Realized P&L
+$72
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
71.2%
Resolved
79
Trades
109,401
lifetime
Volume
$142.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$26
22 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 06-30 17:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
64% 35% +$83
Politics
20% 36% $-4
Sports
8% 50% $-1
Crypto
8% 36% $-10
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes -43 $-3 17¢ $-7 $-4 06-20 01:45
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes -11 $-1 31¢ $-3 $-2 06-17 19:22
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? No +3 $2 100¢ $3 +$0 06-04 18:48
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 29¢ $2 $-0 06-10 07:43
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +8 $1 19¢ $1 +$0 06-15 08:07
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -1 $-8 100¢ $-1 +$6 06-08 05:49
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? Yes -30 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-01 14:37
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +60 $1 $1 +$0 06-28 16:25
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 42¢ $1 $-0 06-30 15:23
3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes +6 $2 18¢ $1 $-1 06-30 03:10
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +9 $2 11¢ $1 $-1 06-01 19:37
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Yes -11 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-30 05:52
Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes -8 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-27 07:00
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -3 $-0 19¢ $-1 $-0 06-10 00:39
US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026? Yes -59 $-18 $-0 +$17 06-25 06:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? Yes +2 $0 $0 $-0 06-29 17:37
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? Yes +0 $-1 12¢ $0 +$1 05-31 06:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +1 $0 $0 $-0 06-30 10:03
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -1 $0 $-0 $-0 06-08 12:01
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No -8 $1 $-0 $-1 06-21 06:22
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? Yes +3 $1 $0 $-1 06-09 10:12
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 06-30 11:35