Past-Disguise 0x52ebca…7067ac
whale cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$100.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.33K
Hit rate
53.9%
Resolved
23,039
Trades
108,465
lifetime
Volume
$2.60M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$14.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 03:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 204 days
Categories
Other
82% 48% -$92,467
Politics
12% 33% -$4,885
Sports
4% 40% -$2,711
Tech
2% 37% +$920
Crypto
0% 50% -$1,657
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2167 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? No +1,452 $907 100¢ $1.4K +$542 10-13 01:02
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +15,359 $1,255 6¢ $845 -$410 10-15 14:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +838 $417 99¢ $834 +$417 10-11 14:20
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +804 $270 99¢ $792 +$523 08-31 02:36
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +746 $567 95¢ $708 +$141 08-02 18:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +804 $604 77¢ $619 +$15 10-30 03:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +804 $601 74¢ $599 -$2 10-29 21:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +603 $590 98¢ $591 +$1 10-28 21:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +1,005 $535 52¢ $523 -$13 10-30 00:32
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +603 $537 86¢ $522 -$15 10-28 20:05
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +525 $352 97¢ $508 +$156 09-14 08:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +700 $474 72¢ $500 +$26 10-29 22:57
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1,560 -$139 32¢ $-500 -$361 05-01 23:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +1,005 $493 48¢ $482 -$11 10-30 00:12
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +459 $424 93¢ $427 +$3 10-30 03:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +595 $434 72¢ $425 -$9 10-29 22:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +634 $423 66¢ $415 -$8 10-29 23:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +603 $380 66¢ $398 +$18 10-29 21:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +658 $403 60¢ $395 -$7 10-29 03:37
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +402 $368 90¢ $364 -$4 10-29 22:09
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +402 $340 86¢ $348 +$8 10-29 17:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +503 $320 64¢ $325 +$5 10-29 22:43
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +322 $205 97¢ $311 +$106 08-16 20:00
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +401 $299 75¢ $301 +$2 10-30 01:55
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +405 $295 72¢ $290 -$6 10-29 17:49
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +340 $267 84¢ $284 +$17 10-29 20:18
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +303 $281 94¢ $284 +$3 10-29 00:33
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +303 $80 91¢ $277 +$197 08-29 23:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +658 $260 40¢ $263 +$3 10-29 03:36
will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287 No +351 $273 74¢ $262 -$11 08-18 17:56