Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
4,997
lifetime
Volume
$88.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$2.51K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-10 00:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
44%
Politics
43% 0% $-5
Sports
7%
Tech
5%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 705 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +447 $409 92¢ $409 $-0 06-06 17:25
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? Yes +183 $118 82¢ $149 +$31 06-07 18:01
Will Slingshot launch a token by March 31, 2027? Yes +172 $123 78¢ $134 +$11 06-10 06:22
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +140 $134 94¢ $132 $-2 06-09 16:04
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +140 $97 78¢ $110 +$13 06-01 13:26
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No +124 $95 80¢ $100 +$4 06-06 18:48
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026? No +100 $86 92¢ $92 +$6 06-09 09:29
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +100 $86 88¢ $88 +$1 06-03 19:30
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -154 $-62 54¢ $-82 $-21 06-05 12:52
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $80 80¢ $80 $-0 06-09 08:56
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No +80 $76 97¢ $78 +$1 06-09 08:51
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? No +100 $73 77¢ $77 +$4 06-04 10:08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No +80 $72 94¢ $76 +$4 06-01 17:46
Another Elon baby by June 30? No +80 $77 92¢ $74 $-3 06-10 04:38
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +72 $63 90¢ $64 +$2 06-09 07:49
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +70 $63 86¢ $60 $-3 06-08 03:04
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +62 $58 94¢ $58 +$1 06-09 00:27
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No +66 $62 87¢ $57 $-5 06-07 20:30
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +60 $53 94¢ $56 +$4 06-03 19:47
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? No +60 $56 92¢ $55 $-1 06-07 06:41
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +60 $53 88¢ $53 +$0 06-10 00:00
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +80 $45 66¢ $52 +$8 06-05 16:55
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +60 $52 86¢ $51 $-1 06-08 04:37
Will Puffpaw launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +53 $48 97¢ $51 +$3 06-03 07:09
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +120 $51 39¢ $47 $-5 06-10 06:09
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +61 $47 76¢ $46 $-0 06-09 21:26
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +84 $46 55¢ $46 +$0 06-08 01:57
Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $34 80¢ $46 +$12 06-06 15:59
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? No +237 $100 18¢ $44 $-56 06-10 02:13
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +56 $44 76¢ $43 $-1 06-03 07:19