Past-Disguise 0x52ebca…7067ac
whale bot hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.57K
Unrealized P&L
+$132
Hit rate
89.8%
Resolved
8
Trades
12,624
lifetime
Volume
$167.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$2.54K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
49% 0% $-432
Politics
25% 100% +$4,120
Sports
19% 50% $-123
Tech
6% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 259 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +613 $301 56¢ $343 +$42 07-20 16:23
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? No +285 $268 96¢ $273 +$5 07-06 23:08
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +430 $258 59¢ $254 $-4 06-19 01:32
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +238 $190 92¢ $219 +$29 07-05 13:19
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +350 $133 54¢ $187 +$54 07-13 16:44
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes +955 $160 16¢ $148 $-12 07-20 10:14
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +121 $110 94¢ $113 +$3 06-09 17:38
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +203 $79 44¢ $89 +$10 07-15 12:53
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes -750 $-130 12¢ $-86 +$44 06-11 19:06
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +192 $77 40¢ $78 +$1 07-01 19:28
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No -95 $-59 82¢ $-78 $-19 06-01 17:17
Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +151 $143 50¢ $76 $-68 07-10 01:18
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes -800 $-104 9¢ $-72 +$32 06-11 19:19
Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +117 $5 50¢ $59 +$54 07-10 11:06
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +330 $16 16¢ $53 +$36 07-15 21:39
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +62 $41 84¢ $52 +$11 06-01 20:58
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +375 $32 12¢ $43 +$11 07-20 15:24
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +46 $14 94¢ $43 +$29 07-13 16:32
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -150 $-39 29¢ $-43 $-4 07-17 21:50
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? No +46 $38 82¢ $37 $-0 07-02 18:54
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +96 $44 36¢ $34 $-10 06-10 09:20
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? Yes +367 $74 9¢ $32 $-42 07-14 01:44
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +159 $59 19¢ $30 $-29 07-10 21:32
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +29 $23 87¢ $25 +$2 07-10 20:48
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes +74 $6 22¢ $16 +$10 06-08 09:34
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +217 $32 6¢ $13 $-18 06-09 17:32
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? Yes +300 $15 4¢ $13 $-2 07-01 19:09
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +17 $21 73¢ $12 $-9 07-07 18:54
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? Yes +90 $31 13¢ $12 $-19 06-05 17:30
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +18 $18 64¢ $12 $-6 06-22 11:46