Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open
Total volume
$345
Trades
76
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$406
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-17 07:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $16 | $90 | $73 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $21 | $55 | $34 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $27 | $7 | +$19 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $40 | $6 | +$34 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $30 | $8 | +$22 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $4 | $7 | $3 |
| Median | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| Below median | 5 | $13 | $2 | +$11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $14 | $42 | $28 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $25 | $25 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $33 | $33 |
| unranked | 8 | $42 | $30 | +$12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +60 | $42 | $42 | 6 | 07-08 19:56 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | +60 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 07-17 07:58 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +55 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 06-17 05:36 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +34 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 06-21 10:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | +31 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 07-14 22:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | +29 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 07-17 07:58 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +22 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 07-07 14:03 |
| Massive-Attainment 0x75ac…33d7 | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-08 21:37 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +18 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-16 21:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-08 19:56 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $20 | 13 | 07-17 07:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | +3 | $1 | $8 | 3 | 06-23 13:06 |
| Daring-Speech 0x4eb8…9231 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-06 18:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-06 18:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 07:58:13 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xd9606c… |
| 07-17 07:58:13 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xd9606c… |
| 07-17 07:58:13 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | BUY | 9 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xd9606c… |
| 07-14 22:47:19 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x44a003… |
| 07-14 22:47:19 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | SELL | 11 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x44a003… |
| 07-08 19:56:25 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x773254… |
| 07-08 19:56:25 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x773254… |
| 07-08 19:56:22 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0x7b083d… |
| 07-08 19:56:22 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x7b083d… |
| 07-07 14:03:20 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 25 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xf39d6d… |
| 07-07 14:03:20 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0xf39d6d… |
| 07-07 14:03:20 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xf39d6d… |
| 07-07 14:02:50 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 19 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x761e4b… |
| 07-07 14:02:50 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x761e4b… |
| 07-07 13:29:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x32dffd… |
| 07-07 13:29:49 | Corrupt-Chem 0x2fd4…5127 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 21¢ | $8 | 0x32dffd… |
| 07-07 13:29:49 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x32dffd… |
| 07-07 13:29:49 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x32dffd… |
| 07-06 18:47:58 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0xdd9e17… |
| 07-06 18:47:58 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | SELL | 28 | 81¢ | $23 | 0xdd9e17… |
| 07-06 18:47:58 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xdd9e17… |
| 07-06 18:47:58 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 2 | 81¢ | $2 | 0xdd9e17… |
| 07-06 18:46:04 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x4ca89a… |
| 07-06 18:46:04 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x4ca89a… |
| 07-06 18:46:04 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x824b50… |
| 07-06 18:46:04 | (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x824b50… |
| 07-06 18:07:07 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x86ff21… |
| 07-06 18:07:07 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x86ff21… |
| 07-06 18:06:59 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xbff06f… |
| 07-06 18:06:59 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xbff06f… |
| 07-06 18:06:59 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0xbff06f… |
| 07-06 18:04:35 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 30¢ | $5 | 0xeba6fb… |
| 07-06 18:04:35 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xeba6fb… |
| 07-06 18:04:35 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0xeba6fb… |
| 07-06 18:04:10 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xd98751… |
| 07-06 18:04:10 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0xd98751… |
| 06-27 14:07:14 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x657613… |
| 06-27 14:07:14 | Acrobatic-Baggage 0x5331…3672 | No | SELL | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x657613… |
| 06-27 14:07:14 | Faithful-Intervention 0x46ce…c842 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x657613… |
| 06-27 00:31:53 | Acrobatic-Baggage 0x5331…3672 | No | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0xc4cebf… |
| 06-27 00:31:53 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xc4cebf… |
| 06-27 00:31:53 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xc4cebf… |
| 06-23 13:06:29 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xb4c606… |
| 06-23 13:06:29 | (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | No | SELL | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xb4c606… |
| 06-21 10:42:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xb288be… |
| 06-21 10:42:55 | Exotic-Brooch 0x807d…72a0 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xb288be… |
| 06-21 10:42:55 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | SELL | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xb288be… |
| 06-20 23:17:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x7e78fa… |
| 06-20 23:17:19 | (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | No | BUY | 2 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x7e78fa… |
| 06-17 05:36:25 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 7 | 51¢ | $4 | 0xf89bcd… |
| 06-17 05:36:25 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | SELL | 7 | 51¢ | $4 | 0xf89bcd… |
| 06-16 21:47:14 | Exotic-Brooch 0x807d…72a0 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 55¢ | $10 | 0x79c188… |
| 06-16 21:47:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 18 | 45¢ | $8 | 0x79c188… |
| 06-16 10:54:24 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 19 | 45¢ | $9 | 0xcc5412… |
| 06-16 10:54:24 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 55¢ | $5 | 0xcc5412… |
| 06-16 10:54:24 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…6dfe | No | BUY | 8 | 45¢ | $3 | 0xcc5412… |
| 06-16 10:54:24 | Corrupt-Chem 0x2fd4…5127 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 55¢ | $20 | 0xcc5412… |
| 06-08 21:37:57 | Faithful-Intervention 0x46ce…c842 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x48d26d… |
| 06-08 21:37:57 | Favorable-Cue 0x971a…0126 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x48d26d… |
| 06-08 21:37:57 | Massive-Attainment 0x75ac…33d7 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x48d26d… |
| 06-08 21:37:57 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x48d26d… |
| 06-06 22:39:30 | Waterlogged-Historian 0x0e7f…8605 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xc47019… |
| 06-06 22:39:30 | Faithful-Intervention 0x46ce…c842 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xc47019… |
| 06-06 18:59:15 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xa12918… |
| 06-06 18:59:15 | Favorable-Cue 0x971a…0126 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xa12918… |
| 06-06 18:23:27 | Daring-Speech 0x4eb8…9231 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x204080… |
| 06-06 18:23:27 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x204080… |
| 06-06 05:23:01 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0xf33ca3… |
| 06-06 05:23:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xf33ca3… |
| 06-05 02:50:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xc7fa77… |
| 06-05 02:50:01 | Daring-Speech 0x4eb8…9231 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xc7fa77… |
| 06-02 01:01:59 | Favorable-Cue 0x971a…0126 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 39¢ | $19 | 0x683993… |
| 06-02 01:01:59 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 48 | 61¢ | $29 | 0x683993… |
| 05-29 02:18:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xae06a3… |
| 05-29 02:18:49 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | BUY | 24 | 72¢ | $17 | 0xae06a3… |
| 05-29 02:18:49 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xae06a3… |