Realized P&L
+$72
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
71.2%
Resolved
79
Trades
112,808
lifetime
Volume
$148.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$16
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 07-20 21:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
64% 35% +$83
Politics
19% 36% $-4
Sports
8% 50% $-1
Crypto
7% 36% $-10
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 687 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes -43 $-3 $-3 +$0 07-14 13:37
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +3 $0 92¢ $3 +$2 07-07 14:35
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes -11 $-1 20¢ $-2 $-1 06-17 19:22
SHEIN IPO before 2027? Yes -2 $-1 88¢ $-2 $-1 07-10 12:59
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 23¢ $1 $-1 06-10 07:43
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? Yes -30 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-01 14:37
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +8 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-15 08:07
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +9 $2 10¢ $1 $-2 06-01 19:37
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Yes -11 $-1 $-1 +$0 07-06 12:53
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -3 $-0 20¢ $-1 $-0 06-10 00:39
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 12¢ $0 $-1 06-30 15:23
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $-0 17¢ $0 +$0 07-15 06:44
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 46¢ $0 +$0 07-03 19:54
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? Yes +2 $0 $0 $-0 06-29 17:37
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? Yes +0 $-1 11¢ $0 +$1 05-31 06:31
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No -8 $1 $-0 $-1 06-21 06:22
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -1 $0 $-0 $-0 06-08 12:01
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +0 $-3 $0 +$3 07-04 04:23