Past-Disguise 0x52ebca…7067ac
whale bot hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.57K
Unrealized P&L
-$21
Hit rate
89.8%
Resolved
8
Trades
11,428
lifetime
Volume
$121.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.75K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
46% 0% $-432
Politics
33% 100% +$4,120
Sports
12% 50% $-123
Tech
8% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 259 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +430 $258 66¢ $282 +$24 06-19 01:32
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes +1,050 $177 14¢ $142 $-35 06-21 01:13
Will Jay-Z perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +151 $140 94¢ $142 +$1 06-30 10:57
Will Sam Smith perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +126 $120 96¢ $121 +$1 06-30 10:49
Will Peso Pluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +126 $121 95¢ $120 $-1 06-30 10:34
Will Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +126 $118 95¢ $119 +$1 06-30 09:23
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes -800 $-104 15¢ $-116 $-12 06-11 19:19
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +121 $110 90¢ $109 $-1 06-09 17:38
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes -750 $-130 15¢ $-109 +$21 06-11 19:06
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No -95 $-59 80¢ $-76 $-17 06-01 17:17
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -387 $-78 15¢ $-56 +$22 06-30 04:03
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +62 $41 87¢ $54 +$13 06-01 20:58
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +96 $44 51¢ $49 +$5 06-10 09:20
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +51 $44 66¢ $34 $-10 06-27 08:42
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -106 $-26 30¢ $-32 $-6 06-15 17:39
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? Yes +90 $31 32¢ $28 $-2 06-05 17:30
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +217 $32 10¢ $21 $-11 06-09 17:32
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? Yes +3,292 $52 1¢ $18 $-34 06-24 10:37
Will Peso Pluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +378 $30 5¢ $18 $-12 06-30 12:38
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? Yes -1,233 $-197 1¢ $-16 +$181 05-28 23:19
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +1,814 $122 1¢ $14 $-109 06-15 05:08
Will Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +248 $20 5¢ $14 $-6 06-30 12:42
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes +74 $6 16¢ $11 +$6 06-08 09:34
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +63 $32 16¢ $10 $-22 06-18 11:35
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-08 20:48
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +18 $18 49¢ $9 $-9 06-22 11:46
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes -474 $3 1¢ $-6 $-9 06-11 19:17
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +8 $3 70¢ $6 +$3 05-29 17:56
Will Sam Smith perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +126 $6 4¢ $5 $-1 06-30 10:50
Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$0 06-05 08:08