Subtle-Carving 0xce36…48ca | Yes | BUY | 714 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x773a3c… |
| 10-26 15:26:57 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 116 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1b9d72… |
| 10-26 15:26:57 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 116 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1b9d72… |
| 10-26 10:28:21 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 2,500 | 1¢ | $18 | 0x6b9d50… |
| 10-26 10:28:21 | (anonymous) 0xcb96…8388 | Yes | BUY | 2,500 | 1¢ | $18 | 0x6b9d50… |
| 10-26 06:53:30 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc01779… |
| 10-26 06:53:30 | Nonstop-Servant 0x4eb1…890e | No | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xc01779… |
| 10-26 05:41:44 | Winding-Ability 0xbbd1…42f3 | No | SELL | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x3d3a9f… |
| 10-26 05:41:44 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3d3a9f… |
| 10-26 05:02:00 | Winding-Ability 0xbbd1…42f3 | No | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0xbf54f0… |
| 10-26 05:02:00 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbf54f0… |
| 10-26 03:17:57 | (anonymous) 0x889f…864b | Yes | BUY | 714 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x50a80c… |
| 10-26 03:17:57 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 714 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x50a80c… |
| 10-26 00:37:39 | (anonymous) 0xc8c1…1e41 | No | SELL | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0xc28d8b… |
| 10-26 00:37:39 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc28d8b… |
| 10-26 00:18:51 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x949549… |
| 10-26 00:18:51 | (anonymous) 0xc8c1…1e41 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x949549… |
| 10-25 23:58:53 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x829dd6… |
| 10-25 23:58:53 | (anonymous) 0xc8c1…1e41 | No | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x829dd6… |
| 10-25 21:27:23 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 571 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x4de66b… |
| 10-25 21:27:23 | Big-Hearted-Knowledge 0x22aa…0cae | Yes | BUY | 571 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x4de66b… |
| 10-25 19:53:36 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | BUY | 2,180 | 1¢ | $15 | 0x505855… |
| 10-25 19:53:36 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 2,180 | 1¢ | $15 | 0x505855… |
| 10-25 19:43:36 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5593e5… |
| 10-25 19:43:36 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5593e5… |
| 10-25 19:11:21 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 3,257 | 1¢ | $23 | 0x078081… |
| 10-25 19:11:21 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | SELL | 169 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x078081… |
| 10-25 19:11:21 | (anonymous) 0x5394…7c38 | Yes | BUY | 3,426 | 1¢ | $24 | 0x078081… |
| 10-25 17:40:27 | (anonymous) 0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | BUY | 4,241 | 1¢ | $25 | 0x415279… |
| 10-25 17:40:27 | (anonymous) 0x94a4…6356 | Yes | SELL | 4,241 | 1¢ | $25 | 0x415279… |
| 10-25 14:39:03 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | SELL | 143 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x76bd4d… |
| 10-25 14:39:03 | 0xfb9d38cac5c3b0936413b78f30664d3c224bd78e 0xfb9d…d78e | Yes | BUY | 143 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x76bd4d… |
| 10-25 13:21:06 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | SELL | 1,049 | 1¢ | $7 | 0x9586cb… |
| 10-25 13:21:06 | (anonymous) 0x37f0…a247 | No | SELL | 1,049 | 99¢ | $1,041 | 0x9586cb… |
| 10-25 12:42:32 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | SELL | 143 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x58888a… |
| 10-25 12:42:32 | (anonymous) 0xdfaa…fe1e | Yes | BUY | 143 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x58888a… |
| 10-25 06:16:56 | (anonymous) 0x37f0…a247 | No | SELL | 613 | 99¢ | $609 | 0x1fa919… |
| 10-25 06:16:56 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 2,000 | 1¢ | $12 | 0x1fa919… |
| 10-25 06:16:56 | (anonymous) 0x4a19…c9e3 | Yes | BUY | 1,387 | 1¢ | $8 | 0x1fa919… |
| 10-25 05:41:42 | (anonymous) 0x4a19…c9e3 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xd064db… |
| 10-25 05:41:42 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xd064db… |
| 10-25 03:25:56 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x9fac0c… |
| 10-25 03:25:56 | (anonymous) 0x4a19…c9e3 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x9fac0c… |
| 10-25 03:09:56 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1b6b61… |
