Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$644
Trades
32
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$1,528
Latest YES mid
34¢
Latest NO mid
66¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-06-09
last 06-27 08:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-39.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $58
vs crowd: 40% YES on $558)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $26 | $19 | +$7 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $21 | $317 | $297 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $168 | — | +$168 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $58 | $58 |
| Median | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| Below median | 1 | $8 | $20 | $12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $26 | $259 | $233 |
| unranked | 6 | $160 | — | +$160 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | +385 | $240 | $240 | 1 | 06-09 08:05 |
| Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | +215 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 06-22 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x01ee…b9df | Yes | +182 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-10 10:57 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | +51 | $44 | $71 | 2 | 06-27 08:42 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +40 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-17 02:39 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +26 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-22 13:08 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +26 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-22 13:08 |
| Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-09 08:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 02:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 08:42:58 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | SELL | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0xa94059… |
| 06-27 08:42:58 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0xa94059… |
| 06-22 13:08:43 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | SELL | 64 | 25¢ | $16 | 0xaf5a48… |
| 06-22 13:08:43 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 115 | 25¢ | $28 | 0xaf5a48… |
| 06-22 13:08:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xaf5a48… |
| 06-22 13:08:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 26 | 75¢ | $19 | 0xaf5a48… |
| 06-22 13:08:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0xaf5a48… |
| 06-17 02:39:19 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xf382fe… |
| 06-17 02:39:19 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0xf382fe… |
| 06-17 02:39:19 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xf382fe… |
| 06-10 14:53:46 | (anonymous) 0x9162…2f2c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x3949ca… |
| 06-10 14:53:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x3949ca… |
| 06-10 10:57:06 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | BUY | 71 | 81¢ | $58 | 0xf1ab8d… |
| 06-10 10:57:06 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 18¢ | $6 | 0xf1ab8d… |
| 06-10 10:57:06 | (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xf1ab8d… |
| 06-10 10:57:06 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | SELL | 36 | 22¢ | $8 | 0xf1ab8d… |
| 06-10 10:57:06 | (anonymous) 0x01ee…b9df | Yes | BUY | 182 | 19¢ | $35 | 0xf1ab8d… |
| 06-10 06:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x9162…2f2c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xfb5842… |
| 06-10 06:31:04 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xfb5842… |
| 06-10 03:42:57 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x402dab… |
| 06-10 03:42:57 | (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x402dab… |
| 06-10 03:42:57 | Crisp-Fuel-Gloom 0xaa1d…0eac | Yes | SELL | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x402dab… |
| 06-09 13:11:12 | Crisp-Fuel-Gloom 0xaa1d…0eac | Yes | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x77f2ca… |
| 06-09 13:11:12 | Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | SELL | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x77f2ca… |
| 06-09 08:05:58 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 385 | 62¢ | $240 | 0x8a570b… |
| 06-09 08:05:58 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x8a570b… |
| 06-09 08:05:58 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 37¢ | $24 | 0x8a570b… |
| 06-09 08:05:58 | Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x8a570b… |
| 06-09 08:05:58 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 39¢ | $12 | 0x8a570b… |
| 06-09 08:05:58 | Crisp-Fuel-Gloom 0xaa1d…0eac | Yes | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0x8a570b… |
| 06-09 08:05:58 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 37¢ | $37 | 0x8a570b… |
| 06-09 08:05:58 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 38¢ | $38 | 0x8a570b… |