Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$331
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
20,458
lifetime
Volume
$208.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$6.71K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-30 18:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
52%
Politics
33% 0% $-5
Tech
10%
Sports
6%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 1566 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +822 $765 99¢ $817 +$52 06-27 09:39
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +501 $464 96¢ $479 +$16 06-23 11:34
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +571 $320 64¢ $362 +$42 06-25 14:18
Will FURIA make a roster change before July? No +337 $304 99¢ $335 +$31 06-30 19:26
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +260 $228 99¢ $257 +$29 06-20 18:36
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No +299 $243 86¢ $256 +$13 06-26 21:14
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +321 $250 80¢ $255 +$4 06-29 19:41
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +327 $218 75¢ $245 +$28 06-29 07:22
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026? No +238 $218 98¢ $234 +$15 06-29 11:22
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No +220 $209 100¢ $220 +$11 06-22 03:42
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +396 $246 50¢ $200 $-46 06-29 14:08
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +290 $179 67¢ $194 +$15 06-28 09:48
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No +195 $186 99¢ $193 +$7 06-22 01:08
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +265 $188 72¢ $192 +$4 06-23 18:59
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? No +200 $186 94¢ $187 +$1 06-24 00:01
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +510 $219 36¢ $186 $-33 06-25 15:10
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? Yes +197 $171 90¢ $177 +$6 06-30 01:28
Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +190 $131 92¢ $175 +$45 06-24 01:18
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +180 $172 94¢ $169 $-3 06-27 04:27
Will Slingshot launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +194 $176 85¢ $165 $-11 06-30 12:26
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +321 $125 50¢ $159 +$34 06-24 18:37
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +160 $153 96¢ $154 +$1 06-13 17:10
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +179 $150 82¢ $146 $-3 06-24 16:46
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No +184 $118 78¢ $142 +$24 06-30 23:33
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +188 $151 76¢ $142 $-9 06-29 10:27
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +204 $114 70¢ $141 +$28 06-30 07:07
Will Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +174 $138 79¢ $137 $-1 06-28 08:12
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? No +141 $119 95¢ $133 +$15 06-30 13:32
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? No +291 $117 44¢ $128 +$11 06-30 21:53
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +171 $120 74¢ $126 +$5 06-27 15:43