Realized P&L
-$514
Unrealized P&L
-$334
Hit rate
70.6%
Resolved
135
Trades
7,050
lifetime
Volume
$63.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$18.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 11-01 00:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Politics
95% 66% -$252
Other
4% 40% -$307
Sports
1% 47% +$44
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,150 $3,091 98¢ $4.1K +$982 07-04 08:47
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -8,510 -$853 41¢ $-3451 -$2,598 10-28 00:10
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,900 $2,189 90¢ $2.6K +$435 10-19 11:11
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -9,672 -$233 19¢ $-1813 -$1,580 07-21 10:55
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,667 $2,199 59¢ $1.6K -$614 07-16 19:12
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +949 $866 99¢ $940 +$74 10-11 19:13
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? No +815 $798 100¢ $814 +$16 05-27 09:54
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10,849 -$17 7¢ $-754 -$737 09-26 09:08
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -6,777 -$1,295 10¢ $-644 +$651 10-09 10:20
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -24,844 -$1,109 2¢ $-609 +$501 10-31 03:20
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -4,350 -$1,147 12¢ $-500 +$647 11-01 00:24
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +566 $475 81¢ $460 -$14 11-01 07:19
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -17,429 $98 1¢ $-148 -$247 10-25 05:41
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5,377 -$765 2¢ $-99 +$665 10-30 19:28
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -8,578 -$347 1¢ $-81 +$266 07-21 13:08
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10,077 -$83 1¢ $-76 +$7 08-04 09:57
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -3,528 -$667 2¢ $-69 +$599 10-31 01:08
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10,469 -$165 0¢ $-37 +$128 07-21 10:58
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes — +12,679 $31 0¢ $19 -$12 08-27 10:34
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -2,677 -$290 1¢ $-17 +$273 10-18 11:13
Will Natacha Polony win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -10,849 -$11 0¢ $-16 -$5 10-25 07:52
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -9,949 -$21 0¢ $-15 +$6 07-15 06:24
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -9,527 -$52 0¢ $-14 +$37 07-21 11:01
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -9,527 -$48 0¢ $-14 +$34 07-26 08:30
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -9,527 -$59 0¢ $-14 +$44 07-21 10:59
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -8,711 -$79 0¢ $-13 +$66 07-22 11:49
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -8,527 -$47 0¢ $-13 +$34 09-28 08:37
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -8,477 -$51 0¢ $-13 +$39 07-13 16:59
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +6,665 $14 0¢ $7 -$7 09-11 06:15
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $28 4¢ $6 -$22 09-20 21:40