Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3c4…33f779
whale 10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$127
Unrealized P&L
-$170
Hit rate
74.7%
Resolved (30d)
12
Trades (30d)
190
3,005 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$11.1K
$151.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$5.81K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 11-02 03:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Politics
48% 74% +$3,481
Other
44% 66% +$1,957
Sports
7% 71% +$152
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,219 $1,122 94¢ $1.2K +$30 10-24 17:11
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +825 $577 80¢ $664 +$87 10-09 03:57
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +660 $607 94¢ $617 +$10 11-01 02:05
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +605 $592 98¢ $595 +$4 07-25 03:21
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +550 $481 94¢ $520 +$39 10-12 22:42
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +362 $207 84¢ $304 +$96 09-10 17:39
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +300 $273 94¢ $284 +$10 10-20 13:25
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +250 $240 97¢ $243 +$3 06-30 02:24
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $210 72¢ $214 +$4 09-02 15:17
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +450 $302 46¢ $209 -$93 09-21 17:51
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +200 $28 96¢ $191 +$163 07-24 18:19
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? Yes +185 $169 86¢ $159 -$10 11-01 03:49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +200 $130 72¢ $143 +$13 10-27 12:25
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No +102 $97 94¢ $96 $0 11-01 02:28
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$39 54¢ $-80 -$41 08-18 03:15
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +359 $75 16¢ $57 -$18 10-30 13:23
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +50 $44 94¢ $47 +$4 08-27 18:08
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $44 94¢ $47 +$4 08-27 19:15
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +200 $46 22¢ $45 -$1 10-28 00:14
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$20 14¢ $-21 -$2 08-22 21:58
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +450 $170 4¢ $20 -$150 07-24 19:47
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -605 -$11 3¢ $-18 -$8 07-28 07:30
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$24 11¢ $-16 +$8 07-01 20:53
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -856 -$5 2¢ $-15 -$9 08-14 16:15
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$24 8¢ $-11 +$13 07-11 13:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes -1,219 -$9 1¢ $-9 $0 10-29 15:38
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$26 6¢ $-8 +$18 08-23 00:32
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? Yes -439 $351 2¢ $-7 -$358 05-08 14:33
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$16 4¢ $-7 +$10 08-23 00:32
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -150 -$8 3¢ $-5 +$4 08-23 00:32