Realized P&L
+$2.34K
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
69.7%
Resolved
6,625
Trades
124,001
lifetime
Volume
$163.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$5
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 09-01 22:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 212 days
Categories
Other
64% 43% +$1,262
Politics
21% 47% +$844
Sports
8% 50% +$168
Crypto
7% 44% +$54
Tech
1% 47% +$17
Pop-Culture
0% 32% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +5 $2 64¢ $3 +$2 08-02 00:41
will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232 No +1 $1 46¢ $0 $0 07-03 13:30
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +3 $0 12¢ $0 +$1 05-19 17:05
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 14¢ $0 -$1 06-30 15:23
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? Yes +2 $0 7¢ $0 $0 05-18 13:02
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +3 $0 4¢ $0 $0 07-21 12:34
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 9¢ $0 +$0 07-15 06:44
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +0 $0 19¢ $0 $0 08-04 22:49
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +15 $0 0¢ $0 $0 08-08 02:56
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 12¢ $0 $0 07-03 19:54
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? Yes +2 $0 1¢ $0 $0 06-29 17:37
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +1 $0 2¢ $0 $0 06-08 12:01
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +0 $0 86¢ $0 $0 08-05 02:15
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -4 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 06-08 04:47
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 24¢ $0 $0 05-01 12:07
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-02 11:12