Amazing-Pad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

29,127

lifetime

Volume

$288.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-09 19:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% — —

Politics

30% 0% $-5

Tech

9% — —

Sports

4% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 1566 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	777	$6.4K	11,765	80	+11,685	open	—	06-19 15:40
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	56	$6.0K	6,520	3,320	+3,200	open	—	01-31 16:12
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	607	$6.0K	6,080	2,386	+3,695	open	—	07-14 11:14
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	22	$5.4K	3,412	3,142	+270	open	—	02-18 21:58
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	180	$5.4K	3,225	2,604	+621	open	—	07-14 01:26
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	174	$5.0K	3,175	2,381	+794	open	—	07-06 16:32
will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	432	$3.3K	7,159	0	+7,159	open	—	07-09 00:14
will andr ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	28	$3.3K	4,920	0	+4,920	open	—	01-18 21:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	56	$3.3K	3,304	3,104	+200	open	—	02-18 21:39
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	367	$3.3K	5,879	439	+5,441	open	—	07-01 00:11
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	20	$3.1K	3,486	3,486	+0	open	—	02-20 05:47
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	478	$3.0K	5,614	233	+5,381	open	—	06-21 19:10
next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	69	$2.7K	2,499	1,510	+989	open	—	06-27 00:36
will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	296	$2.3K	4,591	0	+4,591	open	—	07-08 23:36
iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	251	$2.1K	3,891	0	+3,891	open	—	07-14 00:29
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	32	$2.1K	2,012	2,012	+0	open	—	02-09 07:17
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	24	$2.0K	2,800	2,000	+800	open	—	02-08 21:35
will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	114	$2.0K	2,559	2,559	+0	open	—	02-09 14:36
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	224	$1.9K	3,408	85	+3,323	open	—	06-19 00:29
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	23	$1.7K	2,234	825	+1,409	open	—	02-20 06:30
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	164	$1.6K	2,531	907	+1,624	open	—	06-27 23:00
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	27	$1.5K	1,229	829	+400	open	—	01-31 14:10
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	60	$1.5K	898	1,059	-161	open	—	07-07 08:46
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	187	$1.4K	3,106	58	+3,048	open	—	06-17 06:17
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1490 by december 31 2026	102	$1.3K	1,591	693	+898	open	—	07-10 18:31
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	21	$1.3K	1,600	400	+1,200	open	—	04-03 19:13
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	160	$1.2K	2,221	442	+1,780	open	—	06-30 19:29
over 25m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325651	91	$1.2K	1,602	642	+960	open	—	07-14 10:57
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	108	$1.2K	1,882	0	+1,882	open	—	06-17 22:56
will base launch a token by september 30 2026	71	$1.2K	1,135	537	+598	open	—	06-27 22:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 19:02:33	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by december 31 2026 20260709234123318	No	SELL	30	86¢	$25	0x275ca6…
08-09 12:49:21	Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xe17213…
08-08 07:41:45	Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0x72429d…
08-08 07:41:43	Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	34¢	$8	0x5575c0…
08-07 19:36:00	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0x6d3e26…
08-06 23:39:11	will hylo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0xb49c88…
08-06 13:48:59	marine le pen out as member of the national assembly byptptpt 20260706153645649	Yes	SELL	110	3¢	$3	0x300351…
08-06 12:05:02	Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xa316d6…
08-06 00:52:14	Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xdeb592…
08-05 19:12:00	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by december 31 20260623155722753	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xefb533…
08-05 18:47:35	will prime intellect launch a token by march 31 2027	Yes	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0x929eea…
08-05 18:47:33	will waymo launch in pittsburgh pa by december 31 2026 20260626203025658	Yes	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0x315290…
08-05 16:27:14	Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x0df5a2…
08-05 09:29:48	will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xb23900…
08-05 09:29:44	will franois asselineau advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x7a8439…
08-05 08:53:23	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by december 31 20260623155722753	Yes	SELL	25	92¢	$23	0xb7c62c…
08-03 23:26:23	will ambient launch a token by march 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xc52092…
08-02 10:22:18	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128	Yes	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x155a10…
08-02 10:21:42	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x3389da…
08-02 05:20:48	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128	Yes	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xdf0b40…
08-02 05:20:48	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128	Yes	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x713f2d…
08-02 04:15:53	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x5c1cad…
08-02 00:11:29	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x106d98…
08-02 00:11:27	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xe54016…
08-02 00:11:27	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x65ce35…
08-02 00:11:27	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x62dae8…
08-01 17:37:00	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x1c3991…
08-01 11:13:21	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x85ebdc…
08-01 08:19:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x698320…
07-30 17:33:23	will russia capture viroliubivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xa54377…
07-30 16:10:47	Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0xcf2981…
07-30 11:30:30	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	SELL	42	37¢	$15	0x09b807…
07-30 11:29:08	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xf7dbdc…
07-30 11:28:29	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0xaff3e5…
07-29 19:38:27	will team falcons make a roster change before september 20260623155348350	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xdf3058…
