SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,031
Trades
300
Unique wallets
86
Liquidity
$9,111
Latest YES mid
70¢
Latest NO mid
30¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-23 18:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-42.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $26
vs crowd: 43% YES on $2.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $77 | $68 | +$9 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $147 | $390 | $243 |
| 🐟 Fish | 20 | $150 | $509 | $359 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 41 | $493 | $189 | +$304 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $26 | $26 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $2 | $33 | $32 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $7 | $46 | $38 |
| Median | 9 | $38 | $57 | $19 |
| Below median | 9 | $100 | $330 | $230 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $17 | $15 | +$3 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $77 | $43 | +$34 |
| unranked | 43 | $625 | $607 | +$18 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x5efe…5f55 | Yes | +642 | $258 | $258 | 7 | 07-15 14:34 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +299 | $186 | $186 | 22 | 07-13 00:00 |
| Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | No | +247 | $133 | $582 | 12 | 07-13 23:09 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +157 | $56 | $56 | 13 | 07-12 23:51 |
| Fitting-Fiber 0xd3e3…67dc | No | +152 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 07-19 03:07 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +97 | $61 | $93 | 5 | 07-19 03:07 |
| Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | +79 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 06-18 04:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xcbec…f58c | Yes | +70 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-25 08:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x847b…e8a4 | No | +70 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-25 08:25 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +65 | $40 | $92 | 23 | 07-12 23:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f6b…7d5c | No | +58 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-21 08:52 |
| Playful-Circulation 0x92e5…efee | No | +50 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-10 04:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +47 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-21 19:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x7200…c494 | Yes | +45 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 07-23 08:50 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +35 | $18 | $68 | 23 | 07-19 12:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xa623…98c8 | Yes | +35 | $24 | $57 | 2 | 07-23 08:49 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +25 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-10 04:51 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +25 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-06 17:05 |
| Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | +24 | $13 | $49 | 11 | 07-23 18:38 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-15 14:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5efe…5f55 | No | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-12 10:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-12 10:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xf379…c1ca | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-16 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ccd…510d | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-08 12:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-19 23:51 |
| Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-22 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-12 10:28 |
| Active-Earth 0x770d…567a | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-10 06:04 |
| Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-27 22:52 |
| Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $13 | 4 | 07-19 23:55 |
| Fickle-Version 0x7761…f504 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 00:33 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +1 | $0 | $26 | 3 | 07-06 08:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 18:38:58 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 4 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xdccb65… |
| 07-23 18:38:58 | (anonymous) 0x30da…34b7 | No | SELL | 4 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xdccb65… |
| 07-23 08:50:30 | (anonymous) 0x7200…c494 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 70¢ | $15 | 0x81cf7d… |
| 07-23 08:50:30 | (anonymous) 0x9c73…fbfb | Yes | SELL | 22 | 70¢ | $15 | 0x81cf7d… |
| 07-23 08:49:19 | (anonymous) 0x7200…c494 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 70¢ | $16 | 0x073977… |
| 07-23 08:49:19 | (anonymous) 0xa623…98c8 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 70¢ | $16 | 0x073977… |
