Realized P&L
+$72
Unrealized P&L
+$51
Hit rate
71.2%
Resolved
79
Trades
104,786
lifetime
Volume
$134.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$75
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 06-10 00:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
68% 35% +$83
Politics
15% 36% $-4
Sports
9% 50% $-1
Crypto
8% 36% $-10
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2399 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +52 $12 100¢ $52 +$40 06-03 00:00
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $6 34¢ $6 +$0 06-10 01:59
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes -43 $-3 $-3 $-0 06-08 13:37
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +9 $2 34¢ $3 +$0 06-01 19:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? Yes +37 $3 $3 $-0 06-10 04:47
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? Yes -30 $-2 $-2 $-0 06-01 14:37
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? No +3 $2 85¢ $2 +$0 06-04 18:48
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -1 $-8 76¢ $-1 +$7 06-08 05:49
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Yes -11 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-30 05:52
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -3 $-0 24¢ $-1 $-0 06-10 00:39
US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026? Yes -7 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-06 13:49
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? Yes +0 $-1 16¢ $0 +$1 05-31 06:31
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? Yes +3 $1 $0 $-1 06-09 10:12
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -1 $0 $-0 $-0 06-08 12:01
Will Tony Thurmond advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes -12 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-28 05:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes +2 $0 $0 $-0 06-04 21:50
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? Yes +1 $0 $0 $-0 06-08 00:10
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June? No +0 $-5 $0 +$5 05-28 10:40