07-27 17:24:45	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 115 mph 20260626193609219	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x0ee9c8…
07-27 16:53:52	will russia capture myropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xc3e1c2…
07-27 09:12:36	Will Betmoar launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	90¢	$16	0xc13199…
07-27 09:04:33	will genptg make a roster change before september 20260629161235502	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xed4b79…
07-27 08:03:24	california wealth tax defeats opposing propositions 20260701211429348	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xe2b9f9…
07-26 19:57:16	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xa42e1f…
07-26 15:40:31	california affordable housing bond proposition	Yes	SELL	49	56¢	$27	0xcce3df…
07-26 12:41:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	No	SELL	33	86¢	$28	0xf5494b…
07-26 12:35:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 28 20260708212322953	No	SELL	63	83¢	$52	0x082f68…
07-26 11:13:30	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x0b93f1…
07-26 07:15:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 28 20260708212322953	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x14bce4…
07-26 06:50:54	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x6dec5f…
07-26 06:50:24	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	No	SELL	10	86¢	$8	0x8bae8c…
07-26 06:49:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x35b9fd…
07-26 06:48:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x61d601…
07-26 06:47:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x70cbd4…
07-26 06:46:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xfc9edd…
07-25 16:17:43	Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x86138e…
07-25 15:20:06	Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x82412a…
07-25 12:45:49	Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?	No	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xb2acd0…
07-24 21:38:54	le pen endorses non bardella pm by december 31 2026 20260708195808581	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xb6d028…
07-24 18:24:22	Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?	Yes	SELL	73	14¢	$10	0xf7090a…
07-24 09:47:13	le pen endorses non bardella pm by december 31 2026 20260708195808581	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x9a6b65…
07-23 22:53:18	Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x4ed69d…
07-23 16:22:48	Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0x7d7792…
07-23 13:40:30	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	Yes	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xe8d748…
07-23 13:10:12	will russia enter oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 20260706175201730	Yes	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0xf2f198…
07-23 10:37:33	will ken martin cease to be dnc chair by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xfdf3c3…
07-23 09:16:12	Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x87d065…
07-23 09:01:54	Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xa33d12…
07-23 08:03:03	Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x202a31…
07-23 06:50:09	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	13¢	$8	0xef02f9…
07-22 23:42:49	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x5e4345…
07-21 15:46:57	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	52	10¢	$5	0x5ea0b9…
07-21 15:44:51	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	58	10¢	$6	0x2698de…
07-21 05:13:22	california rainy day fund proposition	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xeab154…
07-21 03:51:31	Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?	Yes	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x9348d0…
07-20 19:31:06	will lifi launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x44a32e…
07-20 17:50:48	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	SELL	54	83¢	$45	0x60527c…
07-20 13:31:33	Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?	No	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x90b60b…
07-20 11:09:06	will rho labs launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174513381	No	SELL	55	89¢	$49	0x07d6ed…
07-20 10:00:34	will valantis launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0x7d29d2…
07-20 08:27:03	Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xaf9eda…
07-20 07:57:25	will anwar ibrahim cease to be prime minister of malaysia by july 31 2026 20260625163926546	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x95bf54…
07-20 02:27:40	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	No	SELL	80	97¢	$78	0xfdc3d1…
07-20 00:33:54	Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xe12e4e…
07-19 20:33:55	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	29	11¢	$3	0x5e76f3…
07-19 19:07:48	Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xd6ba8c…
07-19 16:22:45	Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x7f73f9…
07-19 09:47:01	will jerrod sessler advance to the general election for wa 04 20260706195014636	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x4718c6…
07-19 09:12:24	will tesla launch robotaxis in california by december 31 20260630142749586	Yes	SELL	47	15¢	$7	0xcae796…
07-19 03:52:51	will russia enter krasnopillya by july 31	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xf1fdc8…
07-19 03:52:31	will russia enter krasnopillya by july 31	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x597693…
07-18 19:49:13	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0x8e3b6b…
07-18 19:48:16	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0xf92f43…
07-18 07:29:15	will hurupay launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	67	6¢	$4	0xf4bfec…
07-18 00:39:43	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x844cb2…
07-17 19:53:57	Jonathan Majors as Kang?	No	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0x4a0b07…
07-17 19:25:55	tariff increase on canada in effect by december 31 2026 20260629150405925	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x60e908…
07-17 16:00:49	will yvette cooper be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533204	No	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0xa73054…
07-17 14:12:24	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x6ee9ec…
07-17 12:40:21	FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?	No	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0xa8159d…
07-17 11:31:40	will smith college exclude trans women in 2026 20260626143843566	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x9c6a3c…
07-17 10:27:19	tfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 17 2026 1pt08	Yes	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0xf73eef…
07-17 08:39:07	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 2026 20260706174556071	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x4d4804…