| 07-21 08:52:12 | (anonymous) 0xa623…98c8 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 70¢ | $41 | 0x43f8f9… |
| 07-21 08:52:12 | (anonymous) 0x5f6b…7d5c | No | BUY | 58 | 30¢ | $17 | 0x43f8f9… |
| 07-19 23:55:10 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xc58d33… |
| 07-19 23:55:10 | (anonymous) 0xf74c…4b75 | No | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xc58d33… |
| 07-19 23:52:13 | (anonymous) 0x5647…3404 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0xd328c8… |
| 07-19 23:52:13 | (anonymous) 0x953f…88fd | No | SELL | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xd328c8… |
| 07-19 23:52:07 | (anonymous) 0x4021…83e5 | No | SELL | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xcde8bc… |
| 07-19 23:52:07 | (anonymous) 0x5647…3404 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0xcde8bc… |
| 07-19 23:52:01 | (anonymous) 0x5647…3404 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0x3a2224… |
| 07-19 23:52:01 | (anonymous) 0x0815…cf3c | No | SELL | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x3a2224… |
| 07-19 23:51:54 | (anonymous) 0x5647…3404 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0xb89666… |
| 07-19 23:51:54 | (anonymous) 0x2ea5…a6e2 | No | SELL | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0xb89666… |
| 07-19 23:51:45 | (anonymous) 0x4fe0…48e5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x2d4458… |
| 07-19 23:51:45 | (anonymous) 0xbf8d…38dd | No | SELL | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x2d4458… |
| 07-19 23:51:39 | (anonymous) 0x25c5…2fd9 | No | SELL | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x875525… |
| 07-19 23:51:39 | (anonymous) 0x4fe0…48e5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x875525… |
| 07-19 23:51:33 | (anonymous) 0x9384…1772 | No | SELL | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x94020d… |
| 07-19 23:51:33 | (anonymous) 0x4fe0…48e5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0x94020d… |
| 07-19 23:51:27 | (anonymous) 0xd2c5…91d7 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0x7fe46d… |
| 07-19 23:51:27 | (anonymous) 0x9384…1772 | No | SELL | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x7fe46d… |
| 07-19 23:51:21 | (anonymous) 0xd2c5…91d7 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x647134… |
| 07-19 23:51:21 | (anonymous) 0x748e…f4f2 | No | SELL | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x647134… |
| 07-19 23:51:15 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xee1345… |
| 07-19 23:51:15 | (anonymous) 0xd2c5…91d7 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0xee1345… |
| 07-19 23:51:15 | (anonymous) 0xf74c…4b75 | No | SELL | 15 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xee1345… |
| 07-19 23:50:19 | (anonymous) 0xbf8d…38dd | No | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x272668… |
| 07-19 23:50:19 | (anonymous) 0x5647…3404 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x272668… |
| 07-19 23:50:19 | (anonymous) 0x5647…3404 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0x5475b5… |
| 07-19 23:50:19 | (anonymous) 0x953f…88fd | No | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x5475b5… |
| 07-19 23:50:19 | (anonymous) 0x2ea5…a6e2 | No | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x0d74e3… |
| 07-19 23:50:19 | (anonymous) 0x5647…3404 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x0d74e3… |
| 07-19 23:49:42 | (anonymous) 0x9384…1772 | No | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x7c89d6… |
| 07-19 23:49:42 | (anonymous) 0x4fe0…48e5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x67b927… |
| 07-19 23:49:42 | (anonymous) 0x4fe0…48e5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x7c89d6… |
| 07-19 23:49:42 | (anonymous) 0x4fe0…48e5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0x5527c4… |
| 07-19 23:49:42 | (anonymous) 0x4021…83e5 | No | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x5527c4… |
| 07-19 23:49:42 | (anonymous) 0x25c5…2fd9 | No | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x67b927… |
| 07-19 23:49:06 | (anonymous) 0xd2c5…91d7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x38bc39… |
| 07-19 23:49:06 | (anonymous) 0xf74c…4b75 | No | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x38bc39… |
| 07-19 23:49:04 | (anonymous) 0xd2c5…91d7 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0xa41b62… |
| 07-19 23:49:04 | (anonymous) 0x748e…f4f2 | No | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x412923… |
| 07-19 23:49:04 | (anonymous) 0x0815…cf3c | No | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xa41b62… |
| 07-19 23:49:04 | (anonymous) 0xd2c5…91d7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x412923… |
| 07-19 12:17:12 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x40414f… |
| 07-19 12:17:12 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x40414f… |
| 07-19 03:12:42 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 4 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x97662b… |
