Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$1,648
Trades
114
Unique wallets
41
Liquidity
$1,528
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
75¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-06-09
last 08-21 20:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-31.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $58
vs crowd: 31% YES on $1.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $35 | $113 | $78 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $41 | $475 | $434 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $98 | $191 | $93 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $224 | $108 | +$116 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $58 | $58 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $101 | $37 | +$65 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| Median | 4 | $15 | $15 | $0 |
| Below median | 5 | $14 | $152 | $138 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $12 | $58 | $47 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $26 | $411 | $385 |
| unranked | 20 | $224 | $156 | +$67 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | +500 | $312 | $312 | 4 | 08-19 07:51 |
| Absolute-Sweatshirt 0x6b65…3fab | Yes | +324 | $98 | $98 | 3 | 08-19 07:57 |
| Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | +253 | $75 | $75 | 4 | 07-26 09:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x01ee…b9df | Yes | +182 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-10 10:57 |
| Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | +115 | $89 | $126 | 9 | 08-21 20:46 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +100 | $73 | $124 | 5 | 08-19 11:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf973…f6e5 | Yes | +80 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 08-16 05:26 |
| Useful-Commander 0x9127…6ff3 | No | +38 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 08-21 20:46 |
| Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | +33 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 07-07 12:31 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +26 | $3 | $13 | 4 | 07-30 16:10 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +26 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-22 13:08 |
| Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-09 08:05 |
| Hurtful-Nuke 0xd886…1746 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 08-19 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 08-19 07:51 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-22 22:01 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | +20 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 08-20 11:33 |
| Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 08-19 07:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +17 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 08-20 11:33 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | +17 | $21 | $94 | 4 | 07-07 18:54 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-26 09:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 02:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e59…a4ba | No | +6 | $5 | $7 | 2 | 08-21 20:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-10 14:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x9aa2…2b8c | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-20 11:33 |
| Dear-Witch 0x7bc3…513b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $4 | 2 | 07-11 04:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 20:46:16 | Useful-Commander 0x9127…6ff3 | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xe6f23f… |
| 08-21 20:46:16 | (anonymous) 0x9e59…a4ba | No | SELL | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xe6f23f… |
| 08-21 20:46:12 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 36 | 52¢ | $18 | 0x207d7e… |
| 08-21 20:46:12 | Useful-Commander 0x9127…6ff3 | No | BUY | 36 | 52¢ | $18 | 0x207d7e… |
| 08-20 11:33:19 | (anonymous) 0x9aa2…2b8c | No | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x7716a9… |
| 08-20 11:33:19 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x7716a9… |
| 08-20 11:33:18 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x84f208… |
| 08-20 11:33:18 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x84f208… |
| 08-20 11:33:18 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 47¢ | $7 | 0x84f208… |
| 08-19 11:01:18 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | SELL | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0xa7f594… |
| 08-19 11:01:18 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xa7f594… |
| 08-19 07:57:04 | Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | BUY | 20 | 58¢ | $12 | 0x89adf0… |
| 08-19 07:57:04 | Absolute-Sweatshirt 0x6b65…3fab | Yes | BUY | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0x89adf0… |
| 08-19 07:51:37 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xaa0bda… |
| 08-19 07:51:37 | Hurtful-Nuke 0xd886…1746 | No | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xaa0bda… |
| 08-19 07:51:37 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 24 | 63¢ | $15 | 0xaa0bda… |
| 08-19 07:51:37 | Absolute-Sweatshirt 0x6b65…3fab | Yes | BUY | 64 | 37¢ | $24 | 0xaa0bda… |
| 08-18 22:41:16 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | No | SELL | 50 | 63¢ | $32 | 0xf5645e… |
| 08-18 22:41:16 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 50 | 63¢ | $32 | 0xf5645e… |
| 08-16 05:26:09 | (anonymous) 0xf973…f6e5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xa1346d… |
| 08-16 05:26:09 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | No | BUY | 10 | 65¢ | $6 | 0xa1346d… |
| 08-08 12:59:33 | (anonymous) 0xf973…f6e5 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 31¢ | $22 | 0x5d62bd… |
| 08-08 12:59:33 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 30 | 69¢ | $21 | 0x5d62bd… |
| 08-08 12:59:33 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | No | BUY | 40 | 69¢ | $28 | 0x5d62bd… |
| 08-01 20:43:32 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xca7a34… |
| 08-01 20:43:32 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xca7a34… |
| 07-30 16:56:00 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x3b48e7… |
| 07-30 16:56:00 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x3b48e7… |
| 07-30 16:45:06 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 41 | 63¢ | $26 | 0xac7c5b… |
| 07-30 16:45:06 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 9 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xac7c5b… |
