Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
open
Total volume
$232
Trades
30
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$1,647
Latest YES mid
13¢
Latest NO mid
87¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-12 02:33
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-28.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $38
vs crowd: 28% YES on $129)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $7 | $38 | $31 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $35 | $35 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $29 | $20 | +$9 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $38 | $38 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $35 | $35 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 6 | $29 | $15 | +$14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | +49 | $35 | $35 | 3 | 05-30 12:32 |
| Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 16:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a13…f6f1 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-09 01:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 02:33 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +10 | $-2 | $9 | 2 | 06-07 15:09 |
| Silky-Hold 0xbac0…8745 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-31 06:31 |
| Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | +7 | $4 | $72 | 6 | 06-12 02:33 |
| Enchanting-Dividend 0x7543…6bc2 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 00:59 |
| Showy-Purity 0x255c…a296 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 03:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 02:33:43 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x5bab75… |
| 06-12 02:33:43 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x5bab75… |
| 06-09 01:11:48 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | SELL | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x9ea8f8… |
| 06-09 01:11:48 | (anonymous) 0x2a13…f6f1 | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x9ea8f8… |
| 06-09 00:59:16 | Enchanting-Dividend 0x7543…6bc2 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xee9c41… |
| 06-09 00:59:16 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xee9c41… |
| 06-08 03:21:18 | Showy-Purity 0x255c…a296 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x056344… |
| 06-08 03:21:18 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x056344… |
| 06-07 16:46:48 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x9a8890… |
| 06-07 16:46:48 | (anonymous) 0x62af…d9cf | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x9a8890… |
| 06-07 15:09:21 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x35ebc8… |
| 06-07 15:09:21 | (anonymous) 0x62af…d9cf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x35ebc8… |
| 05-31 06:31:37 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x98d109… |
| 05-31 06:31:37 | Silky-Hold 0xbac0…8745 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x98d109… |
| 05-31 06:31:37 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x2d5548… |
| 05-31 06:31:37 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x2d5548… |
| 05-30 12:48:56 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xa49997… |
| 05-30 12:48:56 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | SELL | 15 | 89¢ | $14 | 0xa49997… |
| 05-30 12:48:56 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xa49997… |
| 05-30 12:48:56 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | No | SELL | 16 | 90¢ | $14 | 0xa49997… |
| 05-30 12:48:56 | Inexperienced-Grand 0xb02c…0657 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 11¢ | $8 | 0xa49997… |
| 05-30 12:32:51 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | BUY | 23 | 71¢ | $16 | 0x714c69… |
| 05-30 12:32:51 | Inexperienced-Grand 0xb02c…0657 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 29¢ | $7 | 0x714c69… |
| 05-30 12:32:50 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xf5a239… |
| 05-30 12:32:50 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0xf5a239… |
| 05-30 12:32:50 | Inexperienced-Grand 0xb02c…0657 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 29¢ | $7 | 0xe5af61… |
| 05-30 12:32:50 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | BUY | 23 | 71¢ | $16 | 0xe5af61… |
| 05-30 12:32:50 | Inexperienced-Grand 0xb02c…0657 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 28¢ | $7 | 0xf5a239… |
| 05-30 06:01:04 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | No | SELL | 35 | 83¢ | $29 | 0x6633cf… |
| 05-30 06:01:04 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 35 | 83¢ | $29 | 0x6633cf… |