| 07-19 03:12:42 | (anonymous) 0x30da…34b7 | No | BUY | 4 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x97662b… |
| 07-19 03:07:57 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x11b84f… |
| 07-19 03:07:57 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x11b84f… |
| 07-19 03:07:57 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x11b84f… |
| 07-19 03:07:57 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 68¢ | $7 | 0x11b84f… |
| 07-19 03:07:55 | Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | No | SELL | 23 | 30¢ | $7 | 0x945211… |
| 07-19 03:07:55 | Fitting-Fiber 0xd3e3…67dc | No | BUY | 152 | 30¢ | $46 | 0x945211… |
| 07-19 03:07:55 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 70¢ | $50 | 0x945211… |
| 07-19 03:07:55 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x945211… |
| 07-19 03:07:55 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x945211… |
| 07-19 03:07:55 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x945211… |
| 07-19 03:07:55 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x945211… |
| 07-19 03:07:55 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | No | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x945211… |
| 07-19 02:54:46 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | No | SELL | 4 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xf296bd… |
| 07-19 02:54:46 | True-Shallot 0xedf0…979c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 70¢ | $3 | 0xf296bd… |
| 07-18 07:23:09 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | No | SELL | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x3a1bf3… |
| 07-18 07:23:09 | (anonymous) 0x8b89…eaae | Yes | SELL | 2 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x3a1bf3… |
| 07-16 21:10:47 | (anonymous) 0xf379…c1ca | No | BUY | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xdc81cc… |
| 07-16 21:10:47 | (anonymous) 0xb7b4…4adb | No | SELL | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xdc81cc… |
| 07-16 20:43:31 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | No | SELL | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xc8335e… |
| 07-16 20:43:31 | (anonymous) 0xb7b4…4adb | No | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xc8335e… |
| 07-15 14:34:31 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x22f6d1… |
| 07-15 14:34:31 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x22f6d1… |
| 07-15 14:34:31 | (anonymous) 0x5efe…5f55 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 62¢ | $16 | 0x22f6d1… |
| 07-13 23:09:49 | Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3…f779 | No | BUY | 9 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x0658df… |
| 07-13 23:09:49 | (anonymous) 0x30da…34b7 | No | SELL | 9 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x0658df… |
| 07-13 23:06:29 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 9 | 39¢ | $4 | 0xec2b51… |
| 07-13 23:06:29 | (anonymous) 0x30da…34b7 | No | BUY | 9 | 39¢ | $4 | 0xec2b51… |
| 07-13 00:00:23 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xed4b5b… |
| 07-13 00:00:23 | Foolhardy-Visit 0xc551…1d6c | No | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xed4b5b… |
| 07-12 23:51:59 | Foolhardy-Visit 0xc551…1d6c | No | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x68351d… |
| 07-12 23:51:59 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x68351d… |
| 07-12 23:49:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x09e3e5… |
| 07-12 23:49:40 | Foolhardy-Visit 0xc551…1d6c | No | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x09e3e5… |
| 07-12 23:44:40 | Foolhardy-Visit 0xc551…1d6c | No | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x90fca7… |
| 07-12 23:44:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x90fca7… |
| 07-12 23:42:35 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xd7c79a… |
| 07-12 23:42:35 | Foolhardy-Visit 0xc551…1d6c | No | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xd7c79a… |
| 07-12 23:18:44 | Foolhardy-Visit 0xc551…1d6c | No | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xe6b78b… |
| 07-12 23:18:44 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xe6b78b… |
| 07-12 23:15:32 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x7c2c20… |
| 07-12 23:15:32 | Foolhardy-Visit 0xc551…1d6c | No | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x7c2c20… |
| 07-12 23:12:35 | Foolhardy-Visit 0xc551…1d6c | No | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x1a29e2… |
| 07-12 23:12:35 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x1a29e2… |
| 07-12 10:28:13 | Scornful-Amnesty 0xae86…fba3 | No | SELL | 59 | 40¢ | $23 | 0x79f3cd… |
| 07-12 10:28:13 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x79f3cd… |
| 07-12 10:28:13 | Unsightly-Young 0x2c1a…42d8 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 60¢ | $14 | 0x79f3cd… |
| 07-12 10:28:13 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x79f3cd… |