Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
open
Total volume
$556
Trades
74
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$1,647
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-19 16:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-23.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $122
vs crowd: 24% YES on $294)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $26 | $122 | $96 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $35 | $35 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $41 | $68 | $27 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $122 | $122 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $35 | $35 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| Median | 4 | $10 | $9 | +$1 |
| Below median | 7 | $15 | $10 | +$5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 14 | $35 | $48 | $14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | +49 | $35 | $35 | 3 | 05-30 12:32 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +46 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-27 14:45 |
| Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | +46 | $34 | $211 | 16 | 07-19 06:38 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-27 14:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a13…f6f1 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-09 01:11 |
| Composed-Intervention-Representation 0xee9d…9bcb | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-16 04:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 14:40 |
| Silky-Hold 0xbac0…8745 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-31 06:31 |
| Enchanting-Dividend 0x7543…6bc2 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 00:59 |
| Showy-Purity 0x255c…a296 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 03:21 |
| Stable-Diary 0x0f8a…06a4 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 02:07 |
| Sarcastic-Few 0x3544…9ddf | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 09:54 |
| Back-Daddy 0x3287…a2b2 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-22 01:52 |
| Burly-Spit 0xaf37…c0bb | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-13 02:58 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-14 07:23 |
| Chubby-Signature 0x08f2…1976 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-06 02:13 |
| Vibrant-Consideration 0x6d78…69ef | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-18 01:20 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-14 07:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 16:47:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xe83724… |
| 07-19 16:47:55 | (anonymous) 0x64ce…3c70 | No | SELL | 17 | 89¢ | $15 | 0xe83724… |
| 07-19 06:38:43 | (anonymous) 0x64ce…3c70 | No | BUY | 17 | 90¢ | $15 | 0xa8892f… |
| 07-19 06:38:43 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | SELL | 17 | 90¢ | $15 | 0xa8892f… |
| 07-16 04:11:01 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | SELL | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0x62a320… |
| 07-16 04:11:01 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x62a320… |
| 07-16 04:10:55 | Composed-Intervention-Representation 0xee9d…9bcb | Yes | BUY | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x16dff7… |
| 07-16 04:10:55 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 21 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x16dff7… |
| 07-16 04:10:55 | (anonymous) 0x69fb…609d | Yes | SELL | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x16dff7… |
| 07-14 07:23:17 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xb45c52… |
| 07-14 07:23:17 | (anonymous) 0x69fb…609d | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xb45c52… |
| 07-14 07:23:17 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xb45c52… |
| 07-14 07:23:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xb45c52… |
| 07-13 02:58:23 | Burly-Spit 0xaf37…c0bb | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xd55f91… |
| 07-13 02:58:23 | Composed-Intervention-Representation 0xee9d…9bcb | Yes | BUY | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd55f91… |
| 07-06 02:13:31 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | SELL | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xfa665f… |
| 07-06 02:13:31 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xfa665f… |
| 07-06 02:13:10 | Chubby-Signature 0x08f2…1976 | No | BUY | 4 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x6111c3… |
| 07-06 02:13:10 | Filthy-Parachute 0x5adb…4c7a | No | SELL | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0x6111c3… |
| 07-06 02:13:10 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x6111c3… |
| 06-27 14:45:37 | Quiet-Slime 0x62ca…79ab | Yes | SELL | 46 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x7172a8… |
| 06-27 14:45:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 46 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x7172a8… |
| 06-27 14:37:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x05c498… |
