Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$1,171
Trades
78
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$1,528
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
75¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-06-09
last 07-28 09:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-34.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $58
vs crowd: 34% YES on $970)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $35 | $92 | $57 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $25 | $390 | $364 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $73 | $36 | +$37 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $199 | $119 | +$80 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $58 | $58 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $69 | $37 | +$33 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| Median | 3 | $15 | $4 | +$11 |
| Below median | 5 | $14 | $122 | $108 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $12 | $58 | $47 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $26 | $317 | $291 |
| unranked | 13 | $191 | $42 | +$149 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | +385 | $240 | $240 | 1 | 06-09 08:05 |
| Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | +253 | $75 | $75 | 4 | 07-26 09:15 |
| Absolute-Sweatshirt 0x6b65…3fab | Yes | +240 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 07-28 09:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x01ee…b9df | Yes | +182 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-10 10:57 |
| Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | +121 | $87 | $87 | 4 | 07-28 09:53 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +80 | $58 | $97 | 3 | 07-28 09:53 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | +80 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 07-28 09:53 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +34 | $6 | $10 | 3 | 07-10 15:18 |
| Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | +33 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 07-07 12:31 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +26 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-22 13:08 |
| Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-09 08:05 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-22 22:01 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | +17 | $21 | $94 | 4 | 07-07 18:54 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-26 09:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 02:39 |
| Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | +10 | $19 | $90 | 9 | 07-28 09:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e59…a4ba | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-12 17:54 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 11:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-22 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-21 11:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-10 14:28 |
| Dear-Witch 0x7bc3…513b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $4 | 2 | 07-11 04:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 09:55:58 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xe4f96e… |
| 07-28 09:55:58 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0xe4f96e… |
| 07-28 09:54:13 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x6029e3… |
| 07-28 09:54:13 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x6029e3… |
| 07-28 09:53:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0xc1a8fb… |
| 07-28 09:53:49 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0xc1a8fb… |
| 07-28 09:53:44 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xcfa4f9… |
| 07-28 09:53:44 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 80 | 73¢ | $58 | 0xcfa4f9… |
| 07-28 09:53:44 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xcfa4f9… |
| 07-28 09:53:44 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 80 | 73¢ | $58 | 0xcfa4f9… |
| 07-28 09:53:44 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xcfa4f9… |
| 07-28 09:53:44 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xcfa4f9… |
| 07-28 09:53:44 | Absolute-Sweatshirt 0x6b65…3fab | Yes | BUY | 240 | 27¢ | $66 | 0xcfa4f9… |
| 07-26 09:16:19 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x9b92fb… |
| 07-26 09:16:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x9b92fb… |
| 07-26 09:16:10 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x73695d… |
| 07-26 09:16:10 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x73695d… |
| 07-26 09:15:49 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 40 | 75¢ | $30 | 0x67c1f3… |
| 07-26 09:15:49 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x67c1f3… |
| 07-26 09:15:49 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x67c1f3… |
| 07-22 22:01:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xc37d15… |
| 07-22 22:01:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xc37d15… |
| 07-22 06:00:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x8ee51f… |
| 07-22 06:00:34 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x8ee51f… |
| 07-21 11:42:39 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x090924… |
| 07-21 11:42:39 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x090924… |
| 07-20 20:49:28 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 26 | 76¢ | $19 | 0x287108… |
| 07-20 20:49:28 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 26 | 76¢ | $19 | 0x287108… |
| 07-18 18:41:43 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xcb1cf9… |
| 07-18 18:41:43 | (anonymous) 0x9a5b…acf6 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xcb1cf9… |
| 07-12 17:54:40 | (anonymous) 0x9a5b…acf6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x7e3871… |
| 07-12 17:54:40 | (anonymous) 0x9e59…a4ba | No | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $6 | 0x7e3871… |
| 07-12 17:54:34 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 35 | 67¢ | $24 | 0xfc0bec… |
| 07-12 17:54:34 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | BUY | 35 | 33¢ | $12 | 0xfc0bec… |
| 07-12 17:53:56 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xf3735b… |
| 07-12 17:53:56 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | SELL | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xf3735b… |
| 07-11 04:12:25 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x6e2df8… |
| 07-11 04:12:25 | (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x6e2df8… |
| 07-10 15:18:22 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xef28eb… |
| 07-10 15:18:22 | (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xef28eb… |
| 07-10 14:28:05 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 33¢ | $1 | 0xf60ee9… |
| 07-10 14:28:05 | (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | No | BUY | 4 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xf60ee9… |
| 07-07 18:54:23 | Dear-Witch 0x7bc3…513b | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x4fda8e… |
| 07-07 18:54:23 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x4fda8e… |
| 07-07 12:31:32 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | SELL | 33 | 67¢ | $22 | 0x87ec6a… |
| 07-07 12:31:32 | Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | BUY | 33 | 67¢ | $22 | 0x87ec6a… |
| 06-27 08:42:58 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | SELL | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0xa94059… |
| 06-27 08:42:58 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0xa94059… |
| 06-22 13:08:43 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | SELL | 64 | 25¢ | $16 | 0xaf5a48… |
| 06-22 13:08:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xaf5a48… |
| 06-22 13:08:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0xaf5a48… |
| 06-22 13:08:43 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 115 | 25¢ | $28 | 0xaf5a48… |
| 06-22 13:08:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 26 | 75¢ | $19 | 0xaf5a48… |
| 06-17 02:39:19 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0xf382fe… |
| 06-17 02:39:19 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xf382fe… |
| 06-17 02:39:19 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xf382fe… |
| 06-10 14:53:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x3949ca… |
| 06-10 14:53:46 | (anonymous) 0x9162…2f2c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x3949ca… |
| 06-10 10:57:06 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 18¢ | $6 | 0xf1ab8d… |
| 06-10 10:57:06 | (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xf1ab8d… |
| 06-10 10:57:06 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | SELL | 36 | 22¢ | $8 | 0xf1ab8d… |
| 06-10 10:57:06 | (anonymous) 0x01ee…b9df | Yes | BUY | 182 | 19¢ | $35 | 0xf1ab8d… |
| 06-10 10:57:06 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | BUY | 71 | 81¢ | $58 | 0xf1ab8d… |
| 06-10 06:31:04 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xfb5842… |
| 06-10 06:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x9162…2f2c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xfb5842… |
| 06-10 03:42:57 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x402dab… |
| 06-10 03:42:57 | (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x402dab… |
| 06-10 03:42:57 | Crisp-Fuel-Gloom 0xaa1d…0eac | Yes | SELL | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x402dab… |
| 06-09 13:11:12 | Crisp-Fuel-Gloom 0xaa1d…0eac | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x77f2ca… |
| 06-09 13:11:12 | Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | SELL | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x77f2ca… |
| 06-09 08:05:58 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 37¢ | $24 | 0x8a570b… |
| 06-09 08:05:58 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 39¢ | $12 | 0x8a570b… |
| 06-09 08:05:58 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 385 | 62¢ | $240 | 0x8a570b… |
| 06-09 08:05:58 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 38¢ | $38 | 0x8a570b… |
| 06-09 08:05:58 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x8a570b… |
| 06-09 08:05:58 | Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x8a570b… |
| 06-09 08:05:58 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 37¢ | $37 | 0x8a570b… |
| 06-09 08:05:58 | Crisp-Fuel-Gloom 0xaa1d…0eac | Yes | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0x8a570b… |