Realized P&L
+$3.57K
Unrealized P&L
+$77
Hit rate
89.8%
Resolved
8
Trades
11,111
lifetime
Volume
$111.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.71K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
44% 0% $-432
Politics
34% 100% +$4,120
Sports
12% 50% $-123
Tech
9%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 259 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? Yes +3,693 $283 10¢ $369 +$86 06-10 02:09
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? No +152 $135 84¢ $128 $-8 06-06 03:13
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +121 $110 92¢ $111 +$1 06-09 17:38
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? Yes -1,233 $-197 $-105 +$92 05-28 23:19
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +1,072 $80 10¢ $103 +$24 06-10 01:01
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes +450 $85 18¢ $83 $-2 06-04 22:04
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +140 $71 52¢ $74 +$2 06-09 16:45
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes +80 $70 86¢ $69 $-2 06-09 15:56
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No -95 $-59 71¢ $-68 $-9 06-01 17:17
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +138 $109 48¢ $66 $-43 06-02 08:20
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +192 $84 34¢ $66 $-17 06-09 17:29
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? No +62 $53 84¢ $52 $-1 05-31 18:15
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +62 $41 76¢ $47 +$6 06-01 20:58
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -150 $-34 28¢ $-41 $-7 05-29 17:09
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +125 $48 32¢ $39 $-9 06-06 12:03
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -250 $-42 16¢ $-39 +$4 06-03 20:06
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes +309 $58 10¢ $29 $-29 06-09 15:26
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? Yes +90 $31 32¢ $28 $-2 06-05 17:30
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +37 $24 66¢ $24 +$0 06-07 19:25
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +403 $2 $22 +$19 06-05 15:37
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No -21 $-21 100¢ $-21 +$0 06-03 03:25
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes +96 $21 20¢ $19 $-2 06-09 14:43
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +217 $32 $18 $-14 06-09 17:32
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes +126 $21 12¢ $16 $-5 06-06 21:51
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +25 $14 60¢ $15 +$1 05-29 10:31
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +41 $14 33¢ $14 $-0 06-08 08:48
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +21 $18 58¢ $12 $-6 05-28 01:12
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes +74 $6 16¢ $11 +$6 06-08 09:34
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-08 20:48
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? No +42 $17 18¢ $8 $-9 05-30 09:41