| 06-27 14:37:55 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | SELL | 61 | 13¢ | $8 | 0x05c498… |
| 06-27 14:37:55 | Quiet-Slime 0x62ca…79ab | Yes | BUY | 46 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x05c498… |
| 06-26 19:33:25 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 16¢ | $10 | 0x2d2abc… |
| 06-26 19:33:25 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 61 | 84¢ | $52 | 0x2d2abc… |
| 06-22 01:52:07 | Back-Daddy 0x3287…a2b2 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x538770… |
| 06-22 01:52:07 | Filthy-Parachute 0x5adb…4c7a | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x538770… |
| 06-19 14:40:16 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xa86edc… |
| 06-19 14:40:16 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 9 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xa86edc… |
| 06-19 02:04:11 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x91354c… |
| 06-19 02:04:11 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0x91354c… |
| 06-19 02:04:11 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x91354c… |
| 06-19 02:04:11 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | No | SELL | 65 | 85¢ | $55 | 0x91354c… |
| 06-19 02:04:11 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x91354c… |
| 06-18 22:04:37 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x68cb30… |
| 06-18 22:04:37 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x68cb30… |
| 06-18 09:54:37 | Sarcastic-Few 0x3544…9ddf | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xf689d9… |
| 06-18 09:54:37 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xf689d9… |
| 06-18 01:20:32 | Vibrant-Consideration 0x6d78…69ef | No | BUY | 4 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x570c81… |
| 06-18 01:20:32 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | SELL | 4 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x570c81… |
| 06-17 02:07:55 | Stable-Diary 0x0f8a…06a4 | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x19fcbd… |
| 06-17 02:07:55 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x19fcbd… |
| 06-12 02:33:43 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x5bab75… |
| 06-12 02:33:43 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x5bab75… |
| 06-09 01:11:48 | (anonymous) 0x2a13…f6f1 | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x9ea8f8… |
| 06-09 01:11:48 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | SELL | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x9ea8f8… |
| 06-09 00:59:16 | Enchanting-Dividend 0x7543…6bc2 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xee9c41… |
| 06-09 00:59:16 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xee9c41… |
| 06-08 03:21:18 | Showy-Purity 0x255c…a296 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x056344… |
| 06-08 03:21:18 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x056344… |
| 06-07 16:46:48 | (anonymous) 0x62af…d9cf | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x9a8890… |
| 06-07 16:46:48 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x9a8890… |
| 06-07 15:09:21 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x35ebc8… |
| 06-07 15:09:21 | (anonymous) 0x62af…d9cf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x35ebc8… |
| 05-31 06:31:37 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x2d5548… |
| 05-31 06:31:37 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x98d109… |
| 05-31 06:31:37 | Silky-Hold 0xbac0…8745 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x98d109… |
| 05-31 06:31:37 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x2d5548… |
| 05-30 12:48:56 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | SELL | 15 | 89¢ | $14 | 0xa49997… |
| 05-30 12:48:56 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xa49997… |
| 05-30 12:48:56 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | No | SELL | 16 | 90¢ | $14 | 0xa49997… |
| 05-30 12:48:56 | Inexperienced-Grand 0xb02c…0657 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 11¢ | $8 | 0xa49997… |
| 05-30 12:48:56 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xa49997… |
| 05-30 12:32:51 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | BUY | 23 | 71¢ | $16 | 0x714c69… |
| 05-30 12:32:51 | Inexperienced-Grand 0xb02c…0657 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 29¢ | $7 | 0x714c69… |
| 05-30 12:32:50 | Inexperienced-Grand 0xb02c…0657 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 28¢ | $7 | 0xf5a239… |
| 05-30 12:32:50 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xf5a239… |
| 05-30 12:32:50 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0xf5a239… |
| 05-30 12:32:50 | Inexperienced-Grand 0xb02c…0657 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 29¢ | $7 | 0xe5af61… |
| 05-30 12:32:50 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | BUY | 23 | 71¢ | $16 | 0xe5af61… |
| 05-30 06:01:04 | Immense-Stencil 0x02ae…bad5 | No | SELL | 35 | 83¢ | $29 | 0x6633cf… |
| 05-30 06:01:04 | Gaseous-Percentage 0xdcc9…4534 | No | BUY | 35 | 83¢ | $29 | 0x6633cf… |