Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
open
Total volume
$2,044
$3,106 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
6
Liquidity
$25,644
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 16:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $2.0K | $2.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $34 | $34 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $614 | $614 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +1,545 | $1,380 | $1,380 | 21 | 05-10 16:55 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +682 | $614 | $614 | 1 | 05-10 16:55 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-10 16:55 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 06:27 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 16:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 16:55:57 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 31 | 90¢ | $28 | 0xfc9949… |
| 05-10 16:55:41 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x3835f7… |
| 05-10 16:55:32 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xc9333d… |
| 05-10 16:55:30 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 682 | 90¢ | $614 | 0x36077b… |
| 05-10 16:55:30 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x1e32b0… |
| 05-10 16:55:30 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xa9125b… |
| 05-10 14:57:46 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x491735… |
| 05-10 06:46:34 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | SELL | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xc1f56a… |
| 05-10 06:27:36 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0xe4f6e2… |
| 05-09 18:31:25 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x49ee8a… |
| 05-09 15:54:48 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x947c9c… |
| 05-09 15:54:11 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x981c4d… |
| 05-09 15:52:42 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x02b7da… |
| 05-09 15:52:42 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0xe8d457… |
| 05-09 15:52:31 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x3b9041… |
| 05-09 15:49:05 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 91 | 90¢ | $82 | 0x34bd41… |
| 05-08 21:41:41 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 19 | 89¢ | $17 | 0x2f8deb… |
| 05-08 20:36:44 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 92 | 88¢ | $81 | 0x47cdc2… |
| 05-08 20:36:33 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 29 | 88¢ | $26 | 0xcc5121… |
| 05-08 20:36:11 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x2ab6f9… |
| 05-08 20:11:09 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0xeb8402… |
| 05-08 20:09:28 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 46 | 89¢ | $41 | 0x42bd54… |
| 05-08 20:06:01 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x8ba3d4… |
| 05-08 10:59:32 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 98 | 88¢ | $86 | 0x4136e6… |
| 05-08 10:39:37 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 29 | 88¢ | $25 | 0xff544f… |
| 05-08 10:39:21 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 96 | 88¢ | $84 | 0x51542f… |