| 10-25 03:09:56 | (anonymous) 0x4a19…c9e3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1b6b61… |
| 10-25 02:58:56 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 2,000 | 1¢ | $12 | 0xeda649… |
| 10-25 02:58:56 | (anonymous) 0x4a19…c9e3 | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 1¢ | $12 | 0xeda649… |
| 10-25 02:58:26 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 150 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2c1cd3… |
| 10-25 02:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x4a19…c9e3 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2c1cd3… |
| 10-25 02:58:14 | (anonymous) 0x4a19…c9e3 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x380f20… |
| 10-25 02:58:14 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 150 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x380f20… |
| 10-25 02:58:00 | (anonymous) 0x4a19…c9e3 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xebc282… |
| 10-25 02:58:00 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 150 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xebc282… |
| 10-25 02:57:56 | (anonymous) 0x4a19…c9e3 | Yes | BUY | 463 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xfee384… |
| 10-25 02:57:56 | Horrible-App 0xeed4…c1c2 | Yes | BUY | 1,537 | 1¢ | $9 | 0xfee384… |
| 10-25 02:57:56 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 2,000 | 1¢ | $12 | 0xfee384… |
| 10-25 02:57:48 | Horrible-App 0xeed4…c1c2 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfd9b3e… |
| 10-25 02:57:48 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 150 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfd9b3e… |
| 10-25 02:57:35 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 150 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd9e4c4… |
| 10-25 02:57:35 | Horrible-App 0xeed4…c1c2 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd9e4c4… |
| 10-25 02:57:23 | Horrible-App 0xeed4…c1c2 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4a1309… |
| 10-25 02:57:23 | Understated-Pike 0xc03c…50af | Yes | SELL | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4a1309… |
| 10-25 00:21:56 | Horrible-App 0xeed4…c1c2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x31578c… |
| 10-25 00:21:56 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x31578c… |
| 10-25 00:14:56 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 650 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x522d8e… |
| 10-25 00:14:56 | Horrible-App 0xeed4…c1c2 | Yes | BUY | 650 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x522d8e… |
| 10-25 00:13:57 | Horrible-App 0xeed4…c1c2 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x52bf22… |
| 10-25 00:13:57 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x52bf22… |
| 10-25 00:12:56 | Horrible-App 0xeed4…c1c2 | Yes | BUY | 1,940 | 1¢ | $12 | 0x422bc7… |
| 10-25 00:12:56 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 2,000 | 1¢ | $12 | 0x422bc7… |
| 10-25 00:12:56 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x422bc7… |
| 10-25 00:11:56 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2b7327… |
| 10-25 00:11:56 | Jumbo-Altar 0x965b…1749 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2b7327… |
| 10-25 00:11:56 | Puny-Trapdoor 0x50f4…5e6a | Yes | BUY | 325 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x2b7327… |
| 10-25 00:11:56 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | BUY | 1,503 | 1¢ | $9 | 0x2b7327… |
| 10-25 00:11:56 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 2,000 | 1¢ | $12 | 0x2b7327… |
| 10-25 00:10:57 | Horrible-App 0xeed4…c1c2 | Yes | BUY | 1,200 | 1¢ | $8 | 0xd8e164… |
| 10-25 00:10:57 | Remote-Testing 0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | SELL | 1,747 | 1¢ | $12 | 0xd8e164… |
| 10-25 00:10:57 | Puny-Trapdoor 0x50f4…5e6a | Yes | BUY | 475 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xd8e164… |
| 10-25 00:10:57 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd8e164… |
| 10-25 00:10:50 | Horrible-App 0xeed4…c1c2 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xac17e3… |
| 10-25 00:10:50 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xac17e3… |
| 10-25 00:10:08 | Horrible-App 0xeed4…c1c2 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x10fae1… |
| 10-25 00:10:08 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x10fae1… |
| 10-25 00:08:53 | (anonymous) 0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x182ab9… |
| 10-25 00:08:53 | Jumbo-Altar 0x965b…1749 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x182ab9… |
| 10-25 00:08:53 | Horrible-App 0xeed4…c1c2 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x182ab9… |
| 10-24 23:53:32 | (anonymous) 0xff00…3606 | Yes | BUY | 1,250 | 1¢ | $10 | 0x6bb7c5… |