| 07-30 16:45:06 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | SELL | 50 | 63¢ | $32 | 0xac7c5b… |
| 07-30 16:10:47 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | BUY | 50 | 69¢ | $34 | 0xcf2981… |
| 07-30 16:10:47 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xcf2981… |
| 07-30 16:10:47 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 11 | 64¢ | $7 | 0xcf2981… |
| 07-30 16:10:47 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 80 | 68¢ | $54 | 0xcf2981… |
| 07-30 16:10:47 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xcf2981… |
| 07-28 09:55:58 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0xe4f96e… |
| 07-28 09:55:58 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xe4f96e… |
| 07-28 09:54:13 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x6029e3… |
| 07-28 09:54:13 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x6029e3… |
| 07-28 09:53:49 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0xc1a8fb… |
| 07-28 09:53:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0xc1a8fb… |
| 07-28 09:53:44 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 80 | 73¢ | $58 | 0xcfa4f9… |
| 07-28 09:53:44 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xcfa4f9… |
| 07-28 09:53:44 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xcfa4f9… |
| 07-28 09:53:44 | Absolute-Sweatshirt 0x6b65…3fab | Yes | BUY | 240 | 27¢ | $66 | 0xcfa4f9… |
| 07-28 09:53:44 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xcfa4f9… |
| 07-28 09:53:44 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 80 | 73¢ | $58 | 0xcfa4f9… |
| 07-28 09:53:44 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xcfa4f9… |
| 07-26 09:16:19 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x9b92fb… |
| 07-26 09:16:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x9b92fb… |
| 07-26 09:16:10 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x73695d… |
| 07-26 09:16:10 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x73695d… |
| 07-26 09:15:49 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 40 | 75¢ | $30 | 0x67c1f3… |
| 07-26 09:15:49 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 25¢ | $8 | 0x67c1f3… |
| 07-26 09:15:49 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x67c1f3… |
| 07-22 22:01:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0xc37d15… |
| 07-22 22:01:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xc37d15… |
| 07-22 06:00:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x8ee51f… |
| 07-22 06:00:34 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x8ee51f… |
| 07-21 11:42:39 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x090924… |
| 07-21 11:42:39 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x090924… |
| 07-20 20:49:28 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 26 | 76¢ | $19 | 0x287108… |
| 07-20 20:49:28 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 26 | 76¢ | $19 | 0x287108… |
| 07-18 18:41:43 | (anonymous) 0x9a5b…acf6 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xcb1cf9… |
| 07-18 18:41:43 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xcb1cf9… |
| 07-12 17:54:40 | (anonymous) 0x9a5b…acf6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x7e3871… |
| 07-12 17:54:40 | (anonymous) 0x9e59…a4ba | No | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $6 | 0x7e3871… |
| 07-12 17:54:34 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | BUY | 35 | 33¢ | $12 | 0xfc0bec… |
| 07-12 17:54:34 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 35 | 67¢ | $24 | 0xfc0bec… |
| 07-12 17:53:56 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | SELL | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xf3735b… |
| 07-12 17:53:56 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xf3735b… |
| 07-11 04:12:25 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x6e2df8… |
| 07-11 04:12:25 | (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x6e2df8… |
| 07-10 15:18:22 | (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xef28eb… |
| 07-10 15:18:22 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xef28eb… |
| 07-10 14:28:05 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 33¢ | $1 | 0xf60ee9… |
| 07-10 14:28:05 | (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | No | BUY | 4 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xf60ee9… |
| 07-07 18:54:23 | Dear-Witch 0x7bc3…513b | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x4fda8e… |
| 07-07 18:54:23 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x4fda8e… |
| 07-07 12:31:32 | Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | BUY | 33 | 67¢ | $22 | 0x87ec6a… |
| 07-07 12:31:32 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | SELL | 33 | 67¢ | $22 | 0x87ec6a… |
| 06-27 08:42:58 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | SELL | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0xa94059… |
| 06-27 08:42:58 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0xa94059… |
| 06-22 13:08:43 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | SELL | 64 | 25¢ | $16 | 0xaf5a48… |
| 06-22 13:08:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0xaf5a48… |
| 06-22 13:08:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xaf5a48… |
| 06-22 13:08:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 26 | 75¢ | $19 | 0xaf5a48… |
| 06-22 13:08:43 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 115 | 25¢ | $28 | 0xaf5a48… |
| 06-17 02:39:19 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 21¢ | $6 | 0xf382fe… |
| 06-17 02:39:19 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xf382fe… |
| 06-17 02:39:19 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xf382fe… |
| 06-10 14:53:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x3949ca… |
| 06-10 14:53:46 | (anonymous) 0x9162…2f2c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x3949ca… |
| 06-10 10:57:06 | (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xf1ab8d… |
| 06-10 10:57:06 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | BUY | 71 | 81¢ | $58 | 0xf1ab8d… |
| 06-10 10:57:06 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 18¢ | $6 | 0xf1ab8d… |
| 06-10 10:57:06 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | SELL | 36 | 22¢ | $8 | 0xf1ab8d… |
| 06-10 10:57:06 | (anonymous) 0x01ee…b9df | Yes | BUY | 182 | 19¢ | $35 | 0xf1ab8d… |
| 06-10 06:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x9162…2f2c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xfb5842… |