Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$485
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
29,055
lifetime
Volume
$287.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$7.65K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-20 19:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
56%
Politics
30% 0% $-5
Tech
9%
Sports
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 1566 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +860 $834 97¢ $833 $-1 07-09 03:13
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No +599 $506 88¢ $524 +$19 07-04 10:01
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +501 $464 96¢ $480 +$16 06-23 11:34
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? No +451 $430 96¢ $432 +$2 07-12 08:10
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +571 $320 57¢ $325 +$5 06-25 14:18
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? Yes +310 $269 95¢ $293 +$24 07-13 02:55
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +360 $265 80¢ $286 +$22 07-13 10:56
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +327 $218 88¢ $286 +$68 06-29 07:22
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +345 $271 82¢ $281 +$11 07-09 05:48
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +286 $234 92¢ $263 +$29 07-06 10:20
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +321 $208 80¢ $257 +$49 07-08 05:43
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +280 $250 84¢ $237 $-13 07-13 22:02
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? Yes +291 $174 80¢ $233 +$59 07-10 09:12
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +307 $181 76¢ $232 +$51 07-08 19:56
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +510 $219 43¢ $219 +$0 06-25 15:10
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +246 $174 86¢ $213 +$39 07-01 09:47
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +290 $179 71¢ $206 +$27 06-28 09:48
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No +209 $138 92¢ $192 +$54 07-07 19:17
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +194 $154 92¢ $178 +$24 07-09 07:48
Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +190 $131 92¢ $175 +$45 06-24 01:18
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? No +198 $163 84¢ $167 +$4 07-11 22:34
Will Slingshot launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +194 $176 85¢ $165 $-11 06-30 12:26
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +180 $172 87¢ $157 $-15 07-13 21:29
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +240 $158 65¢ $156 $-2 07-06 09:55
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? No +153 $130 99¢ $151 +$21 07-02 17:11
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +161 $146 92¢ $149 +$3 07-13 23:09
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +211 $146 70¢ $147 +$1 07-13 14:44
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +179 $150 80¢ $144 $-6 06-24 16:46
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? Yes +383 $156 35¢ $134 $-22 07-08 21:03
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +188 $151 70¢ $133 $-19 06-29 10:27