Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3c4…33f779
whale hot 9W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$5.40K
Unrealized P&L
-$279
Hit rate
76.7%
Resolved
309
Trades
2,951
lifetime
Volume
$147.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$4.90K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 10-26 20:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Politics
47% 75% +$3,305
Other
45% 67% +$1,956
Sports
7% 71% +$152
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,219 $1,122 92¢ $1.1K +$6 10-24 17:11
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +605 $592 98¢ $594 +$2 07-25 03:21
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +825 $577 68¢ $565 -$12 10-09 03:57
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +550 $481 92¢ $503 +$23 10-12 22:42
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +300 $273 92¢ $274 +$2 10-20 13:25
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +450 $302 58¢ $263 -$39 09-21 17:51
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +362 $207 70¢ $251 +$44 09-10 17:39
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +250 $240 97¢ $243 +$3 06-30 02:24
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $210 72¢ $214 +$4 09-02 15:17
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +200 $28 92¢ $183 +$155 07-24 18:19
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +200 $180 88¢ $177 -$3 08-27 07:29
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +100 $86 86¢ $86 $0 10-22 19:24
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +266 $50 30¢ $81 +$31 09-18 02:51
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$39 42¢ $-62 -$23 08-18 03:15
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +50 $44 92¢ $46 +$2 08-27 18:08
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $44 92¢ $46 +$2 08-27 19:15
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +450 $170 8¢ $38 -$132 07-24 19:47
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$20 15¢ $-23 -$3 08-22 21:58
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -605 -$11 3¢ $-18 -$7 07-28 07:30
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$26 11¢ $-16 +$11 08-23 00:32
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$24 11¢ $-16 +$8 07-11 13:58
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$24 11¢ $-16 +$8 07-01 20:53
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -856 -$5 2¢ $-13 -$8 08-14 16:15
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$16 7¢ $-10 +$6 08-23 00:32
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$8 6¢ $-10 -$1 08-23 00:32
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes -819 -$6 1¢ $-7 -$1 10-24 05:12
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? Yes -439 $351 2¢ $-7 -$358 05-08 14:33
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -250 -$5 2¢ $-5 +$0 07-25 03:04
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -856 -$4 0¢ $-3 +$1 08-14 03:35
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -856 -$3 0¢ $-3 $0 08-18 08:03